Euro 2020 Preview/Futures/Picks

@DiamondJack

 Best Eleven Minutes of your life. 

DJ thanks again great insight. Just wondering if today you will have any picks , leans for tomorrow’s game just because I’m in a betting state NJ but not tomorrow. Thanks again.

Next set of games should be good! Keep rolling 

Finland v Russia

Finland come into the match with a strange victory over Denmark. Going into the incident it was all Denmark. Finland had one attack and I will not judge the Danes after seeing their leader almost die on the pitch. Bottom line is Finland is a bad team. Russia is also a bad team they got smoked 3-0 by Belgium as expected. My angle here is that Finland will settle for the point knowing 4 gets then into the next round so they will play a similar counterattacking game as they did versus Denmark. Russia need a win and will press leaving themselves open at the back where they are very poor. 6 of the past 8 games for Russia have gone over and they managed only 1 clean sheet. I'm thinking 1-1 or 2-1 for Russia. I also like the PK prop as Russia will get desperate and both teams are pretty much technically trash.

24. Russia/Finland PK in match YES @ 3.20/+220 (1u) Unibet

25. Russia /Finland BTTS YES @ 2.35/+135 (1u) Unibet

I forgot another prop ... I know its juiced but I think this is almost a guarantee when you have 2 crappy teams playing each other

26. Both teams to get carded (RUS/FIN)@ 1.60/-167 (1u) Bet365

nah,,, that was in high school getting my first BJ

Paletta---

haymo--- workin on it

Wales v Turkey

Wales were lucky to get a point versus the Swiss a game in which they were pretty much outplayed. Turkey are under priced by the books here because they lost 3-0 to Italy. Turkey will line up and play very differently at "home" in Baku than they did v Italy in Rome. Wales need the 3 points with Italy on tap and I think Turkeys speed and the crowd advantage will seal their fate. I do not expect a result like the last time they met (6-4 for Turkey) but it would be fun if it did. Keeping this one simple;

27. Turkey ML @ 2.45/+145 (1u) Bet365

Barney---

Italy v Switzerland

Italy are back in Rome for their second game after taking care of Turkey 3-0. In their past 9 games all victories to nil 28GF 0GA. I could copy and paste my Turkey/Italy write up and it would be similar here with one exception the Swiss are better at defending then Turkey. The Swiss past 10 away 2 wins v Gibraltar & Bulgaria (not at the euros) 5 loses to BEL/SPA/DEN/UKR/POR (all at the euros) & 3 draws v IRE, GER & WAL. As I said, the Swiss beat the bad teams & lose to the good teams. Also considering CS 1-0 ITA, but for now lets go with;

28. Italy Clean Sheet YES @ 1.91/110 (1u) Bet365

29. Italy win to Nil @ 2.40/+140 (1u) Bet365

DJ-like Turkey tomorrow and that cards prop in the Russia match-great shot as you say when you have 2 crappy squads matched up-good luck!

GL the 2nd Round DJ     cards should be flying, looking at a few of those props myself too 

doc--- I should have put more on it

spec---

Turkey now +190 to win, adding anymore?

Ukraine v North Macedonia

Both of the managers have hinted that they will go all out for the win, with both sides having lost their opening fixture. Ukraine play a 4-3-3 attacking formation as does Macedonia with a 3-5-2 emphasis on the counterattack. In Ukraine's last 2 games there have been 9 goals scored, in the past 2 games for North Macedonia there were 8 for an average of 4.25. Both sides are very suspect at the back, I expect goals & yellows. Since I already have a future on Macedonia to get a point, I'm only playing totals & props here;

32. BTTS Yes @ 2.04/+104 (1u) Bet365

33. Total goals OVER 2.5 @ 2.10/+110 (1u) Pinnacle

34. Total cards over 2.5 @ 1.57/-175 (1u) Bet365

35. Both sides to be carded YES @ 1.61/-164 (1u) Bet365

36. Corners UKR -2 @ 2.20/+120 (1u) Bet365

Record keeping error for anyone that cares

Picks number 24 & 25 were counted twice, thus no 30 & 31

Good job Diamond keep going  

betting tips

Denmark v Belgium

This is the most difficult game for me to cap so far in this tournament considering the Eriksen circumstances. Do the Danes just mail it in, still not in the right head space? or do they "Do it for Christian". Numbers wise  Belgium is the better team, they won the last 2 head to head encounters 4-2 & 2-0 home and away. I already have too many futures backing the Danes I was tempted by the Over at plus money & the BTTS at evens. I'm going with a long shot correct score bet here in which I get the bore 0-0 result gets me a refund at Bet365.

37. Denmark CS 1-1 @ 6.50/+550 (1/2 Unit) Bet365

Updated Results through the first 31 bets

13-18    +053 Units

Austria v Netherlands

Austria were lucky to get 3 points in their opener versus North Macedonia. Their striker Arnautovic is suspended for being a dumb ass. Having 3 points in the bag I expect them to try to sit back play for the point play on the counterattack. The Dutch were also lucky to get the full 3 points in their opener v the Ukraine. The talent mismatch here is glaring and with Holland unlikely to make any changes from their first game I see them winning with ease;

38. Netherlands -1 @ 2.28/+128 (1u) Pinnacle

39. Corners NETHERLANDS -2 @ 2.00/+100 (1u) Bet365

Nice start today! 

Paletta---

Great job DJ, BOL with the Dutch today