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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Curious About Anyone's Success When "Middling"

    tirepressure20
    Sharkysden
    Dawnmarie
    BostonKen
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    tirepressure20
    tirepressure20
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    Posted: Sep. 25, 2011 - 10:33 PM ET #1

    I am familiar with the strategy...but have never implemented it as I am only in my second NFL season as a recreational gambler.

    Who here bets the middle, and what tips do you have for anyone interested in implementing this strategy?
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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    I am familiar with the strategy...but have never implemented it as I am only in my second NFL season as a recreational gambler.

    Who here bets the middle, and what tips do you have for anyone interested in implementing this strategy?
     
    tirepressure20
    tirepressure20
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    Posted: Sep. 26, 2011 - 3:43 PM ET #2

    bump
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    Sharkysden
    Sharkysden
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2011 - 9:35 AM ET #3

    I've never done it before, I've bought back wagers for other reasons and just happened to get a middle opportunity but ended up paying the vig.  

    The line has to pass a key number to get a good middle, 2.5 to 4.5 or 6 to 8 etc.  but I think you only have about a 17% chance of hitting it around 3 and lower for 7.  I could be wrong with that percentage but I know it's low.   Most of the time you'll end up losing the vig.  

    I here that sharps do it all the time but I have no idea how much it actually hits.  
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    I've never done it before, I've bought back wagers for other reasons and just happened to get a middle opportunity but ended up paying the vig.  

    The line has to pass a key number to get a good middle, 2.5 to 4.5 or 6 to 8 etc.  but I think you only have about a 17% chance of hitting it around 3 and lower for 7.  I could be wrong with that percentage but I know it's low.   Most of the time you'll end up losing the vig.  

    I here that sharps do it all the time but I have no idea how much it actually hits.  
     
    Dawnmarie
    Dawnmarie
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    Posted: Sep. 27, 2011 - 4:14 PM ET #4

    it's now at  24 out of last 26 times in NFL when spreads cross over the 0 line  when road dog becaomes Road fav

     

    last week  DOLPHINS @ Browns + 2 1/2   COVER hrs sunday before Kick off - 1 1/2 SU loser  16 - 17

    week 1  Titans +  3 + 2 @ jagurs  W  game day Titans  - 1 S/U loser  !

    That the perfect middling opportunity 

     

    the other middling can happen when spreads move at least 2-3 points either way up or down 

     

    like say YOU have a DOG  + 11 1/2  public bites hard  DOG is only  +9 1/2  on game day DOG lost by 11

    Week is perfect example even tho it didnt matter  MNF

    Giants vs Rams opend - 6  game day  Giants  -4  now your teasers are killed on rams  they lost by 12 points 28 - 16  so a 7 point teaser  YOU only get 11

    but teasers worked on totals  it pushed at 44 you could have wacked two teaser bets GIANTS + 2  OVER  38  GIANTS +2 under 50

    YOU have to be sharp mathematically to pull this off automatically tesing teams is NOT a given !

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    it's now at  24 out of last 26 times in NFL when spreads cross over the 0 line  when road dog becaomes Road fav

     

    last week  DOLPHINS @ Browns + 2 1/2   COVER hrs sunday before Kick off - 1 1/2 SU loser  16 - 17

    week 1  Titans +  3 + 2 @ jagurs  W  game day Titans  - 1 S/U loser  !

    That the perfect middling opportunity 

     

    the other middling can happen when spreads move at least 2-3 points either way up or down 

     

    like say YOU have a DOG  + 11 1/2  public bites hard  DOG is only  +9 1/2  on game day DOG lost by 11

    Week is perfect example even tho it didnt matter  MNF

    Giants vs Rams opend - 6  game day  Giants  -4  now your teasers are killed on rams  they lost by 12 points 28 - 16  so a 7 point teaser  YOU only get 11

    but teasers worked on totals  it pushed at 44 you could have wacked two teaser bets GIANTS + 2  OVER  38  GIANTS +2 under 50

    YOU have to be sharp mathematically to pull this off automatically tesing teams is NOT a given !

     
     
    BostonKen
    BostonKen
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    Posts: 4700
    Posted: Sep. 27, 2011 - 4:24 PM ET #5

    Quote Originally Posted by Dawnmarie:

    it's now at  24 out of last 26 times in NFL when spreads cross over the 0 line  when road dog becaomes Road fav

     

    last week  DOLPHINS @ Browns + 2 1/2   COVER hrs sunday before Kick off - 1 1/2 SU loser  16 - 17

    week 1  Titans +  3 + 2 @ jagurs  W  game day Titans  - 1 S/U loser  !

    That the perfect middling opportunity 

     

    the other middling can happen when spreads move at least 2-3 points either way up or down 

     

    like say YOU have a DOG  + 11 1/2  public bites hard  DOG is only  +9 1/2  on game day DOG lost by 11

    Week is perfect example even tho it didnt matter  MNF

    Giants vs Rams opend - 6  game day  Giants  -4  now your teasers are killed on rams  they lost by 12 points 28 - 16  so a 7 point teaser  YOU only get 11

    but teasers worked on totals  it pushed at 44 you could have wacked two teaser bets GIANTS + 2  OVER  38  GIANTS +2 under 50

    YOU have to be sharp mathematically to pull this off automatically tesing teams is NOT a given !




    kind of like this   link
    Reply
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    Quote Originally Posted by Dawnmarie:

    it's now at  24 out of last 26 times in NFL when spreads cross over the 0 line  when road dog becaomes Road fav

     

    last week  DOLPHINS @ Browns + 2 1/2   COVER hrs sunday before Kick off - 1 1/2 SU loser  16 - 17

    week 1  Titans +  3 + 2 @ jagurs  W  game day Titans  - 1 S/U loser  !

    That the perfect middling opportunity 

     

    the other middling can happen when spreads move at least 2-3 points either way up or down 

     

    like say YOU have a DOG  + 11 1/2  public bites hard  DOG is only  +9 1/2  on game day DOG lost by 11

    Week is perfect example even tho it didnt matter  MNF

    Giants vs Rams opend - 6  game day  Giants  -4  now your teasers are killed on rams  they lost by 12 points 28 - 16  so a 7 point teaser  YOU only get 11

    but teasers worked on totals  it pushed at 44 you could have wacked two teaser bets GIANTS + 2  OVER  38  GIANTS +2 under 50

    YOU have to be sharp mathematically to pull this off automatically tesing teams is NOT a given !




    kind of like this   link
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