Baseball Total System Got me kicked from book!
For moneyline players here is the system play for today.
FLORIDA MARLINS (Volstad)
Don, what is your angle on this one? Cook has been pitching better each time out and Volstad seems to be heading the opposite direction....
For moneyline players here is the system play for today.
FLORIDA MARLINS (Volstad)
Don, what is your angle on this one? Cook has been pitching better each time out and Volstad seems to be heading the opposite direction....
My angle is using a power rating system based on strength of pitchers. I have an index just like Sagarian and if my line is off I fade the team that should be winning.
For example yesterday there was no doubt that Cook was the dominant one but after looking at a line of -120 I went with the Marlins because there was a strong chance for a home loss with a lower line.
My point system was like this yesterday.
Marlins 23.69
Rockies 26.13
Therefore the Rockies should win but according to my system it usually filters out the upsets and due pitchers based on the moneyline value. Very difficult to get into it but I will do my best over the days to explain.
My angle is using a power rating system based on strength of pitchers. I have an index just like Sagarian and if my line is off I fade the team that should be winning.
For example yesterday there was no doubt that Cook was the dominant one but after looking at a line of -120 I went with the Marlins because there was a strong chance for a home loss with a lower line.
My point system was like this yesterday.
Marlins 23.69
Rockies 26.13
Therefore the Rockies should win but according to my system it usually filters out the upsets and due pitchers based on the moneyline value. Very difficult to get into it but I will do my best over the days to explain.
Cleveland 21.12
Chicago White Sox 22.45
White Sox are favored based on my rating system moneyline however Indians are the favorite based on odds. Therefore I chose the Indians on Monday.
INDIANS MONEYLINE
Cleveland 21.12
Chicago White Sox 22.45
White Sox are favored based on my rating system moneyline however Indians are the favorite based on odds. Therefore I chose the Indians on Monday.
INDIANS MONEYLINE
my rating system falls for this matchup
Take Tampa Bay Devil Rays.
I am fading on the fact that Baltimore is the strongest team in the matchup based on pitching however Tampa is favored today.
my rating system falls for this matchup
Take Tampa Bay Devil Rays.
I am fading on the fact that Baltimore is the strongest team in the matchup based on pitching however Tampa is favored today.
Another win on the moneyline for Monday, now for Tuesday
my rating system falls for this matchup
Take Tampa Bay Devil Rays.
I am fading on the fact that Baltimore is the strongest team in the matchup based on pitching however Tampa is favored today.
Hendrickson is on hill for BALT right? and your system says he is better? wow!
Another win on the moneyline for Monday, now for Tuesday
my rating system falls for this matchup
Take Tampa Bay Devil Rays.
I am fading on the fact that Baltimore is the strongest team in the matchup based on pitching however Tampa is favored today.
Hendrickson is on hill for BALT right? and your system says he is better? wow!
manifesto keep up the great work on tracking. This is working great!
manifesto keep up the great work on tracking. This is working great!
More important stat on the 15-0 is that it has not yet had to go to a game 3 (11 G1, 4 G2) so there is minimal pucker factor...![]()
More important stat on the 15-0 is that it has not yet had to go to a game 3 (11 G1, 4 G2) so there is minimal pucker factor...![]()
More important stat on the 15-0 is that it has not yet had to go to a game 3 (11 G1, 4 G2) so there is minimal pucker factor...![]()
good notation, thorough description of success value, a added tool
in handicapping total play..good contribution![]()
More important stat on the 15-0 is that it has not yet had to go to a game 3 (11 G1, 4 G2) so there is minimal pucker factor...![]()
good notation, thorough description of success value, a added tool
in handicapping total play..good contribution![]()
Raleigh, have not encountered the push situation yet. If a push in game 1, I would scratch the series unless it was a 4 game series. A push in game 2 is more problematic. You have a loss to cover and potentially on one game to cover it. Probably have to look at the pitching matchup closely for the game, but if the game 2 push was at 9 or below, I would probably play game 3.
Raleigh, have not encountered the push situation yet. If a push in game 1, I would scratch the series unless it was a 4 game series. A push in game 2 is more problematic. You have a loss to cover and potentially on one game to cover it. Probably have to look at the pitching matchup closely for the game, but if the game 2 push was at 9 or below, I would probably play game 3.
It might be worth a look to include 5 best NL teams. However, would probably on do it when playing at AL park with DH rule in effect. AL pitchers having to bat spells big trouble...
It might be worth a look to include 5 best NL teams. However, would probably on do it when playing at AL park with DH rule in effect. AL pitchers having to bat spells big trouble...
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