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    All Forums | Pro Golf

    Scottish Open

    sacker17
    HermosaBch
    LeRinkRat
    alangrrbs
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    Posts: 19
     
    sacker17
    sacker17
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    Posted: Jul. 12, 2017 - 8:10 AM ET #1

    Some initial thoughts

    Fowler +105 v Rory
    Rory just a big over bet name lately. Can't bet on him till he straightens things out. Maybe this is the week but until that happens gotta go against him. Fowler plays well on links and won Scottish Open a few years back

    Kjeldsen -115 v Knox. 
    Knox stinks this year. 




    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Some initial thoughts

    Fowler +105 v Rory
    Rory just a big over bet name lately. Can't bet on him till he straightens things out. Maybe this is the week but until that happens gotta go against him. Fowler plays well on links and won Scottish Open a few years back

    Kjeldsen -115 v Knox. 
    Knox stinks this year. 




     
    HermosaBch
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    Posted: Jul. 12, 2017 - 11:49 AM ET #2

    GL

     
    Reply
    GL

     
     
    LeRinkRat
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    Posted: Jul. 12, 2017 - 10:13 PM ET #3

    got Fowler -105 over Rory, sacker17, for the reasons you stated

    also tourney match plays
    Andy Sullivan -110 over Matthew Fitspatrick
    Ross Fisher -105 over Branden Grace
    Peter Uihlein -115 over Jason Dufner
    Alex Noren -105 over Henrik Stenson
    Martin Laird -110 over Martin Kaymer

    chanced these "to win" bets also, ALL small "sprinkles" to win around $500
    <<westgate>>
    Peter Uihlein 40-1 (2nd Open de France)
    Bradley Dredge 80-1 (play well his last three)
    <<william-hill>>
    Ryan Fox 75-1 (tied 4th Irish Open & 6th Open de France)
    Richie Ramsay 75-1 (tied 2nd Irish Open)
    Dylan Frittelli 100-1 (WON Lyoness open)
    George Coetzee 100-1 (4th Nordea Masters)
    Alex Levy 100-1 (WON China Open)
    Nicky Colsaerts 100-1 (tied 3rd BMW PGA)
    Alex Bjork 125-1 (tied 3rd Open de France)
    David Drysdale 125-1 (tied 2nd Irish Open)
    Fabrizio Zanotti 125-1 (WON Maybank)

    GOOD LUCK to BOTH of us 



    Reply
    got Fowler -105 over Rory, sacker17, for the reasons you stated

    also tourney match plays
    Andy Sullivan -110 over Matthew Fitspatrick
    Ross Fisher -105 over Branden Grace
    Peter Uihlein -115 over Jason Dufner
    Alex Noren -105 over Henrik Stenson
    Martin Laird -110 over Martin Kaymer

    chanced these "to win" bets also, ALL small "sprinkles" to win around $500
    <<westgate>>
    Peter Uihlein 40-1 (2nd Open de France)
    Bradley Dredge 80-1 (play well his last three)
    <<william-hill>>
    Ryan Fox 75-1 (tied 4th Irish Open & 6th Open de France)
    Richie Ramsay 75-1 (tied 2nd Irish Open)
    Dylan Frittelli 100-1 (WON Lyoness open)
    George Coetzee 100-1 (4th Nordea Masters)
    Alex Levy 100-1 (WON China Open)
    Nicky Colsaerts 100-1 (tied 3rd BMW PGA)
    Alex Bjork 125-1 (tied 3rd Open de France)
    David Drysdale 125-1 (tied 2nd Irish Open)
    Fabrizio Zanotti 125-1 (WON Maybank)

    GOOD LUCK to BOTH of us 



     
    alangrrbs
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    Posted: Jul. 12, 2017 - 10:57 PM ET #4

    Quote Originally Posted by sacker17:

    Some initial thoughts

    Fowler +105 v Rory
    Rory just a big over bet name lately. Can't bet on him till he straightens things out. Maybe this is the week but until that happens gotta go against him. Fowler plays well on links and won Scottish Open a few years back

    Kjeldsen -115 v Knox. 
    Knox stinks this year. 





    Sometimes, that's all the analysis that's needed in a play...lol
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by sacker17:

    Some initial thoughts

    Fowler +105 v Rory
    Rory just a big over bet name lately. Can't bet on him till he straightens things out. Maybe this is the week but until that happens gotta go against him. Fowler plays well on links and won Scottish Open a few years back

    Kjeldsen -115 v Knox. 
    Knox stinks this year. 





    Sometimes, that's all the analysis that's needed in a play...lol
     
    LeRinkRat
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    Posted: Jul. 14, 2017 - 3:04 PM ET #5

    Quote Originally Posted by sacker17:

    Some initial thoughts

    Fowler +105 v Rory
    Rory just a big over bet name lately. Can't bet on him till he straightens things out. Maybe this is the week but until that happens gotta go against him. Fowler plays well on links and won Scottish Open a few years back

    Kjeldsen -115 v Knox. 
    Knox stinks this year. 






    just "like money from home" fading Rory lately. his 2nd CUT in a ROW @ [+1] vs "Rickie Tickie" [-7]. WHY oh WHY didn't I just bet THAT instead of all my "add ons" ??? freeking Uihlein [+1], Noren [+2] and Laird [+7] all CUTS!!!

    HOW the HELL does Martin Laird PLAY so BAD in his "home country" ??? the bugger just got 3rd his last tourney @ the Quicken Loans BUT Dundonald Links is an absolute BEAR with it's NASTY pot bunkers and squirrely, undulating greens. sure as hell NOT last week @ Portstewart OR last year @ Castle Stuart AND they are talking upwards of 30 MPH winds for Saturday
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by sacker17:

    Some initial thoughts

    Fowler +105 v Rory
    Rory just a big over bet name lately. Can't bet on him till he straightens things out. Maybe this is the week but until that happens gotta go against him. Fowler plays well on links and won Scottish Open a few years back

    Kjeldsen -115 v Knox. 
    Knox stinks this year. 






    just "like money from home" fading Rory lately. his 2nd CUT in a ROW @ [+1] vs "Rickie Tickie" [-7]. WHY oh WHY didn't I just bet THAT instead of all my "add ons" ??? freeking Uihlein [+1], Noren [+2] and Laird [+7] all CUTS!!!

    HOW the HELL does Martin Laird PLAY so BAD in his "home country" ??? the bugger just got 3rd his last tourney @ the Quicken Loans BUT Dundonald Links is an absolute BEAR with it's NASTY pot bunkers and squirrely, undulating greens. sure as hell NOT last week @ Portstewart OR last year @ Castle Stuart AND they are talking upwards of 30 MPH winds for Saturday
     
    LeRinkRat
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    Posted: Jul. 14, 2017 - 4:21 PM ET #6

    well at least Andy Sullivan -110 [-2] over Matthew Fitspatrick [even] CUT got me some money back

    Ross Fisher -105 [+2] for tourney [-1] over Branden Grace [-5] for tourney [-2] a "sweat". "The Fish" started out good his first nine off #10 with [-3] BUT "blew up" his second with a [+5]. he looked like one of the many players Friday that were "bamboozled" by the greens. I sure HOPE "Dis-Grace" does NOT have a "golfing epiphany" this weekend

    got a couple "to win" players "in range" with Nicky Colsaerts [-5] for tourney [-7] and Alex Levy [-6] for tourney [-6]. Nicky especially needs to get a "best three of the top ten" to qualify for the Open next week


    Reply
    well at least Andy Sullivan -110 [-2] over Matthew Fitspatrick [even] CUT got me some money back

    Ross Fisher -105 [+2] for tourney [-1] over Branden Grace [-5] for tourney [-2] a "sweat". "The Fish" started out good his first nine off #10 with [-3] BUT "blew up" his second with a [+5]. he looked like one of the many players Friday that were "bamboozled" by the greens. I sure HOPE "Dis-Grace" does NOT have a "golfing epiphany" this weekend

    got a couple "to win" players "in range" with Nicky Colsaerts [-5] for tourney [-7] and Alex Levy [-6] for tourney [-6]. Nicky especially needs to get a "best three of the top ten" to qualify for the Open next week


     
    sacker17
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    Posted: Jul. 14, 2017 - 4:49 PM ET #7

    well that was easy.
    Both bets winners with opponent MC (Rory & Knox)
    Reply
    well that was easy.
    Both bets winners with opponent MC (Rory & Knox)
     
    sacker17
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    Posted: Jul. 14, 2017 - 8:17 PM ET #8

    Round 3 gonna be awful weather

    On principal gotta play Lahiri because round 2 the am wave had the rough draw. Very windy. Afternoon draw was calm.
    Scores in afternoon were over 1 stroke less than morning. Usually it's the other way around. Lahiri was -5 RD2 with no bogeys. One of lowest rounds in am wave of not the lowest. Matched up against MCDowell who played in afternoon wave
    Lahiri -120

    Also gonna try a parlay
    Scott over Gallacher
    Fowler over Havret
    Grace over Weisberger.
    Scott and Fowler are good bad weather players against guys they are better than
    Grace is a good links player and has a very low ball flight.
    That should work tomorrow.
    What the hell odds are 14-5

    Good luck
    Reply
    Round 3 gonna be awful weather

    On principal gotta play Lahiri because round 2 the am wave had the rough draw. Very windy. Afternoon draw was calm.
    Scores in afternoon were over 1 stroke less than morning. Usually it's the other way around. Lahiri was -5 RD2 with no bogeys. One of lowest rounds in am wave of not the lowest. Matched up against MCDowell who played in afternoon wave
    Lahiri -120

    Also gonna try a parlay
    Scott over Gallacher
    Fowler over Havret
    Grace over Weisberger.
    Scott and Fowler are good bad weather players against guys they are better than
    Grace is a good links player and has a very low ball flight.
    That should work tomorrow.
    What the hell odds are 14-5

    Good luck
     
    LeRinkRat
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    Posted: Jul. 14, 2017 - 10:00 PM ET #9

    you should be correct about the weather Saturday, sacker17. they were saying on the Golf Channel broadcast that it's gonna be on & off rain with the winds lighter in the morning thru 11:00am local. supposed to really howl later in the day up to 30 MPH starting about 4:00pm thru 6:00pm then dying down some into sundown but STILL stronger than Friday.  Dundonald Links pot bunkers and squirrelly greens EATING these guys ALIVE anyhow. could see a BUNCH of "blow up" rounds
    Reply
    you should be correct about the weather Saturday, sacker17. they were saying on the Golf Channel broadcast that it's gonna be on & off rain with the winds lighter in the morning thru 11:00am local. supposed to really howl later in the day up to 30 MPH starting about 4:00pm thru 6:00pm then dying down some into sundown but STILL stronger than Friday.  Dundonald Links pot bunkers and squirrelly greens EATING these guys ALIVE anyhow. could see a BUNCH of "blow up" rounds
     
    sacker17
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    Posted: Jul. 15, 2017 - 10:48 AM ET #10

    Parlay looks good right now.
    Grace won early over Wiesberger.
    Mr. Softee (what a box), Adam Scott limped home ahead of Gallacher (+6 to +7).  He was begging to lose.  I hate betting Scott.
    Fowler was ahead of Havret all day and hung on to win (+2 to +4)
    for the +14/5 parlay payoff which offsets -6/5 Lahiri bet.
    Positive day +8/5 round 3

    Stupidly played Lahiri against McDowell simply because Lahiri played well in the wind Friday (-5 with no bogeys).  Lahiri wasn't good (+4) and Never should've bet against the Salty Irishman McDowell (-4) who I should've figured would play better than most in this rainy, windy weather.

    Reply
    Parlay looks good right now.
    Grace won early over Wiesberger.
    Mr. Softee (what a box), Adam Scott limped home ahead of Gallacher (+6 to +7).  He was begging to lose.  I hate betting Scott.
    Fowler was ahead of Havret all day and hung on to win (+2 to +4)
    for the +14/5 parlay payoff which offsets -6/5 Lahiri bet.
    Positive day +8/5 round 3

    Stupidly played Lahiri against McDowell simply because Lahiri played well in the wind Friday (-5 with no bogeys).  Lahiri wasn't good (+4) and Never should've bet against the Salty Irishman McDowell (-4) who I should've figured would play better than most in this rainy, windy weather.

     
    sacker17
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    Posted: Jul. 15, 2017 - 10:50 AM ET #11

    Administrators changed what I wrote about Scott to what a "box"
    Reply
    Administrators changed what I wrote about Scott to what a "box"
     
    LeRinkRat
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    Posted: Jul. 15, 2017 - 2:41 PM ET #12

    gonna be an interesting final round with the "Poulter-geist" tied for the lead with Shinkwin and Dodt (isn't that what Homer Simpson says ??? DODT!!!) [-9]. Andy Sullivan "lurking' with a 3rd round [-5] for tourney [-7] and my man Ryan Fox "in range" [-3] for [-6]. hopefully he can shoot a final like @ Portstewart last week
    Reply
    gonna be an interesting final round with the "Poulter-geist" tied for the lead with Shinkwin and Dodt (isn't that what Homer Simpson says ??? DODT!!!) [-9]. Andy Sullivan "lurking' with a 3rd round [-5] for tourney [-7] and my man Ryan Fox "in range" [-3] for [-6]. hopefully he can shoot a final like @ Portstewart last week
     
    LeRinkRat
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    Posted: Jul. 15, 2017 - 3:22 PM ET #13

    Oh, and looks like my "Fish" play is DEAD. [+2] for tourney [+1] Saturday vs "Dis-Grace" [even] for tourney [-2] AND Nicky Colsaerts just just BLEW his British Open qual chance with a 3rd round [+6] for tourney [-1]. enjoy watching the Open back in Belgium next week you CHOKE!!!

    I think Andy Sullivan worth a 150-1 "to win" shot next week @ Royal Birkdale. playing much better golf recently with tied 20th @ Portstewart last week [-12] tied 13th Open de France [-4] and tied 8th Nordea Masters [-6]. currently 4th after the 3rd round @ Dundonald this week with [-5] for [-7]
    Reply
    Oh, and looks like my "Fish" play is DEAD. [+2] for tourney [+1] Saturday vs "Dis-Grace" [even] for tourney [-2] AND Nicky Colsaerts just just BLEW his British Open qual chance with a 3rd round [+6] for tourney [-1]. enjoy watching the Open back in Belgium next week you CHOKE!!!

    I think Andy Sullivan worth a 150-1 "to win" shot next week @ Royal Birkdale. playing much better golf recently with tied 20th @ Portstewart last week [-12] tied 13th Open de France [-4] and tied 8th Nordea Masters [-6]. currently 4th after the 3rd round @ Dundonald this week with [-5] for [-7]
     
    sacker17
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    Posted: Jul. 15, 2017 - 6:44 PM ET #14

    Rat
    Agree Fox and Sullivan both playing well now.
    If looking for longshots maybe Grace ??
    Reply
    Rat
    Agree Fox and Sullivan both playing well now.
    If looking for longshots maybe Grace ??
     
    LeRinkRat
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    Posted: Jul. 15, 2017 - 10:50 PM ET #15

    should be "scorers weather" for Sunday @ Dundonald. forecast for mostly sunny with NO rain. winds from west @ 10-12 MPH all day. of course THAT does NOT remove the pot bunkers OR the squirrelly greens
    Reply
    should be "scorers weather" for Sunday @ Dundonald. forecast for mostly sunny with NO rain. winds from west @ 10-12 MPH all day. of course THAT does NOT remove the pot bunkers OR the squirrelly greens
     
    LeRinkRat
    LeRinkRat
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    Posted: Jul. 16, 2017 - 1:44 PM ET #16

    well I got "beat like a baby seal"  AGAIN this week. freeking 2-4 =
     Ross Fisher  [-1/-2] vs Branden Grace [-4/-6] final LOSE

    Peter Uihlein CUT [+1] vs Dufner CUT [even] LOSE
    Alex Noren CUT [+2] vs Stenson LOSE
    Martin Laird CUT [+7] vs Kaymer CUT [even] LOSE

    at least "Rickie Tickie" and Andy Sullivan had "no sweat" WINS on Rory and "The Matthew Mouse" CUTS
    Reply
    well I got "beat like a baby seal"  AGAIN this week. freeking 2-4 =
     Ross Fisher  [-1/-2] vs Branden Grace [-4/-6] final LOSE

    Peter Uihlein CUT [+1] vs Dufner CUT [even] LOSE
    Alex Noren CUT [+2] vs Stenson LOSE
    Martin Laird CUT [+7] vs Kaymer CUT [even] LOSE

    at least "Rickie Tickie" and Andy Sullivan had "no sweat" WINS on Rory and "The Matthew Mouse" CUTS
     
    LeRinkRat
    LeRinkRat
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    Posted: Jul. 16, 2017 - 4:04 PM ET #17

    CRAZY finish @ Dundonald. Callum Shinkwin with a one shot lead going to the par 5 #18 over Rafael Cabrera-Bello. ALL Shinkwin needed to do was lay up short, chip on and two putt for the WIN. instead he GOES for the GREEN and ends up right of the hole behind a trap with a down hill lie. BONES his chip and ends up with a BOGIE to get in a playoff with Rafa. absolutely HORRID "course managment". THEN Shinkwin hit almost the SAME SHOT in the playoff to give the tourney to Rafa

    at least Shinkwin gets one of the "best three of the top ten" British Open qualifications along with the Frenchman Matthieu Pavon and Aussie Andy Dodt who TRIED to screw it up BUT ended up @ [-8] tied with the "geezer" Anthony Wall and gets the OWGR tie-breaker

    yet another excellent tourney for my "Kiwi" Ryan Fox. tied for 4th @ [-8] BUT didn't really "fire" the final round with just a [-2]. he goes to Royal Birkdale next week with his Irish Open qual and IF they have "Low ANZAC" (Australian plus New Zealand players) prop, I will definitely chance him

    ON to Royal Birkdale next week. looking forward to all the "exotic" props offered in a "major tourney" like "to make the cut" yes/no, "quads" which is best of a group of four players and over/unders. already "slobber dogging" over Rory McIlroy, Jason Day, Bubba Watson and maybe Dustin Johnson "to make the cut" NO props and their OVERS
    Reply
    CRAZY finish @ Dundonald. Callum Shinkwin with a one shot lead going to the par 5 #18 over Rafael Cabrera-Bello. ALL Shinkwin needed to do was lay up short, chip on and two putt for the WIN. instead he GOES for the GREEN and ends up right of the hole behind a trap with a down hill lie. BONES his chip and ends up with a BOGIE to get in a playoff with Rafa. absolutely HORRID "course managment". THEN Shinkwin hit almost the SAME SHOT in the playoff to give the tourney to Rafa

    at least Shinkwin gets one of the "best three of the top ten" British Open qualifications along with the Frenchman Matthieu Pavon and Aussie Andy Dodt who TRIED to screw it up BUT ended up @ [-8] tied with the "geezer" Anthony Wall and gets the OWGR tie-breaker

    yet another excellent tourney for my "Kiwi" Ryan Fox. tied for 4th @ [-8] BUT didn't really "fire" the final round with just a [-2]. he goes to Royal Birkdale next week with his Irish Open qual and IF they have "Low ANZAC" (Australian plus New Zealand players) prop, I will definitely chance him

    ON to Royal Birkdale next week. looking forward to all the "exotic" props offered in a "major tourney" like "to make the cut" yes/no, "quads" which is best of a group of four players and over/unders. already "slobber dogging" over Rory McIlroy, Jason Day, Bubba Watson and maybe Dustin Johnson "to make the cut" NO props and their OVERS
     
    sacker17
    sacker17
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    Posted: Jul. 16, 2017 - 7:26 PM ET #18

    Quote Originally Posted by LeRinkRat:

    CRAZY finish @ Dundonald. Callum Shinkwin with a one shot lead going to the par 5 #18 over Rafael Cabrera-Bello. ALL Shinkwin needed to do was lay up short, chip on and two putt for the WIN. instead he GOES for the GREEN and ends up right of the hole behind a trap with a down hill lie. BONES his chip and ends up with a BOGIE to get in a playoff with Rafa. absolutely HORRID "course managment". THEN Shinkwin hit almost the SAME SHOT in the playoff to give the tourney to Rafa at least Shinkwin gets one of the "best three of the top ten" British Open qualifications along with the Frenchman Matthieu Pavon and Aussie Andy Dodt who TRIED to screw it up BUT ended up @ [-8] tied with the "geezer" Anthony Wall and gets the OWGR tie-breakeryet another excellent tourney for my "Kiwi" Ryan Fox. tied for 4th @ [-8] BUT didn't really "fire" the final round with just a [-2]. he goes to Royal Birkdale next week with his Irish Open qual and IF they have "Low ANZAC" (Australian plus New Zealand players) prop, I will definitely chance him ON to Royal Birkdale next week. looking forward to all the "exotic" props offered in a "major tourney" like "to make the cut" yes/no, "quads" which is best of a group of four players and over/unders. already "slobber dogging" over Rory McIlroy, Jason Day, Bubba Watson and maybe Dustin Johnson "to make the cut" NO props and their OVERS


    Rat
    Gotta agree with most everything u said
    Took a peek at draftkings and saw Cabrera-Bello is like $6800 or so. Wow! He is must play on draftkings.
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by LeRinkRat:

    CRAZY finish @ Dundonald. Callum Shinkwin with a one shot lead going to the par 5 #18 over Rafael Cabrera-Bello. ALL Shinkwin needed to do was lay up short, chip on and two putt for the WIN. instead he GOES for the GREEN and ends up right of the hole behind a trap with a down hill lie. BONES his chip and ends up with a BOGIE to get in a playoff with Rafa. absolutely HORRID "course managment". THEN Shinkwin hit almost the SAME SHOT in the playoff to give the tourney to Rafa at least Shinkwin gets one of the "best three of the top ten" British Open qualifications along with the Frenchman Matthieu Pavon and Aussie Andy Dodt who TRIED to screw it up BUT ended up @ [-8] tied with the "geezer" Anthony Wall and gets the OWGR tie-breakeryet another excellent tourney for my "Kiwi" Ryan Fox. tied for 4th @ [-8] BUT didn't really "fire" the final round with just a [-2]. he goes to Royal Birkdale next week with his Irish Open qual and IF they have "Low ANZAC" (Australian plus New Zealand players) prop, I will definitely chance him ON to Royal Birkdale next week. looking forward to all the "exotic" props offered in a "major tourney" like "to make the cut" yes/no, "quads" which is best of a group of four players and over/unders. already "slobber dogging" over Rory McIlroy, Jason Day, Bubba Watson and maybe Dustin Johnson "to make the cut" NO props and their OVERS


    Rat
    Gotta agree with most everything u said
    Took a peek at draftkings and saw Cabrera-Bello is like $6800 or so. Wow! He is must play on draftkings.
     
     
    LeRinkRat
    LeRinkRat
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    Posts: 85256
    Posted: Jul. 16, 2017 - 9:35 PM ET #19

    Quote Originally Posted by sacker17:



    Rat
    Gotta agree with most everything u said
    Took a peek at draftkings and saw Cabrera-Bello is like $6800 or so. Wow! He is must play on draftkings.


    Hokey Smoke!!! wonder what Jon Rahm is ??? GOTTA be HIGH. 3rd favorite with Rickie Fowler @ 15-1 after Jordan Spieth and Dustin Johnson @ 12-1 @ Westgate and 2nd favorite with Fowler @ 10-1 to Jordan Spieth @ 17-2 @ William-Hill
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by sacker17:



    Rat
    Gotta agree with most everything u said
    Took a peek at draftkings and saw Cabrera-Bello is like $6800 or so. Wow! He is must play on draftkings.


    Hokey Smoke!!! wonder what Jon Rahm is ??? GOTTA be HIGH. 3rd favorite with Rickie Fowler @ 15-1 after Jordan Spieth and Dustin Johnson @ 12-1 @ Westgate and 2nd favorite with Fowler @ 10-1 to Jordan Spieth @ 17-2 @ William-Hill
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