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Berger plus 130 v SimpsonLove the priceBerger has top 25 in 5 straight starts; including top 15 in both Hawaii starts. Was T7 here last year. One of the &#x201C;young guns&#x201D; He is good buds with Fowler Thomas Spieth and needs to keep up with them.Bradley _ 105 v SteeleHaven&#x2019;t been a Bradley fan the past few years but when the facts change you gotta keep an open mindBradley played great last week with a 5th place finish. He has 2 top 5s now the past 4 events. His last few years he sucked but still managed to have 4 top 25 finishes here in 6 starts Also like a few dogs which I will play small just for the hell of it. Knox plus 120 CayleyChappell plus 120 ReedSmith plus 130 MolinariHadley plus 110 Snedeker

sacker17 · Answer

Berger plus 130 v SimpsonLove the priceBerger has top 25 in 5 straight starts; including top 15 in both Hawaii starts. Was T7 here last year. One of the &#x201C;young guns&#x201D; He is good buds with Fowler Thomas Spieth and needs to keep up with them.Bradley _ 105 v SteeleHaven&#x2019;t been a Bradley fan the past few years but when the facts change you gotta keep an open mindBradley played great last week with a 5th place finish. He has 2 top 5s now the past 4 events. His last few years he sucked but still managed to have 4 top 25 finishes here in 6 starts Also like a few dogs which I will play small just for the hell of it. Knox plus 120 CayleyChappell plus 120 ReedSmith plus 130 MolinariHadley plus 110 Snedeker

sacker17 · Answer

The more I look at Smith &#x2B;130 v Mole the more I like SmithSmith this year hasn&#x27;t been worse than T20.Smith is a really good young 24 yr old player from Australia just coming into his own.He played here 2x and last year finished T42 -6.  MC 2015.But he is a different player this year just getting better and better.5 starts this year from most recentT20 -4T18 -11T17 -83rd  -8T5 -16Mole took 2 months off and came back to play the Farmers last week where he finished Even par T45 with his last 3 rounds at 73, 73, 74.Smith is in good form and much tighter playing regularly and beat Mole last week by 4 strokes (Smith was T20 -4Mole only played this event 1x and that was 2015 where he had only 1 round below 70 (1 monster round of 64) and he finished T22 -7.Love the &#x2B;130.  That&#x27;s nuts!

LeRinkRat · Answer

good to see you posting, sacker17 I also played "Cammy" Smith over "The Mole. don&#x27;t forget he also WON the Australian PGA in December

sacker17 · Answer

Good start for the weekBerger blew away Simpson at &#x2B;130. Knox edges Cauley at &#x2B;120Had An &#x2B;180 v Finau but bet it late and posted on Andy&#x2019;s thread in response to Rat who also had AnAnyway pending bigger plays are Bradley v Steele. Down 3Smith &#x2B;130 v Mole up 3. Don&#x2019;t know how Bradley is down 3 to Steele Bradley leads the entire tourney in GIR T1 83%Bradley leads entire field in driving accuracy 22/28Putting Bradley is T59 not great I&#x2019;m gonna add a round 3 play on Bradley who I already have big so I&#x2019;ll keep it small especially because I hate to lay big odds in 1 roundBradley -135 v Hossler. Driving accuracy Bradley 1st. 22/28   Hossler T54 13/28GIR. Bradley T1 83%.  Hossler T56 64%Hossler been scrambling his behind offT1 sand saves (4/4) T9 scrambling

sacker17 · Answer

Damn waited too long and Bradley went to -145 v Hossler

Bet it anyway small

Bradley’s game is really on right now.

2 Top 5s last 4 events and playing well this event.

Hate 1 round plays

Tread lightly

sacker17 · Answer

Gonna add Another small RD3 playBerger &#x2B;125 v FowlerBerger Fowler Spieth Thomas very good buddies. Berger very talented too but doesn&#x2019;t get the press or results so far. You know playing together it&#x2019;ll be close. I&#x2019;ll take the plus odds smallBerger does have better stats this week so far except for putting where Fowler has been light out. GIR Berger 81% v Fowler 69%Driving accurcy Berger 71% v Fowler 57%Fowler puttting has averaged &#x2B;2.9 strokes gained v Berger not bad at &#x2B;1.1.

sacker17 · Answer

Just added a bit more to my smallish play today on Bradley who is now only -130 v Hossler.Not sure why line went down but here I like it much more.Hate to lay the odds on a daily

sacker17 · Answer

I will not be betting any more daily round plays.

Find it impossible.

These guys are all pros and any pro have can a good or bad day.

Only tourney bets for me from here on.

Might as well toss a coin with these dailys

I bet on Bradley and he wets the bed with a shitty -1 but didn’t matter bc the matchup of course was against the guy who had the best round of the day Hossler (-7). Any pro on any given day.

Then I bet Berger v Fowler +125.

Should’ve won that.

In fact I put the “W” on that.

Up 4 strokes near the turn.

Up 3 strokes with 4 to play

How do u lose that bet?

I knew that fowler would make the putt on 18.

That was a sure thing.

Tortured

Need a drink ??

LeRinkRat · Answer

THAT 3rd was one CRAZY AZZ round for sure. Cammy Smith with his WORST round I have seen him shoot this season [+3] for tourney [-3] tied with "The Mole" [even] for also [-3] going into Sunday. what SHOULD have been an easy WIN now turns into a SWEAT

and how about freeking Justin Thomas ??? he shoots his front side [-5] and at one time had the tourney lead THEN the fool with two birdies and 2 bogies on the back BUT TRIPLE on #15 and DOUBLE on #16 for an [even] round. ex for the Beyoung-Hun An win, this damn tourney is turning into another WRECK for me

sacker17 · Answer

RatI also need Smith (&#x2B;130) to beat the Mole or it&#x2019;ll be a small losing week for me. If smith beats mole i have a good weekBerger and An I had goodBradley (loser to Steele) and Smith I have good. Others less. Hope Smith today is not the Smith we see Sunday

sacker17 · Answer

Ok I know I said no more daily bets; but if u are gonna bet a daily round; round 4 the better player usually finishes.

I am gonna make a nice size bet today on

Noren -145 v Laird

These guys are NOT in the same class.

Noren is sharp and is #16 in OWGR

Laird is very ordinary. Not a top player. He is #137 OWGR

After starting slow RD1 (kind of understandable after grueling playoff loss to Day on Sunday-Monday), Noren has picked things up where he left off last week

RD2 shot 68

RD3 shot 65 hitting 83% GIR vs Laird 50% RD3.

At least I know I have by far the better player in the money round.

sacker17 · Answer

One more thing Noren is one of the best putters on tourThis week he is T4 GIR. T15 putts per hole. T12 driving accuracyAnd that is including his RD1 stats. RD2 he hit 83%GIR and RD3 83%If this was a tourney play I&#x2019;d empty out. Any round anything can happen. But rd4 I&#x2019;m more comfortable than any other round

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