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Quote Originally Posted by slamspurs:
For me it's a double down strategy on both dogs this weekend. Both Iga and Alkie are 5-0 in grand slam finals. To me that's unsustainable. Starting off with Anisimova at +200, then Sinner at +105. Since this is a thread about the women's final, I'll stick to the topic. Sabalenka admittedly had looked beatable all tournament, had to break to save the first set against Bouzkova, had to break to save first set against Raducanu, lost the first set to Siegmund. So she was beatable, but still the best player in the world. Wimbledon is Iga's worst slam, and she has exceeded expectations to even make it this far. With the way she has been mowing down opponents, she should be more like -400 or -500. -275 ain't cheap, but it's still cheap enough to play her. The best play is probably Anisimova to win a set at -130, but I will take a shot on the ML. Winning in 3 is like +520, which looks like too much value there, so I don't see it happening. It will either be Iga in straights or Anisimova in straights IMO. The women's game really has random grand slam winners most of the time since Serena retired. Iga and Sabalenka are a cut above everyone else on tour, but Iga has only won 2 out of the last 10 slams, and Sabalenka has only won 3 of the last 11. Look at all the randos that have won slams lately. Coco Gauff won the French Open Madison Keys won the Australian Open Barbora Krejcíková won Wimbledon last year No consistency there.
Both Federer and Pete Sampras had some pretty insane records if I remember correctly - of the top of my head I think it was 7-0 (+ 14-2) and 13-2 respectively in GS finals won - so it wouldn’t be out of this world crazy if Alcaraz continued with a few more |
Digitalkarma | 15 |
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Ostapenko is actually mostly a challenge for Swiatek due to how far into the court she is able to stand when receiving - so she has an abnormally high winning procentage on Swiatek serves - and at this point it also play in mentally that she has a 6-0 lead on her - there are tons of other “big hitters” on tour where she has a positive h2h record with - it is an entire different argument that Grass favours hard hitters to a completely unfair extent - but the fact they play on Grass is also the primary reason Anisimova has a chance at all |
Digitalkarma | 15 |
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Quote Originally Posted by SarasotaSlim:
Quote Originally Posted by Calde13: Most people in here don’t care about you or this other guy (we are here to talk about gambling related stuff - not checking up on the latest gossip in the Sarasotaslim world) - if anything these post where you whine is more damaging of your “image” than anything he could say This post is Ludacris ..
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SarasotaSlim | 11 |
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Quote Originally Posted by SarasotaSlim:
Quote Originally Posted by Calde13: He has said he is willing to fight this bill whatever it takes even if it is the last thing he does on this earth - 750 million dollars is nothing for this guy - I think it is funny though how fast tables turn over there - you guys have went from hating Elon - to praise him like there is no tomorrow - back to hating him - all in the span of a year and with no other reasoning than what the clown says - most “normal” people have hated Elon from the dawn of time - so nice having you guys back on board - but maybe it should also have been there when he brought his way to power and got access to every confidential information about you guys he will use to optimise his stupid AI That's the way fascism works ............
Fascism requires you to have a dictator - this is just weird human behaviour |
SarasotaSlim | 38 |
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He has said he is willing to fight this bill whatever it takes even if it is the last thing he does on this earth - 750 million dollars is nothing for this guy - I think it is funny though how fast tables turn over there - you guys have went from hating Elon - to praise him like there is no tomorrow - back to hating him - all in the span of a year and with no other reasoning than what the clown says - most “normal” people have hated Elon from the dawn of time - so nice having you guys back on board - but maybe it should also have been there when he brought his way to power and got access to every confidential information about you guys he will use to optimise his stupid AI |
SarasotaSlim | 38 |
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I think Swiatek will win in straight sets - Sabalenka has been awful this Wimbledon - and it was a wonder she hadn’t lost before - she was in trouble almost every single match - Swiatek is a totally different beast - apart from Noskova Anisimova hasn’t really met any meaningful opponents yet (Swiatek has annihilated some pretty big names already) |
Digitalkarma | 15 |
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Most people in here don’t care about you or this other guy |
SarasotaSlim | 11 |
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It doesn’t break any rules to point out that you are defending a grown ass man - for being boxed on an internet site - can’t you hear that yourself how pathetic that sounds ? - to waste your life on shit like that - it isn’t your best friend that has been sentenced to the chair for a murder he didn’t commit or anything similar - it is a guy you probably bearly knows that can’t post everywhere he wants for 14 days |
Sidehatch | 47 |
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Quote Originally Posted by HuskyNation1:
Adding: Parlay @ +423 Iga -2.5 Games Bencic to win 1 set - Yes If I were to give you the mathematical formula that explained why this bet is awful (value wise) would that change your way and adapt in the future or would I speak for deaf ears because then I won’t bother |
HuskyNation1 | 24 |
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What is even this “getting offended on behalf of other members” gay ass shit you guys have going on - unless they are children or women I am sure they don’t need any of you guys as white knights trying to save them or talk on behalf of them - I envy you guys if you don’t have more important things to do than that |
Sidehatch | 47 |
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Are you making two different parlays with either of two from one match winning ? You do know you would get a better “effective” odds if you just bet on Swiatek as a single bet then right ? - you only do parlays if both bets in it contain value - else you are just multiplying the juice you paying |
HuskyNation1 | 24 |
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Btw there is also public votings in Russia - you tell me if that makes them a democracy |
fubah2 | 430 |
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You have something that resembles democracy - in democracies you put safeguards in place that limit the influence money and lobbyist has on the election and it is also the person with the highest amount of votes that win and not with an outside defining factor that defines how much each state is worth - a vote should be worth a vote no matter where it is |
fubah2 | 430 |
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replied to
Denmark launches its EU presidency facing war in Ukraine and Trump tariff chaos
in Politics Quote Originally Posted by SarasotaSlim:
Quote Originally Posted by Calde13: Quote Originally Posted by SarasotaSlim: @UNIMAN Don't waste your time arguing with someone from a pip-squeak country ..that want's to take credit for something Sweden did ....... You really need to learn how things work in the world - EU functions like US more or less (even if you are stupid enough not to know this - you can see it with the tariffs that Trump try to put on us - then it has to be done as a block of countries and not on an individual level since that isn't possible) - Your Submarine is also produced in a couple of states at best - yet you are all able to claim pride in producing it as a country -- and Swedens weapon industry is as much mine as that is yours (if it is produced in another state than you live in) - esp. if we start having an EU army which is what they start going for now - then we are 1 to 1 like US - APART from us having the biggest internal market in the world - so our economy will boom under a militarisation - a boom so big you can only dream of that ...................this is ludacris.
and yet it is true |
nature1970 | 21 |
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replied to
Denmark launches its EU presidency facing war in Ukraine and Trump tariff chaos
in Politics And call me crazy but I think we can easier survive without Facebook and google than you can without life saving medicine and almost every advanced machinery that help all your markets grow in potential income - but we will see who blinks first if the idiot goes through with the tarrifs |
nature1970 | 21 |
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replied to
Denmark launches its EU presidency facing war in Ukraine and Trump tariff chaos
in Politics Btw you know if I highlight something Sweden does as good then it has been pretty insane what they did - Denmark has been at war with Sweden more than 40 times through history (the most wars between two nations on planet earth - and we have basically tried wipe each other out for close to 800 years - if you want context how much it hurts me to highlight anything those surstrøm eating fuckers accomplish) |
nature1970 | 21 |
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replied to
Denmark launches its EU presidency facing war in Ukraine and Trump tariff chaos
in Politics Quote Originally Posted by SarasotaSlim:
@UNIMAN Don't waste your time arguing with someone from a pip-squeak country ..that want's to take credit for something Sweden did .......
You really need to learn how things work in the world - EU functions like US more or less (even if you are stupid enough not to know this - you can see it with the tariffs that Trump try to put on us - then it has to be done as a block of countries and not on an individual level since that isn't possible) - Your Submarine is also produced in a couple of states at best - yet you are all able to claim pride in producing it as a country -- and Swedens weapon industry is as much mine as that is yours (if it is produced in another state than you live in) - esp. if we start having an EU army which is what they start going for now - then we are 1 to 1 like US - APART from us having the biggest internal market in the world - so our economy will boom under a militarisation - a boom so big you can only dream of that |
nature1970 | 21 |
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You have one of the most weird and alienating voting processes you could have come up with - you can become president even though you don’t get the most amount of votes - and it depends more on which states you win rather than how many votes you get and if your party loses you have close to no influence
I hope you can hear how insane this sounds for an outsider - that it alienates so many of your citizens - no fucking wonder you guys are as divided as you are - this is fucking ludacris - I kind of hate Elon - but I think this is a good move by him |
SarasotaSlim | 38 |
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It is especially important if you shop around for the best odds and try to hedge bets - because you can then be having bets on two different sites that settle stuff like that different - which can mean you have a void bet + a win bet sometimes - but might as well end up with a void bet and a lost bet - I have lost 1000s of USD on stuff like that when I started out betting |
HuskyNation1 | 29 |
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Sinner is the winner - if you get a walkover you are officially declared the winner of the match how bookmakers settle that differs - that is the reason it actually is pretty important to read bookmaker rules before making tennis bets - the rules also differs how they settle matches that are postponed for a couple of days, what happen if they change venue or players, some settle things that hasn’t happened yet but mathematically can’t lose while others don’t (if you have a +6.5 handicap and the match is stopped at 1st set: 6-0 - 2 set: 0-6 etc.) |
HuskyNation1 | 29 |
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