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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Does anybody do this?

    monroekelly21
    jv040
    bettor2win
    sahlsa
    Randisist
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    monroekelly21
    monroekelly21
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    Posted: Mar. 11, 2012 - 7:19 PM ET #1

    Try to roll over $100 (or whatever) three or four times?  You get $695 for 3 straight and over $1300 for 4, better than the payout for any parlay.  Just curious, as I have been thinking about this kind of strategy, and was wondering if people do try/win this type of betting.
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    Try to roll over $100 (or whatever) three or four times?  You get $695 for 3 straight and over $1300 for 4, better than the payout for any parlay.  Just curious, as I have been thinking about this kind of strategy, and was wondering if people do try/win this type of betting.
     
    jv040
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    Posted: Mar. 11, 2012 - 7:43 PM ET #2

    I did parlays many years ago. I bought  my first nba system out of a magazine and was parlaying the plays it made money for the first year second year it was loosing like crazy probably would have done ok with it if I didn't parlay the second year.
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    I did parlays many years ago. I bought  my first nba system out of a magazine and was parlaying the plays it made money for the first year second year it was loosing like crazy probably would have done ok with it if I didn't parlay the second year.
     
    bettor2win
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    Posted: Mar. 11, 2012 - 11:30 PM ET #3

    Quote Originally Posted by monroekelly21:

    Try to roll over $100 (or whatever) three or four times?  You get $695 for 3 straight and over $1300 for 4, better than the payout for any parlay.  Just curious, as I have been thinking about this kind of strategy, and was wondering if people do try/win this type of betting.

    I do it EVERY YEAR IN BASEBALL. I roll over my bonus 10x easily. too many games not to.  I don't bet big on baseball, but I always win big by the end.

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    Quote Originally Posted by monroekelly21:

    Try to roll over $100 (or whatever) three or four times?  You get $695 for 3 straight and over $1300 for 4, better than the payout for any parlay.  Just curious, as I have been thinking about this kind of strategy, and was wondering if people do try/win this type of betting.

    I do it EVERY YEAR IN BASEBALL. I roll over my bonus 10x easily. too many games not to.  I don't bet big on baseball, but I always win big by the end.

     
    bettor2win
    bettor2win
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    Posted: Mar. 11, 2012 - 11:56 PM ET #4

    BS blog by the way. leave.
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    BS blog by the way. leave.
     
    monroekelly21
    monroekelly21
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    Posted: Mar. 12, 2012 - 7:21 AM ET #5

    Neither of you seem to understand what I am saying.  You take $100 bet it all on one game, you win $90.91.

    You take that $190.91 and bet it all on another game.  You end up with about $364.  Bet all that on the next and end up $695.  You only need to win three straight to end up with 700% profit.  Then you lay low and start again.  

    Does anyone try to bet this way?
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    Neither of you seem to understand what I am saying.  You take $100 bet it all on one game, you win $90.91.

    You take that $190.91 and bet it all on another game.  You end up with about $364.  Bet all that on the next and end up $695.  You only need to win three straight to end up with 700% profit.  Then you lay low and start again.  

    Does anyone try to bet this way?
     
    monroekelly21
    monroekelly21
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    Posts: 354
    Posted: Mar. 12, 2012 - 7:21 AM ET #6

    Quote Originally Posted by bettor2win:

    BS blog by the way. leave.

    Are you saying I should leave the site?  Because of my "blog"?  
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    Quote Originally Posted by bettor2win:

    BS blog by the way. leave.

    Are you saying I should leave the site?  Because of my "blog"?  
     
    sahlsa
    sahlsa
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    Posts: 288
    Posted: Mar. 12, 2012 - 11:24 AM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by monroekelly21:

    Neither of you seem to understand what I am saying.  You take $100 bet it all on one game, you win $90.91.

    You take that $190.91 and bet it all on another game.  You end up with about $364.  Bet all that on the next and end up $695.  You only need to win three straight to end up with 700% profit.  Then you lay low and start again.  

    Does anyone try to bet this way?

    The problem is that will proberly loose +7 times for each 3 games streak you hit, so in the end will loose money.
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    Quote Originally Posted by monroekelly21:

    Neither of you seem to understand what I am saying.  You take $100 bet it all on one game, you win $90.91.

    You take that $190.91 and bet it all on another game.  You end up with about $364.  Bet all that on the next and end up $695.  You only need to win three straight to end up with 700% profit.  Then you lay low and start again.  

    Does anyone try to bet this way?

    The problem is that will proberly loose +7 times for each 3 games streak you hit, so in the end will loose money.
     
    monroekelly21
    monroekelly21
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    Posts: 354
    Posted: Mar. 12, 2012 - 5:06 PM ET #8

    Quote Originally Posted by sahlsa:


    The problem is that will proberly loose +7 times for each 3 games streak you hit, so in the end will loose money.

    You don't think someone could consistently hit three in a row?  You're right, you would need to do it more than 1 in 7 times.  That is only 14.28%.  So, you would need to succeed at a rate of 15% or better to not lose.  
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    Quote Originally Posted by sahlsa:


    The problem is that will proberly loose +7 times for each 3 games streak you hit, so in the end will loose money.

    You don't think someone could consistently hit three in a row?  You're right, you would need to do it more than 1 in 7 times.  That is only 14.28%.  So, you would need to succeed at a rate of 15% or better to not lose.  
     
    sahlsa
    sahlsa
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    Posted: Mar. 13, 2012 - 6:57 AM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by monroekelly21:


    You don't think someone could consistently hit three in a row?  You're right, you would need to do it more than 1 in 7 times.  That is only 14.28%.  So, you would need to succeed at a rate of 15% or better to not lose.  

    The math and the theory is easy, the problem is doing it for real. Try for fun money and you will see, that it is not that simple.
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    Quote Originally Posted by monroekelly21:


    You don't think someone could consistently hit three in a row?  You're right, you would need to do it more than 1 in 7 times.  That is only 14.28%.  So, you would need to succeed at a rate of 15% or better to not lose.  

    The math and the theory is easy, the problem is doing it for real. Try for fun money and you will see, that it is not that simple.
     
     
    Randisist
    Randisist
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    Joined: May, 2010
    Posts: 3158
    Posted: Mar. 13, 2012 - 8:13 AM ET #10

    Quote Originally Posted by monroekelly21:

    Try to roll over $100 (or whatever) three or four times?  You get $695 for 3 straight and over $1300 for 4, better than the payout for any parlay.  Just curious, as I have been thinking about this kind of strategy, and was wondering if people do try/win this type of betting.


    All you have to do is use the Streak Surviver contest that is right here to see if you can roll that $100 over 3 times or 4 times and what the outcome would be.

    Simply make your bet each day and see how many 3 game streaks and 4 game streaks you accomplish and what you would get back based on the odds.

    A faster way to back test your idea is to View the History of the top 10 players for the last 30 days and see how well they have done.

    I am thinking that if you could identify someone that has a high win percentage and trail them it just might pay... hmm...
    Reply
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    Quote Originally Posted by monroekelly21:

    Try to roll over $100 (or whatever) three or four times?  You get $695 for 3 straight and over $1300 for 4, better than the payout for any parlay.  Just curious, as I have been thinking about this kind of strategy, and was wondering if people do try/win this type of betting.


    All you have to do is use the Streak Surviver contest that is right here to see if you can roll that $100 over 3 times or 4 times and what the outcome would be.

    Simply make your bet each day and see how many 3 game streaks and 4 game streaks you accomplish and what you would get back based on the odds.

    A faster way to back test your idea is to View the History of the top 10 players for the last 30 days and see how well they have done.

    I am thinking that if you could identify someone that has a high win percentage and trail them it just might pay... hmm...
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