Qatar Masters

I agree 100% with your comments on Tommy Fleetwood. I has been for him to make a break thru. almost took his "to win" odds @ 50-1 last week after his T-3rd in Hong Kong BUT thought "not high enough" which = https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=4ie9kaM4X8E   the SH!TS is going into the 3rd round last week you could STILL get his "to win a major" prop @ 150-1 @ the Westgate Las Vegas. has since "dumped" to 80-1. I do NOT know IF he is qualified for the Masters. have seen NO odds for him that tourney

also LOVE your Larrazabal and Burmester plays. watched Rafa struggle with the back the 3rd & 4th rounds last week too and I too am surprised he is playing this week

here is mine for this week. "to win" bets

Thomas Aiken 40-1 T-13th Abu Dhabi [-10], T-5th South Africa Open [-14], T-4th Leopard Creek [-12]

Kiradech Aphibarnrat 40-1 T-4th Abu Dhabi [-15] (IF he does NOT knock it in the water of the par 3 #12 Sunday he was right there) was a CUT @ Hong Kong

Dean Burmester 50-1 7th Abu Dhabi [-14], 4th South Africa Open [-15], T-17th  Leopard Creek [-9]

David Lipsky 80-1 T-39th Abu Dhabi [-4] 5th Hong Kong, T-6th Turkish [-13], T-5th Portugal [-20]

Max Kieffer 100-1 12th Abu Dhabi [-11] his best tourney since the Irish Open T-5th [-6]

Graeme Storm 125-1 CUT Abu Dhabi [+4]. WON South African Open [-18] T-4th Leopard Creek [-12]

Sam Brazel 150-1 T-60th Abu Dhabi (shot 79 final round) WON Hong Kong [-13]

Tourney Match Plays Bets

Martin Kaymer -110 over Rafael Cabrera-Bello.
Kaymer T-4th Abu Dhabi [-15]. Rafa with back problems T-19th Abu Dhabi [-8]

Dean Burmester even over George Coetzee.
Burmester 7th Abu Dhabi [-14] 4th South Africa Open [-15] Coetzee T-60th Abu Dhabi [-1], CUT South Africa Open

Kiradech Aphibarnrat even over Thomas Aiken
"A Fat Barn Rat" T-4th Abu Dhabi [-15]. Aiken T-13th Abu Dhabi [-10] T-5th South Africa Open [-14], T-4th Leopard Creek [-12]

Pablo Larrazabal -120 over Peter Hanson
Larrazabal T-2nd Abu Dhabi  [-16] , T-8th Hong Kong  [-7]
Hanson T-8th Abu Dhabi [-13], T-29th Portugal [-14]

Jeunghun Wang +105 over Joost Luiten
Wang 11th Abu Dhabi [-12]. CUT Hong Kong. T-17th DP World [-10] 2nd Nedbank [-8]
Luiten T-29th Abu Dhabi [-6] T-13th DP World [-11] T-14th Nedbank [-1]

Tommy Fleetwood -130 over Thorbjorn Olesen
Fleetwood WON  Abu Dhabi [-17]. T-3rd Hong Kong [-11] T-9th DP World [-12]
Olesen T-29th  Abu Dhabi [-6], T-29th DP World [-9] 63rd Nedbank [+13] WON Turkish Open [-20]

 do you like Luiten > Cabrera-bello? he's +130 in that matchup? crazy that bello is -160 with a bum back right?

I would take that match play IF I had it available. Joost was below his average last week T-29th. his three previous he was top 16 or better. after being 2nd after the 2nd round, Rafa really struggled the final two with [+2] and [+1] rounds and T-19th. with any luck, Rafa could "give it a try" and then WD

Line moving against Fleetwood which gives me cause for concern 

Update on RCB bad back. Went to his twitter feed and last post I see RCB twitter on Saturday he said "bad sleep posture and woke up to bad back. Nothing serious nor to worry. Tomorrow will be better. "

Bellow said he woke up feeling it. Not s big deal 5 days later

Feeling cursed??

VERY surprised at Tommy's sour round. that whole threesome of Tommy Fleetwood, Martin Kaymer & Graeme Storm had "trouble with their PUTZ" all damn day. Stormy esp should have had at least three or four more birdies just on the back side. tee to green he was flawless. I think Tommy's problems might have been a distraction

the Qatar course looks like a goat pasture compared to last week @ Abu Dhabi and the greens look wicked grainy. players could NOT hold a line putting. Bradley "Judge" Dredge leads after the 1st round @ [-8] with the Finlander Mikko Korhonen 2nd @ [-7]. three tied for 3rd @ [-6] including Graeme "Geezer" McDowell. the rookie Nathan Kimsey and my man "A Fat Barn Rat"

pre-tourney favorites Alex Noren T-14 @ [-4] and "Wheeze the Cheese" Wiesberger T-46th @ [-2]

I am pretty pizzed at myself playing "to win" bets on the likes of David Lipsky @ 80-1 and Max Kieffer @ 100-1 but NOT playing Thomas Detry @ 100-1. Detry. the 24 year old Belgian rookie, finished 3rd @ Leopard Creek to Brandon Stone and Richard Sterne. he had a 5 birdie no bogie [-5] 1st round

well the grainy greens and the WIND continued to drive the players NUTS day two. was like "links golf in the desert" and again I saw VERY few long putts made

EIGHT players TIED for the lead @ [-8] after the 2nd round including Jeunghun Wang with my players Aphibarnrat and Thomas Aiken. SEVEN more @ [-7] and NINE more @ [-6] including Alex Noren with my players Graeme Storm and David Lipsky who shot a [-6] in the round. obviously it is ANYONE'S tourney to WIN

noteable CUTS Tommy Fleetwood [+2] (NASTY surprise for me) , Thongchai Jaidee [-1], Sam Brazel [-1] and Hao Tong Li [even]. Martin Kaymer and Bernd Wiesberger both "squeeked in" with a [-2]

WELL naturally my boy Jeunghun Wang shoots the BOMBER 3rd round 7 birdie NO bogies [-7] for a tourney [-15] and a 3 shot lead over Nacho Elvira and Jaco Van Zyl when I do NOT have a "to win" bet on him this week because "super genius" though 30-1 was too low and had no "value". unless he ""blows up" or someone does an Alex Noren to him like at Nedbank, then has probably got this

my longshot Graeme Storm @ 125-1 was looking good thru the front 9 @ 3 under for a [-9] tourney BUT "blew up" the back side and ended up [even] on the day and [-6] tourney and Aphibarnrat "sprayed" with 3 bogies vs an eagle and 3 birdies for a [-2] and tourney [-10]. I was hoping he or Stormy would shoot Wang's round

COULD be "links course nasty" Sunday. winds are supposed to be 20 gusting to 30 mph and it STILL seems like any golfer that is NOT a Korean is having problems reading the grainy greens. the late round wind on Saturday was even effecting the ball on putts

well it would have worked BUT the final round turned into a real "nail biter". looked early on like Wang might just run off with it with easy birdies on the 1st two holes BUT then the Doha WIND began to HOWL and he started missing greens and having the "scramble". I think he should change his first name from Jeunghun to "Chipper" because he is an absolute MASTER at getting up & down. must have saved at least a half a dozen pars.

in any case he was all pars after #2 until a bogie on #`14 and plays  the back side one over to end up in a three way tie with "field hand" Joakim Lagergren and Jaco Van Zyl @ [-16] BUT WON the 1st playoff hole when Lagergren hit his 2nd in a "cat box" and Van Zyl 3 putted. once again Wang gets "up & down" for a birdie with a damn near impossible chip shot.

ONLY chance for me on a "to win" bet went down the drain when Thomas Aiken just barely missed his birdie putt in #18 to get into the playoff and finished one back along with the French "field hand" Michael Lorenzo-Vera. look for BOTH Lagergren AND
Lorenzo-Vera in the future. they BOTH "got game" AND this is Thomas Aiken's 3rd top 5 finish in his last 4 tourneys, T-4th here, T-5th South African Open and T-4th @ Leopard Creek. he also T-13th last week in Abu Dhabi.

NOT a good tourney for me this week as I went 2 for 4 in match plays. Aphibarnrat, Graeme Storm, Martin Kaymer and
Tommy Fleetwood were all MAJOR disappointments

BACK to Dubai for the Desert Classic next week. top Euro Tour players like Henrik Stenson, Sergio Garcia, Thomas Pieters and the "Matthew Mouse" Fitzpatrick return to play along with Tiger Woods