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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Anybody keep detailed stats?Got a question for ya

    TaxEvasion
    heyreb
    allornothin
    Underdog11
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    Views: 381
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    TaxEvasion
    TaxEvasion
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    Posts: 2068
    Posted: May. 13, 2009 - 3:38 PM ET #1

    Does anybody know how many games last season ended by exactly 1 run with the total being set at 9 runs or over? Also would like to know how this trend fared with American league VS. National league. It does not matter home or away or fav vs dog. Just need to know how many games ended by exactly 1 run and how many didn't with the over/under set at more than 8.5.

    Thanks
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Does anybody know how many games last season ended by exactly 1 run with the total being set at 9 runs or over? Also would like to know how this trend fared with American league VS. National league. It does not matter home or away or fav vs dog. Just need to know how many games ended by exactly 1 run and how many didn't with the over/under set at more than 8.5.

    Thanks
     
    heyreb
    heyreb
    Prospect
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    Posts: 41
    Posted: May. 14, 2009 - 2:01 PM ET #2

    Number of times a game ended by one run with a total of 9 or greater:
     
    AL - 197
     
    NL - 185
    Reply
    Number of times a game ended by one run with a total of 9 or greater:
     
    AL - 197
     
    NL - 185
     
    TaxEvasion
    TaxEvasion
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    Posts: 2068
    Posted: May. 14, 2009 - 4:34 PM ET #3

    Quote Originally Posted by heyreb:

    Number of times a game ended by one run with a total of 9 or greater:
     
    AL - 197
     
    NL - 185


    Thankyou sir, very helpful.

    How many total games was that out of for each league?

    Again thanks for the response.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by heyreb:

    Number of times a game ended by one run with a total of 9 or greater:
     
    AL - 197
     
    NL - 185


    Thankyou sir, very helpful.

    How many total games was that out of for each league?

    Again thanks for the response.
     
    allornothin
    allornothin
    Covers Rehab
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    Posts: 1367
    Posted: May. 14, 2009 - 5:51 PM ET #4

    What are you getting at Tax? I'm interested
    Reply
    What are you getting at Tax? I'm interested
     
    TaxEvasion
    TaxEvasion
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    Posts: 2068
    Posted: May. 14, 2009 - 6:50 PM ET #5

    Quote Originally Posted by allornothin:

    What are you getting at Tax? I'm interested


    Working on a system where I basically bet that the game wont be determined by 1 run. I have figured roughly 1 out of 12 games or so ends in exactly 1 run.Of course some days more than others. I  average about -220/-240 a bet on average juice. So basically I put 2 units to win either .7 units up to 1.1 units. So even though I put up more risk for less reward my chances of losing are around 10% or less. I have hit 13 in a row so far without any losses. I win on average about 0.86 units every play. So far I have profited 10+ units. I have only been doing this for this week so I need a bigger sample but so far so good. Ill shoot you a friend request and keep you updated on the progress.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by allornothin:

    What are you getting at Tax? I'm interested


    Working on a system where I basically bet that the game wont be determined by 1 run. I have figured roughly 1 out of 12 games or so ends in exactly 1 run.Of course some days more than others. I  average about -220/-240 a bet on average juice. So basically I put 2 units to win either .7 units up to 1.1 units. So even though I put up more risk for less reward my chances of losing are around 10% or less. I have hit 13 in a row so far without any losses. I win on average about 0.86 units every play. So far I have profited 10+ units. I have only been doing this for this week so I need a bigger sample but so far so good. Ill shoot you a friend request and keep you updated on the progress.
     
    Underdog11
    Underdog11
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    Posts: 1218
    Posted: May. 18, 2009 - 11:24 PM ET #6

    1/12 (8.3%) thats not correct.
    It is usually between 17-18% of games each season.
    Reply
    1/12 (8.3%) thats not correct.
    It is usually between 17-18% of games each season.
     
     
    TaxEvasion
    TaxEvasion
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    Posts: 2068
    Posted: May. 19, 2009 - 2:42 PM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by Underdog11:

    1/12 (8.3%) thats not correct.
    It is usually between 17-18% of games each season.


    Does that number include the games that were set with a total over 9? The odds have to be right so by no means I play every game. I play 1 at the most 2 a day. I am probably dodging some bullets but it is 16-0 now and Im pretty stoked on the results. I am only playing games that have a total of 9 or over and odds I can get +170 or more on each side. This really narrows down my selection and maybe keeps me from hitting those 1 run games that im trying to avoid. That is all the criteria I have right now and definatley could refine it some more which I am trying to do. I could see how if you play everygame on the board how it would not make sense though.

    Thanks for the input guys
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Underdog11:

    1/12 (8.3%) thats not correct.
    It is usually between 17-18% of games each season.


    Does that number include the games that were set with a total over 9? The odds have to be right so by no means I play every game. I play 1 at the most 2 a day. I am probably dodging some bullets but it is 16-0 now and Im pretty stoked on the results. I am only playing games that have a total of 9 or over and odds I can get +170 or more on each side. This really narrows down my selection and maybe keeps me from hitting those 1 run games that im trying to avoid. That is all the criteria I have right now and definatley could refine it some more which I am trying to do. I could see how if you play everygame on the board how it would not make sense though.

    Thanks for the input guys
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