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    All Forums | Pro Golf

    WGC Mexico picks

    alangrrbs
    JBender
    LeRinkRat
    head2headgolf
    sacker17
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 804
    Posts: 19
     
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2018 - 11:20 PM ET #1

    I got to party with Sacker this week!!!  So much fun.  He was in town with his family, I finally got to see him in person.  Awesome guy, wife is even more awesome.  Had a great podcast, went over hanging out with Sacker...here are the picks this week.  


    Phil Mickelson ov Justin Rose


    Choo Choo!!!  All aboard the Phil Mickelson train.  Phil looks great.  5th, 2nd and 6th in his last 3 tournaments, and he finished 7th here last year.  Is Phil good around the greens?  Let’s take a look.  1st in putting on tour in 2018, 2nd in birdie conversion, and he hasn’t missed a putt inside 3 feet all year.  His driving is ok, not great, but his driving has never been great.  He switched drivers, we made fun of him, but it appears it’s been working.  I don’t have anything bad to say about Justin Rose, but he hasn’t played in a month, and finished 38th here last year.  This is a play supporting Phil Mickelson and believing that he is in a elite groove right now.


    Paul Casey ov Sergio Garcia


    I’m not worried about Paul Casey’s 49th place finish at the Genesis Open.  It’s the outlier performance.  That finish is his worst finish since the Sony Open in 2017!!!  He’s a top 15 machine…in fact in the last 13 tournaments he’s played in he’s finished top 15 10 of those times.  We’ve talked about it before, but Sergio has a kid on the way, his life is changing, and he’s only played twice this year,  32nd in Dubai, and 33rd at the Honda.  Not very impressive.  Give me Paul Casey this week.


    Pat Perez ov Patrick Reed


    I’m sick of not making money betting against Patrick Reed…that stops this week.  Patrick Reed is a bit of a mystery.  23rd at the Farmers, and 17th at the Waste Management, but he’s also missed the cut at the Career builder, and he’s missed the cut his last 2 tournaments.  Last year he finished 61st here, which is terrible.  There’s only 65 guys that play in the tournament.  Perez hasn’t been spectacular, but he hasn’t missed a cut this year, and finished 24 spots ahead of Reed here last year.


    Brendan Steele ov Kevin Kisner


    Cashed a bet going against Kisner last week, I’ll keep betting against him.  Something’s not right with him.  50th at the career builder, missed cut at Pebble Beach, and missed cut at the Honda last week.  He’s 10 over in his last 2 tournaments, and doesn’t have a round under 70 in his last 6 rounds.  Maybe he’s dealing with an injury we don’t know about, his swing is off..something isn’t right with him.  Brendan Steele consistent as every, no missed cuts in 2018, mostly solid finishes including a 3rd at the Waste Management.  Love the consistent Brendan Steele over 4 rounds compared to Kevin Kisner who’s in a slump.

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    I got to party with Sacker this week!!!  So much fun.  He was in town with his family, I finally got to see him in person.  Awesome guy, wife is even more awesome.  Had a great podcast, went over hanging out with Sacker...here are the picks this week.  


    Phil Mickelson ov Justin Rose


    Choo Choo!!!  All aboard the Phil Mickelson train.  Phil looks great.  5th, 2nd and 6th in his last 3 tournaments, and he finished 7th here last year.  Is Phil good around the greens?  Let’s take a look.  1st in putting on tour in 2018, 2nd in birdie conversion, and he hasn’t missed a putt inside 3 feet all year.  His driving is ok, not great, but his driving has never been great.  He switched drivers, we made fun of him, but it appears it’s been working.  I don’t have anything bad to say about Justin Rose, but he hasn’t played in a month, and finished 38th here last year.  This is a play supporting Phil Mickelson and believing that he is in a elite groove right now.


    Paul Casey ov Sergio Garcia


    I’m not worried about Paul Casey’s 49th place finish at the Genesis Open.  It’s the outlier performance.  That finish is his worst finish since the Sony Open in 2017!!!  He’s a top 15 machine…in fact in the last 13 tournaments he’s played in he’s finished top 15 10 of those times.  We’ve talked about it before, but Sergio has a kid on the way, his life is changing, and he’s only played twice this year,  32nd in Dubai, and 33rd at the Honda.  Not very impressive.  Give me Paul Casey this week.


    Pat Perez ov Patrick Reed


    I’m sick of not making money betting against Patrick Reed…that stops this week.  Patrick Reed is a bit of a mystery.  23rd at the Farmers, and 17th at the Waste Management, but he’s also missed the cut at the Career builder, and he’s missed the cut his last 2 tournaments.  Last year he finished 61st here, which is terrible.  There’s only 65 guys that play in the tournament.  Perez hasn’t been spectacular, but he hasn’t missed a cut this year, and finished 24 spots ahead of Reed here last year.


    Brendan Steele ov Kevin Kisner


    Cashed a bet going against Kisner last week, I’ll keep betting against him.  Something’s not right with him.  50th at the career builder, missed cut at Pebble Beach, and missed cut at the Honda last week.  He’s 10 over in his last 2 tournaments, and doesn’t have a round under 70 in his last 6 rounds.  Maybe he’s dealing with an injury we don’t know about, his swing is off..something isn’t right with him.  Brendan Steele consistent as every, no missed cuts in 2018, mostly solid finishes including a 3rd at the Waste Management.  Love the consistent Brendan Steele over 4 rounds compared to Kevin Kisner who’s in a slump.

     
    alangrrbs
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2018 - 11:31 PM ET #2

    Gonna be hangin out with LeRink next week!!!  You ready LeRink?!?!
    Reply
    Gonna be hangin out with LeRink next week!!!  You ready LeRink?!?!
     
    JBender
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    Posted: Feb. 27, 2018 - 11:36 PM ET #3

    Your thoughts on Paul Casey 19/better -15

    I love your write ups - Thank you for taking the time

    Reply

    Your thoughts on Paul Casey 19/better -15

    I love your write ups - Thank you for taking the time

     
    alangrrbs
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2018 - 12:05 AM ET #4

    Quote Originally Posted by JBender:

    Your thoughts on Paul Casey 19/better -15

    I love your write ups - Thank you for taking the time


    I don't understand the Paul Casey bet...  What is 19/better -15?
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by JBender:

    Your thoughts on Paul Casey 19/better -15

    I love your write ups - Thank you for taking the time


    I don't understand the Paul Casey bet...  What is 19/better -15?
     
    LeRinkRat
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2018 - 12:19 AM ET #5

    Quote Originally Posted by alangrrbs:

    Gonna be hangin out with LeRink next week!!!  You ready LeRink?!?!


    YES looking forward to it


    I have done these so far, Andy

    Tommy Fleetwood +115 over Rickie Fowler
    Patton Kizzire +160 over Russell Henley
    Dylan Frittelli +110 over Louis Oosthuizen
    wiil "tail" you on Phil Mickelson +110 over Justin Rose

    some interesting "super long shots" this week. these Euro Tour guys have ALL been playing well and I think worth a "sprinkle" with their odds "Hey!!! Ya Never Know!!!"

    Dylan Frittelli 60-1
    11th last week @ Honda [-1] T-5th Maybank [-16] T-6th DDC [-16]

    Haotong Li 100-1 CUT Maybank and CUT Abu Dhabi BUT WON DDC [-23]

    Joost Luiten 100-1
    WON Oman Open [-16] his last

    Shubhankar Sharma 150-1 OK so Sharma does NOT like the Arab desert with CUT Qatar Masters and CUT Oman Open his last two and T-61st DDC [-6] and T-48th Abu Dhabi [-5] BUT WON Maybank [-21] AND Joberg Open [-23] he can shoot "wicked low" when he gets it going

    Chris Paisley 150-1 WON SA Open [-21] T-5th Abu Dhabi HSBC [-17] 5th DDC [-17] and T-27th Maybank [-11]. watching the guy he is NOT intimidated by playing with "name" players

    Jorge Campillo 200-1
    T-4th Oman Open [-11] 2nd Maybank [-19] has been coming REALLY close to winning




    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by alangrrbs:

    Gonna be hangin out with LeRink next week!!!  You ready LeRink?!?!


    YES looking forward to it


    I have done these so far, Andy

    Tommy Fleetwood +115 over Rickie Fowler
    Patton Kizzire +160 over Russell Henley
    Dylan Frittelli +110 over Louis Oosthuizen
    wiil "tail" you on Phil Mickelson +110 over Justin Rose

    some interesting "super long shots" this week. these Euro Tour guys have ALL been playing well and I think worth a "sprinkle" with their odds "Hey!!! Ya Never Know!!!"

    Dylan Frittelli 60-1
    11th last week @ Honda [-1] T-5th Maybank [-16] T-6th DDC [-16]

    Haotong Li 100-1 CUT Maybank and CUT Abu Dhabi BUT WON DDC [-23]

    Joost Luiten 100-1
    WON Oman Open [-16] his last

    Shubhankar Sharma 150-1 OK so Sharma does NOT like the Arab desert with CUT Qatar Masters and CUT Oman Open his last two and T-61st DDC [-6] and T-48th Abu Dhabi [-5] BUT WON Maybank [-21] AND Joberg Open [-23] he can shoot "wicked low" when he gets it going

    Chris Paisley 150-1 WON SA Open [-21] T-5th Abu Dhabi HSBC [-17] 5th DDC [-17] and T-27th Maybank [-11]. watching the guy he is NOT intimidated by playing with "name" players

    Jorge Campillo 200-1
    T-4th Oman Open [-11] 2nd Maybank [-19] has been coming REALLY close to winning




     
    JBender
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2018 - 12:41 AM ET #6

    To finish in 19th place or better st -115 odds

    Like or no like?
    Reply
    To finish in 19th place or better st -115 odds

    Like or no like?
     
    JBender
    JBender
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2018 - 12:42 AM ET #7

    Typo.....at -115 odds
    Not st -115
    Reply
    Typo.....at -115 odds
    Not st -115
     
    alangrrbs
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2018 - 1:39 AM ET #8

    Quote Originally Posted by JBender:

    To finish in 19th place or better st -115 odds

    Like or no like?

    I like it.  I looked this up for you...Casey has finished inside the top 16 in 16 of his last 21 tournaments.  If that 49th at the Genesis worries you, don't let it.  He finished 38th at it last year.  He finished 16th at this tournament last year.  And in in a tournament with only 65 guys playing, finishing inside the top 19 means he just needs to be inside the top 28% of the field.  Pretty good odds at -115.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by JBender:

    To finish in 19th place or better st -115 odds

    Like or no like?

    I like it.  I looked this up for you...Casey has finished inside the top 16 in 16 of his last 21 tournaments.  If that 49th at the Genesis worries you, don't let it.  He finished 38th at it last year.  He finished 16th at this tournament last year.  And in in a tournament with only 65 guys playing, finishing inside the top 19 means he just needs to be inside the top 28% of the field.  Pretty good odds at -115.
     
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2018 - 1:43 AM ET #9

    Since I'll be out of town, I may bring all my podcast equipment and make LeRink do it with me...lol.  You ready LeRink?!?
    Reply
    Since I'll be out of town, I may bring all my podcast equipment and make LeRink do it with me...lol.  You ready LeRink?!?
     
    LeRinkRat
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2018 - 1:50 AM ET #10

    Quote Originally Posted by alangrrbs:

    Since I'll be out of town, I may bring all my podcast equipment and make LeRink do it with me...lol.  You ready LeRink?!?


    SEE you @ Hooters Casino unless something WEIRD happens, Andy 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by alangrrbs:

    Since I'll be out of town, I may bring all my podcast equipment and make LeRink do it with me...lol.  You ready LeRink?!?


    SEE you @ Hooters Casino unless something WEIRD happens, Andy 
     
    JBender
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2018 - 10:53 AM ET #11

    Hey man, I’m coming to Vegas on Business May 2-5.
    Staying at Encore. If you’re available, I’d love to buy you a beer as a thanks. I’ve followed a few of your picks the past couple weeks. If interested let me know ...
    You can PM me and I’ll give you my name so you can be sure I’m not a psycho. All good either way....

    I’m gonna add a bit more to my Casey bet. Thx
    Reply
    Hey man, I’m coming to Vegas on Business May 2-5.
    Staying at Encore. If you’re available, I’d love to buy you a beer as a thanks. I’ve followed a few of your picks the past couple weeks. If interested let me know ...
    You can PM me and I’ll give you my name so you can be sure I’m not a psycho. All good either way....

    I’m gonna add a bit more to my Casey bet. Thx
     
    head2headgolf
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    Posted: Feb. 28, 2018 - 5:18 PM ET #12

    On board with 2 of your picks.... lets hope we are both right. GL this weekend

    Reply

    On board with 2 of your picks.... lets hope we are both right. GL this weekend

     
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: Mar. 1, 2018 - 3:10 PM ET #13

    Add me as a friend Bender
    Reply
    Add me as a friend Bender
     
    LeRinkRat
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    Posted: Mar. 1, 2018 - 10:22 PM ET #14

    Hokey Smoke!!! I thought Paisley and Sharma might do well this tourney BUT tied 2nd with "X" @ [-6] one behind Oosthuizen ??? only the 1st round and a LONG way to go BUT still nice

    "Cocker Tommy" Fleetwood is gonna DROWN the whole FORUM IF he does NOT get his game together [+1]
    Reply
    Hokey Smoke!!! I thought Paisley and Sharma might do well this tourney BUT tied 2nd with "X" @ [-6] one behind Oosthuizen ??? only the 1st round and a LONG way to go BUT still nice

    "Cocker Tommy" Fleetwood is gonna DROWN the whole FORUM IF he does NOT get his game together [+1]
     
    JBender
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    Posted: Mar. 4, 2018 - 12:01 PM ET #15

    Quote Originally Posted by alangrrbs:

    Add me as a friend Bender


    Done...

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by alangrrbs:

    Add me as a friend Bender


    Done...

     
    LeRinkRat
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    Posted: Mar. 4, 2018 - 9:54 PM ET #16

    well I'll be swizzled "Cocker Tommy" end up WINNING his match with "Rickie Tickie" [-8/-1]. Fleetwood came on strong final two rounds and Fowler "blew up". I ened up with the 2-2 "splitski" once again

    BIG disappointment for me that Shubhankar Sharma @ 150-1 could NOT hold his 3rd round two shot lead. just could NOT make a putt on those damn lumpy greens and shot [+3] for tourney [-10] tied 9th. WOULD have been a NICE pay
    Reply
    well I'll be swizzled "Cocker Tommy" end up WINNING his match with "Rickie Tickie" [-8/-1]. Fleetwood came on strong final two rounds and Fowler "blew up". I ened up with the 2-2 "splitski" once again

    BIG disappointment for me that Shubhankar Sharma @ 150-1 could NOT hold his 3rd round two shot lead. just could NOT make a putt on those damn lumpy greens and shot [+3] for tourney [-10] tied 9th. WOULD have been a NICE pay
     
    JBender
    JBender
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jul, 2007
    Posts: 494
    Posted: Mar. 4, 2018 - 10:03 PM ET #17

    Casey 19th or better paid off nicely....

    Especially after I double it after your comments....

    So if we meet up in Vegas, it's a couple of cold ones and some nachos!




    Reply

    Casey 19th or better paid off nicely....

    Especially after I double it after your comments....

    So if we meet up in Vegas, it's a couple of cold ones and some nachos!




     
    alangrrbs
    alangrrbs
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2011
    Posts: 4739
    Posted: Mar. 4, 2018 - 10:09 PM ET #18

    Quote Originally Posted by JBender:

    Casey 19th or better paid off nicely....

    Especially after I double it after your comments....

    So if we meet up in Vegas, it's a couple of cold ones and some nachos! 



    You doubled it after my advice?  Save the beer...I'll send you my paypal address 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by JBender:

    Casey 19th or better paid off nicely....

    Especially after I double it after your comments....

    So if we meet up in Vegas, it's a couple of cold ones and some nachos! 



    You doubled it after my advice?  Save the beer...I'll send you my paypal address 
     
     
    sacker17
    sacker17
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2014
    Posts: 1595
    Posted: Mar. 5, 2018 - 12:52 AM ET #19

    Andy

    Good time hanging out with you and KJ last week for sure. The Johnny Black went down real smooth. 
    As did the porterhouse. 

    Good week
    Keep up the good work
    Reply
    Andy

    Good time hanging out with you and KJ last week for sure. The Johnny Black went down real smooth. 
    As did the porterhouse. 

    Good week
    Keep up the good work
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