Alt Line NFL system - All picks inside
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YTD - (1-0) +$448
Nice start to the system but geez, the bears offense is brutal. Anyways, handicapping actually has nothing to do with this system, its all about the line.
The system is basically this : Bet the Alternate Line (the -3.5) on any +3 dog. Not sure how many places have the -3.5 ALT/LINE but my local has it and I also saw it at Pinnacle at +237 (higher than the +224 I got) before game time. This system has only been back-tested for 2 years and the first few weeks of this season but here i what Im seeing. These +3 dogs have been covering the spread by 7 points or more between 36-40% of the time. If all the lines we catch are just +200 in this spot we only need to go 33% to break-even so I feel with over +200 on most games and the games hitting at 36%+ for the past few years Im gonna give it a shot. I feel as if this is good value for my money. Im also gonna research the sytem back as far as I can (hence my other thread on this foum). If its a dud beyond the last 3 years Ill quit it immediately but I think it has some merit, especially if you wanna incorporate a semi-progressive (fancy way of saying chase) money management system.
Be back later in the week with more thoughts, GL
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YTD - (1-0) +$448
Nice start to the system but geez, the bears offense is brutal. Anyways, handicapping actually has nothing to do with this system, its all about the line.
The system is basically this : Bet the Alternate Line (the -3.5) on any +3 dog. Not sure how many places have the -3.5 ALT/LINE but my local has it and I also saw it at Pinnacle at +237 (higher than the +224 I got) before game time. This system has only been back-tested for 2 years and the first few weeks of this season but here i what Im seeing. These +3 dogs have been covering the spread by 7 points or more between 36-40% of the time. If all the lines we catch are just +200 in this spot we only need to go 33% to break-even so I feel with over +200 on most games and the games hitting at 36%+ for the past few years Im gonna give it a shot. I feel as if this is good value for my money. Im also gonna research the sytem back as far as I can (hence my other thread on this foum). If its a dud beyond the last 3 years Ill quit it immediately but I think it has some merit, especially if you wanna incorporate a semi-progressive (fancy way of saying chase) money management system.
Be back later in the week with more thoughts, GL
NO. I was doing it for MLB only on road teams giving the -1.5 on the road. Its amazing how often when the road team wins in MLB its by 2 or more. Im not sure if places have these lines for all the college games, something to look into. Ill drop u an email today tom, thanks
NO. I was doing it for MLB only on road teams giving the -1.5 on the road. Its amazing how often when the road team wins in MLB its by 2 or more. Im not sure if places have these lines for all the college games, something to look into. Ill drop u an email today tom, thanks
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YTD - (1-1) +$248
Never had any shot tonite with 4 first half trnovers bu oh well. Ive missed a lot of games the last few weeks but Ive just been super busy wit poker and some other sports shit so I havent been able to keep up with this shit. I hope to in he future.
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YTD - (1-1) +$248
Never had any shot tonite with 4 first half trnovers bu oh well. Ive missed a lot of games the last few weeks but Ive just been super busy wit poker and some other sports shit so I havent been able to keep up with this shit. I hope to in he future.
Your contributions to this forum are invaluable. We all thank you. You are intelligent, mature, and all of us wish we could be you. GL
Your contributions to this forum are invaluable. We all thank you. You are intelligent, mature, and all of us wish we could be you. GL
He's just a city boy, born and raised in south Detroit, he took the midnight train going anywhere.
A singer in a smokey room, smells of wine and cheap perfume.
For a smile they can share the night, and it goes on and on and on and on.
He's just a city boy, born and raised in south Detroit, he took the midnight train going anywhere.
A singer in a smokey room, smells of wine and cheap perfume.
For a smile they can share the night, and it goes on and on and on and on.
He's just a city boy, born and raised in south Detroit, he took the midnight train going anywhere.
A singer in a smokey room, smells of wine and cheap perfume.
For a smile they can share the night, and it goes on and on and on and on.
Looks like that will be your last post in one of my threads since I dont post in the penalty box. good luck bud
He's just a city boy, born and raised in south Detroit, he took the midnight train going anywhere.
A singer in a smokey room, smells of wine and cheap perfume.
For a smile they can share the night, and it goes on and on and on and on.
Looks like that will be your last post in one of my threads since I dont post in the penalty box. good luck bud
So you come into a thread of mine that Im up $ in and tell me "all i do is lose money". Wow, youre brilliant
So you come into a thread of mine that Im up $ in and tell me "all i do is lose money". Wow, youre brilliant
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