City and Brighton are the model's first choices, with no abstention flags on either match. Price-wise, though, the export shows 1.22 on City and 1.55 on Brighton, compared with calculated fair prices of about 1.33 and 1.68. I would keep both as football leans rather than bets at those prices.
These are provisional model probabilities, not claimed hit rates. No units staked and no bet logged from this post.
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Weekend model notes, using the refreshed 16 October export:
Saturday: Man City v Ipswich — City 75.1%, draw 15.7%, Ipswich 9.3%.
City and Brighton are the model's first choices, with no abstention flags on either match. Price-wise, though, the export shows 1.22 on City and 1.55 on Brighton, compared with calculated fair prices of about 1.33 and 1.68. I would keep both as football leans rather than bets at those prices.
These are provisional model probabilities, not claimed hit rates. No units staked and no bet logged from this post.
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