Last week resulted in near half of my risked units recovered. But more importantly I've found a group of stats and thresholds that have picked 12 of the last 15 winners. So my updated system plays will look more chalky than previous setups. Here is my top 20.
Im
Berger
Mitchell
Niemann
Mccarthy
Horschel
Oosthuizen
Young
Fleetwood
Vegas
Jones
Wise
Thompson M.
Howell III
Hickok
Harrington
Glover
Johnson Z.
Koepka B.
My plays
Niemann win +1800
Oosthuizen win +1800
Horschel win +2000 (3 units)
Im win +1000 (3 units)
Berger win +1400
Mitchell win +3300 (3 units) top 5 +750, top 10 +335 (2 units)
Mccarthy win +5000 (3 units), top 10 +500 (3 units)
Hughes win +5000 (3 units), top 10 +450 (3 units)
Young win +4500, top 10 +450
Harrington win +150000, top 20 +500
Hickok top 5 +2500, top 20 +450
Matchups
Hughes over lee k. -134 (2 units)
Mccarthy over noren -103 (2 units)
Horschel over lowry -120 (2 units)
40.14 units risked total.
GL all!
To remove first post, remove entire topic.
Last week resulted in near half of my risked units recovered. But more importantly I've found a group of stats and thresholds that have picked 12 of the last 15 winners. So my updated system plays will look more chalky than previous setups. Here is my top 20.
Im
Berger
Mitchell
Niemann
Mccarthy
Horschel
Oosthuizen
Young
Fleetwood
Vegas
Jones
Wise
Thompson M.
Howell III
Hickok
Harrington
Glover
Johnson Z.
Koepka B.
My plays
Niemann win +1800
Oosthuizen win +1800
Horschel win +2000 (3 units)
Im win +1000 (3 units)
Berger win +1400
Mitchell win +3300 (3 units) top 5 +750, top 10 +335 (2 units)
Mccarthy win +5000 (3 units), top 10 +500 (3 units)
Not mad. It happens. If i have a player with a record lead every tournament, I'll take that every week. Also it isn't hard to pick 30 guys not to win when 99.3% chance that someone doesn't win. The challenge is to pick a winner without betting on everyone. I'll hit soon and get back up. I always do.
@Hotbartender
Not mad. It happens. If i have a player with a record lead every tournament, I'll take that every week. Also it isn't hard to pick 30 guys not to win when 99.3% chance that someone doesn't win. The challenge is to pick a winner without betting on everyone. I'll hit soon and get back up. I always do.
"Probability of these folks to win are slimmer than one might think, like real slim."
This was what you said. Then said they can't win. Covering all possibilities is non statement. Slimmer than one might think had an 80.6% chance to win with 18 holes left. I'd take that percent every Sunday. I hope my picks this week r on your loser page again. If u played the rest of the field not on your can't win list, you would have broken even with betting 120 players.
"Probability of these folks to win are slimmer than one might think, like real slim."
This was what you said. Then said they can't win. Covering all possibilities is non statement. Slimmer than one might think had an 80.6% chance to win with 18 holes left. I'd take that percent every Sunday. I hope my picks this week r on your loser page again. If u played the rest of the field not on your can't win list, you would have broken even with betting 120 players.
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