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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Beginning of the season system

    MortgageMan
    Luckydan
    Bart_
    AppleMunch25
    Participants:
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    Views: 1822
    Posts: 15
     
    MortgageMan
    MortgageMan
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2006
    Posts: 333
    Posted: Apr. 6, 2015 - 2:25 PM ET #1

    Since most of the chase systems I will be following don't start for a couple of weeks, I came up with a simple system to use for the first couple of weeks. This will be a 3 game chase. You take all of the playoff teams from last year and chase them for 3 games in their home opening series. I did limited back testing...i used the last 2 years and here are the results:

    2013 
    A - 6
    B - 3
    C - 1

    2014
    A - 7
    B - 3

    So, it was undefeated for the last 2 years with only 1 C game. Like I said...limited back testing. But, I will be going light on these plays and hopefully, I win 10 units. Unfortunately, I was busy and unable to post this before the first game went off...SORRY!! Here are last year's playoff teams along with the dates of their home opening series:

    KC 4/6-8
    Oakland  4/6-8     
    Pitt  4/13-15     
    SF  4/13-15
    Balt  4/10-12    
    Det 4/6-8    
    Angels 4/10-12   
    Wash 4/6-8   
    St L  4/13-15
    LAD  4/6-8

    Detroit started already but, since they are playing the Twins, you might be able to bet them again in this series. That is up to you. The other series chases that start today are:

    KC
    Wash
    Oak
    LAD

    Good Luck if you choose to follow!!
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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Since most of the chase systems I will be following don't start for a couple of weeks, I came up with a simple system to use for the first couple of weeks. This will be a 3 game chase. You take all of the playoff teams from last year and chase them for 3 games in their home opening series. I did limited back testing...i used the last 2 years and here are the results:

    2013 
    A - 6
    B - 3
    C - 1

    2014
    A - 7
    B - 3

    So, it was undefeated for the last 2 years with only 1 C game. Like I said...limited back testing. But, I will be going light on these plays and hopefully, I win 10 units. Unfortunately, I was busy and unable to post this before the first game went off...SORRY!! Here are last year's playoff teams along with the dates of their home opening series:

    KC 4/6-8
    Oakland  4/6-8     
    Pitt  4/13-15     
    SF  4/13-15
    Balt  4/10-12    
    Det 4/6-8    
    Angels 4/10-12   
    Wash 4/6-8   
    St L  4/13-15
    LAD  4/6-8

    Detroit started already but, since they are playing the Twins, you might be able to bet them again in this series. That is up to you. The other series chases that start today are:

    KC
    Wash
    Oak
    LAD

    Good Luck if you choose to follow!!
     
    MortgageMan
    MortgageMan
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2006
    Posts: 333
    Posted: Apr. 6, 2015 - 2:53 PM ET #2

    I was rushing to get this posted because I was running late and I made a mistake. Last year Boston was 0-3 in their home opening series. When I put this together, I figured if any team went 0 fer on their first series, I would just chase it into the next series. Last year, all of the playoff teams won at least 1 game in their second series also. Here are the results in the second home series of the ten playoff teams:

    pit     2-1
    cincy    1-2
    tb      2-1
    clev       2-1
    st l      2-1
    lad      1-1  &  2-1  (second home series was a 2 game series)
    atl      3-0
    bost     2-1
    det     2-1
    oak     2-1

    Sorry for the mistake but, I do feel like I can pick up a couple of units in the first couple of weeks using this chase. 
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    I was rushing to get this posted because I was running late and I made a mistake. Last year Boston was 0-3 in their home opening series. When I put this together, I figured if any team went 0 fer on their first series, I would just chase it into the next series. Last year, all of the playoff teams won at least 1 game in their second series also. Here are the results in the second home series of the ten playoff teams:

    pit     2-1
    cincy    1-2
    tb      2-1
    clev       2-1
    st l      2-1
    lad      1-1  &  2-1  (second home series was a 2 game series)
    atl      3-0
    bost     2-1
    det     2-1
    oak     2-1

    Sorry for the mistake but, I do feel like I can pick up a couple of units in the first couple of weeks using this chase. 
     
    Luckydan
    Luckydan
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    Posts: 848
    Posted: Apr. 6, 2015 - 3:58 PM ET #3

    Like the thought process. Always good to try something new.

    GL
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    Like the thought process. Always good to try something new.

    GL
     
    MortgageMan
    MortgageMan
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    Joined: Nov, 2006
    Posts: 333
    Posted: Apr. 6, 2015 - 5:39 PM ET #4

    Even though I didn't get this up in time for the Detroit game, Detroit wins the A game. 

    A - 1
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    Even though I didn't get this up in time for the Detroit game, Detroit wins the A game. 

    A - 1
     
    Bart_
    Bart_
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    Posts: 3549
    Posted: Apr. 7, 2015 - 3:26 PM ET #5

    2011 TB got swept, then they had a 2 game series which they lost as well.
    2008 COL got swept, but won on the 2nd series.
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    2011 TB got swept, then they had a 2 game series which they lost as well.
    2008 COL got swept, but won on the 2nd series.
     
    MortgageMan
    MortgageMan
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    Posts: 333
    Posted: Apr. 7, 2015 - 6:08 PM ET #6

    4/6 results:

    4-0

    Detroit A
    KC A
    Wash pending B on 4/8
    Oak A
    LAD A
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    4/6 results:

    4-0

    Detroit A
    KC A
    Wash pending B on 4/8
    Oak A
    LAD A
     
    MortgageMan
    MortgageMan
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    Posts: 333
    Posted: Apr. 7, 2015 - 6:11 PM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by Bart_:

    2011 TB got swept, then they had a 2 game series which they lost as well.
    2008 COL got swept, but won on the 2nd series.

    Bart...thanks for backtesting a few more years. It looks like I should be able to pick up a few units doing this. Even if I get a loss, I don't see me losing badly doing this. Plus, it gives me a chance to pick up a couple of units in the first couple of weeks. I will be following your chases once they start. Good Luck this year!!
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    Quote Originally Posted by Bart_:

    2011 TB got swept, then they had a 2 game series which they lost as well.
    2008 COL got swept, but won on the 2nd series.

    Bart...thanks for backtesting a few more years. It looks like I should be able to pick up a few units doing this. Even if I get a loss, I don't see me losing badly doing this. Plus, it gives me a chance to pick up a couple of units in the first couple of weeks. I will be following your chases once they start. Good Luck this year!!
     
    Bart_
    Bart_
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    Joined: Mar, 2008
    Posts: 3549
    Posted: Apr. 7, 2015 - 10:13 PM ET #8

    Quote Originally Posted by MortgageMan:


    Bart...thanks for backtesting a few more years. It looks like I should be able to pick up a few units doing this. Even if I get a loss, I don't see me losing badly doing this. Plus, it gives me a chance to pick up a couple of units in the first couple of weeks. I will be following your chases once they start. Good Luck this year!!

    agreed. pickup a couple units here and there to build your bankroll. 
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    Quote Originally Posted by MortgageMan:


    Bart...thanks for backtesting a few more years. It looks like I should be able to pick up a few units doing this. Even if I get a loss, I don't see me losing badly doing this. Plus, it gives me a chance to pick up a couple of units in the first couple of weeks. I will be following your chases once they start. Good Luck this year!!

    agreed. pickup a couple units here and there to build your bankroll. 
     
    MortgageMan
    MortgageMan
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    Joined: Nov, 2006
    Posts: 333
    Posted: Apr. 8, 2015 - 8:42 AM ET #9

    Today's play is Washington on the B game.

    Good luck!
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    Today's play is Washington on the B game.

    Good luck!
     
    MortgageMan
    MortgageMan
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    Posts: 333
    Posted: Apr. 9, 2015 - 9:06 AM ET #10

    Washington wins the B game!

    YTD Results
    5-0

    A - 4
    B - 1

    Two series start Friday:

    Balt
    LA Angels

    Good luck!!
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    Washington wins the B game!

    YTD Results
    5-0

    A - 4
    B - 1

    Two series start Friday:

    Balt
    LA Angels

    Good luck!!
     
    MortgageMan
    MortgageMan
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2006
    Posts: 333
    Posted: Apr. 10, 2015 - 9:04 AM ET #11

    Ok, today starts two 3 game chases with Baltimore & LA Angels

    5 chases are complete with 4 A & 1 B game wins.

    Good luck with your plays!
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    Ok, today starts two 3 game chases with Baltimore & LA Angels

    5 chases are complete with 4 A & 1 B game wins.

    Good luck with your plays!
     
    MortgageMan
    MortgageMan
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    Joined: Nov, 2006
    Posts: 333
    Posted: Apr. 11, 2015 - 8:47 AM ET #12

    Both games lost yesterday. Today we play Baltimore & LA Angels on the B game. Good luck with your plays!
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    Both games lost yesterday. Today we play Baltimore & LA Angels on the B game. Good luck with your plays!
     
    MortgageMan
    MortgageMan
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    Posts: 333
    Posted: Apr. 12, 2015 - 12:03 PM ET #13

    Balt won on the B game.

    YTD results:

    6 - 0

    A - 4
    B - 2

    Today's play is the Angels on a C game. Good Luck!!!
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    Balt won on the B game.

    YTD results:

    6 - 0

    A - 4
    B - 2

    Today's play is the Angels on a C game. Good Luck!!!
     
    MortgageMan
    MortgageMan
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2006
    Posts: 333
    Posted: Apr. 13, 2015 - 8:41 AM ET #14

    Angels lose!! Lost 11 units on the chase. 

    That nets me YTD -5 units

    3 chases to go in my little beginning of the season system. I will try to win 2 units per chase in these last 3 to come out on top. 

    Today's plays:

    Pitt
    SF
    St L

    Good Luck!!

    I will try to get back some of those units also by chasing the Angels for 2 units against Texas.
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    Angels lose!! Lost 11 units on the chase. 

    That nets me YTD -5 units

    3 chases to go in my little beginning of the season system. I will try to win 2 units per chase in these last 3 to come out on top. 

    Today's plays:

    Pitt
    SF
    St L

    Good Luck!!

    I will try to get back some of those units also by chasing the Angels for 2 units against Texas.
     
     
    AppleMunch25
    AppleMunch25
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    Posted: Apr. 16, 2015 - 1:15 AM ET #15

    2 L's on this, probably a system to not try and do...
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    2 L's on this, probably a system to not try and do...
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