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    All Forums | Pro Golf

    Round 4

    sacker17
    JBone_Texas
    LeRinkRat
    Participants:
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    Posts: 9
     
    sacker17
    sacker17
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    Posts: 1595
    Posted: Apr. 9, 2017 - 8:43 AM ET #1

    Rose -145 v Garcia (choker)
    Spieth -145 v Fowler
    Koepka +105 v Snedeker
    Scott -135 v Schwartzel
    Casey -125 v Kuchar (choker)

    Laying lotta wood 
    Scares me but should win at least 3

    Good luck
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Rose -145 v Garcia (choker)
    Spieth -145 v Fowler
    Koepka +105 v Snedeker
    Scott -135 v Schwartzel
    Casey -125 v Kuchar (choker)

    Laying lotta wood 
    Scares me but should win at least 3

    Good luck
     
    sacker17
    sacker17
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    Posts: 1595
    Posted: Apr. 9, 2017 - 11:17 AM ET #2

    Adding 
    Has +120 v Phil. 
    Phil wasn't too good yesterday and today he will press to go VERY low which means he will take unnecessary chances which means he could have some doubles. Has very steady. Good history here 

    Duffner v Walker
    Walker has been dealing with mono. Long grind
    Round 4 may be too much for him
    Duff playing well. 
    GIR this week Duffner 65% v Walker 52%

    Thomas -120 v Henley
    Thomas is #1 in GIR this week at 78% to Henley 59%
    Liking this more and more. 


    BTW Casey GIR 76% v Kuchar 65%
    Plus last 4 years at Masters Casey has 4th lowest cumulative score

    Spieth 72% GIR v Fowler 57%. 

    So 8 bets in total
    Reply
    Adding 
    Has +120 v Phil. 
    Phil wasn't too good yesterday and today he will press to go VERY low which means he will take unnecessary chances which means he could have some doubles. Has very steady. Good history here 

    Duffner v Walker
    Walker has been dealing with mono. Long grind
    Round 4 may be too much for him
    Duff playing well. 
    GIR this week Duffner 65% v Walker 52%

    Thomas -120 v Henley
    Thomas is #1 in GIR this week at 78% to Henley 59%
    Liking this more and more. 


    BTW Casey GIR 76% v Kuchar 65%
    Plus last 4 years at Masters Casey has 4th lowest cumulative score

    Spieth 72% GIR v Fowler 57%. 

    So 8 bets in total
     
    JBone_Texas
    JBone_Texas
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    Posts: 1016
    Posted: Apr. 9, 2017 - 11:28 AM ET #3

    Two cents of course but I'd be careful about Schwartzel, Scott is struggling with his putting and Schwartzel is peaking.

    Thomas (and Scott for that matter) is really struggling with his putts.  Hitting all those greens and yet he is DEAD LAST among those who made the cut in Putts/GIR.  Young and not a lot of experience here tells me that he is having some real issues reading the greens.  The great iron play has helped him avoid blowups but he slips even a bit then very unlikely to stage a comeback.

    Good luck whatever you decide though.
    Reply
    Two cents of course but I'd be careful about Schwartzel, Scott is struggling with his putting and Schwartzel is peaking.

    Thomas (and Scott for that matter) is really struggling with his putts.  Hitting all those greens and yet he is DEAD LAST among those who made the cut in Putts/GIR.  Young and not a lot of experience here tells me that he is having some real issues reading the greens.  The great iron play has helped him avoid blowups but he slips even a bit then very unlikely to stage a comeback.

    Good luck whatever you decide though.
     
    sacker17
    sacker17
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    Posts: 1595
    Posted: Apr. 9, 2017 - 11:40 AM ET #4

    Thx for input JBone. 
    Scott looked ok to me on the greens. 
    He is a superior player to Schwartzel IMO but of course -135 gives away a lot

    True to hit all those GIR and not to be close is an issue. But Thomas does have 3 wins this year and line is low -115. 
    These guys are pros. I'd rather have the guy on the green than the scrambler 
    Reply
    Thx for input JBone. 
    Scott looked ok to me on the greens. 
    He is a superior player to Schwartzel IMO but of course -135 gives away a lot

    True to hit all those GIR and not to be close is an issue. But Thomas does have 3 wins this year and line is low -115. 
    These guys are pros. I'd rather have the guy on the green than the scrambler 
     
    sacker17
    sacker17
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    Posted: Apr. 9, 2017 - 11:50 AM ET #5

    JBone
    Scott only slightly behind in putting to Schwartzel at 1.70 v 1.63 in strokes per green
    But you are right about henleys putting v Thomas ( near bottom)

    Thx and good luck
    Reply
    JBone
    Scott only slightly behind in putting to Schwartzel at 1.70 v 1.63 in strokes per green
    But you are right about henleys putting v Thomas ( near bottom)

    Thx and good luck
     
    sacker17
    sacker17
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    Posted: Apr. 9, 2017 - 11:53 AM ET #6

    One more thing w/r to Scott
    Gotta love Stevie Williams on the bag. 
    That's worth something too

    Reply
    One more thing w/r to Scott
    Gotta love Stevie Williams on the bag. 
    That's worth something too

     
    JBone_Texas
    JBone_Texas
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    Posted: Apr. 9, 2017 - 11:55 AM ET #7

    Same issue with Scott, he is hitting a ton of greens and still not putting well.  Schwartzel improving as he goes and 1.63 vs 1.70 isn't a big number difference but is significant.  This stuff is hard, Scott had a great round yesterday at -3 but Schwartzel did better at -4.  Scott is a better all around player, but even commentators noting he is struggling with the putter.

    My opinion but it is definitely a putting day, if you have an ounce of doubt regarding your putter today and are within the lead it is going to be magnified today.

    Good luck, the matchups are tough there are no slam dunks that I can see.
    Reply
    Same issue with Scott, he is hitting a ton of greens and still not putting well.  Schwartzel improving as he goes and 1.63 vs 1.70 isn't a big number difference but is significant.  This stuff is hard, Scott had a great round yesterday at -3 but Schwartzel did better at -4.  Scott is a better all around player, but even commentators noting he is struggling with the putter.

    My opinion but it is definitely a putting day, if you have an ounce of doubt regarding your putter today and are within the lead it is going to be magnified today.

    Good luck, the matchups are tough there are no slam dunks that I can see.
     
    LeRinkRat
    LeRinkRat
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    Posted: Apr. 9, 2017 - 12:34 PM ET #8

    I may be nuts BUT I remember Jon Rahm @ Torrey Pines back in January shooting a [-7] the final round, which included two birdies and two eagles the back side, to STEAL the Farmers Insurance open @ [-13]. he is 6 behind @ [even] right now.

    ONLY final round match play I chanced was Rahm +140 over Rory

    btw, I wonder how many of the "Euro Trash" that FAILED this Masters like Stenson, Noren, Hatton, Fleetwood and Wang will put their tail between their legs and go play the Trophee Hassan in Rabat, Morocco next week rather than the RBC Heritage @ Harbour Town ??? except for Stenson, I don't think ANY of these guys really have PGA Tour membership
    Reply
    I may be nuts BUT I remember Jon Rahm @ Torrey Pines back in January shooting a [-7] the final round, which included two birdies and two eagles the back side, to STEAL the Farmers Insurance open @ [-13]. he is 6 behind @ [even] right now.

    ONLY final round match play I chanced was Rahm +140 over Rory

    btw, I wonder how many of the "Euro Trash" that FAILED this Masters like Stenson, Noren, Hatton, Fleetwood and Wang will put their tail between their legs and go play the Trophee Hassan in Rabat, Morocco next week rather than the RBC Heritage @ Harbour Town ??? except for Stenson, I don't think ANY of these guys really have PGA Tour membership
     
     
    JBone_Texas
    JBone_Texas
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    Posted: Apr. 9, 2017 - 12:43 PM ET #9

    On the other side of that play, this aint Torrey Pines.  Rory has 4 straight under par 4th rounds here including 3 under 70.  Could happen but good odds Rory goes under par today.  Tough to bet that Rahm will in his first Sunday at Augusta and only having 1 under par round.

    Good luck to you though.  Not a EuroTour fan, just a $ fan.
    Reply
    On the other side of that play, this aint Torrey Pines.  Rory has 4 straight under par 4th rounds here including 3 under 70.  Could happen but good odds Rory goes under par today.  Tough to bet that Rahm will in his first Sunday at Augusta and only having 1 under par round.

    Good luck to you though.  Not a EuroTour fan, just a $ fan.
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