Houston Open Picks

Question

Crazy week of picks. 6 plays for me...all of them underdogs. I'm staying away from a lot of the big names. I have no clue how they're going to play. Last year some big names missed the cut (on purpose...see DJ, and Adam Scott), so I'm not going to be putting money on these guys who are looking ahead to Augusta.

I’m going to throw a bit on Daniel Berger +150 ov Henrik Stenson

I think this is a great value play. I don’t know what to expect from Stenson this week. Last year he missed the cut here, he looked great the last time he played…maybe he just wants to play this week, hit a few shots, and head to Augusta. Daniel Berger loves this place!!! Two straight years he’s finished 5th here. Only 1 missed cut this year for Berger, and he’s even got a couple top 15 finishes.

Steve Stricker ov Keegan Bradley

If Stricker wins he gets into the Masters. Can you see Steve Stricker winning this week? Yes Can you see Keegan Bradley winning? No. Last PGA Tour event Stricker played in was the Valspar…he finished 12th. Keegan Bradley has one top 25 finish this year. A top 25 finish. Keegan pretty decent course history here, that’s why this isn’t a big play for me…but I like Stricker this week.

Scott Piercy ov James Hahn

Really like Piercy this week, and he seems to like this course. No missed cuts in 6 tries here, and the last 2 times he played here he finished 10th and 19th. He’s not coming in with a ton of momentum as he has 2 missed cuts in his last 5 tournaments, but he also has two top 20 finishes, so if he’s on a course he likes, he does well. James Hahn is not great here. Played here 4 times, 36th is his best finish. The other 3 finishes, 56th, 49th, MC. Hahn not great recently, 36th, and 59th his last 2 tournaments.

Harris English ov Ryan Palmer

Harris English on a nice little run, 22nd and 5th his last 2 tournaments. Meanwhile Ryan Palmer has 2 missed cuts in his last 3 tournaments, and he has a pretty bad record in this tournament. 7 missed cuts here in 12 attempts. Last year, he missed the cut, and the year before only finished 38th. Harris English not fantastic here, but he’s never missed the cut here.

Rory Sabbatini ov Shane Lowry

Sabbatini has made 8 cuts in a row, hasn’t missed a cut in 2018. In fact, he’s also got 3 top 20 finishes in 2018!!! Can’t really look at his course history cause he hasn’t played here in over a decade. Shane Lowry? He’s missed some cuts in 2018…hasn’t missed a meal, but definitely has missed a cut. No finishes in 2018 better than 43rd. Three missed cuts this year, and Lowry has actually played this tournament twice…missed the cut both times.

Russell Knox ov Brice Garnett

Easy there on Brice Garnett. I know he won last week, that was at the Puntacanta. Before that he was missing cuts at the Honda Classic, and the Genesis Open, and didn’t have a finish inside the top 30. Sound familiar mediocre golfer randomly wins a tournament out of nowhere? Ted Potter drop. Russell Knox is not golfing great right now, but he’s better than Garnett. Missed cut at the Waste Management by one, missed cut at the Honda, and then he also has 5 top 30 finishes, two of those top 15. Last time Garnett played here he missed the cut.

alangrrbs · Answer

Crazy week of picks. 6 plays for me...all of them underdogs. I'm staying away from a lot of the big names. I have no clue how they're going to play. Last year some big names missed the cut (on purpose...see DJ, and Adam Scott), so I'm not going to be putting money on these guys who are looking ahead to Augusta.

I’m going to throw a bit on Daniel Berger +150 ov Henrik Stenson

I think this is a great value play. I don’t know what to expect from Stenson this week. Last year he missed the cut here, he looked great the last time he played…maybe he just wants to play this week, hit a few shots, and head to Augusta. Daniel Berger loves this place!!! Two straight years he’s finished 5th here. Only 1 missed cut this year for Berger, and he’s even got a couple top 15 finishes.

Steve Stricker ov Keegan Bradley

If Stricker wins he gets into the Masters. Can you see Steve Stricker winning this week? Yes Can you see Keegan Bradley winning? No. Last PGA Tour event Stricker played in was the Valspar…he finished 12th. Keegan Bradley has one top 25 finish this year. A top 25 finish. Keegan pretty decent course history here, that’s why this isn’t a big play for me…but I like Stricker this week.

Scott Piercy ov James Hahn

Really like Piercy this week, and he seems to like this course. No missed cuts in 6 tries here, and the last 2 times he played here he finished 10th and 19th. He’s not coming in with a ton of momentum as he has 2 missed cuts in his last 5 tournaments, but he also has two top 20 finishes, so if he’s on a course he likes, he does well. James Hahn is not great here. Played here 4 times, 36th is his best finish. The other 3 finishes, 56th, 49th, MC. Hahn not great recently, 36th, and 59th his last 2 tournaments.

Harris English ov Ryan Palmer

Harris English on a nice little run, 22nd and 5th his last 2 tournaments. Meanwhile Ryan Palmer has 2 missed cuts in his last 3 tournaments, and he has a pretty bad record in this tournament. 7 missed cuts here in 12 attempts. Last year, he missed the cut, and the year before only finished 38th. Harris English not fantastic here, but he’s never missed the cut here.

Rory Sabbatini ov Shane Lowry

Sabbatini has made 8 cuts in a row, hasn’t missed a cut in 2018. In fact, he’s also got 3 top 20 finishes in 2018!!! Can’t really look at his course history cause he hasn’t played here in over a decade. Shane Lowry? He’s missed some cuts in 2018…hasn’t missed a meal, but definitely has missed a cut. No finishes in 2018 better than 43rd. Three missed cuts this year, and Lowry has actually played this tournament twice…missed the cut both times.

Russell Knox ov Brice Garnett

Easy there on Brice Garnett. I know he won last week, that was at the Puntacanta. Before that he was missing cuts at the Honda Classic, and the Genesis Open, and didn’t have a finish inside the top 30. Sound familiar mediocre golfer randomly wins a tournament out of nowhere? Ted Potter drop. Russell Knox is not golfing great right now, but he’s better than Garnett. Missed cut at the Waste Management by one, missed cut at the Honda, and then he also has 5 top 30 finishes, two of those top 15. Last time Garnett played here he missed the cut.

alangrrbs · Answer

Great podcast this week.  Going to be an insane Masters podcast next week, with a lot of great stuff.  Hope everyone tunes in.  There&#x27;ll be a lot of laughs, bets, etc.

LeRinkRat · Answer

i chanced these this week, Andy. all "to win" $50 @ South PointShubhankar Sharma &#x2B;160 over Brandt SnedekerSharma: 3rd round leader BOTH WGC-Mexico (finished 9th) and Indian Open (finished 7th) and has two Euro Tour wins this seasonSnedeker: CUT API, 31st Valspar, CUT Honda, 20th Pebble Beach, 23rd Phoenix Dylan Frittelli &#x2B;160 over Jason Kokrak Frittelli: 55th WGC-Mexico 11th Honda, 5th Maybank, 6th DDC, 19th Abu Dhabi and 20th SA Open has won on the Euro TourKokrak: CUT API, 8th Valspar, 20th Genesis, 35th Pebble Beach, 31st Pheonix Kelly Kraft &#x2B;125 over Jhonatthan VegasKraft: 3rd Corales, 31st Valspar, 8th Honda, 63rd Genesis, CUT Pebble BeachVegas: 20th WGC-Mexico, 72 Honda CUT Genesis, CUT FarmersLuke List -110 over Russell HenleyList: 7th API, 16th Valspar, 2nd Honda (playoff), 26th Genesis, 26th Phoenix 12th FarmersHenley: 58th WGC-Mexico, 24th Honda, 15th Pebble Beach, CUT Phoenix, CUT Sonyaccording to https://www.pga.com/events/masters/masters-tournament-field-list Shubhankar Sharma @ 150-1, Dylan Frittelli 250-1, Cameron Smith @ 150-1 and Chez Reavie @ 200-1 all now Masters qualified. ALL interesting "dog" picks along with Kiradech Aphibarnrat who I got early @ 250-1 now 125-1

BWS77 · Answer

Thanks, looking forward to next week. My Masters pool picks have to be in by Monday unfortunately so I'll probably miss your thoughts.

Putting $25 each on Stricker 30-1 and Piercy 65-1 to win in Houston

sacker17 · Answer

AndyGotta disagree with you on Garnett. He is a good player. I think he led the web.com tour ast year. Not a Ted Potter type player. Also not sold on Piercey. He barely made cut last week in Puntacana. And over the weekend he never fired. Wasn&#x2019;t good last week. Gonna ride you on English who seems to be on the improve.Also playing Poulter v Kaymer. Poulter motivated to win and get to Masters and play well to make Ryder team. Poulter was good at matchplay last week.

matthewpwlk · Answer

I am heavy on james hahn this week. Piercy wont fight back if things dont start well. Hahns year is more solid and he wants to get back to the form he was in earlier in the year.

alangrrbs · Answer

Congrats Matthew...you are officially involved in what me and Sacker call a "Johnnie Walker Black" bet. That's where we disagree on a bet, and one of us is on one side, and the other is on the other side. Whoever loses buys the other one a Johnnie Black the next time they see each other.

Looks like you guys like Hahn, and I get Piercy.

LeRinkRat · Answer

I chanced these 1st round match plays on recent 1st round performances, Andy. all bets 'to win" $50

Kieth Mitchell +125 over Bud Cauley

Nick Watney +125 over Jason Dufner

Chez Reavie +110 over Luke List

last five 1st rounds

Mitchell 66-71-67-71-70
Cauley 72-78-80-70-69

Watney 68-71-70-68-69
Dufner 74-72-69-69-69

Reavie 71-72-68-67-67
List 71-70-72-69-69

LeRinkRat · Answer

one more "tack on" tourney match play, AndySean O&#x27;Hair -110 over Julian Suri O&#x27;Hair 7th API &amp; 12th Valspar his last two. just one CUT his last seven tourneysSuri has been just HORRID lately. CUT Indian Open, 48th Tshwane Open, CUT Qatar Masters, 68th Pebble Beach, CUT Phoenix Open, 63rd Farmers his last six

SkySky · Answer

I like the FIELD @ -120 over the Big 9,J Rose, R Fowler, J Spieth, H Stenson, P Mickelson, D Berger, L List, R Henley, or T Finau to win Houston Open

alangrrbs · Answer

I didn&#x27;t see that one LeRink.  Great job seeing that one!

alangrrbs · Answer

I&#x27;m with you on that one Sky.

JamieR44 · Answer

@Sky, @Grrbs...Interesting, I actually like quite of few of the nine to win this thing.

Rose needs to play well in the run-up to Augusta (I'm gonna play him there, if things pan out this week), while Berger always plays well on this track. Phil, well, is Phil. And Finau is due for a win this year.

No field play for me.

And I'll be happy to take a piece of the J.Walker Black bet. My coin goes to Hahn.

SkySky · Answer

Jamie.114 golfers.I&#x27;ll gladly take 105 of them against 9 @ - 120.

JamieR44 · Answer

&#xA;Well, so far I badly miscalcuated Young Suri...kid was dynamic today.&#xA;However, I still like Fowler, even, maybe Stenson.&#xA;Rickie has got to just finish.

LeRinkRat · Answer

IF you are speaking of O&#x27;Hair over Suri, Andy, THAT one blowing up on me!!! my former Duke Blue Devil boy Suri opening [-6] just ONE off the LEAD!!! AND I got absolutely SCREWED in that 1st round Kieth Mitchell &#x2B;125 over Bud Cauley match. Mitchell bogies #18 and Cauley birdies #18 to ROB my AZZ with a [-5/-5] "putch"

LeRinkRat · Answer

AND damn Chez Reavie &#x2B;110 over Luke List SAME SH!T!!! Reavie bogie #18. List birdie #18 to finish [-4/-2] LOSE Nick Watney &#x2B;125 over Jason Dufner another "putch" [-1/-1] I think I need to do a "WALL-E" (Wally1317) and just STOP betting match plays. BOTH Sharma AND Frittelli both  just getting KILLED vs Snedeker and Kokrak. AND have already dis"cussed" O&#x27;Hair vs Suri

LeRinkRat · Answer

OK Shubhankar Sharma AND Dylan Frittelli. just WITHDRAW from your Masters invitations next week and go BACK to the Euro Tour!!! SAVE yourselves the EMBARRASSMENT of being another sorry azz CUT in Augusta you HACKERS!!!  ONLY tourney match play working for me after the CUT Luke List [-4] for tourney [-8] over Henley [-1] for [-4] BUT two more rounds to GO Beau Hossler (OWGR #214) the 2nd round leader @ [-11] with Sam Ryder (OWGR #321), Abraham Ancer (OWGR #221) and Nicky Lindheim (OWGR #333) one back @ [-10] along with "Rickie Tickie" Fowler. Ancer and Lindheim both shot [-6] 2nd round. two of my "Euro Trash", Julien Suri and Paul "Young Gun" Dunn in the group @ [-9] along with Bronson Burgoon (OWGR #442), Kevin Tway (OWGR #223) and Jordan Spieth. "notables" "in range" besides Fowler and Spieth. Henrik Stenson [-8] and Justin Rose [-7]btw. BOTH Suri and Dunn have WON on the Euro Tour and can shoot "wicked low" when they get it going. in fact Dunn "aced out" Rory McIlroy last fall in the British Masters with a final round [-9] for the three shot [-20] WIN

LeRinkRat · Answer

WTF Russell Henley ??? you gotta shoot a damn [-7] for tourney [-13] to ROB my AZZ on the Luke List bet ??? WHAT a WRECK of a tourney for me. I do NOT think I will do ANYTHING for the Masters other than some "long shot" to win bets

alangrrbs · Answer

I like my Johnnie Black with two rocks, please.

LeRinkRat · Answer

the "Poulter-geist" playoff WIN SAVED my tourney, Andy. $10 on his adjusted "to win" odds 60-1 after he shot that [-8] 2nd round got me OUT of ALL the horrid match play TRAPS this week

SkySky · Answer

Winning with Poulter

JamieR44 · Answer

&#xA;Fair enough...done and done.

JamieR44 · Answer

&#xA;Good call...

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