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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    complicated son of simple 4/4

    12 Next Last»
    hrabri_pero
    jay10
    ApacheM
    sports_Network
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    Posts: 37
    12 Next Last»
     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
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    Joined: May, 2007
    Posts: 82
    Posted: Jun. 5, 2009 - 7:15 AM ET #1

    as i'm tumbling through modifications of the simple system i realise that it will change, getting more filtered or adding a new statistical component along the way
    and it would be silly to come here and splash all those numbers just to find a better variation next day...

    i'll do something like SN... refining 'system' and keeping record of it on this forum

    it will be amalgam of few systems, trends and hopefully some serious attempt of capping

    main statistical ingredients for this are... last 10 games, current streaks, winning percentage Home/away

    all the fancy ERAs, WHIPs, left/right splits, BR/RCs and such will come along the way... for now the simpler the better

    goal for the rest of the season is 15 units, or at least not to lose that 20 from the 'simple 4/4'


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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    as i'm tumbling through modifications of the simple system i realise that it will change, getting more filtered or adding a new statistical component along the way
    and it would be silly to come here and splash all those numbers just to find a better variation next day...

    i'll do something like SN... refining 'system' and keeping record of it on this forum

    it will be amalgam of few systems, trends and hopefully some serious attempt of capping

    main statistical ingredients for this are... last 10 games, current streaks, winning percentage Home/away

    all the fancy ERAs, WHIPs, left/right splits, BR/RCs and such will come along the way... for now the simpler the better

    goal for the rest of the season is 15 units, or at least not to lose that 20 from the 'simple 4/4'


     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
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    Posted: Jun. 5, 2009 - 7:29 AM ET #2

    plays for today:

    BOS
    STL
    OAK


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    plays for today:

    BOS
    STL
    OAK


     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
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    Posted: Jun. 5, 2009 - 7:40 AM ET #3

    last post for today... i promise

    record for yesterday:

    HOU 
    TB    
    PIT   

    +0.45u  2-1
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    last post for today... i promise

    record for yesterday:

    HOU 
    TB    
    PIT   

    +0.45u  2-1
     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
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    Posts: 82
    Posted: Jun. 6, 2009 - 6:58 AM ET #4

    bad day yesterday...
    BOS 
    STL 
    OAK 

    YTD: -1.55 3-3

    today:

    TOR
    OAK
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    bad day yesterday...
    BOS 
    STL 
    OAK 

    YTD: -1.55 3-3

    today:

    TOR
    OAK
     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
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    Posts: 82
    Posted: Jun. 7, 2009 - 5:44 AM ET #5

    not getting better

    TOR loss
    OAK win

    YTD: -2.25 4-4

    today:
    LAD
    OAK
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    not getting better

    TOR loss
    OAK win

    YTD: -2.25 4-4

    today:
    LAD
    OAK
     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
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    Posts: 82
    Posted: Jun. 9, 2009 - 3:08 AM ET #6

    sunday 2-0
    LAD & OAK win,win

    monday 1-0
    OAK win

    YTD: 1.25 7-4

    tuesday:

    OAK
    LAD
    FLO
    ATL


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    sunday 2-0
    LAD & OAK win,win

    monday 1-0
    OAK win

    YTD: 1.25 7-4

    tuesday:

    OAK
    LAD
    FLO
    ATL


     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
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    Posted: Jun. 10, 2009 - 8:34 AM ET #7

    FLO,LAD, ATL

    OAK

    3-1 tuesday

    YTD: 4.20 10-5

    wednesday:

    CLE
    ATL
    FLO
    LAD

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    FLO,LAD, ATL

    OAK

    3-1 tuesday

    YTD: 4.20 10-5

    wednesday:

    CLE
    ATL
    FLO
    LAD

     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
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    Posted: Jun. 10, 2009 - 2:27 PM ET #8

    edit:

    dodgers were a loss sunday...

    YTD: 3.10 9-6 
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    edit:

    dodgers were a loss sunday...

    YTD: 3.10 9-6 
     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
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    Posts: 82
    Posted: Jun. 10, 2009 - 3:00 PM ET #9

    my unit calculations are all wrong... sorry, bad situations in private life, no sleep, no concentration

    YTD: 1.10u 9-6 
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    my unit calculations are all wrong... sorry, bad situations in private life, no sleep, no concentration

    YTD: 1.10u 9-6 
     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
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    Posts: 82
    Posted: Jun. 11, 2009 - 7:39 AM ET #10

    nobody told me that Home fav starting pitchers yesterday were replaced by their wimpy twin siblings

    anyway...

    awful night

    massive loss  -6.85u

    YTD: -5.75 9-10 


    thursday:

    system says... but aces on the mound 
    BOS no play
    CLE no play

    real play
    FLO

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    nobody told me that Home fav starting pitchers yesterday were replaced by their wimpy twin siblings

    anyway...

    awful night

    massive loss  -6.85u

    YTD: -5.75 9-10 


    thursday:

    system says... but aces on the mound 
    BOS no play
    CLE no play

    real play
    FLO

     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
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    Posted: Jun. 12, 2009 - 5:32 PM ET #11

    marlins lost

    cle and bos won  

    this thread is GFV momentarily... Great Fade Value

    YTD: -6.65  9-11 

    today:
    TB
    COL
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    marlins lost

    cle and bos won  

    this thread is GFV momentarily... Great Fade Value

    YTD: -6.65  9-11 

    today:
    TB
    COL
     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
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    Posted: Jun. 13, 2009 - 4:42 AM ET #12

    TB & COL  +2

    YTD: -4.65 11-11

    saturday:
    NYY
    COL
    CLE
    LAA
    TB
    TEX

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    TB & COL  +2

    YTD: -4.65 11-11

    saturday:
    NYY
    COL
    CLE
    LAA
    TB
    TEX

     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
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    Posted: Jun. 14, 2009 - 5:56 AM ET #13

    NYY, CLE , TEX losses
    COL, LAA, TB wins

    -1,15 3-3

    YTD: -5.80  14-14

    sunday:
    TB
    COL
    LAA
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    NYY, CLE , TEX losses
    COL, LAA, TB wins

    -1,15 3-3

    YTD: -5.80  14-14

    sunday:
    TB
    COL
    LAA
     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
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    Posted: Jun. 14, 2009 - 6:51 PM ET #14

    positive day after a while

    3-0

    YTD: -2.80  17-14
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    positive day after a while

    3-0

    YTD: -2.80  17-14
     
    jay10
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    Posts: 15689
    Posted: Jun. 15, 2009 - 12:49 PM ET #15

    Quote Originally Posted by hrabri_pero:

    positive day after a while

    3-0

    YTD: -2.80  17-14
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    Quote Originally Posted by hrabri_pero:

    positive day after a while

    3-0

    YTD: -2.80  17-14
     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
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    Posted: Jun. 16, 2009 - 2:39 AM ET #16

    tuesday:

    NYY
    KC
    PHI
    LAD
    COL*  pass
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    tuesday:

    NYY
    KC
    PHI
    LAD
    COL*  pass
     
    ApacheM
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    Posted: Jun. 16, 2009 - 1:18 PM ET #17

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    hrabri_pero
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2009 - 1:43 AM ET #18

    NYY 
    KC  
    PHI 
    LAD 

    3-1  +1.15 

    YTD: -1.65  20-15
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    NYY 
    KC  
    PHI 
    LAD 

    3-1  +1.15 

    YTD: -1.65  20-15
     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
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    Posted: Jun. 17, 2009 - 10:56 AM ET #19

    wednesday:

    NYY pass
    STL pass
    KC
    CIN
    LAD
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    wednesday:

    NYY pass
    STL pass
    KC
    CIN
    LAD
     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
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    Posted: Jun. 18, 2009 - 8:29 AM ET #20

    wednesday

    -2.15 1-2

    YTD: -3.80 21-17

    6/18:

    BOS & NYY (parlay)
    TEX

    STL pass
    CIN pass
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    wednesday

    -2.15 1-2

    YTD: -3.80 21-17

    6/18:

    BOS & NYY (parlay)
    TEX

    STL pass
    CIN pass
     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
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    Posted: Jun. 19, 2009 - 6:58 AM ET #21

    -2.6 0-2

    YTD: -6,40 u  21-19

    friday:

    CUBS pass
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    -2.6 0-2

    YTD: -6,40 u  21-19

    friday:

    CUBS pass
     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
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    Posted: Jun. 20, 2009 - 10:29 AM ET #22

    saturday:

    CUBS
    COL

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    saturday:

    CUBS
    COL

     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
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    Posted: Jun. 21, 2009 - 2:40 AM ET #23

    saturday:
    +2  2-0

    YTD: -4.40  23-19

    sunday:
    SEA
    DET
    CHC
    SF
    COL
    BOS
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    saturday:
    +2  2-0

    YTD: -4.40  23-19

    sunday:
    SEA
    DET
    CHC
    SF
    COL
    BOS
     
    sports_Network
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    Posted: Jun. 21, 2009 - 6:15 AM ET #24

    consistent
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    consistent
     
     
    hrabri_pero
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    Posted: Jun. 21, 2009 - 7:30 PM ET #25

    good sunday :)
    we  destroyed our main rivals in softball championship 

    and 6-0  in MLB picks 


    YTD: +2.40 29-19
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    good sunday :)
    we  destroyed our main rivals in softball championship 

    and 6-0  in MLB picks 


    YTD: +2.40 29-19
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