Arnold Palmer Picks

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Jason Day ov Tiger WoodA golfer thats played twice this year, and finished 1st and 2nd, and won here in 2016 at plus money over Tiger?  I&#x27;ll take it.  Day isn&#x27;t intimidated by Tiger, and playing next to him isn&#x27;t a big of a deal.  I worried about Day coming into this year, but he&#x27;s proved me wrong in his two tournaments.  I know everyone and their mother is going to be on Tiger, and for good reason.  He had a great finish last week, and he loves this course, but I think his price is pretty overvalued this week, and getting Day at plus money is a great deal.?Tommy Fleetwood ov Rory McIlroyRory has been all over the place this year, but in his last 4 tournaments he&#x27;s got a 20th, a 59th, and two missed cuts including one last week where he couldn&#x27;t putt to save his life.  He had a good showing here last year, but when putting struggles pop up, it&#x27;s tough to ignore.  Fleetwood has been more than solid in his PGA events this year.  Only one finish outside the top 15, he has been steady, finished 10th here last year, but more importantly isn&#x27;t going through some putting funk.  I look for Fleetwood to be near the top on Sunday.?Bubba Watson ov Henrik StensonSince the ball change, Bubba has looked rejuvenated.  A win and a 9th since he made the change.  Didn&#x27;t seem like a big deal at the time, but the results show other wise.  Meanwhile, Stenson continues to underperform with a 60th place finish 6 weeks ago, then he took a break and came back only to miss the cut this last weekend.  He has a history of good finishes here, but he did miss the cut here last year.  I look for Bubba to continue the momentum.?David Lingmerth ov Danny WilletThe biggest compliment I can give David Lingmerth right now is that he&#x27;s not Danny Willet.?  Danny Willet has one made cut this year and that was at a watered down Euro tournament.  Besides that he&#x27;s been a complete disaster.  Lingmerth has a couple missed cuts mixed in with some finishes outside the top 40 this year, but he&#x27;s never missed the cut at this tournament in 5 attempts, and even finished 13th here a couple years ago.

alangrrbs · Answer

Jason Day ov Tiger WoodA golfer thats played twice this year, and finished 1st and 2nd, and won here in 2016 at plus money over Tiger?  I&#x27;ll take it.  Day isn&#x27;t intimidated by Tiger, and playing next to him isn&#x27;t a big of a deal.  I worried about Day coming into this year, but he&#x27;s proved me wrong in his two tournaments.  I know everyone and their mother is going to be on Tiger, and for good reason.  He had a great finish last week, and he loves this course, but I think his price is pretty overvalued this week, and getting Day at plus money is a great deal.?Tommy Fleetwood ov Rory McIlroyRory has been all over the place this year, but in his last 4 tournaments he&#x27;s got a 20th, a 59th, and two missed cuts including one last week where he couldn&#x27;t putt to save his life.  He had a good showing here last year, but when putting struggles pop up, it&#x27;s tough to ignore.  Fleetwood has been more than solid in his PGA events this year.  Only one finish outside the top 15, he has been steady, finished 10th here last year, but more importantly isn&#x27;t going through some putting funk.  I look for Fleetwood to be near the top on Sunday.?Bubba Watson ov Henrik StensonSince the ball change, Bubba has looked rejuvenated.  A win and a 9th since he made the change.  Didn&#x27;t seem like a big deal at the time, but the results show other wise.  Meanwhile, Stenson continues to underperform with a 60th place finish 6 weeks ago, then he took a break and came back only to miss the cut this last weekend.  He has a history of good finishes here, but he did miss the cut here last year.  I look for Bubba to continue the momentum.?David Lingmerth ov Danny WilletThe biggest compliment I can give David Lingmerth right now is that he&#x27;s not Danny Willet.?  Danny Willet has one made cut this year and that was at a watered down Euro tournament.  Besides that he&#x27;s been a complete disaster.  Lingmerth has a couple missed cuts mixed in with some finishes outside the top 40 this year, but he&#x27;s never missed the cut at this tournament in 5 attempts, and even finished 13th here a couple years ago.

BWS77 · Answer

You realize that your plays have included the tourny winner each of the last 2 weeks?  Phil and Casey...

JBender · Answer

Since I&#x2019;ve seen some call you Andy I&#x2019;ll guess that&#x2019;s ok if I do too?? Hey Andy, just curious of your thought about either of these:Fleetwood to finish 20th or better at &#x2B;105 orDay to finish 14th or better at -120Thank you and good luck

LeRinkRat · Answer

OK Andy you sold me on Bubba &#x2B;115 over Stenson. had a ??? after it but just bopped it for your reasons given. already had popped "Cocker Tommy" &#x2B;110 over Roryalso played these othersEmiliano Grillo -110 over Kevin Chappell. like the way Grillo has played his last two tourneys esp his solo 6th @ the Indian Open last week [-5] on maybe THE toughest course in the WORLD. also tied 7th here last season. "Chappie" middle of the pack his last twoTyrrell Hatton &#x2B;115 AND Alex Noren &#x2B;120 over Hideki Matsuyama. I usually do NOT "double dip" against a golfer BUT Matsuyama coming off a wrist injury @ Phoenix Open where he WD&#x27;ed. both Hatton and Noren been playing well since coming over from Euro TourKiradech Aphibarnrat &#x2B;120 over Brandt Snedeker. "A Fat Barn Rat" tied 5th @ Mexico with a final round [-6] 65 and WON the Perth match play earlier this season.  Snedeker tied 31st @ Valspar and CUT @ Honda his last twoPatton Kizzire &#x2B;115 over Charley Hoffman. "Kizz" tied 12th @ Mexico and WON two tourneys earlier this season. Charley CUT @ Valspar, tied 20th @ Mexico, tied 41st @ Genesis and WD @ Pebble BeachBrian Harman &#x2B;120 over Adam Scott. Harman tied 5th @ Mexico and tied 33rd Honda. also 4th @ Sony early season. Scott decent his last two but has been VERY inconstantGOOD LUCK

alangrrbs · Answer

Yeah BWS, I realized that yesterday. Last year twice I bet against guys who won. One of those the guy I bet on finished second. Hard to swallow that loss...lol.

This week I could see Fleetwood or Day win...probably not Lingmerth...lol

alangrrbs · Answer

Like both of them JBender.  Especially the Fleetwood play.

alangrrbs · Answer

What&#x2019;s up LeRink!!!!  Like the plays!!!  Let&#x2019;s go Bubba!!!

BWS77 · Answer

I grabbed Fleetwood at 18-1, keep the good work, enjoy the reads every week

sacker17 · Answer

AndyI am already on a Fleetwood v Rory for the reasons I indicated. I am also already on both Day (&#x2B;110) and Rose (&#x2B;125) both as dogs this morning vs Woods. Lines have moved so I have good lines  I know Tiger looked very good last week and I know Tiger has 8 wins here and I was I terestedin maybe betting Tiger but I didn&#x2019;t expect the books would match tiger up against the very best players. I would&#x2019;ve preferred a Tiger v Hadwin or the like  I took the odds with 2 of the best players in the world as dogs  Day and Rose plus I don&#x2019;t have a Willet line available but if I did I&#x2019;d take a ham sandwich against Willet. The wheels have fallen off for Willet. And he had been very good 2nd in Race to Dubai 2 year Dina row and a Green jacket. Bubba has been a different player since he went back to the Totleist ball. I mentioned that 2 weeks ago and had a nice &#x2B;140 play on bubba. But this week the course history is against Bubba. Bubba not so good and Stenson good. Think I&#x2019;m gonna pass on Bubba this week but I like a play in Bubba in Masters. Stenson has been Sh!t though. Rat I&#x2019;m against you on Snedeker. Was reading article about him last week and he said he really likes the way he is swinging the club right now.  He is coming back from injury and I think he is on the up. Snedeker also has a good history here. I got down this morning Inn snedeker at -115 v Aphibarnrat and it&#x2019;s now -155. Was thinking of adding at -115. Would not advise laying -155. And Aphibarnrat has a good history here with 2 trips and bothT6 finishes. I&#x2019;m with you on Grillo. He was good in Europe and has a good historyhereI also took Bradley -120 v burns. That&#x2019;s now -150!Bradley has good history here and in general in Florida events. Has a home in Florida and likes to play in Bermuda grass Took An -110 v Kisner. Kisner has been bad and An pretty good.

LeRinkRat · Answer

well looks like we are on the SH!T with some plays after the 1st round, Andy. freeking Stenson decides to PLAY GOLF this week with an opening [-8] for the tourney lead

freeking Fleetwood JACKS a three foot PAR putt on #14 for a damn bogie to end up [-3] for the day. Get A Hair Cut and Get A REAL Job, you cocker spaniel looking bugger. thank god Rory also screwed up with a double on #18 for [-3]

the "fade Matsuyama" plays tight . he finished [-2] with Hatton [-2] and Noren [-1]. Hatton looked like he was gonna "blow up" early BUT came back

Patton Kizzeri play DEAD with an opening [+5] and "A Fat Barn Rat" shot [+1] BUT Snedeker [+5] so THAT looks good as long as the Rat doesn't "blow up" Friday. will SEE what HAPPENS

2nd round plays the "jumped" at me

Henrik Stenson +105 [-8] over Tommy Fleetwood [-3]
Kevin Kisner -110 [+2] over Patton Kizzeri [+5]
John Huh even [even] over Kevin Streelman [+1]
Ryan Armour even [-2] over Cameron Smith [+3]

LeRinkRat · Answer

1-2-1 with the Friday plays one tourney WIN ("A Fat Barn Rat") and one LOSS (Kizzeri) after the CUT. Bubba [-4] just BURIED by Stenson [-11] "Cocker Tommy" "blew up" [&#x2B;4] for tourney [&#x2B;1] vs Rory [-2] for [-5] and Grillo 4 back of Chappell the rest "wicked tight" going into the weekend

LeRinkRat · Answer

Ah NUTS!!! looks like we are "fukking fukked" end of the 3rd round. Fleetwood [-2] 8 behind Rory [-10] AND Watson [-4] 8 behind Stenson [-12] who is leading the tourney going into Sunday. also BOTH Hatton [+1] AND Noren [+2] well behind Matsuyama [-3]. ONLY plays with a lead Rose [-9] over Fowler [-8] and Harman [-2] over Scott [-1] BUT both those are "wicked close"

LeRinkRat · Answer

well THIS week was just plain NASTY. go 3-6 to pretty much get my brains beat out.

WIN with Aphibarnrat, Rose and Noren. LOSE with Fleetwood, Grillo, Hatton, Bubba, Kizzire and Harman.

NEXT week the WGC-Dell Match Play @ Austin Texas

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