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....Dawgs & BIG Favs...

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Veteran
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Posts: 1636
Posted: #1
I have been watching these plays since opening day....
 
I have been sharing & posting these stats a week ago...
 
I started betting all these play parameters yesterday....
 
I went 7-0 on Road Dawg winners.....
 
 
...very lucky indeed....
 
Here is the update as of 26 Apr09.....
 
Since April 6,  I have been following .....
I am posting this on 26Apr09
 
All Dawg Plays (+110 to +130) 50wins- 33losses=
                                                 60% winners
 
     Home Dawgs (+110 to +130)....18wins-10 losses= 64%
 
     Road Dawgs (+110 to +130)....32wins-23losses= 58%
 
All Big Favs Plays ( -180 or more) 17wins- 3losses=
                                                  85% winners
 
     Home Favs (-180 or more) 16wins-2 loss= 89%
 
     Road Favs (-180 or more) 1win-1 loss= 50%
 
.... 7-0 yesterday....
 
Prospect
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Joined: Sep, 2007
Posts: 182
Posted: #2
dawgs are up from last year at this point.
 
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Posts: 1636
Posted: #3
....if they stay above 45-48% then you can brek even...really needs to be around 50% betting on the smaller dawgs....
 
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Posted: #4
Here is the update as of 27 Apr09.....
 
Since April 6,  I have been following .....
I am posting this on 27Apr09
 
All Dawg Plays (+110 to +130) 50wins- 35losses=
                                                 59% winners
 
     Home Dawgs (+110 to +130)....18wins-10 losses= 64%
 
     Road Dawgs (+110 to +130)....32wins-25losses= 56%
 
All Big Favs Plays ( -180 or more) 17wins- 4losses=
                                                  81% winners
 
     Home Favs (-180 or more) 16wins-3 loss= 84%
 
     Road Favs (-180 or more) 1win-1 loss= 50%
 
.... 0-3 yesterday...
 
Prospect
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Joined: Jan, 2009
Posts: 278
Posted: #5
Gassman,
 
On the home favs of (-180 or more) do you have the results
if one used the run line (-1.5) ????
 
Thanks
 
Veteran
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Posted: #6
rman....i do not have that info since my local book will not let me place that bet....
 
......0-3 yesterday...lost 3.88 units
 
...last 2 day record 7-3....+3.88 units
 
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Joined: Oct, 2008
Posts: 763
Posted: #7
Quote Originally Posted by rman1049:

Gassman,
 
On the home favs of (-180 or more) do you have the results
if one used the run line (-1.5) ????
 
Thanks

I checked for all games this season.   Home favorites of -180 or larger are 14 - 6 on the money line which would have come out even or slightly lower on units because of the heavy odds.   On the run line it is a disappointing 7 - 13.

 
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Posted: #8
Quote Originally Posted by manifesto:

I checked for all games this season.   Home favorites of -180 or larger are 14 - 6 on the money line which would have come out even or slightly lower on units because of the heavy odds.   On the run line it is a disappointing 7 - 13.

Manifesto...depending on when you place your bet & your book lines....that will determine your W-L record...My bets on Big Home Favs are 16-3 right now....thank you very much.

I don't know the actual unit profit since I just starting playing these 2 days ago but....If the BIG Home Favs bets were all about -200 then at 16-3 you would be up ($1600- $600) $1000 or up 10units @ $100units played.

 
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Posted: #9
Here is the update as of 28 Apr09.....
 
Since April 6,  I have been following .....
I am posting this on 28Apr09
 
All Dawg Plays (+110 to +130) 52wins- 35losses=
                                                 60% winners
 
     Home Dawgs (+110 to +130)....18wins-10 losses= 64%
 
     Road Dawgs (+110 to +130)....34wins-25losses= 58%
 
All Big Favs Plays ( -180 or more) 18wins- 4losses=
                                                  82% winners
 
     Home Favs (-180 or more) 17wins-3 loss= 85%
 
     Road Favs (-180 or more) 1win-1 loss= 50%
 
.... 3-0 yesterday...
 
Veteran
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Posts: 1636
Posted: #10
.... 3-0 yesterday...
 
April 25...7-0  +8.19 units
April 26...0-3  -4.31 units
April 27...3-0  +4.24 units..............+8.12 units total
 
Veteran
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Posts: 1636
Posted: #11
.... 2-3 yesterday...
 
April 25...7-0  +8.19 units
April 26...0-3  -4.31 units
April 27...3-0  +4.24 units
April 28...2-3   -0.59units..............+7.53 units total
 
Veteran
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Posts: 1636
Posted: #12
Here is the update as of 2May09.....
 
Since April 6,  I have been following .....
I am posting this on 2May09
 
All Dawg Plays (+110 to +130) 57wins- 39losses=
                                                 59% winners
 
     Home Dawgs (+110 to +130)....21wins-12 losses= 64%
 
     Road Dawgs (+110 to +130)....36wins-27losses= 57%
 
All Big Favs Plays ( -180 or more) 22wins- 5losses=
                                                  82% winners
 
     Home Favs (-180 or more) 21wins-4 loss= 84%
 
     Road Favs (-180 or more) 1win-1 loss= 50%
 
.... ...................
 
April 25...7-0  +8.19 units
April 26...0-3  -4.31 units
April 27...3-0  +4.24 units
April 28...2-3   -0.59units
April 29...4-3   +0.67units
April 30...2-1   +1.13units
May 1....3-1   +2.2 units..............+11.53 units total
 
 
Prospect
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Joined: Jan, 2009
Posts: 15
Posted: #13
Thanks.thanks,great info,was wondering do you separate,the nationals and american leagues,remember 1 year the americans dominated the dogs and nationals dominated favs.thanks again.
 
 
Veteran
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Posts: 1636
Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by bbk:

Thanks.thanks,great info,was wondering do you separate,the nationals and american leagues,remember 1 year the americans dominated the dogs and nationals dominated favs.thanks again.

 

great question...but no I don't separate them...I am betting them all that "fit" the criteria...

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