Hong Kong Open

Hong Kong GC. November 23rd thru 26th

last years winner Aussie Sam Brazel [-13] (a 11-2 "field hand this week) 2nd Rafael Cabrera-Bello [-12]. T-3rd Tommy Fleetwood and Andrew Dodt [-11] (no entry this year). 5th David Lipsky [-10]

"to win" favorites are Justin Rose @ 4-1 (T-36th last year) and Sergio Garcia @ 6-1 (did not play last year) with Matthew Fitzpatrick @ 10-1 and Tommy Fleetwood @ 12-1. last years runner up Rafael Cabrera-Bello and Kiradech Aphibarnrat both @ 20-1. recent "hots" the Chi-Com Haotong Li  and "Young Guns" Dylan Frittelli , Julian Suri and Paul Dunne all @ 30-1

with their recent play I would NOT be surprised to see either Rose or Garcia WIN with "A Fat Barn Rat" off his recent finishes also "of interest" although he DID miss the cut last year. over all, just NO real "value" to win plays this week as the player I like just TOO low of odds

DID do a number of tourney match plays this week

Matthew Fitzpatrick -120 over Tommy Fleetwood

"The Matthew Mouse" has finished higher than "Cocker Tommy" in 5 of their last 6 head to head tourneys

Kiradech Aphibarnrat +110 over Rafael Cabrera-Bello

although he was a CUT here last year, "A Fat Barn Rat" has been "wicked close" lately with T-2nd DP World [-18] T-42nd Nedbank [+4] T-6th Turkish [-14] T-24th WGC-HSBC [-2] T-2nd Italian [-20] T-15th Alfred Dunhill [-11].
Rafa playing well too and was runner up last year BUT NOT matching ex for WGC-HSBC T-5th vs T-24th

Jeunghun Wang -110 over Ashun Wu

Jeunghun Wang CUT last year BUT made last 7 cuts including Italian, Alfred Dunhill and British Masters.
Ashun Wu did not play last year. T-20th WGC-HSBC [-3] T-46th Spain [+6] BUT CUT Italian CUT Alfred Dunhill and CUT British Masters

Harold Varner III -110 over Thongchai Jaidee

Harold Varner III made his last 9 cuts. Thongchai Jaidee T-14th last season [-5] but CUT his last 4 tourney

David Lipsky -110 over Jamie Donaldson

Lipsky 5th last year [-10] 24th DP World (shot 64 2rd round) T-42nd Nedbank [+4] T-27th Turkish [-6] T-58th WGC-HSBC [+5] T-30th European Masters [-5]
Donaldson did not play last year. 4th Spain [-5] T-26th Italian [-13] CUT Alfred Dunhill T-37th British Masters [-6] CUT KLM CUT European Masters

as usual I also did the "hedge parlay" just in case my players completely SCREW it UP

I GOT to STAY AWAY from fukking KOREANS!!! god damn Jeunghun Wang and David Lipsky BOTH miss the CUT after Wang had MADE his last 7 cuts and Wu been stinking

looks like yet ANOTHER clobber job for me this weekend with that "schwarz" Varner "Da Turd" also stinking it up. I GOTTA just QUIT betting golf. I SUCK at it and I am almost ALWAYS WRONG

as usual I also did the "hedge parlay" just in case my players completely SCREW it UP

AND looks like the BEST thing that can happen would to be completely WRONG going into the final round. the 5 player "hedge parlay" was $10 to return right at $410 so I would actually MAKE some for the week

Fleetwood [-8] vs Fitzpatrick [-4], Varner "Da Turd" [+3] vs Jaidee [-5], R C-B [-9] vs "A Fat Barn Rat" [-4] AND BOTH Wang and Lipsky 2nd round CUTS

well I am starting to think "what the hell ELSE is gonna happen to me" in this Golf foolishness ??? I actually LOSE by WINNING one of my picks. freeking Thongchai Jaidee "blows up" the final round with a [+7] for tourney [+2] to give the WIN to Harold Varner "Da Turd" [-3] for [even]. otherwise I get the "hedge parlay" money. total bet this week $285 and get only $105 returned instead of the $410

CRAZY final round on Sunday. 37 year old Aussie Wade Ormsby pretty much "backs in" to the win with a final round [-2] for [-11] one shot better than Julian Suri, Alex Bjork, Paul Peterson and last years also 2nd place Rafael Cabrera-Bello. gotta feel GOOD for Ormsby who has been on and off the Euro Tour for year and NEVER WON before

I definitely need to give this a REST until next year. besides I been making SO much money betting the Las Vegas Golden Knights hockey team in NHL action it is just STUPID to fool with THIS monkey shines