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Above .500 teams 2 game chase

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Posted: #1
Lets see if any team at least 2 games above .500 coming off of at least 2 losses, can cover or win their next 2 games.


https://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/teams/page/VALPO/valparaiso-crusadersValparaiso (a) -6.5

https://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/teams/page/USF/san-francisco-donsSan Francisco (a) -5.5

https://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/teams/page/CHARLO/charlotte-49ersCharlotte (a) +11.5


https://www.cbssports.com/nhl/teams/page/MIN (a) -125

https://www.cbssports.com/nhl/teams/page/FLA (a) -125

https://www.cbssports.com/nhl/teams/page/DET (a) -170
 
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Posted: #2
Should clarify, at least 1 of their next 2 games.
 
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Posted: #3
interesting concept 

any backtests ?? 


 
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Posted: #4
I have not, if anyone would like to, that would be great. If not lets give it a trial run.
 
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Posted: #5
I just realized that none of the NHL I listed qualify, was looking at their last 5 games in reverse order. So only the CBB games should be considered.
 
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Posted: #6
Correct NHL plays.

PHOENIX +105

BUFFALO -130

TORONTO +115

ST. LOUIS +130

DALLAS +170


 
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Posted: #7
[Quote: Originally Posted by mindtides] Lets see if any team at least 2 games above .500 coming off of at least 2 losses, can cover or win their next 2 games.


https://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/teams/page/VALPO/valparaiso-crusadersValparaiso (a) -6.5   

https://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/teams/page/USF/san-francisco-donsSan Francisco (a) -5.5 

https://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/teams/page/CHARLO/charlotte-49ersCharlotte (a) +11.5 


https://www.cbssports.com/nhl/teams/page/MIN (a) -125  no play

https://www.cbssports.com/nhl/teams/page/FLA (a) -125  no play

https://www.cbssports.com/nhl/teams/page/DET (a) -170  no play



PHOENIX +105  

BUFFALO -130 

TORONTO +115 

ST. LOUIS +130 

DALLAS +170 
 
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Posted: #8
CBB

PITTSBURGH -6 (a)

NORTHWESTERN -8½ (a)

NORTHERN IOWA -14 (a)
 
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Posted: #9
you might have something here. should have kept it going
 
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Posted: #10
ok, going to continue this with a few filters..... must be coming off of at least one loss straight up, playing a sub .500 team and must be playing at home.... and will limit it to 2 game chase.

1/15 plays


CBB[852] MISSOURI ST-10-110  
 
CBB[854] DENVER U-16½-110

 
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Posted: #11
I think this angle might work without the chase as well, we will see.
 
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Posted: #12
mizz.st -10

denver u -16.5

Den was up by 28 middle of 2nd and I guess pulled there whole first team????

Anyways decided I will close this thread and start a new one based on the same principles, but with new filters and no chasing...
 
 
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Posted: #13

Quote Originally Posted by mindtides:

Lets see if any team at least 2 games above .500 coming off of at least 2 losses, can cover or win their next 2 games.
 

That's back-testable at https://killersports.com/nba.py/query?sid=guest&text=+&=1&submit=query 

With a query of: Sum(W@team and season) - Sum(L@team and season) >= 2 and p:margin<0 and pp:margin<0

The SU is 1306-909 and ATS 1094-1083-38, this is how a team does when it is at least 2 games above .500 at the present game and has just lost two previous games in a row.

If that team lost the third game, how often did it win the fourth: SU 430-323 and ATS 367-369-17.  And, if the team won the third, how often did it win the fourth: SU 853-597 and ATS 727-701-22. 

I couldn't find a way to insure that the team was at least 2 games above .500 after the third game.

Regardless .. nothing here, and this data base goes back at least to 1995.

 

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