Porsche European Open

Green Eagle Golf Course (Nord), Hamburg, Germany July 27th thru 30th. appears to be similar to the Nordea Open course  in Sweden only with more water hazards and NOT on the North Sea.

course view ref >>> https://www.europeanopen.com/#!/eb076/en/blog/tournament/green-eagle-golf-courses

Alex Levy the winner last season BUT that was in Bad Griesbach, Bavaria on the Austrian border. favorites Charl Schwartzel and "Fat Pat" Reed @ 12-1 with Thorbjorn Olesen and Joost Luiten @ 20-1

of interest "long shots" for me are >>>
Alex Bjork 50-1 << T-3rd Open de France [-8]
Thomas Detry 50-1 << T-2nd BMW International [-16]
Austin Connelly 60-1 << T-8th Nordea Masters [-6] T-14th British Open [-2]
Chase Koepka 60-1 << Brooks's brother been hot on the Challenge Tour, the Euro Tours Web.com "minor league"
Ben Hebert 60-1 << T-8th Irish Open [-16] T-8th Nordea Masters [-6]
Graeme Storm 80-1 << T-6th BMW PGA [-7] WON SA Open [-18] early season
Paul Peterson 80-1 << T-19th Scottish Open [-5] WON Czech Masters [-5] last season
Julien Quesne 100-1 << T-8th Irish [-16]

Porsche European Open tourney match play bets (bet/return)

Charl Schwartzel even over Patrick Reed (30/60)

Charl Schwartzel tied 62nd British Open [+6] (shot 66 1st round) CUT US Open. was hot late last season with tied 4th @ Leopard Creek [-12] and 3rd @ Dubai [-12] best recent finish tied 2nd FedEx St Jude [-9] June 11th

"Fat Pat" Reed CUT British Open. CUT Scottish Open. tied 13th US Open [-6] CUT Masters. best recent finish tied 5th @ Travelers [-9] June 25th

Richie Ramsay -110 over Alex Levy (33/63)

Richie Ramsay tied 22nd British Open [even] tied 35th Scottish Open [-2]. tied 2nd Irish Open [-18] CUT Open de France CUT US Open

Alex Levy WON last year BUT at different course in southern Germany. CUT British Open. tied 26th Scottish Open [-4]. CUT Irish Open. tied 57th Open de France [+6]. CUT US Open. WON China Open [-17] late April

Jordan L Smith +120 over Paul Dunne (30/66)

Jordan L Smith tied 58th Scottish Open [+4]. tied 20th Irish Open [-12]. tied 30th Open de France [even] tied 44th BMW International [-4] tied 21st Nordea Masters [-4]. has made 7 cuts in a row

Paul Dunne tied 26th Scottish Open [-4] tied 54th Irish Open [-7] tied 13th Open de France [-4] CUT US Open CUT Nordea Masters

Chase Koepka -120 over David Lipsky (36/66)

Chase Koepka (Brooks's brother) doing well on the Challenge Tour which is the Euro Tours Web.com "minor league" tourneys. tied 2nd Italian Challenge Open [-20] July 16th. tied 5th Made in Denmark Challenge [-11] June 25th and tied 3rd Swiss Challenge  [-13] June 6th BUT in his two "big time" tourney's. the PGA Wells Fargo and Euro Tour Indian Open, he was a CUT

David Lipsky CUT his last four, British Open. Scottish Open, Irish Open and Open de France. tied 10th BMW International [-11] June 25th. tied 5th Shenzhen [-14] April 23rd. 2nd Maybank [-18] Feburary 2nd

also took a "contra' parlay (12/127.40) just in case I FUKK it all UP

Hamburg, Germany weather forecast >>> https://www.accuweather.com/en/de/hamburg/20095/weekend-weather/178556

Thursday occasional rain showers. wind WSW 10-12 MPH

Friday chance of showers or thunderstorm. wind WSW 11-16 MPH

Saturday occasional rain showers or thunderstorm. wind SSW 11-18 MPH

Sunday again occasional rain showers BUT with thunderstorms more probable. wind 9-12 MPH

well Brooks's brother Chase Koepka with a decent start with a five birdie, two bogie [-3] 1st round vs Lipsky [+2]

Jordan L Smith [-2] vs Dunne [+2] a good start

looks like Charl Schwartzel and Alex Levy both came to play this week both tied 3rd @ [-5] one behind the Brit Richard McEvoy and former Duke University player Julian Suri. "Fat Pat" Reed @ [-4] and Richie Ramsay [-2] so I'm in trouble in that match

watching Golf Channel 1st round coverage last night this German course is a real "puzzycat" compared to the last three "links" venues. unless the weather acts up I would expect some wicked low scoring the rest of the way

well they had a big "douche" rain storm about half way thru the 2nd round so could NOT complete. think I have the Koepka [-1] for tourney [-4] thru #9 over Lipsky with [+1] for [+3] CUT in the clubhouse (or at a Reeperbahn wh0re house) unless Chase were to "blow up" on the re-start Saturday.

Jordan L Smith [-5] for [-7] should also have Paul Dunne [-3] for [-1] thru # 16 but it sure would be nice IF "Dumb" was to bogie in and MISS the [-1] CUT

Schwartzel [even] for [-5] (the bugger doubles # 13) up on Reed [+2] for [-2] both thru # 15. be nice IF "Fat Pat" was to "blow up" the last three

Richie Ramsay with a nice [-4] for tourney [-6] Friday BUT Alex Levy kept rolling with a [-3] for [-8] thru # 15 one off the lead by English "field hand" Ashley Chesters. as last year winner (although on a  different course in Bavaria) you would think he would now be the favorite

NOT a real good golfing weather forecast for Saturday. showing rain early which could saturate the course again and delay finishing the 2nd round. they are calling for a thunderstorm early afternoon then clearing to partly cloudy later in the day. wind SSW @ 10 to 15 MPH all day. looks like later players might have an advantage

well looks like it will be another "Ho Hum" tourney for me going into the final round. Jordan L Smith and Chase Koepka with CUT wins in their match plays BUT Charl Schwartzel and Richie Ramsay down in theirs

Jordan L Smith the 3rd round leader with a [-5] for tourney [-12] two up on Alex Levy and "field hand" Jens Fahrbring with 6 players @ [-9]. Smith pre-tourney odds were 40-1. I am hoping Chase Koepka can shoot a "bomber" Sunday. he is at [-6]

Sunday overnight forecast calling for thunderstorms 8am thru 10am and again late afternoon. partly cloudy rest of the time. wind 10 mph early then increasing to 16 mph by early afternoon before dying off to 7 mph early evening

local tee times Sunday
Charl Schwartzel 7:50am #1 tee
Chase Koepka 8:20am #1 tee
Richie Ramsay 8:40am #1 tee
Patrick Reed 8:50am #1 tee
Alex Levy 9:20am #1 tee
Jordan Smith 9:20am #1 tee

WHEW!!! got lucky the final round with "The Schwartz" [-3] for tourney [-8] over "Fat Pat" [+1] for [-6]. lose the Richie Ramsay over Alex Levy match [-9] to [-13] but win the Chase Koepka and Jordan L Smith "CUT" matches so a nice 3-1 to actually WIN some money this week

Jordan L Smith the tourney WINNER 2nd hole of a playoff with Alex Levy. Golf Channel yackers had an interesting comment about Smith. he is 2nd only to Tommy Fleetwood in "holes under par" birdies or better in Euro Tour tourneys this season

and speaking of the Golf Channel, the goofy buggers had a re-run of 3rd round coverage instead on LIVE final round Sunday morning. I just can NOT understand their reasoning