Posted:
#1
It is like clockwork, pressure makes these guys crack.
I have a project for one of you guys that like stats, blairaj or stats1 seem to be good at numbers.
We take the overnight leader, or leaders if there is a tie and look at the score for that round or rounds leading up to them leading the tournament. Now we take the following rounds score and compare that to the leaders previous rounds score(more than a single round if applies).
Option 2- take the player leading and his score of the day he starts with the lead and compare his score to the next 10-20 players avg.
I dont want to use the whole field because the bad scores will skew the average score.
Unsure of sample size of rounds leading needed, maybe 2010 until now?
Willing to tweak model if you guys have solid adjustments.
I have a project for one of you guys that like stats, blairaj or stats1 seem to be good at numbers.
We take the overnight leader, or leaders if there is a tie and look at the score for that round or rounds leading up to them leading the tournament. Now we take the following rounds score and compare that to the leaders previous rounds score(more than a single round if applies).
Option 2- take the player leading and his score of the day he starts with the lead and compare his score to the next 10-20 players avg.
I dont want to use the whole field because the bad scores will skew the average score.
Unsure of sample size of rounds leading needed, maybe 2010 until now?
Willing to tweak model if you guys have solid adjustments.
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