Sean64

I like Celtics team total over. Knicks in the regular season were 12th worst at Opponents 3 point % and 9th worst when on the road. Boston was 2nd best at opponents 3 point%. Boston has been a little sketchy at home this year but with the rest advantage and knicks playing a faster pace I think Celtics could be draining lots of threes tonight and getting easy buckets. 

This is a much harder transition for Knick’s to go from struggling to put away Detroit to facing the champs with a rest disadvantage. Celtics in the past years seem to always struggle against the magic’s defensive physicality but went 4-0 against knicks this year. I expect Celtics to turn it on offensively. Question is can knicks keep up. Magic was one of the worst three point shooting teams and Knick’s will be better. 

I think Celtics cover the number but knicks should be desperate to steal game 1 and will keep it close to within 8 or 9 points in that range not worth the sweat either way imo.  

I really think Panthers win this series. The Cats have shown against Tampa they are in playoff mode and they are built/capable of getting to the finals again. Their PK was great against Tampa and should be the same case against Leafs. Brad Marchand should be productive in this series given his experience against leafs.

Should be a great series I agree 

@Fuse

Sometimes the race to 2 or 3 goals is a better option. Aves won the race to 2 goals in game 7 @-140,Devils won the race to 3 in game 5, and the blues won race to 3 yet all three teams lost. I think most books payout race to X goals right away so you have an opportunity to bet in game after and you get a better price compared to ml (ex.blues ml +150/Race to 3 +235 before puck drop)

@crazy1464

 Sometimes dreams come true 

Race to 3 goals (Excluding OT) +255 

Now +235 on DK 

>Matthew Stafford outdoors in the rain/snow: 1-8 record, 54.6 completion percentage, 14 TDs, 11 INTs. 76.0 passer rating.

Good luck stopping Barkley when the snow starts coming down hard later in the game and the defense is gassed. Vangio defense can shut down the rams offense. I think eagles fly high BOL

Chiefs are 3-0 ATS first half in the past two years at home in playoffs. This game reminds me of the dolphins wildcard game. I think chiefs have too much advantage here to consider Texans full game even at 10+ I don’t trust stroud in this weather against a Super Bowl level defense 26-13 or 24-10 etc seems likely 

Things that stick out to me 

Mcvay and Stafford have playoff/Super Bowl experience. O’Connell as a HC is 0-1 in the playoffs and Darnold has 0.(O’Connell/Flores both won a Super Bowl as coordinators).

Rams o-line can protect Stafford against Flores zero coverage blitz’s and Kupp/Nacua/Higbee should be able to get open quick and often. Mcvay lost his first Super Bowl against Flores and then lost again to him on 2020 season when he was head coach of dolphins. Week 8 Mcvay finally got his revenge with Stafford. So I do see rams having success again offensively. 

I dont trust Sam Darnold to score enough tds when they get to the redzone. Last week was a playoff game and they had to settle for field goals. Rams have had a top redzone defense all year and Vikings have the worst redzone defense the past three games. 

Winston has never played at mile high and his only game on the road was in a dome against his former team this year. I don’t have a strong feel for this one but it wouldn’t surprise me if he makes mistakes maybe a pick or two and browns can’t cover given his history of being turnover prone. DK has his INT total over 0.5 -200..

New coach, at home, and it’s a revenge game. Race to 2 goals is -110 Id play that expecting them to come out strong. 

Do you mean the NFL game is off the board? If so just keep refreshing the page and you might be able to get the pick in. rjorg on a 12 win streak just took bucs +8.5 so it should be back up soon 

I think people forgot what Bowles as DC did to Mahomes in the Super Bowl which was the worst game of his life. In short Mahomes and Reid would love to run up the score tonight and embarrass this team. I prefer chiefs 1st half but I have no interest in taking bucs full game 

Mayo just made a horrendous mistake going for two when going for the extra point makes it a one score game if you make the two point conversion on the next TD. They missed on the 2 point conversion and made it a 2 score game 16-25 ending any hope for a comeback.

Kraft decided on him being the HC 5 years ago and I assume Mayo also knew this as well. So you coach as a linebackers/DC for years and know someday you wil be a HC but you never prepared yourself for situations like this as a HC? As a pats fan after watching Bill coach and seeing this team it’s a joke they shouldn’t even have a win. Coaching staff is garbage doesn’t matter what players they have because they will get out coached or make mistakes in close games anyways for the example the Seahawks game. Even Belichick said coaching was to blame for that loss. 

The game is graded as a 3-3 push on streak survivor and covers contest 

It’s also disappointing not being able to pick any Utah games for the survivor contest. Id like to see the Ducks/Kings logo updated(always hated the new logo for ducks nice to see the old school one displayed everywhere else) 

Yamamoto only had (1) K last time against SD. If he can’t get strike outs I think SD gets to him and I don’t think he can have success pitching to contact against SD. Darvish was excellent last time with the exception of the 2nd inning giving up 2 singles and walk but limited the damage with a sacfly/doubleplay. Hes proven himself to be an ace and can shut down this lineup. 

Padres +120

@Skydog1842

 I had never seen a kickers field made prop as juiced as butkers last night -185 over 1.5. I parlayed it with saints +10 but badlands was right saints suck lol 

>Since 1990, 162 teams have opened the season 0-3 and only four of them have made the postseason

Bengals defense is bad and if you look at what skins did to them at home I’d expect more of the same with Lamar/Henry. The line seems fishy because if bengals lose this game the season is over if they had some belief they could #5 to make the postseason after 0-3. I took ravens -2.5 as a survivor best bet but if you tease bengals up to 8.5+ and total to 42.5 it’s not a bad idea since bengals will play with a lot of desperation. 

Over 1.5 Field goals made -120 

Winds are blowing from end zone to end zone  and it’s warm ideal weather for long fgs. 5/5 this year 2/2 on 50+. Broncos defense is usually a lock for forcing a team into at least two field goals per game. 

I love Saints here. I think hurts struggles without aj Brown. Smith will have lattimore on him. They can stack the middle of the field take away passes to Goedert and limit Barkley who had 1.6 ypc last time against saints although behind a terrible giants o-line. I expect Dennis Allen to have a really solid gameplan defensively. Eagles run d is bad and with Fangio/eagles defense trying to figure things out early in the season this is not the offense they want to go up against on the road at this point.