Posted:
#1
Been tracking picks based on public consensus.
Got to wondering if the public is more accurate on specific days of the week???
So I did some excel sorting for Over/Under so far this year by weekday of the week... I think the results are promising as a tool in picking winners... As a sole source of information for betting... No, but I think it has promise (after running the numbers) as an additional indicator/factor in picking.
Sun --- 38.46% Correct
Mon --- 62.16% Correct
Tue --- 58.49% Correct
Wed --- 56.25% Correct
Thu --- 53.13% Correct
Fri --- 59.57% Correct
Sat --- 48.06% Correct
Strange that the accuracy drops on Saturday and Sunday... Highest on Monday...
One thing I have not been tracking is the number of people who bet on specific days. Just did a quick count for Dec 3rd, Saturday - Dec 4th, Sunday - Dec 5th Monday
Dec 3rd, Saturday - Avg # betting per game 1172
Dec 4th, Sunday - Avg # betting per game 1234
Dec 5th, Monday - Avg # betting per game 1335
Now I need to back test prior years to determine if the percentages for this year so far are in line with the year long percentages for previous years.
Have not checked on the public consensus accuracy by weekday for MoneyLine or Puckline yet but will today. Wouldn't it be fantastic if the percentages hold true, at least for Under and Over in prior years...
Anybody got any ideas on why the weekday percentages came out as they have so far???
Got to wondering if the public is more accurate on specific days of the week???
So I did some excel sorting for Over/Under so far this year by weekday of the week... I think the results are promising as a tool in picking winners... As a sole source of information for betting... No, but I think it has promise (after running the numbers) as an additional indicator/factor in picking.
Sun --- 38.46% Correct
Mon --- 62.16% Correct
Tue --- 58.49% Correct
Wed --- 56.25% Correct
Thu --- 53.13% Correct
Fri --- 59.57% Correct
Sat --- 48.06% Correct
Strange that the accuracy drops on Saturday and Sunday... Highest on Monday...
One thing I have not been tracking is the number of people who bet on specific days. Just did a quick count for Dec 3rd, Saturday - Dec 4th, Sunday - Dec 5th Monday
Dec 3rd, Saturday - Avg # betting per game 1172
Dec 4th, Sunday - Avg # betting per game 1234
Dec 5th, Monday - Avg # betting per game 1335
Now I need to back test prior years to determine if the percentages for this year so far are in line with the year long percentages for previous years.
Have not checked on the public consensus accuracy by weekday for MoneyLine or Puckline yet but will today. Wouldn't it be fantastic if the percentages hold true, at least for Under and Over in prior years...
Anybody got any ideas on why the weekday percentages came out as they have so far???
