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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    Above .500 teams 2 game chase

    mindtides
    buntyketti
    senbet
    simondjester
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    Posts: 13
     
    mindtides
    mindtides
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    Posted: Dec. 31, 2011 - 10:22 AM ET #1

    Lets see if any team at least 2 games above .500 coming off of at least 2 losses, can cover or win their next 2 games.


    https://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/teams/page/VALPO/valparaiso-crusadersValparaiso (a) -6.5

    https://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/teams/page/USF/san-francisco-donsSan Francisco (a) -5.5

    https://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/teams/page/CHARLO/charlotte-49ersCharlotte (a) +11.5


    https://www.cbssports.com/nhl/teams/page/MIN (a) -125

    https://www.cbssports.com/nhl/teams/page/FLA (a) -125

    https://www.cbssports.com/nhl/teams/page/DET (a) -170

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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Lets see if any team at least 2 games above .500 coming off of at least 2 losses, can cover or win their next 2 games.


    https://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/teams/page/VALPO/valparaiso-crusadersValparaiso (a) -6.5

    https://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/teams/page/USF/san-francisco-donsSan Francisco (a) -5.5

    https://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/teams/page/CHARLO/charlotte-49ersCharlotte (a) +11.5


    https://www.cbssports.com/nhl/teams/page/MIN (a) -125

    https://www.cbssports.com/nhl/teams/page/FLA (a) -125

    https://www.cbssports.com/nhl/teams/page/DET (a) -170

     
    mindtides
    mindtides
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    Posted: Dec. 31, 2011 - 11:37 AM ET #2

    Should clarify, at least 1 of their next 2 games.
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    Should clarify, at least 1 of their next 2 games.
     
    buntyketti
    buntyketti
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    Posted: Dec. 31, 2011 - 12:03 PM ET #3

    interesting concept 

    any backtests ?? 


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    interesting concept 

    any backtests ?? 


     
    mindtides
    mindtides
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    Posted: Dec. 31, 2011 - 1:16 PM ET #4

    I have not, if anyone would like to, that would be great. If not lets give it a trial run.
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    I have not, if anyone would like to, that would be great. If not lets give it a trial run.
     
    mindtides
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    Posted: Dec. 31, 2011 - 1:36 PM ET #5

    I just realized that none of the NHL I listed qualify, was looking at their last 5 games in reverse order. So only the CBB games should be considered.
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    I just realized that none of the NHL I listed qualify, was looking at their last 5 games in reverse order. So only the CBB games should be considered.
     
    mindtides
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    Posted: Dec. 31, 2011 - 1:41 PM ET #6

    Correct NHL plays.

    PHOENIX +105

    BUFFALO -130

    TORONTO +115

    ST. LOUIS +130

    DALLAS +170


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    Correct NHL plays.

    PHOENIX +105

    BUFFALO -130

    TORONTO +115

    ST. LOUIS +130

    DALLAS +170


     
    mindtides
    mindtides
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2012 - 8:08 AM ET #7

    [Quote: Originally Posted by mindtides] Lets see if any team at least 2 games above .500 coming off of at least 2 losses, can cover or win their next 2 games.


    https://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/teams/page/VALPO/valparaiso-crusadersValparaiso (a) -6.5   

    https://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/teams/page/USF/san-francisco-donsSan Francisco (a) -5.5 

    https://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/teams/page/CHARLO/charlotte-49ersCharlotte (a) +11.5 


    https://www.cbssports.com/nhl/teams/page/MIN (a) -125  no play

    https://www.cbssports.com/nhl/teams/page/FLA (a) -125  no play

    https://www.cbssports.com/nhl/teams/page/DET (a) -170  no play



    PHOENIX +105  

    BUFFALO -130 

    TORONTO +115 

    ST. LOUIS +130 

    DALLAS +170 
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    [Quote: Originally Posted by mindtides] Lets see if any team at least 2 games above .500 coming off of at least 2 losses, can cover or win their next 2 games.


    https://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/teams/page/VALPO/valparaiso-crusadersValparaiso (a) -6.5   

    https://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/teams/page/USF/san-francisco-donsSan Francisco (a) -5.5 

    https://www.cbssports.com/collegebasketball/teams/page/CHARLO/charlotte-49ersCharlotte (a) +11.5 


    https://www.cbssports.com/nhl/teams/page/MIN (a) -125  no play

    https://www.cbssports.com/nhl/teams/page/FLA (a) -125  no play

    https://www.cbssports.com/nhl/teams/page/DET (a) -170  no play



    PHOENIX +105  

    BUFFALO -130 

    TORONTO +115 

    ST. LOUIS +130 

    DALLAS +170 
     
    mindtides
    mindtides
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    Posted: Jan. 1, 2012 - 8:24 AM ET #8

    CBB

    PITTSBURGH -6 (a)

    NORTHWESTERN -8½ (a)

    NORTHERN IOWA -14 (a)




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    CBB

    PITTSBURGH -6 (a)

    NORTHWESTERN -8½ (a)

    NORTHERN IOWA -14 (a)




     
    senbet
    senbet
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    Posted: Jan. 14, 2012 - 10:57 AM ET #9

    you might have something here. should have kept it going
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    you might have something here. should have kept it going
     
    mindtides
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2012 - 10:42 AM ET #10

    ok, going to continue this with a few filters..... must be coming off of at least one loss straight up, playing a sub .500 team and must be playing at home.... and will limit it to 2 game chase.

    1/15 plays


    CBB[852] MISSOURI ST-10-110  
     
    CBB[854] DENVER U-16½-110

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    ok, going to continue this with a few filters..... must be coming off of at least one loss straight up, playing a sub .500 team and must be playing at home.... and will limit it to 2 game chase.

    1/15 plays


    CBB[852] MISSOURI ST-10-110  
     
    CBB[854] DENVER U-16½-110

     
    mindtides
    mindtides
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2012 - 10:44 AM ET #11

    I think this angle might work without the chase as well, we will see.
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    I think this angle might work without the chase as well, we will see.
     
    mindtides
    mindtides
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    Posted: Jan. 15, 2012 - 5:09 PM ET #12

    mizz.st -10

    denver u -16.5

    Den was up by 28 middle of 2nd and I guess pulled there whole first team????

    Anyways decided I will close this thread and start a new one based on the same principles, but with new filters and no chasing...
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    mizz.st -10

    denver u -16.5

    Den was up by 28 middle of 2nd and I guess pulled there whole first team????

    Anyways decided I will close this thread and start a new one based on the same principles, but with new filters and no chasing...
     
     
    simondjester
    simondjester
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    Posted: Feb. 20, 2012 - 9:44 PM ET #13

    Quote Originally Posted by mindtides:

    Lets see if any team at least 2 games above .500 coming off of at least 2 losses, can cover or win their next 2 games.
     

    That's back-testable at https://killersports.com/nba.py/query?sid=guest&text=+&=1&submit=query 

    With a query of: Sum(W@team and season) - Sum(L@team and season) >= 2 and p:margin<0 and pp:margin<0

    The SU is 1306-909 and ATS 1094-1083-38, this is how a team does when it is at least 2 games above .500 at the present game and has just lost two previous games in a row.

    If that team lost the third game, how often did it win the fourth: SU 430-323 and ATS 367-369-17.  And, if the team won the third, how often did it win the fourth: SU 853-597 and ATS 727-701-22. 

    I couldn't find a way to insure that the team was at least 2 games above .500 after the third game.

    Regardless .. nothing here, and this data base goes back at least to 1995.

     

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    Quote Originally Posted by mindtides:

    Lets see if any team at least 2 games above .500 coming off of at least 2 losses, can cover or win their next 2 games.
     

    That's back-testable at https://killersports.com/nba.py/query?sid=guest&text=+&=1&submit=query 

    With a query of: Sum(W@team and season) - Sum(L@team and season) >= 2 and p:margin<0 and pp:margin<0

    The SU is 1306-909 and ATS 1094-1083-38, this is how a team does when it is at least 2 games above .500 at the present game and has just lost two previous games in a row.

    If that team lost the third game, how often did it win the fourth: SU 430-323 and ATS 367-369-17.  And, if the team won the third, how often did it win the fourth: SU 853-597 and ATS 727-701-22. 

    I couldn't find a way to insure that the team was at least 2 games above .500 after the third game.

    Regardless .. nothing here, and this data base goes back at least to 1995.

     

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