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    All Forums | Pro Golf

    Shell Houston Open Discussion

    Sherms
    alangrrbs
    jw11
    LeRinkRat
    PuttForeDough
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 862
    Posts: 13
     
    Sherms
    Sherms
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    Posted: Mar. 28, 2017 - 3:51 PM ET #1

    Okay, wow. First thing is first. Looking at tournament matchups and first one jumps right at me. John Rahm +110 against Jordan Spieth.. I really like Rahm here. I think Spieth really might be looking ahead to the Masters I don't know how much I trust him right now after losing a ton on him to win his group last week at the WGC.

    Rahm is playing arguably some of the best golf on the PGA tour and I think+110 is pretty decent value here. 

    Any thoughts?
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Okay, wow. First thing is first. Looking at tournament matchups and first one jumps right at me. John Rahm +110 against Jordan Spieth.. I really like Rahm here. I think Spieth really might be looking ahead to the Masters I don't know how much I trust him right now after losing a ton on him to win his group last week at the WGC.

    Rahm is playing arguably some of the best golf on the PGA tour and I think+110 is pretty decent value here. 

    Any thoughts?
     
    Sherms
    Sherms
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    Posted: Mar. 28, 2017 - 3:52 PM ET #2

    Also would play Rahm +110 ov Stenson as well.. I think Rahm is going to finish 5th at worst, going to be all over him this week. I know his stock is high right now but I haven't seen the spaniard show any signs of letting up since the start of the tour..
    Reply
    Also would play Rahm +110 ov Stenson as well.. I think Rahm is going to finish 5th at worst, going to be all over him this week. I know his stock is high right now but I haven't seen the spaniard show any signs of letting up since the start of the tour..
     
    alangrrbs
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: Mar. 28, 2017 - 11:14 PM ET #3

    Quote Originally Posted by Sherms:

    Also would play Rahm +110 ov Stenson as well.. I think Rahm is going to finish 5th at worst, going to be all over him this week. I know his stock is high right now but I haven't seen the spaniard show any signs of letting up since the start of the tour..
    s 

    Rahm ov Stenson is by far the better play than Rahm ov Spieth.  Stenson has major putting issues, and I can see a scenario where he plays a couple of rounds just trying to practice putting, missing the cut and going straight to Augusta to get ready for the Masters.  Rahm is young, trying to break into the top 5 in the world, and will be playing to win.  Spieth isn't in any kind of funk, and if he feels dialed in on thursday and Friday, he'll go for the win here.  
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Sherms:

    Also would play Rahm +110 ov Stenson as well.. I think Rahm is going to finish 5th at worst, going to be all over him this week. I know his stock is high right now but I haven't seen the spaniard show any signs of letting up since the start of the tour..
    s 

    Rahm ov Stenson is by far the better play than Rahm ov Spieth.  Stenson has major putting issues, and I can see a scenario where he plays a couple of rounds just trying to practice putting, missing the cut and going straight to Augusta to get ready for the Masters.  Rahm is young, trying to break into the top 5 in the world, and will be playing to win.  Spieth isn't in any kind of funk, and if he feels dialed in on thursday and Friday, he'll go for the win here.  
     
    jw11
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    Posted: Mar. 28, 2017 - 11:37 PM ET #4

    Great start to the week long conversation.
    I ,too, looked at Rahm over Speith initially, but realize that the odds are the same in the Rahm vs Stenson matchup.
    Reply
    Great start to the week long conversation.
    I ,too, looked at Rahm over Speith initially, but realize that the odds are the same in the Rahm vs Stenson matchup.
     
    LeRinkRat
    LeRinkRat
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    Posted: Mar. 29, 2017 - 1:37 AM ET #5

    LOVE both Jon Rahm plays BUT that is probably the "kiss of death"

    tourney match play "line i can NOT understand" this week: DA Points +170 over Ryan Palmer @ South Point. Points just WON Puerto Rico and looked good doing it. one missed cut his last 5. Palmer a "bottom feeder" "mr missed cut" his last 5
    Reply
    LOVE both Jon Rahm plays BUT that is probably the "kiss of death"

    tourney match play "line i can NOT understand" this week: DA Points +170 over Ryan Palmer @ South Point. Points just WON Puerto Rico and looked good doing it. one missed cut his last 5. Palmer a "bottom feeder" "mr missed cut" his last 5
     
    LeRinkRat
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    Posted: Mar. 29, 2017 - 2:50 PM ET #6

    Interesting that Jon Rahm up to +115 vs Henrik Stenson on Wednesday @ South Point. I thought that line would move the OTHER way

    btw that DA Points line took a dump to +155
    Reply
    Interesting that Jon Rahm up to +115 vs Henrik Stenson on Wednesday @ South Point. I thought that line would move the OTHER way

    btw that DA Points line took a dump to +155
     
    PuttForeDough
    PuttForeDough
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    Posted: Mar. 29, 2017 - 4:42 PM ET #7

    Quote Originally Posted by LeRinkRat:

    LOVE both Jon Rahm plays BUT that is probably the "kiss of death"

    tourney match play "line i can NOT understand" this week: DA Points +170 over Ryan Palmer @ South Point. Points just WON Puerto Rico and looked good doing it. one missed cut his last 5. Palmer a "bottom feeder" "mr missed cut" his last 5

    Like the DA Points play. Last tournament win before last weeks Puerto Rico victory.... yup, 2013 SHO.

    To be fair to Palmer, he is no bottom feeder. Recent form is due do his sick wife battling breast cancer.   
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by LeRinkRat:

    LOVE both Jon Rahm plays BUT that is probably the "kiss of death"

    tourney match play "line i can NOT understand" this week: DA Points +170 over Ryan Palmer @ South Point. Points just WON Puerto Rico and looked good doing it. one missed cut his last 5. Palmer a "bottom feeder" "mr missed cut" his last 5

    Like the DA Points play. Last tournament win before last weeks Puerto Rico victory.... yup, 2013 SHO.

    To be fair to Palmer, he is no bottom feeder. Recent form is due do his sick wife battling breast cancer.   
     
    Sherms
    Sherms
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    Posted: Mar. 29, 2017 - 6:19 PM ET #8

    Quote Originally Posted by LeRinkRat:

    Interesting that Jon Rahm up to +115 vs Henrik Stenson on Wednesday @ South Point. I thought that line would move the OTHER way

    btw that DA Points line took a dump to +155

    Noticed that as well.

    Still like the play here I've been on the other end of that line movement and still lost.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by LeRinkRat:

    Interesting that Jon Rahm up to +115 vs Henrik Stenson on Wednesday @ South Point. I thought that line would move the OTHER way

    btw that DA Points line took a dump to +155

    Noticed that as well.

    Still like the play here I've been on the other end of that line movement and still lost.
     
    jw11
    jw11
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    Posted: Mar. 29, 2017 - 8:01 PM ET #9

    I was surprised at the POINTS / PALMER odds too.

    I have bad luck in golf when taking bigger dogs for some reason.
    ..so I didn't bite.


    Anyone have any DAILY play leans for Thursday ?

    ,,




    Reply
    I was surprised at the POINTS / PALMER odds too.

    I have bad luck in golf when taking bigger dogs for some reason.
    ..so I didn't bite.


    Anyone have any DAILY play leans for Thursday ?

    ,,




     
    PuttForeDough
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    Posted: Mar. 29, 2017 - 10:17 PM ET #10

    Quote Originally Posted by jw11:

    I was surprised at the POINTS / PALMER odds too.

    I have bad luck in golf when taking bigger dogs for some reason.
    ..so I didn't bite.


    Anyone have any DAILY play leans for Thursday ?

    ,,





    Slim pickens with what I have available. 

    Scott vs Stenson +105 is interesting if you believe Stenson's putter will let him down again. 


    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by jw11:

    I was surprised at the POINTS / PALMER odds too.

    I have bad luck in golf when taking bigger dogs for some reason.
    ..so I didn't bite.


    Anyone have any DAILY play leans for Thursday ?

    ,,





    Slim pickens with what I have available. 

    Scott vs Stenson +105 is interesting if you believe Stenson's putter will let him down again. 


     
    LeRinkRat
    LeRinkRat
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    Posts: 85256
    Posted: Mar. 29, 2017 - 11:47 PM ET #11

    Quote Originally Posted by jw11:

    I was surprised at the POINTS / PALMER odds too.

    I have bad luck in golf when taking bigger dogs for some reason.
    ..so I didn't bite.


    Anyone have any DAILY play leans for Thursday ?

    ,,






    Lee Westwood -120 over Chad Campbell
    Tony Finau -110 over Billy Horschel

    BOTH Westwood and Finau been shooting 1st rounds in the 60's. their opponents mostly in then 70's

    tempted to take "Beef" Johnson +105 over JJ "Spaun of the Devil" BUT "Beef" really NOT a 1st round scorer. better to wait for his 2nd and 3rd rounds
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by jw11:

    I was surprised at the POINTS / PALMER odds too.

    I have bad luck in golf when taking bigger dogs for some reason.
    ..so I didn't bite.


    Anyone have any DAILY play leans for Thursday ?

    ,,






    Lee Westwood -120 over Chad Campbell
    Tony Finau -110 over Billy Horschel

    BOTH Westwood and Finau been shooting 1st rounds in the 60's. their opponents mostly in then 70's

    tempted to take "Beef" Johnson +105 over JJ "Spaun of the Devil" BUT "Beef" really NOT a 1st round scorer. better to wait for his 2nd and 3rd rounds
     
    LeRinkRat
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    Posted: Apr. 1, 2017 - 12:25 AM ET #12

    easier than I thought with the Rahm over Spieth and Stenson. both CUT along with Palmer to give Points a "walk over"
    Reply
    easier than I thought with the Rahm over Spieth and Stenson. both CUT along with Palmer to give Points a "walk over"
     
     
    LeRinkRat
    LeRinkRat
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    Posted: Apr. 1, 2017 - 12:27 AM ET #13

    btw BOTH Finau AND Westwood SUCKED!!!
    Reply
    btw BOTH Finau AND Westwood SUCKED!!!
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