CFL 2010 !!

Who wouldn't love a league with only 8 teams , 3 downs and a bigger ball..(not to mention once having 2 teams with the same name)! .lets do this  !. The beauty of the CFL season is that each week, none of the 4 games are at the same time. = 4 levels of chasing a week ! . The system I will be running will require about 50 units and if the previous 3 years data are any indication should double your investment. I will be chasing to 4 games using the grand martingale. with units bet as below

  1 -3-7-15  

The criteria i am using for selecting the totals plays has hit at about 60% the past 3 years, in 2009 and 2008 there was not a single 4 game chase loss.. in 2007 there were 2, but both were recovered the following week with my "unit recovery plan" .

-I will also be sidebetting every total for a unit as this would have provided me 10-15 units in additional profit in the past 2 years..and about 8 units in 2007.. The only way this plan ends up in a loss is with 2 straight 4 game chase losses ..I'll take my chances..

- One more thing, with each chase win i will be re-dividing my roll by 50 to  calculate my new base unit, this can have a huge impact on profit.

for example if my starting roll is $1000 and  I just keep my base unit at $20 , after 50 wins i have made $1000

on the other hand if my starting roll  is $1000 and with each win i increase my base unit by 2% (could be more depending on what level the win hits) ,,after 50 wins my profit will be a little over $1700 ..big difference !

- Will give more details, unit recovery plan  (which we wouldn't have needed the past 2 years..but just in case) , and plays closer to the season ..!

I like betting on CFL and I also found that the time staggering is good for chasing...I'll be watching closely; just don't go tout and we'll have a fun season. 

I hope you're still planning on seeing this system through...looks interesting

I hope you're still looking to see this system through.  Sounds interesting, can't wait to see your method for unit recovery.

This will be the first time I try the CFL.  Let's make some money!

sorry for the double post.....I'm new to covers and trying to get the hang of this thing.

absolutely,,,can't wait..

I'm in!

Week 1 ..

Montreal/Saskatchewan Under

Toronto/Calgary Over

Ham/Winnipeg Under

BC/Edm Under

units bet will depend on previous game.. i.e i will be betting 1 unit on the Montreal/Sask Under, depending on if it wins or loses will be either 1 unit or  3 units on Toronto/Cal Over. etc..will chase up to 4 games and carry chases over,  from week 1 to week 2

 

- as well  I am playing side bet of  1 unit per game on all games..

- unit recovery strategy involves spreading the loss out over several subsequent chases, how much will depend at what point the loss comes at.. hopefully like the past 2 years it wont come at all ..

will post the plays as i make them ...gl

 

neilsy,

Are you using any kind of system to decide your overs and unders, or is it just your own analysis based on the teams themselves? Thanks.

ok. sounds good. when does season officially start? 

ok. sounds good. when does season officially start? 

Starts tomorrow....thurs july 1   1st game @ 7 pm eastern time.  mont-sask under 52.5    game 2     10 pm   tor-calg over 47.5   gm 3  fri  8pm  haml-winp  under 50.5   gm 4  sun 7pm   bc-edm under 53.5    neilsy

WHOW!  tomoroww. i better get on the stick.

Good luck with your system.  In the first week, there tend to be more total unders than overs except for some seasons.  Although CFL has a reputation as being a high scoring league, total unders occur more often than overs in 2009. 

Montreal/Saskatchewan UNder 53.5 - 1unit chase

                                                        1 unit side bet

my complex method if selecting totals ? .. if the line is 50 or less,bet over..if its over 50 bet under ..been steady money the past 3 years

 

Neilsy....so are you laying 2 units on the under.....1 for the chase and 1 for a side bet for xtra dough? If the under hits,are you finished for this 4 game week,or are you still betting the over on the toronto game? Thanks

ya...2 units..making a flat bet on every game...as well as the chase.. the flat bet will always be 1 unit ..and the chase never ends till week 18 ..i.e ..if i win game 1 today .i start a new chase with game 2..etc..etc.. they just keep carrying on to the next game or first game the following week..

Thanks neil.So if we win with mont,we put 1 unit on the tor over,but if we lose the first game....we double up on tor? I'm in and thanks for the hard work and info on this.

you can double up if you want.... but i am using the grand martingale ..i.e my betting unit progression is  1-3-7-15  .. so i pick up extra units when the chase goes past the first game... as well , after each chase win, i am re-dviding my bankroll by 50 and that is the base unit for my next chase,.this will maximize my profits..gl

neil

I think you have it right right collentNOW...

BTW I just realized... The Alouettes went 17-3 last year or 85%. They will do very similar this year and at worst go 15-5 (75%). The corresponding odds for those percentages would be -300 to -600 which they never hit for any single game. Even looking at their records over the last 5 years, it would show that it's profitable to bet the Alouettes every time they're under -175. Why not? I'm on them tonight.

pretty sure this game is going over..on my way out.. next bet

Argos/Stamps Over 47  .. 3 units - chase

                                      1 unit side bet

Oh man! Both teams each almost went over in 1st game.  Wheres the O in game 2?  Not a good start. Stick with it!  Oh Canada.

fantastic start...