Rat
I agree Frittelli is a very good player but Frittelli has never played this event while last 5 years Coetzee has played it 2x
2014 MC +7
2012 T17 Even
Coetzee is playing his best golf right now with Top 14s in 7 of his last 11 tourneys. Gotta passon this
I also agree Wiesberger -140 is a heavy load to lay but Fleetwood has a lousy history here. But then again, this year Fleetwood is a MUCH improved player.
I do NOT have a line on Wiesberger -110 v Noren but would tend to agree there too
I am also going to add Luitten Even v Poulter.
Surprised that Poulter is -120, Luitten opened at -120.
Money going towards Poulter. Luitten played well last week in Germany at T14, and week before in weak field in Austria was T7. Luitten hadn't been playing great before that but seems to be back on track and has a good history here having made the cut the last 4x he has played here from 2012-2016, with 2016 finish T9 @ -2
Poulter is playing better this year but think Luitten is better.
Gonna also add Ross Fisher -120 v Wood
Fisher has 3 Top 9 or better in last 4 events and 5 Top 9 or better in last 7. Tough to beat that.
Plus in the last 6 tourneys that they have played together Fisher has beaten Wood 5 of 6
Also Fisher has played this event 3x since 2013
2016 T22 @ +1
2014 T26 @ +5
2013 T34 @ +4
Wood has played this event 4x since 2012 with 3MC and best finish last year 2016 T11 @ -1
Also adding
Pieters -110 v Fitzpatrick
Pieters plays well in big events.
Last year was T16 here while Fitz MC
Pieters did MC at US Open but before that was T4 at Masters
In May was T5 at the WGC- Mexico
Last year T4 at WGC-HSBC
4th place at the Olympics
T30 at 2016 British Open