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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Even better home chase system NHL!!

    onlinesport
    arkadymo
    rabiddog
    whitakp
    MoscowGomez
    Participants:
    Search model icon
    Views: 772
    Posts: 7
     
    onlinesport
    onlinesport
    Banned
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2009
    Posts: 848
    Posted: Oct. 13, 2009 - 8:14 AM ET #1

    Hi guys me again,
     
    I've been studying all games in NHL all day long and when you choose to play the PL (+1,5 line) 70% of all games would be in your adventage!
     
    But that would be to many games and to many juice!
     
    So I thought about the home chase system!
     
    Exemple:
     
    Detroit @ Toronto
    Pittsburgh @ Toronto
    NY Rangers @ Toronto
     
    Let's assume that Toronto always is the fav for these 3 game home serie.
     
    They first hosting Detroit ==> So we bet Detroit PL
    If we lose , so if Toronto wins with 2 points or more we bet Pittsburgh PL
     
    I examined a couple of years and if we bet on A and B games our record would be sth about:
    A games: 115
    B games: 35
    Losses: 15
     
    So 150 - 15 for the season or a win% of 91%

    Some seasons have a win% of 94%!!!!
     
    So maybe this is a bit safer and profitable than betting on the home team!
     
    Win% on home teams is sth about 85% I think!
     
    In the next message I will type the record for this year so far and the plays!
    Reply
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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Hi guys me again,
     
    I've been studying all games in NHL all day long and when you choose to play the PL (+1,5 line) 70% of all games would be in your adventage!
     
    But that would be to many games and to many juice!
     
    So I thought about the home chase system!
     
    Exemple:
     
    Detroit @ Toronto
    Pittsburgh @ Toronto
    NY Rangers @ Toronto
     
    Let's assume that Toronto always is the fav for these 3 game home serie.
     
    They first hosting Detroit ==> So we bet Detroit PL
    If we lose , so if Toronto wins with 2 points or more we bet Pittsburgh PL
     
    I examined a couple of years and if we bet on A and B games our record would be sth about:
    A games: 115
    B games: 35
    Losses: 15
     
    So 150 - 15 for the season or a win% of 91%

    Some seasons have a win% of 94%!!!!
     
    So maybe this is a bit safer and profitable than betting on the home team!
     
    Win% on home teams is sth about 85% I think!
     
    In the next message I will type the record for this year so far and the plays!
     
    arkadymo
    arkadymo
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Mar, 2009
    Posts: 5107
    Posted: Oct. 13, 2009 - 3:49 PM ET #2

    What if the home team is the dog? Do we take the Away team ML? 

    Also, is this only for exactly 3 game homestands? What about 4,5 etc?
    Reply
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    What if the home team is the dog? Do we take the Away team ML? 

    Also, is this only for exactly 3 game homestands? What about 4,5 etc?
     
    onlinesport
    onlinesport
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    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2009
    Posts: 848
    Posted: Oct. 13, 2009 - 4:32 PM ET #3

    If there are 6 games we devide them in 2* 3 games
     
    If the home team is the dog than we bet on the ML for the away team!
    Reply
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    If there are 6 games we devide them in 2* 3 games
     
    If the home team is the dog than we bet on the ML for the away team!
     
    onlinesport
    onlinesport
    Banned
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2009
    Posts: 848
    Posted: Oct. 13, 2009 - 4:32 PM ET #4

    I will post every play at my other PLACE TO BE thread!
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    I will post every play at my other PLACE TO BE thread!
     
    rabiddog
    rabiddog
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2006
    Posts: 21
    Posted: Oct. 13, 2009 - 5:19 PM ET #5

    Quote Originally Posted by onlinesport:

     
    I examined a couple of years and if we bet on A and B games our record would be sth about:
    A games: 115
    B games: 35
    Losses: 15
     
    So 150 - 15 for the season or a win% of 91%

     
    Is this for 2008-2009 season!!
    Reply
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    Quote Originally Posted by onlinesport:

     
    I examined a couple of years and if we bet on A and B games our record would be sth about:
    A games: 115
    B games: 35
    Losses: 15
     
    So 150 - 15 for the season or a win% of 91%

     
    Is this for 2008-2009 season!!
     
    whitakp
    whitakp
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2007
    Posts: 725
    Posted: Oct. 13, 2009 - 11:50 PM ET #6

    this is a chase system though -- percentages are pretty much thrown out when chasing --- your 15 losses would equate to 15*3 = 45 losses wouldn't it?

    So in reality, you would be 140-45 correct?

    Also when chasing the loss for example using Labouchere (50 50 50 50):
    Game A: bet 100 -- lose
    Game B: bet 150 -- lose
    Game C: bet 200 -- lose and series over

    so you lose $450 per loss * 15 losses = ($6,750)

    so 115-35-15

    115 wins = $11,500 (betting $100 per game)
    35 wins = $3500 (using Labouchere as you are only betting to win 100)

    so 15,000 - 6750 = 8250 ====>   I'll take it
    Reply
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    this is a chase system though -- percentages are pretty much thrown out when chasing --- your 15 losses would equate to 15*3 = 45 losses wouldn't it?

    So in reality, you would be 140-45 correct?

    Also when chasing the loss for example using Labouchere (50 50 50 50):
    Game A: bet 100 -- lose
    Game B: bet 150 -- lose
    Game C: bet 200 -- lose and series over

    so you lose $450 per loss * 15 losses = ($6,750)

    so 115-35-15

    115 wins = $11,500 (betting $100 per game)
    35 wins = $3500 (using Labouchere as you are only betting to win 100)

    so 15,000 - 6750 = 8250 ====>   I'll take it
     
     
    MoscowGomez
    MoscowGomez
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Sep, 2009
    Posts: 16
    Posted: Oct. 14, 2009 - 5:18 AM ET #7

    thanks for the hard work onlinesport!interesting stuff.Are you using or plannig to use filters because i back tested last years games and came up with

    104 GAME A wins
    32   GAME B wins
    15   GAME C wins
    12   LOSSES

    So wouldnt it be 27 losses instead of 15 losses for 2008-2009 if playing just GAME A & GAME B?
    Sorry just putting it out there..
    Reply
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    thanks for the hard work onlinesport!interesting stuff.Are you using or plannig to use filters because i back tested last years games and came up with

    104 GAME A wins
    32   GAME B wins
    15   GAME C wins
    12   LOSSES

    So wouldnt it be 27 losses instead of 15 losses for 2008-2009 if playing just GAME A & GAME B?
    Sorry just putting it out there..
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