Nedbank Challenge

Gary Player CC, Sun City, South Africa

last years winner Alex Noren with a [-9] final round for [-14] runner up was Jeunghun Wang [+3] for [-8] (had 3rd round lead by 3 shots). 5 tied @ 3rd @ [-7] including Canizares, Dubuisson, Gouveia, Grace and Sullivan

this years favorite Tyrrell Hatton @ 12-1 with Louis Oosthuizen, Brandon Grace and Matthew Fitzpatrick all @ 15-1. Francesco Molinari and Ross Fisher both @ 18-1

"of interest" players players for me are Kiradech Aphibarnrat @ 28-1, Nicky Colsaerts @ 40-1 (T-2nd last week), Paul Dunne (WON British Masters), Julien Suri (WON Denmark) and Dylan Frittelli (also T-2nd last week and WON Lyoness)  @ 50-1 along with Marc Warren @ 60-1 (who has been "wicked close" 4 of his last 5)

high odds "cats & dogs" include >>>
Jeunghun Wang @ 80-1 (2nd here last year. WON @ Qatar early season)
Lucas Bjerregaard @ 80-1 (WON Portugal Masters)
Fabririo Zanotti @ 80-1 (T-8th Turkish. WON Maybank)
Jordan L Smith @ 100-1 (WON European Open)
Matt Wallace @ 100-1 (WON Portugal Open)
Scott Hend @ 150-1 (2nd European Masters)
Brandon Stone @ 200-1 (WON @ Leopard Creek SA)
Graeme Storm @ 200-1 (WON SA Open)
Dean Burmester @ 200-1 (WON Tshwane Open SA)
Ryan Fox @ 200-1 (the long hitting Kiwi been "wicked close")
Anders Romero @ 200-1 (WON BMW International)
Renato Paratore @ 250-1 (WON Nordea Masters)
Edoardo Molinari @ 300-1 (WON Trophee Hassan)
Andrew Dodt @ 300-1 (just "cause "it's b!tchin' that way")
Sam Brazel @ 500-1 (WON @ Hong Kong)

ALL the "of interest" and "cats & dogs" enough bet to WIN $500






 

just three tourney match plays this week

Nicky Colsaerts -105 over Thorbjorn Olesen

Colsaerts T-2nd Turkish [-17] T-15th Italian [-15] T-25th Alfred Dunhill [-10] CUT British Masters T-12th Portugal Masters [-12]

Olesen 5th Turkish [-15] T-31st WGC-HSBC [-1] T-32nd Italian [-11] 3rd round CUT Alfred DunhillT-34th Portugal Masters [-8]

Kiradech Aphibarnrat +105 over Charl Schwartzel

"A Fat Barn Rat" T-6th Turkish [-14] T-24th WGC-HSBC [-2] T-2nd Italian [-20] T-15th Alfred Dunhill [-11] T-20th British Masters [-9]

Schwartzel T-50th WGC-HSBC [+4] (ONLY recent tourney) T-48 US PGA [+5] (August) T-24th Bridgestone [-2] (August) T12th European Open [-8] (July) T-62nd British Open [+6] (July) CUT US Open (June)

Paul Dunne even over Chris Wood

"Young Gun" Dunne T-23rd Turkish [-8] T-38th WGC-HSBC [+1]
T-26th Italian [-13] T-7th Alfred Dunhill [-13] WON British Masters [-20] T-14th KLM [-11] T-70th European Masters [+3] T-14th Denmark [-10] made the CUT his last 8 tourneys

Chris Wood T-23rd Turkish [-8] T-26th British Masters [-8] T-9th KLM [-12] CUT European Masters

well the ESPN PGA page actually shows Schwartzel T-48th CIMB [-4] and T-28th Korea [+2] the two weeks preceding his WGC-HSBC tourney T-50th. makes me LIKE "A Fat Barn Rat" even MORE

Sun City Weather Thursday: partly cloudy all day with chance of late a afternoon thunderstorm. 74F at 9:00am tee off with wind NNE @ 8mph. warming to 91F mid-afternoon with wind increasing to NNW @ 12mph. forecast to be be pretty much the same throughout the weekend

LAST chance for Race to Duhai "bubble players" to make the Top 60 for DP World tourney final next week

Marc Warren #56
Julien Suri #57
Brandon Stone #58
Sam Brazel #59
Gregory Bourdy #60
-----------------------------
Richard Sterne #61
Paul Waring #62
Ian Poulter #63
Jorge Campillo #64
Haydn Porteous #65
Ben Hebert #66
Romain Wattel #67
Matt Wallace #68
Renato Paratore #69
Robert Rock #70

I grabbed Noren and Tommy Morrison. This one seems to be a toss up. Why not?  

do you mean Tommy Fleetwood -120 vs Alex Noren even ??? match play probably IS a toss up. THAT is WHY I didn't fool with it and considering their recent performances they are BOTH over priced @ 20-1 "to win"

well first round @ Sun City and I am already IN the SH!T with my match play bets. these guys are SO inconsistent tourney to tourney. the 7800 yard Gary Player CC should be MEAT for the long hitting Colsaerts. instead he goes POOF!!!

Nicky Colsaerts -105 [+4] over Thorbjorn Olesen [-1]
Paul Dunne even [+2] over Chris Wood [even]
Kiradech Aphibarnrat +105 [+2] over Charl Schwartzel [-3]

the GOOD news it my Duke Blue Devil boy Julien Suri tied for 2nd @ [-4] with three others one behind Bernd Wiesberger. Julien needs a good tourney to at least maintain his #57 Race to Dubai spot to get into next weeks DP World final

well whoever does AccuWeather current reporting and forecasts for Sun City needs to get a NEW JOB, they forecast for wind 10-12mph, reported 15mph BUT looking at the trees on the course it HAD to be blowing at LEAST 25 mph and swirling . looked like the Las Vegas PGA final two days last week

and I can NOT remember WHEN I got MORE aggravated watching a golfer play. freeking Schwartzel was hitting his drives in the bush early on BUT the baztard making miracle recovery shots to save pars and ends up [+1] for tourney [-2] on the day. he DESERVED to have a "blow up" round like 1st round leader Wiesberger [+5] for [even]. NOT that it makes a damn as "A Fat Barn Rat" [+3] for [+5] and BOTH Dunne and Colsaerts are BURIED in their match plays too

I do NOT know WHAT happened to the Sun City greens from last year to this BUT they looked rather "grainy" and were wicked FAST. 8 to 10 foot putts MISSED by just about everyone esp my kid Julien Suri with a [+3] for [-1] now 5 behind the leader Victor Dubuisson @ [-6]. I would look out for last years winner Alex Noren, Tyrrell Hatton and Ross Fisher all @ [-3] going into Saturday

well I'll be swizzled. Branden "Dis"-Grace with a clean 6 birdie final round to pass Scotsman Scott Jamieson [-12] to [-11]. feel bad for  Jamieson who was denied his 2nd ever Euro Tour victory (won in 2013) when he doubled on #8 and finished with a final [-2]. Grace the FIRST South African to WIN the tourney in the last 10 years

round of the tourney was ChiCom Haotong Li with a [-8] final for tourney [-7]. looked awhile like he was going to do a "Noren" and catch the leaders

well I didn't get beat up TOO bad as at least Paul Dunne beat Chris Wood [+1] to [+13] for their match play WIN. Wood really "blew up" the final two rounds. the other two plays booth LOSERS as BOTH "A Fat Barn Rat" and Nicky Colsaerts never showed up

my boy Julian Suri "squeeks in" to next weeks finale @ the DP World @ #59 Race to Dubai. looks like the ONLY players that can catch leader Tommy Fleetwood are #2 Justin Rose and #3 Sergio Garcie. as HOT as Rose has been, I would NOT bet against him next week