I tried this method a few times last year in the nhl, worked pretty well. As soon as i saw a team had lost 4+ games in a row, i jumped on it and started a chase for a win. Odds are good and a win came within 1-3 games. I call it " loserbandwagon" method. I looked around the 2008-09 season, worst losing streak was 6 games.
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
I tried this method a few times last year in the nhl, worked pretty well. As soon as i saw a team had lost 4+ games in a row, i jumped on it and started a chase for a win. Odds are good and a win came within 1-3 games. I call it " loserbandwagon" method. I looked around the 2008-09 season, worst losing streak was 6 games.
No stranger to the game.. any losing streak of 4+ games in the NHL is a good thing to jump on.. You just don't see losing streaks there like you will see in MLB and NBA.. Good valuable insight, I expect this trend to continue to do well this season.
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No stranger to the game.. any losing streak of 4+ games in the NHL is a good thing to jump on.. You just don't see losing streaks there like you will see in MLB and NBA.. Good valuable insight, I expect this trend to continue to do well this season.
I like your idea. I did a random check and it was looking good. Then I check the worst 2 team last season and it would of kill the system. TB and NYI had some pretty bad losing streaks. TB had 9 game losing streak twice. NYI had a 10 game losing streak and 8 game losing streak. Maybe putting some filter or accept the lost after 3 games. I might test this fully for previous years.
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I like your idea. I did a random check and it was looking good. Then I check the worst 2 team last season and it would of kill the system. TB and NYI had some pretty bad losing streaks. TB had 9 game losing streak twice. NYI had a 10 game losing streak and 8 game losing streak. Maybe putting some filter or accept the lost after 3 games. I might test this fully for previous years.
In January, Vancouver lost 8 games in a row, so even if you rule out worst teams, you can still lose a lot of $$$. After the 8-game losing streak vancouver defeated carolina at home but the ML was just -160 so you would really have to bet a lot in this case. It's not worth it.
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In January, Vancouver lost 8 games in a row, so even if you rule out worst teams, you can still lose a lot of $$$. After the 8-game losing streak vancouver defeated carolina at home but the ML was just -160 so you would really have to bet a lot in this case. It's not worth it.
In January, Vancouver lost 8 games in a row, so even if you rule out worst teams, you can still lose a lot of $$$. After the 8-game losing streak vancouver defeated carolina at home but the ML was just -160 so you would really have to bet a lot in this case. It's not worth it.
Jerblack - That series above would have probably killed all season profits. Do you have the numbers supporting the data from last year in terms of units?
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Quote Originally Posted by mach82:
In January, Vancouver lost 8 games in a row, so even if you rule out worst teams, you can still lose a lot of $$$. After the 8-game losing streak vancouver defeated carolina at home but the ML was just -160 so you would really have to bet a lot in this case. It's not worth it.
Jerblack - That series above would have probably killed all season profits. Do you have the numbers supporting the data from last year in terms of units?
good research! as i said tried a few times and never ran into a 8 game lossing streak,...but jumping on it after 4, its only 1 more then what i stated. A 8 game lossing is only a 4 game chase then a win. I'll look into some more ideas on the idea.
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good research! as i said tried a few times and never ran into a 8 game lossing streak,...but jumping on it after 4, its only 1 more then what i stated. A 8 game lossing is only a 4 game chase then a win. I'll look into some more ideas on the idea.
You could try betting totals. There are a number of teams who were very profitable last year, e.g. WSH was 25-14 over the total last year when playing at home (64.1%) and to my assumption this trend should also continue this season. You should just take last years' data for each team, analyze the roster & coach changes and estimate if the changes will (and how) affect the style of play of a given team. If you know how a given team was playing last year and compare it to the new pre-season games and also analyze a lot during the season, then you should be quite successful at betting totals. I don't think you can be successful without much effort and betting on cold teams can be very dangerous. Good luck.
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You could try betting totals. There are a number of teams who were very profitable last year, e.g. WSH was 25-14 over the total last year when playing at home (64.1%) and to my assumption this trend should also continue this season. You should just take last years' data for each team, analyze the roster & coach changes and estimate if the changes will (and how) affect the style of play of a given team. If you know how a given team was playing last year and compare it to the new pre-season games and also analyze a lot during the season, then you should be quite successful at betting totals. I don't think you can be successful without much effort and betting on cold teams can be very dangerous. Good luck.
i'm going to take a look at a teams results of a last game of a long road trip, and if the team they are facing have sat at home on a couple days rest.............i'm busy with work this week mach82, so if you have a spare couple of minutes check that out. We'll share the work
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i'm going to take a look at a teams results of a last game of a long road trip, and if the team they are facing have sat at home on a couple days rest.............i'm busy with work this week mach82, so if you have a spare couple of minutes check that out. We'll share the work