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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    BETTOR2WIN MLB RPI SYSTEM (July 19, 2011)

    irage
    atd
    bettor2win
    HECTAR
    davopnz
    ...
    Participants:
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    Views: 3653
    Posts: 16
     
    irage
    irage
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    Posts: 4125
    Posted: Jul. 19, 2011 - 2:28 PM ET #1

    BETTOR2WIN MLB RPI SYSTEM
    2011 Record 48 - 2 - 0
    2010 Record 74 - 1 - 0
    2009 Record 76 - 2 - 0

    A Game Wins: 31
    B Game Wins: 12
    C Game Wins: 4

    Unofficial Plays: 5 - 0


    SYSTEM
    The premise here is simple. Good teams Beat bad teams more often than bad teams beat good teams. This a chase system.
    Please read first page of this Post to understand the system completely. And read this page too.

    MLB RPI system in a nutshell. The RPI tends to tighten as the season progresses, so post all star game I use different numbers.
    1. This is a series chase. I DO NOT chase after a 3rd straight loss in a 4 game series. IDK why, but I don't. You can if you like.
    2. How to pick series. Pre all star game: check the upcoming series. We will use tomorrows games/series as an example. Check the ESPN RPI rankings.
    If any team is the visiting team and has an RPI of over 50 points or more over the home team they are playing, take the visiting team for a series chase.
    If any team is the home team and they have an RPI of 42 points or more than the visiting team, take the home team for a series chase.

    FILTERS
    1. If the lower RPI has been playing significantly better baseball over the last week or so, do not play the series.
    2. Losing streaks. Big losing streaks by better RPI team, don't play series.
    3. Teams going in obvious opposite directions in the W/L column, I will take the series even if off a Point or max 2 on the RPI.
    4. Injuries. Watch how the teams play for a few days then decide to take a series if a good player has been hurt. The Angels lost Kendry Morales and went on a 10 game winning streak last year. Go figure, so watch.Another note, in a 4 game series, if, and ONLY if the team you bet on for the series wins the FIRST game of a four game series, start the series over the next day as a new series. Basically, we would be banking they will win one of the next 3 as well.
    5. Teams bellow the .500 mark need to be evaluated before a play is created.

    JUICE
    This system does come with some juice, but remember a WIN is WIN. Use LABBY and MARTINGALE ...depended on the outcome of a four game series. First game. LABBY will make up for losses, so I advise using the LABBY. Also, with the high juice in this system, you can only play one other system.

    RPI VALUE
    VISITOR = 40 - 42 RPI (depending on strength)
    HOME = 35 RP


    July 1 -
    July 2 -
    July 3 -
    July 4 - PITTSBURGH - 132 (41) WIN
    July 5 - WASHINGTON -124 - (36) WIN
    July 6 - PITTSBURGH -115 - (??)  WIN
    July 7 - BOSTON -154 - (41)  WIN
    July 8 - BOSTON -198 - (41) WIN
    July 9 - ALL STAR BREAK
    July 12 - PITTSBURGH +100 (44) WIN
    July 18 - BOSTON -134 (V52) WIN
    July 18 - PHILADELPHIA -185 (V66) LOSS
    July 18 - SAN FRANCISCO -127 (H32) WIN
    July 18 - WASHINGTON -113 UNOFFICIAL WIN
    July 19 - PHILADELPHIA -155 (V69 B-GAME) PENDING
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    BETTOR2WIN MLB RPI SYSTEM
    2011 Record 48 - 2 - 0
    2010 Record 74 - 1 - 0
    2009 Record 76 - 2 - 0

    A Game Wins: 31
    B Game Wins: 12
    C Game Wins: 4

    Unofficial Plays: 5 - 0


    SYSTEM
    The premise here is simple. Good teams Beat bad teams more often than bad teams beat good teams. This a chase system.
    Please read first page of this Post to understand the system completely. And read this page too.

    MLB RPI system in a nutshell. The RPI tends to tighten as the season progresses, so post all star game I use different numbers.
    1. This is a series chase. I DO NOT chase after a 3rd straight loss in a 4 game series. IDK why, but I don't. You can if you like.
    2. How to pick series. Pre all star game: check the upcoming series. We will use tomorrows games/series as an example. Check the ESPN RPI rankings.
    If any team is the visiting team and has an RPI of over 50 points or more over the home team they are playing, take the visiting team for a series chase.
    If any team is the home team and they have an RPI of 42 points or more than the visiting team, take the home team for a series chase.

    FILTERS
    1. If the lower RPI has been playing significantly better baseball over the last week or so, do not play the series.
    2. Losing streaks. Big losing streaks by better RPI team, don't play series.
    3. Teams going in obvious opposite directions in the W/L column, I will take the series even if off a Point or max 2 on the RPI.
    4. Injuries. Watch how the teams play for a few days then decide to take a series if a good player has been hurt. The Angels lost Kendry Morales and went on a 10 game winning streak last year. Go figure, so watch.Another note, in a 4 game series, if, and ONLY if the team you bet on for the series wins the FIRST game of a four game series, start the series over the next day as a new series. Basically, we would be banking they will win one of the next 3 as well.
    5. Teams bellow the .500 mark need to be evaluated before a play is created.

    JUICE
    This system does come with some juice, but remember a WIN is WIN. Use LABBY and MARTINGALE ...depended on the outcome of a four game series. First game. LABBY will make up for losses, so I advise using the LABBY. Also, with the high juice in this system, you can only play one other system.

    RPI VALUE
    VISITOR = 40 - 42 RPI (depending on strength)
    HOME = 35 RP


    July 1 -
    July 2 -
    July 3 -
    July 4 - PITTSBURGH - 132 (41) WIN
    July 5 - WASHINGTON -124 - (36) WIN
    July 6 - PITTSBURGH -115 - (??)  WIN
    July 7 - BOSTON -154 - (41)  WIN
    July 8 - BOSTON -198 - (41) WIN
    July 9 - ALL STAR BREAK
    July 12 - PITTSBURGH +100 (44) WIN
    July 18 - BOSTON -134 (V52) WIN
    July 18 - PHILADELPHIA -185 (V66) LOSS
    July 18 - SAN FRANCISCO -127 (H32) WIN
    July 18 - WASHINGTON -113 UNOFFICIAL WIN
    July 19 - PHILADELPHIA -155 (V69 B-GAME) PENDING
     
    atd
    atd
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
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    Posts: 45
    Posted: Jul. 19, 2011 - 3:17 PM ET #2

    Reply
     
    bettor2win
    bettor2win
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    Posts: 2153
    Posted: Jul. 19, 2011 - 3:36 PM ET #3

    hey irage, system record is 48-1. NOT 2 losses.
    Reply
    hey irage, system record is 48-1. NOT 2 losses.
     
    HECTAR
    HECTAR
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    Posts: 406
    Posted: Jul. 19, 2011 - 3:56 PM ET #4

    There is already a thread for this system, no use posting a new one everyday.
    Reply
    There is already a thread for this system, no use posting a new one everyday.
     
    davopnz
    davopnz
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    Posts: 6686
    Posted: Jul. 19, 2011 - 6:17 PM ET #5

    keep it up
    Reply
    keep it up
     
    irage
    irage
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    Posts: 4125
    Posted: Jul. 19, 2011 - 7:21 PM ET #6

    Hey Bettor,

    Wasn't the Philly pick an A game, that counts as a loss...correct?
    Reply
    Hey Bettor,

    Wasn't the Philly pick an A game, that counts as a loss...correct?
     
    bettor2win
    bettor2win
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    Posts: 2153
    Posted: Jul. 19, 2011 - 7:56 PM ET #7

    NOT UNTIL we  LOSE 3 straight games. This is a chase in each series. If PHI wins tonight "we have won the chase". If they lose tonight & tomorrow, THEN we lose. 
    Reply
    NOT UNTIL we  LOSE 3 straight games. This is a chase in each series. If PHI wins tonight "we have won the chase". If they lose tonight & tomorrow, THEN we lose. 
     
    glefkb01
    glefkb01
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    Posts: 2554
    Posted: Jul. 19, 2011 - 8:24 PM ET #8

    Philly  down 2 already in the first...  cubs lookin HOT!
    Reply
    Philly  down 2 already in the first...  cubs lookin HOT!
     
    bettor2win
    bettor2win
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    Posts: 2153
    Posted: Jul. 19, 2011 - 8:33 PM ET #9

    Patience u must learn, young Jedi.
    Reply
    Patience u must learn, young Jedi.
     
    irage
    irage
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    Posts: 4125
    Posted: Jul. 19, 2011 - 8:36 PM ET #10

    Bettor, my bad, I will fix that!
    Reply
    Bettor, my bad, I will fix that!
     
    TVWIN
    TVWIN
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    Posts: 641
    Posted: Dec. 20, 2011 - 5:27 PM ET #11

    work NHL
    Reply
    work NHL
     
    boycali01
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    Posted: Mar. 10, 2012 - 1:18 PM ET #12

    Reply
     
    jv040
    jv040
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    Posts: 1479
    Posted: Mar. 12, 2012 - 10:56 AM ET #13

    betting this system backwards and going for underdog in a 3 game chase might be very profitable especially using labby line.
    Reply
    betting this system backwards and going for underdog in a 3 game chase might be very profitable especially using labby line.
     
    jv040
    jv040
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    Posted: Mar. 12, 2012 - 10:57 AM ET #14

    how many 3 game chases last year ended up winning all 3 series?
    Reply
    how many 3 game chases last year ended up winning all 3 series?
     
    hammer1
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    Posted: Mar. 25, 2012 - 7:58 PM ET #15

    looks good irage
    Reply
    looks good irage
     
     
    timbaland99
    timbaland99
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    Posts: 929
    Posted: Mar. 26, 2012 - 4:02 AM ET #16

    I would like to use this system this year and just had a couple questions regarding the filters used to determine each play. 


    1. If the lower RPI has been playing significantly better baseball over the last week or so, do not play the series.

            what qualifies as playing significantly better? 

    2. Losing streaks. Big losing streaks by better RPI team, don't play series.

            what is considered a big losing streak? how many games?

    3. Teams going in obvious opposite directions in the W/L column, I will take the series even if off a Point or max 2 on the RPI.

           what qualifies as obvious opposite directions?

    4. Injuries. Watch how the teams play for a few days then decide to take a series if a good player has been hurt. The Angels lost Kendry Morales and went on a 10 game winning streak last year. Go figure, so watch.Another note, in a 4 game series, if, and ONLY if the team you bet on for the series wins the FIRST game of a four game series, start the series over the next day as a new series. Basically, we would be banking they will win one of the next 3 as well.

           how many games should I be looking at when a player gets injured to decide if it warrants a play?


    some of these filters are non specific and are in general terms. I have faith in this system and I appreciate the hard work that went in to creating this. I just don't want to run into situations where I think a play fits the system and it ends up not being a play or vice versa. I don't want to leave units out there and I don't want to blow units on games and series that don't fit the system according to those that understand the system more than I do. I would appreciate help and feedback in order to further my understanding of how this system works. 

    best of luck and I look forward to a profitable 2012 MLB season. 
    Reply
    I would like to use this system this year and just had a couple questions regarding the filters used to determine each play. 


    1. If the lower RPI has been playing significantly better baseball over the last week or so, do not play the series.

            what qualifies as playing significantly better? 

    2. Losing streaks. Big losing streaks by better RPI team, don't play series.

            what is considered a big losing streak? how many games?

    3. Teams going in obvious opposite directions in the W/L column, I will take the series even if off a Point or max 2 on the RPI.

           what qualifies as obvious opposite directions?

    4. Injuries. Watch how the teams play for a few days then decide to take a series if a good player has been hurt. The Angels lost Kendry Morales and went on a 10 game winning streak last year. Go figure, so watch.Another note, in a 4 game series, if, and ONLY if the team you bet on for the series wins the FIRST game of a four game series, start the series over the next day as a new series. Basically, we would be banking they will win one of the next 3 as well.

           how many games should I be looking at when a player gets injured to decide if it warrants a play?


    some of these filters are non specific and are in general terms. I have faith in this system and I appreciate the hard work that went in to creating this. I just don't want to run into situations where I think a play fits the system and it ends up not being a play or vice versa. I don't want to leave units out there and I don't want to blow units on games and series that don't fit the system according to those that understand the system more than I do. I would appreciate help and feedback in order to further my understanding of how this system works. 

    best of luck and I look forward to a profitable 2012 MLB season. 
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