Any thoughts on this chase idea..

Parlay the 2 biggest baseball faves..Right now my guy has Boston -225 and Philly -170 ..Parlay the 2 for $10 to win $12.94.

If it loses, move onto tomorrows to biggest faves for $20 etc.

Bad idea?

I'm going to try to keep track here in this thread. I will NOT be putting money on this. Just going to keep track.

 

That A bet woud have been a winner. +$12.94

 

Todays A bet:

Boston -190 & San Fran -175  $10 parlay pays $13.98

Ive actually thot of something like this. But I didnt see it panning out in my mind. 

Thanks for the thoughts. I started kinda paying attention a few weeks ago and from what I could tell, a game 4 or D is as far as it got.

A couple of reasons I like it is, it's easy to follow and it's always a + money bet. But I did a few serious searches and couldn't find any info on anyone else doing it, which made me think it is probably a loser.

I also thought maybe the lines would get tighter later in the season and over-hyped teams would fall back and stop being big favorites.

 

Boston -190 & San Fran -175  $10 parlay pays $13.98..Was a winner.

It's now 2-0  +$26.92

For Sunday I show St. Louis -190 & Phillies -180..$10 pays $13.74

(Detroit was also -180, but Phil. was at home...so...I guess that might be a rule. lol)

How big should the daily favs be for you to pick them ? 

I haven't given it much thought as far as rules go, so for tracking purposes I'm just going to go with the 2 biggest faves on any given day. Doesn't matter if it's -130 or -230.

 

St. Louis -190 & Phillies -180..$10 pays $13.74 was a winner.

3-0  +$40.66

Looks like Thursday will be our next chance to test this.

For the month of June, this would have produced a record of either 18-12 or 17-13, depending on how you played the games of June 1, when two teams were tied for the second-highest favorite. As I went back to calculate this, I noticed that you have to have some luck on your side. In a group of the four biggest favorites that are closely bunched (say, for example, -175, -173, -173 and -171), your top two picks could change quite frequently throughout the day. They might be Team A and B at 1 o'clock in the afternoon, then A and D an hour later, B and C an hour after that, etc. But at no time in June was there more than two losing days in a row, so this might show some promise.

FURTHER UPDATE . . . The month of May would have been very difficult — 9-22 with two four-game losing streaks (May 1-4 and 17-20) AND two different six-day stretches in which you would have gone 1-5.

4 game losing streak isnt bad....manage your money so you can lose 8, 9, 10 in a row....even if you are only betting small....u will profit every month !!!!

"FURTHER UPDATE . . . The month of May would have been very difficult — 9-22 with two four-game losing streaks (May 1-4 and 17-20) AND two different six-day stretches in which you would have gone 1-5."

 

Hmmm, this is bad news. 2 six day losing streaks is pretty much a bank roll killer.

If you started at $10 you could afford to chase it to a game 7 or so, but if you started at $50 you'd probably go broke.

I'm still going to track it for the rest of the season.

The fact that it's a +money bet means you wouldn't have to double your bet until game 3 and you'd still show a small profit..But only a couple of bucks. (Starting at $10)

$10-$10-$20-$40-$80-$160

10 20 40 80 160 300 600 1200.   u need 2400 for 8 games.  That would be a week straight of big favorites losing every day....not gonna happen, but u wont make alot of money.

30 60 120 240 480 900 1700...need 3800 dollars to start....got a week....but you will make 500-600 a month

-"AND two different six-day stretches in which you would have gone 1-5."

What does this mean exactly? It lost 5 days in a row and won on the 6th day? Or something like it lost 3 days in a row, won once and then lost 2.. for a total of six days?

 

BTW, Thanks for bringing some good info to the thread.

Today I show the Yankees +150 and Minn. +158..$10 parlay pays $17.22

Yesterday lost.

Game 2 today..Detroit -200 & Atlanta -185.. $20 parlay pays $26..22

Another loser.

 Atlanta and Detroit again

Game 3, Atlanta -187..Detroit -150 $40 parlay pays $62.32

Game 3 lost..So far not so good.

Game 4...I show Atlanta -200 & Boston -145

$80 parlay pays $122.76

 For 2 huge favorites in a parlay that pay barely over even money, a 4-game losing streak is AWFUL!

Game 4 was a winner.

Daily bets are 4-3..The system is 4-0 +$93.42 (If I'm doing this right.)

 

Todays Game 1.. Phillies -220 & NYY -140...$10 parlay Pays $14.94

 

Yesterdays Game 1 was a loser.

Todays Game 2...Philly -156 & Wash.-152..$20 parlay pays $34.41

 

Game 2 was a loser.

7/20/11...Game 3...Toronto -160 & Fla.-150...$40 parlay pays $68.33