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    All Forums | Pro Golf

    US Open "to win" long shots and "quad' group bets

    LeRinkRat
    alangrrbs
    sacker17
    vanzack
    PuttForeDough
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 1435
    Posts: 10
     
    LeRinkRat
    LeRinkRat
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2001
    Posts: 85256
    Posted: Jun. 13, 2017 - 3:39 PM ET #1


    Alex Noren 50-1 (got @ 150-1 early). recent winner of BMW PGA in England with a final round [-10] for tourney [-11]. he was a four time winner last season on the Euro Tour including another "bomber" final round [-9] for [-14] @ the Nedbank in South Africa. shoots "wicked low" when he gets it going and is never "out of it"

    Franceaso Molinari 80-1 (got @ 200-1 early). "The Mole" 2nd @ BMW PGA with final [-4] for tourney [-9]. got "aced out" by Noren's final round "bomber". has played well on the PGA tour this season with a 6th @ the Players [-5] and 7th @ the API [-7]. very steady players who is usually in the Top 20.

    Bernd Wiesberger 200-1. "Weeze the Cheese" WON @ Shenzhen [-16] (beat Tommy Fleetwood in a playoff), 4th China Open [-15] and 3rd @ Maybank [-17] he was 12th @ The Players [-2]. like "The Mole" a steady player usually in the Top 20.

    Matthew Fitzpatrick 125-1
    . "The Matthew Mouse" WON the DP World Tour "Race to Dubai" final tourney last season [-17] along with the Nordea in Sweden [-16]. 2nd @ Nordea [-10], 12th @ BMW PGA [-5] and 5th @ the Omega Dubai [-12] this season

    Tommy Fleetwood 150-1. Tommy has struggled recently with missed cuts @ the BMW PGA and Memorial BUT can shoot "wicked low" when he is on his game. 10th @ API where he overcame an opening [+6] for a [-6] finish and 2nd to Dustin Johnson by one shot in the WGC-Mexico with a final [-5] for tourney [-13]. WON @ Abu Dhabi early season with a tourney [-17]. 2nd to "Weeze the Cheese" @ Shenzhen with a final [-9] for tourney [-16] to tie BUT lost the playoff. also 3rd @ Hong Kong [-11] and 12th @ Maybank [-9]. an aggressiave player he will either be "Mr Missed Cut" OR challenge for the lead.

    Si Woo Kim 150-1 (got @ 300-1 early) "Woo Who ???" WON the Players with a final [-3] for tourney [-10] and WON the Wyndham [-21] near the end of last season BUT can be WAY inconsistent. like Tommy Fleetwood he will either be in contention OR a "blow up" CUT

    Alex Levy 300-1
    (also a 50-1 "field" player @ South Point). WON China Open with a final [-5] for [-17] and won the playoff over South African Dylan Frittelli. also 8th @ Shenzhen [-13] and 4th @ Maybank [-16]. note: keep an eye on Frittelli in future Euro Tour events. just WON the Lyoness Open [-12], that 2nd @ China open along with 5th @ Shenzhen [-14] and three other Top 20 finishes this season so far. British Open play IF he qualifies ???

    the three recent PGA tour event winners. Kevin Kisner 50-1 (75-1 early) @ Colonial [-10], Jason Dufner 80-1 (150-1 early)  @ Memorial [-13] and Daniel Berger 75-1 @ FedEx St Jude [-10]. also Kevin Chappell 90-1 (150-1 early) WON @ Valero [-12]. 4th last week @ FedEx St Jude [-8]. 7th @ Masters [-3]

    also Jeunghun Wang 400-1. OK after winning @ Qatar earlier this season the 20 year old Korean has been "Mr Missed Cut" ex he did get a tied 8th at his last Euro event the Nordea Masters [-6] IF I do NOT play him, he will sure as hell be in contention AND Andy "Beef" Johnson 300-1. been pretty much "where's the beef ???" this season but the modern English version of John Daly is a personal favorite so a small "sprinkle"

    the 50-1 "field" bet @ the South Point, Las Vegas sportsbook is interesting. you get ALL these players plus Alex Levy

    qualified in England
    Haotong Li
    Alex Levy
    George Coetzee
    Matt Wallace
    Bradley Dredge
    Brandon Stone  
    Richie Ramsay
    Thomas Aiken
    Eddie Pepperell
    Thomas Aiken
    Paul Dunne

    qualified in United States
    JT Poston
    Stewart Cink  
    C.T. Pan
    Peter Uihlein
    Brian Stuard
    Steve Stricker
    Troy Merritt
    Chez Reavie
    Trey Mullinax
    Xander Schauffele
    Brian Harman


    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    Alex Noren 50-1 (got @ 150-1 early). recent winner of BMW PGA in England with a final round [-10] for tourney [-11]. he was a four time winner last season on the Euro Tour including another "bomber" final round [-9] for [-14] @ the Nedbank in South Africa. shoots "wicked low" when he gets it going and is never "out of it"

    Franceaso Molinari 80-1 (got @ 200-1 early). "The Mole" 2nd @ BMW PGA with final [-4] for tourney [-9]. got "aced out" by Noren's final round "bomber". has played well on the PGA tour this season with a 6th @ the Players [-5] and 7th @ the API [-7]. very steady players who is usually in the Top 20.

    Bernd Wiesberger 200-1. "Weeze the Cheese" WON @ Shenzhen [-16] (beat Tommy Fleetwood in a playoff), 4th China Open [-15] and 3rd @ Maybank [-17] he was 12th @ The Players [-2]. like "The Mole" a steady player usually in the Top 20.

    Matthew Fitzpatrick 125-1
    . "The Matthew Mouse" WON the DP World Tour "Race to Dubai" final tourney last season [-17] along with the Nordea in Sweden [-16]. 2nd @ Nordea [-10], 12th @ BMW PGA [-5] and 5th @ the Omega Dubai [-12] this season

    Tommy Fleetwood 150-1. Tommy has struggled recently with missed cuts @ the BMW PGA and Memorial BUT can shoot "wicked low" when he is on his game. 10th @ API where he overcame an opening [+6] for a [-6] finish and 2nd to Dustin Johnson by one shot in the WGC-Mexico with a final [-5] for tourney [-13]. WON @ Abu Dhabi early season with a tourney [-17]. 2nd to "Weeze the Cheese" @ Shenzhen with a final [-9] for tourney [-16] to tie BUT lost the playoff. also 3rd @ Hong Kong [-11] and 12th @ Maybank [-9]. an aggressiave player he will either be "Mr Missed Cut" OR challenge for the lead.

    Si Woo Kim 150-1 (got @ 300-1 early) "Woo Who ???" WON the Players with a final [-3] for tourney [-10] and WON the Wyndham [-21] near the end of last season BUT can be WAY inconsistent. like Tommy Fleetwood he will either be in contention OR a "blow up" CUT

    Alex Levy 300-1
    (also a 50-1 "field" player @ South Point). WON China Open with a final [-5] for [-17] and won the playoff over South African Dylan Frittelli. also 8th @ Shenzhen [-13] and 4th @ Maybank [-16]. note: keep an eye on Frittelli in future Euro Tour events. just WON the Lyoness Open [-12], that 2nd @ China open along with 5th @ Shenzhen [-14] and three other Top 20 finishes this season so far. British Open play IF he qualifies ???

    the three recent PGA tour event winners. Kevin Kisner 50-1 (75-1 early) @ Colonial [-10], Jason Dufner 80-1 (150-1 early)  @ Memorial [-13] and Daniel Berger 75-1 @ FedEx St Jude [-10]. also Kevin Chappell 90-1 (150-1 early) WON @ Valero [-12]. 4th last week @ FedEx St Jude [-8]. 7th @ Masters [-3]

    also Jeunghun Wang 400-1. OK after winning @ Qatar earlier this season the 20 year old Korean has been "Mr Missed Cut" ex he did get a tied 8th at his last Euro event the Nordea Masters [-6] IF I do NOT play him, he will sure as hell be in contention AND Andy "Beef" Johnson 300-1. been pretty much "where's the beef ???" this season but the modern English version of John Daly is a personal favorite so a small "sprinkle"

    the 50-1 "field" bet @ the South Point, Las Vegas sportsbook is interesting. you get ALL these players plus Alex Levy

    qualified in England
    Haotong Li
    Alex Levy
    George Coetzee
    Matt Wallace
    Bradley Dredge
    Brandon Stone  
    Richie Ramsay
    Thomas Aiken
    Eddie Pepperell
    Thomas Aiken
    Paul Dunne

    qualified in United States
    JT Poston
    Stewart Cink  
    C.T. Pan
    Peter Uihlein
    Brian Stuard
    Steve Stricker
    Troy Merritt
    Chez Reavie
    Trey Mullinax
    Xander Schauffele
    Brian Harman


     
    LeRinkRat
    LeRinkRat
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2001
    Posts: 85256
    Posted: Jun. 13, 2017 - 3:47 PM ET #2


    "quad" groups @ Westgate, Las Vegas (bet/return)

    group A
    Dustin Johnson +180
    Rory McIlroy +290
    Jordan Spieth +300
    Jason Day +300

    group B
    Jon Rahm +230 <<< (40/132)
    Rickie Fowler +260
    Justin Rose +275
    Sergio Garcia +275

    group C
    Hideki Matsuyama +250
    Henrik Stenson +250 <<< {40/140)
    Adam Scott +250
    Paul Casey +290

    group D
    Justin Thomas +240
    Brooks Koepka +250
    Thomas Pieters +275
    Alex Noren +275 <<< (40/150)

    group E
    Kevin Kisner +240
    Jason Dufner +240
    Daniel Berger +290
    Kevin Chappell +270 <<< (40/148)

    group F
    Matt Kuchar +225
    Louis Oosthuizen +250
    Charl Schwartzel +250
    Martin Kaymer +325

    group G
    Shane Lowry +225
    Byeong-Hun An +260
    Matthew Fitzpatrick +260
    Emiliano Grillo +300

    group H
    Tommy Fleetwood +250
    Ross Fisher +240
    Adam Hadwin +300
    Bernd Wiesberger +250 <<< (40/140)

    group I
    Russell Knox +275
    William McGirt +250
    David Lingmerth +260
    Martin Laird +250

    group J
    Haotong Li +240 <<< (40/136)
    Jeunghun Wang +250
    Bryson DeChambeau +275
    Paul Dunne +275

    note on group J: I think it will be either Li or Wang winning that group as BOTH DeChambeau and Dunne just plain STINK so I did a Wang even over Li tourney match play for a "half azzed hedge"
    Reply

    "quad" groups @ Westgate, Las Vegas (bet/return)

    group A
    Dustin Johnson +180
    Rory McIlroy +290
    Jordan Spieth +300
    Jason Day +300

    group B
    Jon Rahm +230 <<< (40/132)
    Rickie Fowler +260
    Justin Rose +275
    Sergio Garcia +275

    group C
    Hideki Matsuyama +250
    Henrik Stenson +250 <<< {40/140)
    Adam Scott +250
    Paul Casey +290

    group D
    Justin Thomas +240
    Brooks Koepka +250
    Thomas Pieters +275
    Alex Noren +275 <<< (40/150)

    group E
    Kevin Kisner +240
    Jason Dufner +240
    Daniel Berger +290
    Kevin Chappell +270 <<< (40/148)

    group F
    Matt Kuchar +225
    Louis Oosthuizen +250
    Charl Schwartzel +250
    Martin Kaymer +325

    group G
    Shane Lowry +225
    Byeong-Hun An +260
    Matthew Fitzpatrick +260
    Emiliano Grillo +300

    group H
    Tommy Fleetwood +250
    Ross Fisher +240
    Adam Hadwin +300
    Bernd Wiesberger +250 <<< (40/140)

    group I
    Russell Knox +275
    William McGirt +250
    David Lingmerth +260
    Martin Laird +250

    group J
    Haotong Li +240 <<< (40/136)
    Jeunghun Wang +250
    Bryson DeChambeau +275
    Paul Dunne +275

    note on group J: I think it will be either Li or Wang winning that group as BOTH DeChambeau and Dunne just plain STINK so I did a Wang even over Li tourney match play for a "half azzed hedge"
     
    alangrrbs
    alangrrbs
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Aug, 2011
    Posts: 4739
    Posted: Jun. 13, 2017 - 10:22 PM ET #3

    Best value is Weisberger to win.  That's crazy odds.  If you know me, you know I love Molinari, so I like that one.


    I like the group D pick...the Stenson pick in his group worries me as I don't know if he's back to form or not...I haven't seen enough to convince me, but his last tourney in Europe he had a decent showing.  So maybe you are on to something.

    Like your group J pick.  You might bet both Li and Wang at plus money in that group.
    Reply
    Best value is Weisberger to win.  That's crazy odds.  If you know me, you know I love Molinari, so I like that one.


    I like the group D pick...the Stenson pick in his group worries me as I don't know if he's back to form or not...I haven't seen enough to convince me, but his last tourney in Europe he had a decent showing.  So maybe you are on to something.

    Like your group J pick.  You might bet both Li and Wang at plus money in that group.
     
    LeRinkRat
    LeRinkRat
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2001
    Posts: 85256
    Posted: Jun. 13, 2017 - 11:33 PM ET #4

    thanks for your thoughts, alangrrbs

    I like the group D pick

    I am on just about "everything Alex Noren" this week. I sure HOPE he does NOT burn me

    Like your group J pick.  You might bet both Li and Wang at plus money in that group.

    hell I never even THOUGHT of that. would have been WAY smarter than taking just Li and then "hedging" with Wang
    Reply
    thanks for your thoughts, alangrrbs

    I like the group D pick

    I am on just about "everything Alex Noren" this week. I sure HOPE he does NOT burn me

    Like your group J pick.  You might bet both Li and Wang at plus money in that group.

    hell I never even THOUGHT of that. would have been WAY smarter than taking just Li and then "hedging" with Wang
     
    sacker17
    sacker17
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Jan, 2014
    Posts: 1595
    Posted: Jun. 14, 2017 - 3:16 PM ET #5

    Rat
    Kinda lean
    C  Scott
    E Chappell
    H  Weisberger
    I Li

    Good luck
    Reply
    Rat
    Kinda lean
    C  Scott
    E Chappell
    H  Weisberger
    I Li

    Good luck
     
    vanzack
    vanzack
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Nov, 2001
    Posts: 60107
    Posted: Jun. 14, 2017 - 10:01 PM ET #6

    I took a shot on Kevin Kisner at 62-1.

    GL all.

    Support your local animal shelter. I am on twitter.
    Reply
    I took a shot on Kevin Kisner at 62-1.

    GL all.

     
    LeRinkRat
    LeRinkRat
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2001
    Posts: 85256
    Posted: Jun. 15, 2017 - 12:47 AM ET #7

    a few late Wednesday night plays courtesy of the Mrs dollar video poker 4 aces and a kicker (the duce) for 2 dimes tonight @ South Point

    @ Cantor Gaming
    low European
    Alex Noren 10-1 (50/550)
    Francesco Molinari 20-1 (25/525)

    past winner wins the Open? YES +195 (51/150.45)
    Dustin Johnson
    Rory McIlroy
    Jordan Spieth
    Justin Rose
    Martin Kaymer
    Jim Furyk
    Graeme McDowell
    Webb Simpson
    Lucas Glover
    Ernie Els
    Angel Cabrera

    US Open "groups of five"
    group 4
    Jason Dufner +300 (35/140)
    Brooks Koepka
    Louis Osthuizen
    Paul Casey
    Bubba Watson

    group 5
    Kevin Kisner +250 (40/140)
    Patrick Reed
    Charl Schwartzel
    Martin Kaymer
    Shane Lowry

    @ William-Hill
    make the CUT ???
    Branden Grace NO +225 (32/104)
    Bubba Watson NO +155 (40/102)

    @ Westgate
    Playoff ??? YES +320 (32/134.40)






    Reply
    a few late Wednesday night plays courtesy of the Mrs dollar video poker 4 aces and a kicker (the duce) for 2 dimes tonight @ South Point

    @ Cantor Gaming
    low European
    Alex Noren 10-1 (50/550)
    Francesco Molinari 20-1 (25/525)

    past winner wins the Open? YES +195 (51/150.45)
    Dustin Johnson
    Rory McIlroy
    Jordan Spieth
    Justin Rose
    Martin Kaymer
    Jim Furyk
    Graeme McDowell
    Webb Simpson
    Lucas Glover
    Ernie Els
    Angel Cabrera

    US Open "groups of five"
    group 4
    Jason Dufner +300 (35/140)
    Brooks Koepka
    Louis Osthuizen
    Paul Casey
    Bubba Watson

    group 5
    Kevin Kisner +250 (40/140)
    Patrick Reed
    Charl Schwartzel
    Martin Kaymer
    Shane Lowry

    @ William-Hill
    make the CUT ???
    Branden Grace NO +225 (32/104)
    Bubba Watson NO +155 (40/102)

    @ Westgate
    Playoff ??? YES +320 (32/134.40)






     
    LeRinkRat
    LeRinkRat
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2001
    Posts: 85256
    Posted: Jun. 15, 2017 - 9:44 PM ET #8

    CRAZY opening round @ Erin Hills. the four pre-tourney favorites ALL "poop like dogs in the yard" on the course and my "English Spaniel" Tommy Fleetwood with an opening [-5] tied for 4th with "field hand" Brian Harman and Brooks Koepka. I can NOT get TOO excited about Tommy as he could turn around and shoot a freeking 8 OVER tomorrow he has been SO inconsistent lately

    as for the rest Alex Noren @ [+1], Franceaso Molinari @ [+2], Bernd Wiesberger @ [-3], Matthew Fitzpatrick @ [-2] and Si Woo Kim @ [-3]. also Andy Johnson @ [-3]. "who'ed a thunk" "The Beef" would be a the "Low Johnson" 1st round with Dustin [+3] and Zack [-1] ???

    not TOO worried abut Alex Noren as long as he shoots good enough Friday to the make the cut. as I have seen in the past, Alex is NEVER out of it as long as he is still playing. note the BMW PGA and Nedbank tourney final round WINS from WAY back
    Reply
    CRAZY opening round @ Erin Hills. the four pre-tourney favorites ALL "poop like dogs in the yard" on the course and my "English Spaniel" Tommy Fleetwood with an opening [-5] tied for 4th with "field hand" Brian Harman and Brooks Koepka. I can NOT get TOO excited about Tommy as he could turn around and shoot a freeking 8 OVER tomorrow he has been SO inconsistent lately

    as for the rest Alex Noren @ [+1], Franceaso Molinari @ [+2], Bernd Wiesberger @ [-3], Matthew Fitzpatrick @ [-2] and Si Woo Kim @ [-3]. also Andy Johnson @ [-3]. "who'ed a thunk" "The Beef" would be a the "Low Johnson" 1st round with Dustin [+3] and Zack [-1] ???

    not TOO worried abut Alex Noren as long as he shoots good enough Friday to the make the cut. as I have seen in the past, Alex is NEVER out of it as long as he is still playing. note the BMW PGA and Nedbank tourney final round WINS from WAY back
     
    LeRinkRat
    LeRinkRat
    Legend
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Dec, 2001
    Posts: 85256
    Posted: Jun. 16, 2017 - 9:07 PM ET #9

    not TOO worried abut Alex Noren as long as he shoots good enough Friday to the make the cut.not TOO worried abut Alex Noren as long as he shoots good enough Friday to the make the cut

    "the fukking SWEDES hit in the WEEDS" and that god damn wop "the Mole" too. Alex Noren [+5] for tourney [+6] CUT. Henrik Stenson [+1] for [+3] CUT and Francesco Molinari also [+1] for [+3] CUT. I am FUKKING FUKKED!!! LOSE five different bets involving Noren    

    Tommy Fleetwood tied for the lead @ [-7] with Paul Casey, Brian Harman and Brooks Koepka. NOT counting any money with Tommy who is subject to do a Noren one of the the last two rounds. kinda feel like the guy that fell out of the skyscraper with "so far so good" as he past each floor on the way down. look out for  Hideki Matsuyama with a 3rd round [-7] for tourney [-5] tied for 8th just two shots back of the leaders. "samurai golfer" shoots the round I needed from freeking Noren
    Reply
    not TOO worried abut Alex Noren as long as he shoots good enough Friday to the make the cut.not TOO worried abut Alex Noren as long as he shoots good enough Friday to the make the cut

    "the fukking SWEDES hit in the WEEDS" and that god damn wop "the Mole" too. Alex Noren [+5] for tourney [+6] CUT. Henrik Stenson [+1] for [+3] CUT and Francesco Molinari also [+1] for [+3] CUT. I am FUKKING FUKKED!!! LOSE five different bets involving Noren    

    Tommy Fleetwood tied for the lead @ [-7] with Paul Casey, Brian Harman and Brooks Koepka. NOT counting any money with Tommy who is subject to do a Noren one of the the last two rounds. kinda feel like the guy that fell out of the skyscraper with "so far so good" as he past each floor on the way down. look out for  Hideki Matsuyama with a 3rd round [-7] for tourney [-5] tied for 8th just two shots back of the leaders. "samurai golfer" shoots the round I needed from freeking Noren
     
     
    PuttForeDough
    PuttForeDough
    Rookie
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Mar, 2012
    Posts: 752
    Posted: Jun. 16, 2017 - 9:28 PM ET #10

    Can't believe we have a Xander on the leader board. BOL with your squad on the weekend Rink.

    Reply
    Can't believe we have a Xander on the leader board. BOL with your squad on the weekend Rink.

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