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    All Forums | Systems & Strategies

    A twist to 'therizz' NHL home chase system

    Dussey
    Burly
    therizz
    JaHovaWitness
    realtime28
    ...
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    Dussey
    Dussey
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    Posted: Feb. 15, 2012 - 11:17 AM ET #1

    therizz has shared with us a NHL home chase system:

    --Wait for a NHL team to have a home stand of 3 games or more.

    --If the odds for Game 1 of the home stand closes at  -145 or higher it triggers a 3 game chase

    --Due to high odds in some series, recommend using 3 line aggressive labouchere lines (as I do in my other systems)

    --Playing puck line for games -180 or higher will add 2 or 3 losses per season but with much lower odds....

    I'm going to add a twist to it:

    If 'therizz' system bet A wins, then it triggers a 2-game chase fading the home team until the road team wins (up to two games).

    I back tested 'therizz' system for the 2011-2012 season and of the 26 Game A winners, the home team lost Game B 13 times. The home team won Games A & B 13 times, losing Game C 6 times and winning all three games 7 times. Since the home team is usually a favorite in Games B & C, we should be able to get extra profit chasing the road team. 

    I will be betting 1 unit ($100.00) on the first game of this 2-game chase. I will also track the system here.

    If you have followed 'therizz' system and then followed this system from the beginning of the NHL season, you would be up 40 units from 'therizz' and an additional 30 units from this system.

    There are two plays tonight:

    Anaheim +165 @ Pittsburgh (Won games A & B)

    Colorado +175 @ Vancouver (Won game A)

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    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    therizz has shared with us a NHL home chase system:

    --Wait for a NHL team to have a home stand of 3 games or more.

    --If the odds for Game 1 of the home stand closes at  -145 or higher it triggers a 3 game chase

    --Due to high odds in some series, recommend using 3 line aggressive labouchere lines (as I do in my other systems)

    --Playing puck line for games -180 or higher will add 2 or 3 losses per season but with much lower odds....

    I'm going to add a twist to it:

    If 'therizz' system bet A wins, then it triggers a 2-game chase fading the home team until the road team wins (up to two games).

    I back tested 'therizz' system for the 2011-2012 season and of the 26 Game A winners, the home team lost Game B 13 times. The home team won Games A & B 13 times, losing Game C 6 times and winning all three games 7 times. Since the home team is usually a favorite in Games B & C, we should be able to get extra profit chasing the road team. 

    I will be betting 1 unit ($100.00) on the first game of this 2-game chase. I will also track the system here.

    If you have followed 'therizz' system and then followed this system from the beginning of the NHL season, you would be up 40 units from 'therizz' and an additional 30 units from this system.

    There are two plays tonight:

    Anaheim +165 @ Pittsburgh (Won games A & B)

    Colorado +175 @ Vancouver (Won game A)

     
    Burly
    Burly
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    Posted: Feb. 15, 2012 - 5:38 PM ET #2

    Was there any certain odds that the losses fell between? BOL
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    Was there any certain odds that the losses fell between? BOL
     
    therizz
    therizz
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    Posted: Feb. 15, 2012 - 5:57 PM ET #3

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    JaHovaWitness
    JaHovaWitness
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    Posted: Feb. 15, 2012 - 7:08 PM ET #4

    here we go with this shit again....
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    here we go with this shit again....
     
    realtime28
    realtime28
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    Posted: Feb. 15, 2012 - 7:11 PM ET #5

    7 losses for 19 extra wins. if ur labby lines get heavy u could potentially lose a lot
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    7 losses for 19 extra wins. if ur labby lines get heavy u could potentially lose a lot
     
    skew8
    skew8
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    Posted: Feb. 15, 2012 - 7:36 PM ET #6

    I backtested this twist system for last season,  the losses came in, quick and heavy.  I would tread carefully,  but BOL.
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    I backtested this twist system for last season,  the losses came in, quick and heavy.  I would tread carefully,  but BOL.
     
    Air1
    Air1
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    Posted: Feb. 15, 2012 - 10:35 PM ET #7

    @ skew: If I remember correctly last season was a bad yr for the system as around the all-star break i think I read from therizz that it went 33-4.
    I could just be pulling that # out my ass, as I did not play it last season.

    @Dussey: you said there were 7 loses for the system with Det handing out 2 of them. Can you post the other 5 teams that swept? Also when, if they fell under the system rules more than once.
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    @ skew: If I remember correctly last season was a bad yr for the system as around the all-star break i think I read from therizz that it went 33-4.
    I could just be pulling that # out my ass, as I did not play it last season.

    @Dussey: you said there were 7 loses for the system with Det handing out 2 of them. Can you post the other 5 teams that swept? Also when, if they fell under the system rules more than once.
     
    skew8
    skew8
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    Posted: Feb. 15, 2012 - 10:51 PM ET #8

    Sorry,  I meant I backtested the fade system that Dussey created for last year and it had a really rough start.  

    I still think Rizz's original system is solid and I have been following it consistently.
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    Sorry,  I meant I backtested the fade system that Dussey created for last year and it had a really rough start.  

    I still think Rizz's original system is solid and I have been following it consistently.
     
    Dussey
    Dussey
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    Posted: Feb. 16, 2012 - 11:53 AM ET #9

    Keep in mind that this system is successful if used in conjunction with 'therizz' system. This system triggers only if game A of 'therizz' system wins. So going into the first bet of this system you're already up 1 unit. If the first game of this system loses, you're back to even. If you bet the 2nd game of this system and win, you're up at least a unit. If the 2nd game loses, you're down only 1 unit.
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    Keep in mind that this system is successful if used in conjunction with 'therizz' system. This system triggers only if game A of 'therizz' system wins. So going into the first bet of this system you're already up 1 unit. If the first game of this system loses, you're back to even. If you bet the 2nd game of this system and win, you're up at least a unit. If the 2nd game loses, you're down only 1 unit.
     
    Dussey
    Dussey
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    Posted: Feb. 16, 2012 - 12:04 PM ET #10

    Next play is Saturday 2/18
    Toronto at Vancouver (Won A & B of 'therizz' system)

    Up .65
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    Next play is Saturday 2/18
    Toronto at Vancouver (Won A & B of 'therizz' system)

    Up .65
     
    Air1
    Air1
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    Posted: Feb. 16, 2012 - 3:10 PM ET #11

    Anyone have a list of teams + dates for therizz's nhl system for the last few seasons?
    I would like to back test this as far back as I can. If someone already has a list that is great. if not i will later go through the thread and try to find the plays.
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    Anyone have a list of teams + dates for therizz's nhl system for the last few seasons?
    I would like to back test this as far back as I can. If someone already has a list that is great. if not i will later go through the thread and try to find the plays.
     
    Dussey
    Dussey
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    Posted: Feb. 18, 2012 - 12:33 PM ET #12

    Toronto is the play +160
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    Toronto is the play +160
     
    Dussey
    Dussey
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    Posted: Feb. 19, 2012 - 11:10 AM ET #13

    Toronto

    1-1 -.35
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    Toronto

    1-1 -.35
     
    Dussey
    Dussey
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    Posted: Feb. 25, 2012 - 7:44 AM ET #14

    Since Ottawa won bet 'A' in 'therizz' system, it has triggered a two game chase fade of Ottawa. The bet tonight is Boston -125

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    Since Ottawa won bet 'A' in 'therizz' system, it has triggered a two game chase fade of Ottawa. The bet tonight is Boston -125

     
    Dussey
    Dussey
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    Posted: Feb. 26, 2012 - 6:25 AM ET #15

    Boston win.
    2-1 +.65
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    Boston win.
    2-1 +.65
     
    Dussey
    Dussey
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    Posted: Feb. 26, 2012 - 7:07 AM ET #16

    Dallas won bet 'A' of 'therizz' system on Friday. Therefore, we now fade Dallas. Bet is Vancouver today -145

    System is 2-1 +.65

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    Dallas won bet 'A' of 'therizz' system on Friday. Therefore, we now fade Dallas. Bet is Vancouver today -145

    System is 2-1 +.65

     
    The__Man
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    Posted: Feb. 29, 2012 - 3:04 PM ET #17

    Dude.  Why use labby lines?? There are too many losses.  Just bet straight up.

    Woulda gone 19-7 last year @ 1 unit a piece to hit 71%.  Pretty good. considering most cappers don't hit 60+.
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    Dude.  Why use labby lines?? There are too many losses.  Just bet straight up.

    Woulda gone 19-7 last year @ 1 unit a piece to hit 71%.  Pretty good. considering most cappers don't hit 60+.
     
     
    JaHovaWitness
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    Posted: Mar. 5, 2012 - 1:30 PM ET #18

    This system is great dad. thanks for the money......you paid me! heheh!
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    This system is great dad. thanks for the money......you paid me! heheh!
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