Theres a guy on Survivor. For whatever reason, after he loses 2-in-a-row he wins the next pick right at 70% of the time and has been doing so since early 2006. If your only wagers were to follow this 'system', you'd basically go 2-1 per month.
Is this just a coincidence that he consistently does so well after 2 straight losses? I mean, he doesn't suddenly gain more insight after 2 losses. Maybe he just tries harder???
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Theres a guy on Survivor. For whatever reason, after he loses 2-in-a-row he wins the next pick right at 70% of the time and has been doing so since early 2006. If your only wagers were to follow this 'system', you'd basically go 2-1 per month.
Is this just a coincidence that he consistently does so well after 2 straight losses? I mean, he doesn't suddenly gain more insight after 2 losses. Maybe he just tries harder???
no. you have to wait until his 1st 2 losses after a win and you then watch his next pick.
Ex:
W
W
L
W
L
L
W 1-0
L
L
L 1-1
W
W
L
L
W 2-1
So even though he makes about 6 picks per week, you only find this situation (after 1st 2 losses) arises about 3 times per mth. I noted this pattern several mths ago, didnt follow it and got out of gaming. I thought it unusual to do this well for 1 yr, but he's kept it up after 1.75 yrs.
no. you have to wait until his 1st 2 losses after a win and you then watch his next pick.
Ex:
W
W
L
W
L
L
W 1-0
L
L
L 1-1
W
W
L
L
W 2-1
So even though he makes about 6 picks per week, you only find this situation (after 1st 2 losses) arises about 3 times per mth. I noted this pattern several mths ago, didnt follow it and got out of gaming. I thought it unusual to do this well for 1 yr, but he's kept it up after 1.75 yrs.
I just checked his record after 2 wins, like the formula above except change it to after 2 wins and this year he's 27-8. Predictable streakiness. hmmm. Maybe I'll dip my toe back in. I used to do pretty decently and then I started consistently losing MLB games and got out while I was overall ahead.
I just checked his record after 2 wins, like the formula above except change it to after 2 wins and this year he's 27-8. Predictable streakiness. hmmm. Maybe I'll dip my toe back in. I used to do pretty decently and then I started consistently losing MLB games and got out while I was overall ahead.