Posted:
#1
mine
Right back with
NOREN -105 vs Reed.
Basically fading Reed .. but Noren now has an official round in the books at Augusta..and he was -2 on back nine.
jw11
Round 2 plays...post YOURS here
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Posted:
#5
Round 2 bets for me are:
Kjeldsen -120 vs Furyk: Kjeldsen loves the wind and Furyk is going to have to go low to make the cut. I am guessing 69 or so? Seven bogies to just one birdie and that was in their morning round. Friday should be tougher.
Bubba -140 vs Walker: Heard that Jimmy is dealing with mono. I will take the guy who has a love affair with this course and is in contention vs a guy with mono. I think one needs all the energy they can get to try and compete on this course.
Best of luck guys!
Kjeldsen -120 vs Furyk: Kjeldsen loves the wind and Furyk is going to have to go low to make the cut. I am guessing 69 or so? Seven bogies to just one birdie and that was in their morning round. Friday should be tougher.
Bubba -140 vs Walker: Heard that Jimmy is dealing with mono. I will take the guy who has a love affair with this course and is in contention vs a guy with mono. I think one needs all the energy they can get to try and compete on this course.
Best of luck guys!
Posted:
#9
My "new to golf" betting theories. "Big 3" stats that rule Augusta, putts/GIR, scrambling %, and GIR. Generally BIG 2 are scrambling % and putts/GIR, they most consistently make the difference (the historical winner is typically rarely outside the top 15 in the field in either). Driving distance and accuracy are of little to no significance as the course is actually pretty forgiving on errant drives and even if your on or near the green on the par 5s you still have to be good enough to get it in the hole. Of course if you not driving well you had better be spectacular with the Big 3.
Yesterday with the high winds it was a bit of a mixed bag on which of the BIG 3 was most important. It was a slight edge to GIR (kinda subjective though). I also looked at birdies made as you can have good season putting stats but experience and confidence putting here rule over those stats. If your not making birdies your eventually going to slip up and then down the leaderboard (see Sergio Garcia's career here, and a great iron player in Matsuyama yesterday). When the weather improves this weekend birdies will increase and there will be players making runs.....if you can't make birdies you will get passed.
Based on those theories I played pizza money on the following:
Dufner -115 vs Wiesberger (not off to good start here)
T. Pieters +115 and +1/2 +100 vs D. Berger
Kjeldsen -120 vs Furyk
Mickelson -160 vs Cabrera Bello
Willet +1/2 +140 vs Kuchar
Westwood +1/2 +100 vs Garcia
3 Ball J. B. Holmes +160 vs G. Woodland vs. T. Fleetwood
Good luck.
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