Dean & Deluca picks

I know in the past we’ve said don’t pay attention to the weather a lot, but this week could be different.  As of now the morning guys on Thursday will have a big advantage because the wind is supposed to really pick up in the afternoon, so keep an eye on your tee times.

Jon Rahm ov Jordan Spieth

Full tourney and First round

For the last two tournaments, Spieth has not been sharp.  Two straight missed cuts, and when I watch him it just looks like he’s pressing really hard, and his putting has fallen off.  He can get frustrated when he’s not playing great, and I don’t think he’s playing good right now.  I know he won here last year, and he has good course history, but he was in good form coming into the tournament last year, and this year he’s coming in with 2 missed cuts, and no top 10 finishes since February.  Rahm had a terrible third round at The Players, but other than that he’s just been better than Spieth.  In the last couple months, the Masters is the only tourney where Spieth finished ahead of Rahm, and that was when Rahm blew up on the last hole. 

I’m making a little extra first round play on this as well because Rahm has the early tee time on Thursday, and Spieth will have to deal with more wind in his round.

Small Play

Kevin Tway ov Si woo Kim

I can’t make this a big play because Tway has the last tee time on Thursday, but I don’t believe for a second Si Woo Kim is going to play good consistently. I know he won his last tourney, but I think this is a perfect let down tourney.  He’s got the back issues, he got his win for the year…last year when he won a tournament, he turned around and missed the cut the next tourney he played in.  Wouldn’t surprise me if the same thing happens here.  Tway has been great, 4 straight top 20 finishes, and I like the consistent Kevin Tway.  As for Mr. Kim…I just don’t SEEEE it.  He doesn’t WOOOO me this week.  Full tourney only.

Graeme McDowell ov Wesley Bryan

We keep making money off McDowell, and I’m not going to stop betting him.  Only missed cut this year was the Puerto Rico tourney, and last week he didn’t have a good finishing place, but that was because he had a terrible last round, as every big name did it seemed like.  Six top 30 finishes in the last 8 tournaments.  Wesley Bryan was good early in the year, but he got the win at the RBC Heritage, and has not been good since.  Two straight missed cuts, and in those tournaments he doesn’t have one round under 72.  I’ll take McDowell ov Bryan full tourney and first round.

Michael Kim ov Harris English

Harris English has pretty good history at this course, but he has been atrocious recently.  It almost looks like he’s dealing with an injury of some sort.  If you look at his results, start at the Arnold Palmer, and he has no tournaments at par or under.  His last 3 tournaments he’s a combined +27.  For Michael Kim, only 2 missed cuts the last 7 tournaments, 2 straight made cuts, and the last 4 tournaments they’ve played in together, Michael Kim has finished ahead of English.  Full tourney and first round.

Sung Kang ov Ollie Shenanigans

I just don’t think Ollie is very good.  Sung Kang has 5 straight top 30 finishes, 4 of those finishes are top 20 finishes, so he’s been consistent.  He’s played this tournament twice, Ollie has never played here, and Ollie has gotten worse each of the last 3 tournaments.  Barely made the cut last week, and we cashed a bet against him last week, and I love getting even odds in the matchup.  Full tourney and first round.