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    All Forums | Pro Golf

    Farmers Insurance Open

    12 Next Last»
    Rollz
    Boa33
    jad99887
    PeAceMaKer7690
    Buzzard311
    ...
    Participants:
    Search
    Views: 1377
    Posts: 26
    12 Next Last»
     
    Rollz
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    Posted: Jan. 25, 2026 - 9:18 PM ET #1

    Looking forward to this event at Torrey Pines which will actually cause a little bit of adversity for the best golfers in the world, which is hard to come by these days. Just wanted to give a quick write up as to what we should expect and what type of golfers we want to target this week. 

     

    The farmers insurance open at Torrey will feature 2 courses, the north and south course, although 3/4 rounds will be played on the south course so this will focus more on that set up. The north course is essentially an easier, shorter version of the south course in short. Torrey Pines south is a very long par 72 measuring out at 7,765 yds, the longest course on the pga tour. It features very small poa greens and thick rough which aside from the pure length of the course are the main defenses. This course typically plays very soft, with very narrow fairways. This actually works against more accurate players as it is so hard to hit the fairways for even the most accurate players on tour. Also, it doesn’t really matter how wide your misses are generally as this venue does not penalize you for very wayward shots, you’re either in the fairway or you have a pretty clear approach shot from the rough. Essentially this means players that bomb it off the tee do have an edge as they will end up with shorter approaches from the rough into these tiny green complexes. Now length is not everything, and there are a contingent of shorter players that consistently play well here. This is because long iron approach play and a supreme short game can very much make up for the deficits off the tee at this venue. Players that can consistently hit these greens with their long irons will have the biggest edge, although that is a big ask with how often players will be approaching these tiny greens with long irons from the rough. This is why a solid around the green game is huge at this event, and why almost every consistently high finisher at this event is a consistently great around the green player. This course will feature west coast poa greens which are among the most unpredictable greens in tour, and will result in many missed putts from very makeable ranges. That and the fact that this is not a birdie fest leads me to not give putting much weight in my modeling. Basically the ideal player here is a great long iron player, an elite around the green player, and guys that have had a good track record here and on long and difficult golf courses with thick rough such as Muirfield village, Bay hill, Quail Hollow, etc. Players that have length off the tee and have been solid on west coast poa greens is an added bonus. No odds out yet but will likely fire on a couple once released. Time to do a little more digging an_popcorn

    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.

    Looking forward to this event at Torrey Pines which will actually cause a little bit of adversity for the best golfers in the world, which is hard to come by these days. Just wanted to give a quick write up as to what we should expect and what type of golfers we want to target this week. 

     

    The farmers insurance open at Torrey will feature 2 courses, the north and south course, although 3/4 rounds will be played on the south course so this will focus more on that set up. The north course is essentially an easier, shorter version of the south course in short. Torrey Pines south is a very long par 72 measuring out at 7,765 yds, the longest course on the pga tour. It features very small poa greens and thick rough which aside from the pure length of the course are the main defenses. This course typically plays very soft, with very narrow fairways. This actually works against more accurate players as it is so hard to hit the fairways for even the most accurate players on tour. Also, it doesn’t really matter how wide your misses are generally as this venue does not penalize you for very wayward shots, you’re either in the fairway or you have a pretty clear approach shot from the rough. Essentially this means players that bomb it off the tee do have an edge as they will end up with shorter approaches from the rough into these tiny green complexes. Now length is not everything, and there are a contingent of shorter players that consistently play well here. This is because long iron approach play and a supreme short game can very much make up for the deficits off the tee at this venue. Players that can consistently hit these greens with their long irons will have the biggest edge, although that is a big ask with how often players will be approaching these tiny greens with long irons from the rough. This is why a solid around the green game is huge at this event, and why almost every consistently high finisher at this event is a consistently great around the green player. This course will feature west coast poa greens which are among the most unpredictable greens in tour, and will result in many missed putts from very makeable ranges. That and the fact that this is not a birdie fest leads me to not give putting much weight in my modeling. Basically the ideal player here is a great long iron player, an elite around the green player, and guys that have had a good track record here and on long and difficult golf courses with thick rough such as Muirfield village, Bay hill, Quail Hollow, etc. Players that have length off the tee and have been solid on west coast poa greens is an added bonus. No odds out yet but will likely fire on a couple once released. Time to do a little more digging an_popcorn

     
    Rollz
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    Posted: Jan. 25, 2026 - 10:37 PM ET #2

    A few guys that have my attention early for both placements and outrights, although still waiting on data from this week so this could change 

    Hideki Matsuyama

    Wyndham Clark 

    Si Woo Kim

    Patrick Rodgers

    Sam Stevens

    Maverick McNealy 

    Michael Kim

     

    Reply

    A few guys that have my attention early for both placements and outrights, although still waiting on data from this week so this could change 

    Hideki Matsuyama

    Wyndham Clark 

    Si Woo Kim

    Patrick Rodgers

    Sam Stevens

    Maverick McNealy 

    Michael Kim

     

     
    Rollz
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    Posted: Jan. 26, 2026 - 8:02 AM ET #3

    Adam Scott and Will Zalatoris are other names id add to that list. Tony finau 180-1 at Torrey Pines shocked me, then i saw his ballstriking numbers lol, looks to be unbettable

    Reply

    Adam Scott and Will Zalatoris are other names id add to that list. Tony finau 180-1 at Torrey Pines shocked me, then i saw his ballstriking numbers lol, looks to be unbettable

     
    Rollz
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    Posted: Jan. 26, 2026 - 8:17 AM ET #4

    Wyndham Clark (48-1) 0.25u

    Wyndham Clark top 10 (ties included): (+410) 0.5u

    Reply

    Wyndham Clark (48-1) 0.25u

    Wyndham Clark top 10 (ties included): (+410) 0.5u

     
    Rollz
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    Posted: Jan. 26, 2026 - 9:59 AM ET #5

    Andrew Novak (110-1) 0.1u

    Reply

    Andrew Novak (110-1) 0.1u

     
    Rollz
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    Posted: Jan. 26, 2026 - 10:51 AM ET #6

    Hideki Matsuyama (30-1) 0.35u

    Reply

    Hideki Matsuyama (30-1) 0.35u

     
    Boa33
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    Posted: Jan. 26, 2026 - 2:14 PM ET #7

    @Rollz

    Looking forward to a torny with no SS

    Like your card and potentials

    clover

    Reply

    @Rollz

    Looking forward to a torny with no SS

    Like your card and potentials

    clover

     
    jad99887
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    Posted: Jan. 26, 2026 - 2:21 PM ET #8

    Let's go Rollz ??????????????

    Jaddy D
    Reply

    Let's go Rollz ??????????????

     
    jad99887
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    Posted: Jan. 26, 2026 - 2:23 PM ET #9

    I dont know why it keeps doing ???? marks..Im trying to give you a fist bumb but I goes to ??? marks on my comments lol

    Jaddy D
    Reply

    I dont know why it keeps doing ???? marks..Im trying to give you a fist bumb but I goes to ??? marks on my comments lol

     
    Rollz
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    Posted: Jan. 26, 2026 - 2:34 PM ET #10

    Sam Stevens top 20 (ties included): (+210) 0.5u

     

    Reply

    Sam Stevens top 20 (ties included): (+210) 0.5u

     

     
    jad99887
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    Posted: Jan. 26, 2026 - 2:38 PM ET #11

    Any love for Jason Day this week Rollz

    Jaddy D
    Reply

    Any love for Jason Day this week Rollz

     
    Rollz
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    Posted: Jan. 26, 2026 - 4:35 PM ET #12

    Quote Originally Posted by jad99887:

    Any love for Jason Day this week Rollz

     

    I like the golf course for him for sure, he’s been amazing here throughout his career. I just don’t think I can bet him at current prices. I’m seeing him as low as 25-1 which feels significantly overpriced for the caliber of player he is now. But that’s not to say he can’t win here because he obviously can 

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by jad99887:

    Any love for Jason Day this week Rollz

     

    I like the golf course for him for sure, he’s been amazing here throughout his career. I just don’t think I can bet him at current prices. I’m seeing him as low as 25-1 which feels significantly overpriced for the caliber of player he is now. But that’s not to say he can’t win here because he obviously can 

     
    Rollz
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    Posted: Jan. 26, 2026 - 5:07 PM ET #13

    Quote Originally Posted by Boa33:

    @Rollz Looking forward to a torny with no SS Like your card and potentials

    It feels good to know the inevitable isn’t coming this week doesn’t it? an_roll_laugh Thanks buddy lmk who you’re on if you don’t post a thread 

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by Boa33:

    @Rollz Looking forward to a torny with no SS Like your card and potentials

    It feels good to know the inevitable isn’t coming this week doesn’t it? an_roll_laugh Thanks buddy lmk who you’re on if you don’t post a thread 

     
    Rollz
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    Posted: Jan. 28, 2026 - 3:49 PM ET #14

    Finalizing card throughout tonight, been a crazy week. Back shortly 

    Reply

    Finalizing card throughout tonight, been a crazy week. Back shortly 

     
    PeAceMaKer7690
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    Posted: Jan. 28, 2026 - 6:08 PM ET #15

    Clark

    Keopka

    Pavon

    C davis

    Stevens

    Zalatoris

    Potgeiter

    Norlander

    Reply

    Clark

    Keopka

    Pavon

    C davis

    Stevens

    Zalatoris

    Potgeiter

    Norlander

     
    Rollz
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    Posted: Jan. 28, 2026 - 7:05 PM ET #16

    Quote Originally Posted by PeAceMaKer7690:

    Clark Keopka Pavon C davis Stevens Zalatoris Potgeiter Norlander

    Whats up peace, definitely like a few of these. BOL!

    Reply

    Quote Originally Posted by PeAceMaKer7690:

    Clark Keopka Pavon C davis Stevens Zalatoris Potgeiter Norlander

    Whats up peace, definitely like a few of these. BOL!

     
    Rollz
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    Posted: Jan. 28, 2026 - 7:08 PM ET #17

    *All positionals are ties included*

     

    Love Ole Adam this week, but not necessarily to win. This was a 30% boost through bet365 or otherwise I would’ve just taken the top 20 number at +230

    Adam Scott top 30 (+178) 0.5u

    Reply

    *All positionals are ties included*

     

    Love Ole Adam this week, but not necessarily to win. This was a 30% boost through bet365 or otherwise I would’ve just taken the top 20 number at +230

    Adam Scott top 30 (+178) 0.5u

     
    Rollz
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    Posted: Jan. 28, 2026 - 7:39 PM ET #18

    Jake Knapp (50-1) 0.2u

    Jake Knapp Top 20 (+200) 0.5u

    Reply

    Jake Knapp (50-1) 0.2u

    Jake Knapp Top 20 (+200) 0.5u

     
    Buzzard311
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    Posted: Jan. 28, 2026 - 10:01 PM ET #19

    GL this week Rollz an_cheers

    Reply

    GL this week Rollz an_cheers

     
    jad99887
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    Posted: Jan. 28, 2026 - 10:16 PM ET #20

    Good luck Rollz..I went Day and Pendrith to win both 30-1..

    Jaddy D
    Reply

    Good luck Rollz..I went Day and Pendrith to win both 30-1..

     
    Rollz
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    Posted: Jan. 29, 2026 - 8:04 AM ET #21

    Outrights:

    Hideki Matsuyama (30-1) 0.35u

    Wyndham Clark (48-1) 0.25u

    Jake Knapp (50-1) 0.2u

    Andrew Novak (110-1) 0.1u


    Top 10 (ties included):

    Hideki Matsuyama (+280) 0.5u

    Wyndham Clark (+410) 0.5u


    Top 20 (ties included):

    Will Zalatoris (+186) 0.5u

    Jake Knapp (+200) 0.5u

    Sam Stevens (+210) 0.5u

     

    Top 30 (ties included):

    Adam Scott (+178) 0.5u

    Reply

    Outrights:

    Hideki Matsuyama (30-1) 0.35u

    Wyndham Clark (48-1) 0.25u

    Jake Knapp (50-1) 0.2u

    Andrew Novak (110-1) 0.1u


    Top 10 (ties included):

    Hideki Matsuyama (+280) 0.5u

    Wyndham Clark (+410) 0.5u


    Top 20 (ties included):

    Will Zalatoris (+186) 0.5u

    Jake Knapp (+200) 0.5u

    Sam Stevens (+210) 0.5u

     

    Top 30 (ties included):

    Adam Scott (+178) 0.5u

     
    Boa33
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    Posted: Jan. 29, 2026 - 9:15 PM ET #22

    @Rollz

    Outirghts played well today.

    Knapp and Deki looking solid, need Novak to go low on NC tomorrow.

    gl 

    Reply

    @Rollz

    Outirghts played well today.

    Knapp and Deki looking solid, need Novak to go low on NC tomorrow.

    gl 

     
    Rollz
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    Posted: Jan. 31, 2026 - 5:36 PM ET #23

    Welp J Rose ruined the fun this week, what a week it’s been for him. 

    Reply

    Welp J Rose ruined the fun this week, what a week it’s been for him. 

     
    PeAceMaKer7690
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    Posted: Feb. 1, 2026 - 2:27 AM ET #24

    Let's pretend Rose stumbles. Say over-confident from a previous win. Or tired from his age. Or unwilling to take risks. And lose a couple strokes by hole 3.

    Let's say he even withdrawals. What if the story this weekend isn't "Rose wins by 10+" which it could be in alternate universe. Let's say it's "Rose sets 54 hole record but stumbles on day 4." Then who are you betting?

    Or even the story could be " Rose stalls while opponent shoots 10 under"

    Dahmen

    Matsuyama

    SW Kim

    Jaeger

    McGreevy

    Taking a chance in case this is the storyline tomorrow. 

    Reply

    Let's pretend Rose stumbles. Say over-confident from a previous win. Or tired from his age. Or unwilling to take risks. And lose a couple strokes by hole 3.

    Let's say he even withdrawals. What if the story this weekend isn't "Rose wins by 10+" which it could be in alternate universe. Let's say it's "Rose sets 54 hole record but stumbles on day 4." Then who are you betting?

    Or even the story could be " Rose stalls while opponent shoots 10 under"

    Dahmen

    Matsuyama

    SW Kim

    Jaeger

    McGreevy

    Taking a chance in case this is the storyline tomorrow. 

     
     
    goin4
    goin4
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Mar, 2010
    Posts: 4042
    Posted: Feb. 1, 2026 - 9:24 AM ET #25

    Kim

    Reply

    Kim

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