Posted:
#1
Odds of hitting...
25 Straight: 33,554,432 to 1
21 Straight: 2,097,152 to 1
17 Straight: 131,072 to 1
13 Straight: 8,192 to 1
9 Straight: 512 to 1
True Odds for Przes
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Views: 2247
Posts: 12
Posted:
#8
[Quote: Originally Posted by crushalot22]
What are the odds of 1 of 4 at 17 hitting 21 in a row?
And the way I look at it, the leaders are starting now. 4 winners in a row is all that is needed to get that money. A streak of 4. What are the odds of 1 out of 4 hitting 4 in a row?
The odds of hitting 4 in a row would be 16 to 1. The formulas for these are simple. For 4 in a row, it's 2 to the 4th power, or 2x2x2x2=16. 5 in a row would be 2 to the 5th power, and so on and so on.
Posted:
#12
[Quote: Originally Posted by thewhitesmith] and what's to say every pick is 50/50?
if you're picking a -130 favorite every time your numbers go right out the window...
The 50/50 prop you're talking about is based on a STRAIGHT UP win/lose outcome. It's just an understanding of basic odds and probability. That's why I don't bet football parlay cards. On a 5 team parlay, the card pay out 20 to 1, when the true odds of hitting is actually 32 to 1. That means that the house has a 37.5% ADVANTAGE over the player. The football analogy was just an example of what the concept of "true odds" really are. There are so many different variables when picking a side, both positive and negative, that they'll virtually cancel each other out, so this is pretty much the standard way that the odds are figured out.
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