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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    complicated son of simple 4/4

    12 Next Last»
    hrabri_pero
    jay10
    ApacheM
    sports_Network
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 1480
    Posts: 37
    12 Next Last»
     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2007
    Posts: 82
    Posted: Jun. 5, 2009 - 7:15 AM ET #1

    as i'm tumbling through modifications of the simple system i realise that it will change, getting more filtered or adding a new statistical component along the way
    and it would be silly to come here and splash all those numbers just to find a better variation next day...

    i'll do something like SN... refining 'system' and keeping record of it on this forum

    it will be amalgam of few systems, trends and hopefully some serious attempt of capping

    main statistical ingredients for this are... last 10 games, current streaks, winning percentage Home/away

    all the fancy ERAs, WHIPs, left/right splits, BR/RCs and such will come along the way... for now the simpler the better

    goal for the rest of the season is 15 units, or at least not to lose that 20 from the 'simple 4/4'


    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    as i'm tumbling through modifications of the simple system i realise that it will change, getting more filtered or adding a new statistical component along the way
    and it would be silly to come here and splash all those numbers just to find a better variation next day...

    i'll do something like SN... refining 'system' and keeping record of it on this forum

    it will be amalgam of few systems, trends and hopefully some serious attempt of capping

    main statistical ingredients for this are... last 10 games, current streaks, winning percentage Home/away

    all the fancy ERAs, WHIPs, left/right splits, BR/RCs and such will come along the way... for now the simpler the better

    goal for the rest of the season is 15 units, or at least not to lose that 20 from the 'simple 4/4'


     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2007
    Posts: 82
    Posted: Jun. 5, 2009 - 7:29 AM ET #2

    plays for today:

    BOS
    STL
    OAK


    Reply
    plays for today:

    BOS
    STL
    OAK


     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2007
    Posts: 82
    Posted: Jun. 5, 2009 - 7:40 AM ET #3

    last post for today... i promise

    record for yesterday:

    HOU 
    TB    
    PIT   

    +0.45u  2-1
    Reply
    last post for today... i promise

    record for yesterday:

    HOU 
    TB    
    PIT   

    +0.45u  2-1
     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2007
    Posts: 82
    Posted: Jun. 6, 2009 - 6:58 AM ET #4

    bad day yesterday...
    BOS 
    STL 
    OAK 

    YTD: -1.55 3-3

    today:

    TOR
    OAK
    Reply
    bad day yesterday...
    BOS 
    STL 
    OAK 

    YTD: -1.55 3-3

    today:

    TOR
    OAK
     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2007
    Posts: 82
    Posted: Jun. 7, 2009 - 5:44 AM ET #5

    not getting better

    TOR loss
    OAK win

    YTD: -2.25 4-4

    today:
    LAD
    OAK
    Reply
    not getting better

    TOR loss
    OAK win

    YTD: -2.25 4-4

    today:
    LAD
    OAK
     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2007
    Posts: 82
    Posted: Jun. 9, 2009 - 3:08 AM ET #6

    sunday 2-0
    LAD & OAK win,win

    monday 1-0
    OAK win

    YTD: 1.25 7-4

    tuesday:

    OAK
    LAD
    FLO
    ATL


    Reply
    sunday 2-0
    LAD & OAK win,win

    monday 1-0
    OAK win

    YTD: 1.25 7-4

    tuesday:

    OAK
    LAD
    FLO
    ATL


     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2007
    Posts: 82
    Posted: Jun. 10, 2009 - 8:34 AM ET #7

    FLO,LAD, ATL

    OAK

    3-1 tuesday

    YTD: 4.20 10-5

    wednesday:

    CLE
    ATL
    FLO
    LAD

    Reply
    FLO,LAD, ATL

    OAK

    3-1 tuesday

    YTD: 4.20 10-5

    wednesday:

    CLE
    ATL
    FLO
    LAD

     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2007
    Posts: 82
    Posted: Jun. 10, 2009 - 2:27 PM ET #8

    edit:

    dodgers were a loss sunday...

    YTD: 3.10 9-6 
    Reply
    edit:

    dodgers were a loss sunday...

    YTD: 3.10 9-6 
     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2007
    Posts: 82
    Posted: Jun. 10, 2009 - 3:00 PM ET #9

    my unit calculations are all wrong... sorry, bad situations in private life, no sleep, no concentration

    YTD: 1.10u 9-6 
    Reply
    my unit calculations are all wrong... sorry, bad situations in private life, no sleep, no concentration

    YTD: 1.10u 9-6 
     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2007
    Posts: 82
    Posted: Jun. 11, 2009 - 7:39 AM ET #10

    nobody told me that Home fav starting pitchers yesterday were replaced by their wimpy twin siblings

    anyway...

    awful night

    massive loss  -6.85u

    YTD: -5.75 9-10 


    thursday:

    system says... but aces on the mound 
    BOS no play
    CLE no play

    real play
    FLO

    Reply
    nobody told me that Home fav starting pitchers yesterday were replaced by their wimpy twin siblings

    anyway...

    awful night

    massive loss  -6.85u

    YTD: -5.75 9-10 


    thursday:

    system says... but aces on the mound 
    BOS no play
    CLE no play

    real play
    FLO

     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2007
    Posts: 82
    Posted: Jun. 12, 2009 - 5:32 PM ET #11

    marlins lost

    cle and bos won  

    this thread is GFV momentarily... Great Fade Value

    YTD: -6.65  9-11 

    today:
    TB
    COL
    Reply
    marlins lost

    cle and bos won  

    this thread is GFV momentarily... Great Fade Value

    YTD: -6.65  9-11 

    today:
    TB
    COL
     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
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    Posts: 82
    Posted: Jun. 13, 2009 - 4:42 AM ET #12

    TB & COL  +2

    YTD: -4.65 11-11

    saturday:
    NYY
    COL
    CLE
    LAA
    TB
    TEX

    Reply
    TB & COL  +2

    YTD: -4.65 11-11

    saturday:
    NYY
    COL
    CLE
    LAA
    TB
    TEX

     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2007
    Posts: 82
    Posted: Jun. 14, 2009 - 5:56 AM ET #13

    NYY, CLE , TEX losses
    COL, LAA, TB wins

    -1,15 3-3

    YTD: -5.80  14-14

    sunday:
    TB
    COL
    LAA
    Reply
    NYY, CLE , TEX losses
    COL, LAA, TB wins

    -1,15 3-3

    YTD: -5.80  14-14

    sunday:
    TB
    COL
    LAA
     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2007
    Posts: 82
    Posted: Jun. 14, 2009 - 6:51 PM ET #14

    positive day after a while

    3-0

    YTD: -2.80  17-14
    Reply
    positive day after a while

    3-0

    YTD: -2.80  17-14
     
    jay10
    jay10
    MVP
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2008
    Posts: 15689
    Posted: Jun. 15, 2009 - 12:49 PM ET #15

    Quote Originally Posted by hrabri_pero:

    positive day after a while

    3-0

    YTD: -2.80  17-14
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by hrabri_pero:

    positive day after a while

    3-0

    YTD: -2.80  17-14
     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2007
    Posts: 82
    Posted: Jun. 16, 2009 - 2:39 AM ET #16

    tuesday:

    NYY
    KC
    PHI
    LAD
    COL*  pass
    Reply
    tuesday:

    NYY
    KC
    PHI
    LAD
    COL*  pass
     
    ApacheM
    ApacheM
    All-Star
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    Joined: Apr, 2008
    Posts: 14473
    Posted: Jun. 16, 2009 - 1:18 PM ET #17

    Reply
     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2007
    Posts: 82
    Posted: Jun. 17, 2009 - 1:43 AM ET #18

    NYY 
    KC  
    PHI 
    LAD 

    3-1  +1.15 

    YTD: -1.65  20-15
    Reply
    NYY 
    KC  
    PHI 
    LAD 

    3-1  +1.15 

    YTD: -1.65  20-15
     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2007
    Posts: 82
    Posted: Jun. 17, 2009 - 10:56 AM ET #19

    wednesday:

    NYY pass
    STL pass
    KC
    CIN
    LAD
    Reply
    wednesday:

    NYY pass
    STL pass
    KC
    CIN
    LAD
     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
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    Posts: 82
    Posted: Jun. 18, 2009 - 8:29 AM ET #20

    wednesday

    -2.15 1-2

    YTD: -3.80 21-17

    6/18:

    BOS & NYY (parlay)
    TEX

    STL pass
    CIN pass
    Reply
    wednesday

    -2.15 1-2

    YTD: -3.80 21-17

    6/18:

    BOS & NYY (parlay)
    TEX

    STL pass
    CIN pass
     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2007
    Posts: 82
    Posted: Jun. 19, 2009 - 6:58 AM ET #21

    -2.6 0-2

    YTD: -6,40 u  21-19

    friday:

    CUBS pass
    Reply
    -2.6 0-2

    YTD: -6,40 u  21-19

    friday:

    CUBS pass
     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2007
    Posts: 82
    Posted: Jun. 20, 2009 - 10:29 AM ET #22

    saturday:

    CUBS
    COL

    Reply
    saturday:

    CUBS
    COL

     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: May, 2007
    Posts: 82
    Posted: Jun. 21, 2009 - 2:40 AM ET #23

    saturday:
    +2  2-0

    YTD: -4.40  23-19

    sunday:
    SEA
    DET
    CHC
    SF
    COL
    BOS
    Reply
    saturday:
    +2  2-0

    YTD: -4.40  23-19

    sunday:
    SEA
    DET
    CHC
    SF
    COL
    BOS
     
    sports_Network
    sports_Network
    Banned
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    Joined: Feb, 2009
    Posts: 8426
    Posted: Jun. 21, 2009 - 6:15 AM ET #24

    consistent
    Reply
    consistent
     
     
    hrabri_pero
    hrabri_pero
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    Joined: May, 2007
    Posts: 82
    Posted: Jun. 21, 2009 - 7:30 PM ET #25

    good sunday :)
    we  destroyed our main rivals in softball championship 

    and 6-0  in MLB picks 


    YTD: +2.40 29-19
    Reply
    good sunday :)
    we  destroyed our main rivals in softball championship 

    and 6-0  in MLB picks 


    YTD: +2.40 29-19
    All Forums | Systems & Strategies
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