Posted:
#601
GOAL!!!
World Cup 2014 Thread....
Posted:
#607
Quote Originally Posted by Barnstorm:
And Cameron forced to play with 10. Man sent off for what the announcer said was a punch to the back, but not much of one. I didn't catch it. Tough call when the punishment is so devastating to a team. Good news for our Croatia wager, but . . . .
And Cameron forced to play with 10. Man sent off for what the announcer said was a punch to the back, but not much of one. I didn't catch it. Tough call when the punishment is so devastating to a team. Good news for our Croatia wager, but . . . .
Yeah it was pretty definitive. An easy sending off.
Posted:
#608
Quote Originally Posted by Barnstorm:
And Cameron forced to play with 10. Man sent off for what the announcer said was a punch to the back, but not much of one. I didn't catch it. Tough call when the punishment is so devastating to a team. Good news for our Croatia wager, but . . . .
And Cameron forced to play with 10. Man sent off for what the announcer said was a punch to the back, but not much of one. I didn't catch it. Tough call when the punishment is so devastating to a team. Good news for our Croatia wager, but . . . .
Should have been a yellow from my view but to be honest it sure helped my bet. 
Posted:
#613
Quote Originally Posted by daytradernation:
No problem, I wont post after this response. Best of luck to all.
No problem, I wont post after this response. Best of luck to all.
daytrader - the only one whom you should listen to about leaving this thread is Vanzak himself,and I doubt he would do that.
all opinions and comments are welcome. I see nothing offensive in your posts. The score to date is not, as you point out, not favorably comparable to 2010, where we all made good money.
there's a long way to go yet, so I say feel free to come back in if you are still reading this thread.
I will read what you have to say and not get my nose out of joint.
GL to you
taurus ( alias "bull" )
Posted:
#614
Quote Originally Posted by vanzack:
Look - I am just posting what I am betting and steering clear of all the drama in here. I didn't ask for it - but I realize what covers is these days - a bunch of junkies looking for a fix.
I am about 5.5 units down (not including futures which appear to be pretty bad). That can be made up in a day, or my losses could be doubled in a day.
We are 1 week in to this tournament. About 20% of the games have been played. For any of you that have a crystal ball - or knew I was going to lose - go right ahead and use my picks as you like. We all make our own decisions here.
So relax. Im not worried, and I guarantee I am wagering much more than you are. If you are overly concerned at this point, maybe gambling isn't for you.
Sharp, handsome, and classy... Vanzack = Triple Threat Guy
Mrs. Vanzack should be proud of her catch 
Posted:
#616
Game Bets:
8-9 - 11.82 units up, 14.75 units down
Brazil / Croatia – Under 2.5 goals -115 (1.5 units) - LOSS
Mexico / Cameroon – Cameroon PK and +.5 -101 (1 unit) - LOSS
Spain / Netherlands – Spain to win -112 (2 units) - LOSS
Chile / Australia – Chile to win -215 (1 unit), Chile -1 -116 (1 unit) - WIN
Greece / Columbia – Greece +.5 +105 (1.5 units) - LOSS
Costa Rica / Uruguay – Under 2 and 2.5 -105 (1 unit) - LOSS
Italy / England – Italy PK -114 (1 unit) - WIN
Ivory Coast / Japan – Over 2 -125 (2 units) - WIN
Ecuador / Switzerland – Switzerland to win +155 (1.5 units) - WIN
France / Honduras - No bet
Argentina / Bosnia - over 2.5 -115 (1 unit) - WIN
Germany / Portugal - Under 2.5 -115 (1 unit) - LOSS
Iran / Nigeria - No Bet
Ghana / USA - over 2 and 2.5 +100 (1 unit) - WIN
Belgium / Algeria - Under 2.5 +100 (1 unit) - LOSS
Brazil / Mexico - Brazil -1.5 +100 (3 units) - LOSS
Russia / S Korea - Russia to win +125 (2 units) - LOSS
Australia / Netherlands - Australia +1.5 and +2 +100 (1 unit) - WIN
Spain / Chile - No Bet
Croatia / Cameroon - Croatia -160 (1.5 units) - WIN
Colombia / Ivory Coast - Ivory Coast PK and +.5 +107 (2 units)
England / Uruguay - Uruguay PK and +.5 +103 (2 units)
Greece / Japan - Greece PK and +.5 +103 (1.5 units)
Italy / Costa Rica - Italy -1 -110 (2 units) Italy to win -190 (1 unit)
France / Switzerland - France to win -130 (1.5 units)
Ecuador / Honduras - Honduras +.5 and +1 +105 (1 unit)
Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
Posted:
#617
Sorry guys - the clock is running out on me for write-ups and I am being pulled in every direction in real life... So no write-ups for Thursday - I hope to have Fridays games written up in time....
I also hope to be around to discuss...
Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
Posted:
#618
Before these lines start moving... what do you think is more likely:
A) Brasil winning by 3 or more goals (Brasil -2.5) or
B) Cameroon-Brasil featuring 4 or more goals (over 3.5)
I watched Cameroon. They want nothing to do with the World Cup. It's a nightmare gone bad. Still there's a way to redeem their bad luck (getting drawn into this group in the first place) and substandard play. How?
SCORE A GOAL.
SCORE A GOAL.
Will Cameroon attack with reckless abandon?
Could we see another 'Australia type game' with 4-5 goals, or more? How much does Brasil care about getting 1st seed?
Posted:
#619
Quote Originally Posted by Kurshka:
Van I have a question. Now that you have more of a feel for these teams do you raise your units up much. I'm sure the lines will get tighter as we go. Never saw your thread in the last WC. Oh one other what was the most units you played in the last one.
Van I have a question. Now that you have more of a feel for these teams do you raise your units up much. I'm sure the lines will get tighter as we go. Never saw your thread in the last WC. Oh one other what was the most units you played in the last one.
Thanks
I usually range between 1 and 5 units. Last WC I had plenty of 3 and 4 unit plays - and I even had a 6 unit play on the Netherlands in the Final (a "this one goes to eleven moment").
I am sure that I will have bigger bets coming. I just haven't felt truly comfortable yet in this WC - the GKing has been erratic and deciding games - and the amount of goals are silly at this point.
So I am watching and learning at this point. I have already made some adjustments. But I am not a chaser. A 2 unit play at the beginning of the tournament when I am even is still a 2 unit play late in the tournament when I am down. There is no magic breakeven number for me to hit by the end of this. If I am down 3 units going in to the final - and I don't like it - I just wont bet it.
Sometimes I don't think this translates well to covers at all. If you are dealing with a bankroll that even if you lost every single game would be more than enough to sustain - you don't worry about these things. Im not saying this to brag - because this could be a 100 dollar bankroll or a 100K bankroll - it is all about your expectations and how you bet. Im not an idiot. I know the avg covers guy with a 100 dollar bankroll bets all of it on my first game hoping to get on a run, and then misses the later games because he is busto.
Anyway - bigger games will be coming I am sure. I like Italy a lot and if that keeps coming towards CR I will be betting more.
And if we get a result against Portugal - the yacht will be leaving its home port of Cheyenne Wyoming and heading to Rio in the fast lane - you are more than welcome to jump aboard. Plenty of supermodels to go around.
GL
Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
Posted:
#620
Quote Originally Posted by MuggsyBogues:
Before these lines start moving... what do you think is more likely:
Before these lines start moving... what do you think is more likely:
A) Brasil winning by 3 or more goals (Brasil -2.5) or
B) Cameroon-Brasil featuring 4 or more goals (over 3.5)
I watched Cameroon. They want nothing to do with the World Cup. It's a nightmare gone bad. Still there's a way to redeem their bad luck (getting drawn into this group in the first place) and substandard play. How?
SCORE A GOAL.
SCORE A GOAL.
Will Cameroon attack with reckless abandon?
Could we see another 'Australia type game' with 4-5 goals, or more? How much does Brasil care about getting 1st seed?
Muggsy - to be honest - this is not my type of game to bet. Everything you say is correct but I am just not the type to lay 2.5 or 3 goals - or hope for an over of 4.
But I will answer - I think I would take the over 3.5 before I took the -2.5, depending on price.
GL with whatever you choose....
Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
Posted:
#621
Much appreciated. I respect the way you avoid games that are semi-friendly at this point. Me, I see an edge in every other game I lay my eyes on, lol.
This Brazil team can and will be scored on if the first two games are any indication. I'll grab my balls, stick some money on Over 3.5 and hope for a ridiculous Cahill-like strike for the African side, or a Akinfeev-esque screw up by the home team at some point in the game.
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