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    All Forums | Soccer

    Knockout Rounds thread - only 15 games to go......

    123 ... 323334 Next Last»
    vanzack
    bakemcbride
    TheSource2Win
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    Participants:
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    Views: 87051
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    123 ... 323334 Next Last»
     
    vanzack
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    Posted: Jun. 25, 2010 - 9:30 PM ET #1

    Game Picks

    Current Record 23-12
    Up 48.34 units, Down 22.37 units
    TOTAL - Up +25.97 units

    Futures... 

    Current Record  8-9
    Up 20.8 Units, Down 15.4 units
    Total Up +5.4 units

    PENDING FUTURES:
    17.  Argentina to win tournament +725 (6 units risked)
    18.  Argentina / Neth final +3300 (.5 unit)
    20.  No african team qtr finals +165 (2 units)

    I gotta be honest, Im not seeing a whole hell of a lot to bet in these round of 16 games.  Chances are that my biggest bets are behind me - unless something pops up like England vs Argentina.....

    Saturday June 26

    49.  Uruguay / S Korea - Uruguay -.5 90 mins -105 (1 unit) - I really dont love betting teams to win in 90 when there is extra time and PK's to follow - but I do think Uruguay are a cut above the Koreans - and peaking at the right time.  Uruguay has yet to concede a goal in their three games, and have looked organized and dangerous up front with Suarez and Forlan.  If Suarez could shoot straight, they might have had many more than their four goals - they always seemed to get him the ball and he didnt do very much with it - but I dont expect that to continue - Uruguay is a side that should be comfortable knowing that when they get chances - they should finish.  S Korea looked great against Greece, and equally as bad againt Nigeria.  The disciplined side was torn apart by the athleticism of Nigeria, and although they managed a draw - it could have been worse.  I just think Uruguay will have chances on net in this game - and I will take my chances with them finishing them in regular time.  Not in love with this - but do think there is some value in it.  Final score prediction Uruguay 2 S Korea 0 (90 mins).

    50.  USA / Ghana - USA to advance -115 (2 units) - I hope Im not betting with my heart here, but I really think Ghana is a side that the USA can beat.  The reason is Ghana is very similar to the USA - prone to defensive lapses - but the major differences is finishing in the final third.  Ghana has scored 2 goals - both of them on penalty kicks - but had numerous chances in every game (so many against Germany) but they lack the quality last touch to ever get the ball on net.  They are prone to the defensive lapses - but only let in 2 goals in their 3 games against some decent offenses.  They are fast, big, and physical - and young - and the inexperience and pressure might just cost them at critical times especially as things heat up in an elimination game.  

    The USA finally came to their senses and benched Onyewu for Bornstein - which brought immediate payoff.  Yes - Algeria still had to much space and too many chances on goal - but at least the defense was closing down on the ball and not shading back 5 yards on everyone - the reason we gave away so much in the first 2 games.  It is still a mediocre defense at best - but I will take it - if they start Onyewu I will feel sick before the game even starts.  I do also hope Bradley moves Dempsey up top to pair with Altidore - who I have felt has been lost up there with the revolving door of partners they have provided him.  Dempsey scored the lone goal against Ghana 4 years ago - and is a proven finisher. 

    I would shade the USA in a PK shootout - not only with Howard in net - but with a very young and inexperience Ghana side against them - which is why I like the "to advance" bet here.  Final score prediction USA 2 Ghana 1.

    GO USA!

    This is a big fucking game.

    Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    Game Picks

    Current Record 23-12
    Up 48.34 units, Down 22.37 units
    TOTAL - Up +25.97 units

    Futures... 

    Current Record  8-9
    Up 20.8 Units, Down 15.4 units
    Total Up +5.4 units

    PENDING FUTURES:
    17.  Argentina to win tournament +725 (6 units risked)
    18.  Argentina / Neth final +3300 (.5 unit)
    20.  No african team qtr finals +165 (2 units)

    I gotta be honest, Im not seeing a whole hell of a lot to bet in these round of 16 games.  Chances are that my biggest bets are behind me - unless something pops up like England vs Argentina.....

    Saturday June 26

    49.  Uruguay / S Korea - Uruguay -.5 90 mins -105 (1 unit) - I really dont love betting teams to win in 90 when there is extra time and PK's to follow - but I do think Uruguay are a cut above the Koreans - and peaking at the right time.  Uruguay has yet to concede a goal in their three games, and have looked organized and dangerous up front with Suarez and Forlan.  If Suarez could shoot straight, they might have had many more than their four goals - they always seemed to get him the ball and he didnt do very much with it - but I dont expect that to continue - Uruguay is a side that should be comfortable knowing that when they get chances - they should finish.  S Korea looked great against Greece, and equally as bad againt Nigeria.  The disciplined side was torn apart by the athleticism of Nigeria, and although they managed a draw - it could have been worse.  I just think Uruguay will have chances on net in this game - and I will take my chances with them finishing them in regular time.  Not in love with this - but do think there is some value in it.  Final score prediction Uruguay 2 S Korea 0 (90 mins).

    50.  USA / Ghana - USA to advance -115 (2 units) - I hope Im not betting with my heart here, but I really think Ghana is a side that the USA can beat.  The reason is Ghana is very similar to the USA - prone to defensive lapses - but the major differences is finishing in the final third.  Ghana has scored 2 goals - both of them on penalty kicks - but had numerous chances in every game (so many against Germany) but they lack the quality last touch to ever get the ball on net.  They are prone to the defensive lapses - but only let in 2 goals in their 3 games against some decent offenses.  They are fast, big, and physical - and young - and the inexperience and pressure might just cost them at critical times especially as things heat up in an elimination game.  

    The USA finally came to their senses and benched Onyewu for Bornstein - which brought immediate payoff.  Yes - Algeria still had to much space and too many chances on goal - but at least the defense was closing down on the ball and not shading back 5 yards on everyone - the reason we gave away so much in the first 2 games.  It is still a mediocre defense at best - but I will take it - if they start Onyewu I will feel sick before the game even starts.  I do also hope Bradley moves Dempsey up top to pair with Altidore - who I have felt has been lost up there with the revolving door of partners they have provided him.  Dempsey scored the lone goal against Ghana 4 years ago - and is a proven finisher. 

    I would shade the USA in a PK shootout - not only with Howard in net - but with a very young and inexperience Ghana side against them - which is why I like the "to advance" bet here.  Final score prediction USA 2 Ghana 1.

    GO USA!

    This is a big fucking game.

     
    bakemcbride
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    Posted: Jun. 25, 2010 - 9:31 PM ET #2

    Great write ups and great job so far.  Keep it up!
    Reply
    Great write ups and great job so far.  Keep it up!
     
    TheSource2Win
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    Posts: 4453
    Posted: Jun. 25, 2010 - 9:35 PM ET #3

    I am with you Van.  Best to us my friend. 
    Reply
    I am with you Van.  Best to us my friend. 
     
    vanzack
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    Posted: Jun. 25, 2010 - 9:46 PM ET #4

    Watch this video -

    AND GET PUMPED UP!!!

    Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
    Reply

    Watch this video -

    AND GET PUMPED UP!!!

     
    bracks
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    Posted: Jun. 25, 2010 - 9:51 PM ET #5

    Van- I know its days away, but can you tell me 3 reasons why Spain -1/2 +105 would be a bad bet?

    I want to make sure its not my anti- Port feelings.

    I m on Uru U 2 -130 and US pk -120
    Reply
    Van- I know its days away, but can you tell me 3 reasons why Spain -1/2 +105 would be a bad bet?

    I want to make sure its not my anti- Port feelings.

    I m on Uru U 2 -130 and US pk -120
     
    P4P
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    Posted: Jun. 25, 2010 - 9:51 PM ET #6

    Van, what do you think the line will be for Argentina vs either England or Germany?

    Just wondering what kind of price taking Argentina +115 to make the semis is. Based on the "to advance" over Mexico price the break-even point looks to be about Argentina -135/140 to beat either England or Germany...think this is around the price we'd see?
    Reply
    Van, what do you think the line will be for Argentina vs either England or Germany?

    Just wondering what kind of price taking Argentina +115 to make the semis is. Based on the "to advance" over Mexico price the break-even point looks to be about Argentina -135/140 to beat either England or Germany...think this is around the price we'd see?
     
    panthalassa
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    Posted: Jun. 25, 2010 - 9:58 PM ET #7

    thanks for sharing the results of your work ...

    do you see much value in the over 2.5 in the usa/ghana game?

    gl 

    Reply

    thanks for sharing the results of your work ...

    do you see much value in the over 2.5 in the usa/ghana game?

    gl 

     
    LuckyLuke
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    Posted: Jun. 25, 2010 - 10:03 PM ET #8

     go zack love both picks!

    keep it coming

    Reply

     go zack love both picks!

    keep it coming

     
    Sharp__Action
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    Posted: Jun. 25, 2010 - 10:12 PM ET #9

    U-S-A1!!!! U-S-A!!!!!


    Reply
    U-S-A1!!!! U-S-A!!!!!


     
    PatsDyNASTY
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    Posted: Jun. 25, 2010 - 10:18 PM ET #10

    Reply
     
    pjrez
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    Posted: Jun. 25, 2010 - 10:23 PM ET #11

    Reply
     
    PDudek7263
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    Posted: Jun. 25, 2010 - 10:32 PM ET #12

    USA
    Reply
    USA
     
    Eddy_Winslow
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    Posted: Jun. 25, 2010 - 11:12 PM ET #13

    URUGUAY

     

    Great work during the group stage

    buy $BTC
    Reply

    URUGUAY

     

    Great work during the group stage

     
    ClubDirt
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    Posted: Jun. 25, 2010 - 11:28 PM ET #14

    still not sure how Ghana advanced but I'm just going to watch that one, will be playing Uruguay though.  Good luck.  
    Reply
    still not sure how Ghana advanced but I'm just going to watch that one, will be playing Uruguay though.  Good luck.  
     
    flyp
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    Posted: Jun. 25, 2010 - 11:47 PM ET #15

    Van, when it says M/L in these games moving forward, does that mean even if it goes to overtime/shootout? And does pk or +1/2, does that mean in regulation time?  GL, and go USA!! 
    Reply
    Van, when it says M/L in these games moving forward, does that mean even if it goes to overtime/shootout? And does pk or +1/2, does that mean in regulation time?  GL, and go USA!! 
     
    LONG-TU
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    Posted: Jun. 25, 2010 - 11:49 PM ET #16

    thanks vanzack for making me fukin cry with that video
    Reply
    thanks vanzack for making me fukin cry with that video
     
    The Garfather
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    Posted: Jun. 26, 2010 - 12:01 AM ET #17

    Van, if you get the chance could you comment on the personnel changes for chile?  I know they will be missing some starters, but I honestly don't know if any (or all) were impact players.
    Reply
    Van, if you get the chance could you comment on the personnel changes for chile?  I know they will be missing some starters, but I honestly don't know if any (or all) were impact players.
     
    champ18
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    Posted: Jun. 26, 2010 - 12:15 AM ET #18

    uruguay
    Reply
    uruguay
     
    Blue_Chips
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    Posted: Jun. 26, 2010 - 12:25 AM ET #19

    Reply
     
    mr_bollox
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    Posted: Jun. 26, 2010 - 12:50 AM ET #20

    Reply
     
    arkadymo
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    Posted: Jun. 26, 2010 - 1:01 AM ET #21

    Reply
     
    bakemcbride
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    Posted: Jun. 26, 2010 - 1:05 AM ET #22

    Quote Originally Posted by flyp:

    Van, when it says M/L in these games moving forward, does that mean even if it goes to overtime/shootout? And does pk or +1/2, does that mean in regulation time?  GL, and go USA!! 

    Money Line wagers are for 90 minute + injury time only, all other wagers are specifically called "To Advance" and include extra time and penalty kicks.

     

    pick and -.5 and +,5 are all wagers in regulation time

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by flyp:

    Van, when it says M/L in these games moving forward, does that mean even if it goes to overtime/shootout? And does pk or +1/2, does that mean in regulation time?  GL, and go USA!! 

    Money Line wagers are for 90 minute + injury time only, all other wagers are specifically called "To Advance" and include extra time and penalty kicks.

     

    pick and -.5 and +,5 are all wagers in regulation time

     
    paletta007
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    Posted: Jun. 26, 2010 - 1:30 AM ET #23

    GL the rest of the way

     GO USA

    Reply

    GL the rest of the way

     GO USA

     
    mmechunk
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    Posted: Jun. 26, 2010 - 1:32 AM ET #24

    BOL

    Been keeping up with your pics and great job so far.  Cant wait to hear your opinions on Va Tech this year

    Reply

    BOL

    Been keeping up with your pics and great job so far.  Cant wait to hear your opinions on Va Tech this year

     
     
    paranoisense
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    Posted: Jun. 26, 2010 - 2:10 AM ET #25

    Like your write ups vanzack... Good LUck to you!!!
    Reply
    Like your write ups vanzack... Good LUck to you!!!
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