Posted:
#26
Goin' with the Steelers m/l.
Pittsburgh at Tennessee (10/11/2012)
Posted:
#31
Public pounding this line and its going in reverse....Kenny Britt returns this week and Hasselback will get him the ball...The O line may not be blocking for Johnson (according to Johnson) but they also haven't been allowing too many QB sacks...Hasselback is a gamer and if he has time he will deliver...Steelers are a great 3rd doen team and Big Ben is the best in the league at it yet the steelers are 2-2..let's face it Pittsburgh's pass rush has not been there this season...Titans will test a polamalu less secondary any day just like everyone else has...on paper this seems really easy for Pitt....I say nay....Will most likely play Titans straight and also in a Teaser...
Posted:
#32
Take a look at who each team played so far.
Titans lost to Minn (4-1), lost to Houston (5-0), lost to SD (3-2) and lost to NE (3-2). Some pretty good teams.
Pitt lost to Oakland (1-3), lost to Denver (2-3) and they beat Philly (3-2) and the Jets (2-3). Some mediocre teams.
I always like the home dog in the national spotlight and am tempted to take them here.
Posted:
#33
My only saving grace in this game will be a short week and travel time for the Steelers - plus Woodley & "The Hair" being out will help the Titans passing over the middle a little bit. Plus, I just love home dogs.......
I know the pan is hot, I can see the fire and feel the heat - but I have to grab it one more time, just to make sure..... Don't burn me Titans!!!!!!!!!
Titans +5.5 and under 43 - - let's ground and pound and eat up the clock....
Posted:
#35
Titans +6 on the buy.
The steelers just won a tough emotional battle of PA in what they called a must win, no its to the road in a short time to get ready playing a wounded dog, Who has been embarrassed.
Everyone thought Raiders where terrible lokking sloppy on monday night vs SD and then going to Miami and letting them run all over them. You know what happened.
Pitt doesnt cover many and will fail again this week. Pitt is very conservative with a lead, they dominated Philly but kept settling for Fgs. they prefer to turn the clock with a lead not pad it.
Pit was 2-7 ATS last year on road counting playoffs yes and that includes losy Indy and Buffalo
Posted:
#40
Yeah the titans are terrible...BUT I predict the steelers will give this game away to the titans with turnovers. Pretty easy prediction if you know how the NFL works. This is very common, so why in the heck doesn't the public understand that any dog can win on any night? There is nothing to be surprised about...it happens all the time. Try betting all the underdogs Money Line in a parlay every single night and tell me how it works out for you..
Posted:
#42
Quote Originally Posted by mgmprofits:
Yeah the titans are terrible...BUT I predict the steelers will give this game away to the titans with turnovers. Pretty easy prediction if you know how the NFL works. This is very common, so why in the heck doesn't the public understand that any dog can win on any night? There is nothing to be surprised about...it happens all the time. Try betting all the underdogs Money Line in a parlay every single night and tell me how it works out for you..
Yeah the titans are terrible...BUT I predict the steelers will give this game away to the titans with turnovers. Pretty easy prediction if you know how the NFL works. This is very common, so why in the heck doesn't the public understand that any dog can win on any night? There is nothing to be surprised about...it happens all the time. Try betting all the underdogs Money Line in a parlay every single night and tell me how it works out for you..
So you are below .500 ATS and you are going to tell us how the NFL works? Let me know when your book comes out... I'll be the first not to buy it.
Pittsburgh wins and covers. Don't over think this one.
Posted:
#43
Quote Originally Posted by Matt2500:
So you are below .500 ATS and you are going to tell us how the NFL works? Let me know when your book comes out... I'll be the first not to buy it.
Pittsburgh wins and covers. Don't over think this one.
Here come the fish ... Baited and willing ... It's going to be a Thursday Night bloodbath ...
Posted:
#45
Pittsburgh
Under is 4-0 in Steelers last 4 Thursday games.
Over is 10-2 in Steelers last 12 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Steelers last 6 games in Week 6.
Under is 4-1 in Steelers last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 19-7 in Steelers last 26 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 8-3 in Steelers last 11 games overall.
Under is 8-3 in Steelers last 11 games on grass.
Under is 5-2 in Steelers last 7 games in October.
Under is 5-2 in Steelers last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 9-4 in Steelers last 13 road games.
Over is 9-4 in Steelers last 13 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Tennessee
Under is 5-1-1 in Titans last 7 home games.
Under is 4-1-1 in Titans last 6 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 4-1-1 in Titans last 6 games on grass.
Over is 4-1-1 in Titans last 6 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 3-1-1 in Titans last 5 vs. AFC.
Under is 3-1-1 in Titans last 5 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 11-4 in Titans last 15 games in October.
Under is 10-4-1 in Titans last 15 games overall.
Under is 5-2-1 in Titans last 8 games following a S.U. loss.
Head to Head
Underdog is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
Under is 4-0 in Steelers last 4 Thursday games.
Over is 10-2 in Steelers last 12 games after allowing less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 5-1 in Steelers last 6 games in Week 6.
Under is 4-1 in Steelers last 5 vs. a team with a losing record.
Over is 19-7 in Steelers last 26 games after allowing less than 250 total yards in their previous game.
Under is 8-3 in Steelers last 11 games overall.
Under is 8-3 in Steelers last 11 games on grass.
Under is 5-2 in Steelers last 7 games in October.
Under is 5-2 in Steelers last 7 games following a ATS loss.
Over is 9-4 in Steelers last 13 road games.
Over is 9-4 in Steelers last 13 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
Tennessee
Under is 5-1-1 in Titans last 7 home games.
Under is 4-1-1 in Titans last 6 games after allowing more than 350 total yards in their previous game.
Over is 4-1-1 in Titans last 6 games on grass.
Over is 4-1-1 in Titans last 6 games after accumulating less than 90 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 3-1-1 in Titans last 5 vs. AFC.
Under is 3-1-1 in Titans last 5 games after allowing more than 150 yards rushing in their previous game.
Over is 11-4 in Titans last 15 games in October.
Under is 10-4-1 in Titans last 15 games overall.
Under is 5-2-1 in Titans last 8 games following a S.U. loss.
Head to Head
Underdog is 6-2 ATS in their last 8 meetings.
Posted:
#46
Quote Originally Posted by Matt2500:
So you are below .500 ATS and you are going to tell us how the NFL works? Let me know when your book comes out... I'll be the first not to buy it.
Pittsburgh wins and covers. Don't over think this one.
First, I'm not below .500...this site contest means nothing as I don't make my real picks here. I actually have a service, so I just do all my picks randomly at the beginning of the week. No research is done until after I make my picks. It's working well with the O/U...check out my record for O/U bets...I think it's over 60% I'm 40-20 or something. But again it means nothing. I know how the NFL works just by watching it. It's obvious to me, and should be to you as well if you were not blind.
secondly, I haven't overthought anything. I'm riding the titans out until they cover. Bottom line, they screwed me on my teaser last week against Minnesota...but hey I had a gut feeling they would lose big and I didn't listen. My fault. This week I'm gonna clean up. I went 14-1 two weeks in a row during the pick the pros...so I was probably the top guy for those 2 weeks combined (28-2 money line)
Lots of dogs won that week which no one thought would. Had some good visions on it (I base my picks on a higher level than most cappers...never go by trends) So the first week I went 14-1 and only 2 people went 15-0. So my only loss was Tampa that week, very stupid pick, but I had my reasons. I would of won 10k (Split 30k between 3 people) had I picked Carolina in that game. This was last season, but I've already went 12-2 this year, which was a couple of weeks ago. Started preseason on a 20-5 win streak but didnt register to this contest.
So, not bragging just giving you some info bout myself. I have insight into the games which I get from a higher source. No human being ever tells me anything....and if they do, and I listen, then I deserve to lose. 2 heads are better than one...sure. But it's your original gut feeling or parlay which normally wins. In other words, it's not good to overthink it. Leaves too much room for errors. All of this can be explained, but this isn't the place. I'm not going to try and convince a bunch of athiests that there is a higher power of truth out there.
I am not overthinking this one. Titans is the better pick here. Plain and obvious almost. Just because they played badly on the road, doesn't mean they will play badly against Pitt. The steelers suck anyway, never really liked them. Overrated like SF was last year. Terrible offense compared to many other teams in the league. The statement defense wins championships is kind of misleading...because offense also wins championships. SF had no chance last year, because it wasn't their time. I knew that all along because I had gotten the info from the "higher source"
This can only come from within yourself.
lol he got me started
Posted:
#47
And saying I'm under 500 is misleading besides, because O/U picks are no different than ATS picks. I do just as well with my ATS picks. Never had a losing season, or even came close to one. I hit parlays at a high rate so I make enough in one night to cover an entire season of losses. No joke. I've always had the best service for handicapping. But I'm unknown (not going to become a sellout that's for sure) and have had less than 50 clients in the past 5 years or so. Here is my status on my "Goofin off" picks. My actual service exceeds what I've done here. This is just for fun. You saw me even reverse some picks in the forums. I do that a lot but not when I'm serious. I have no reason to be serious here...this site is kind of a joke anyway when it comes to the commentary.
| O/U Picks | 39-21-0 | 65.00% | +7950 | |
| All Picks | 65-51-4 | 56.03% | +4450 |
Posted:
#48
But again that is not my accurate record. It's only accurate for the picks I've made HERE ON THIS SITE. And they contradict my final picks many times. I don't need the money from this contest, it's just for fun...and I literally put ZERO Time into it. I make the picks asap each week and that's it. But I put TONS of time into coming up with solid parlays and teasers each week. These make a fortune, and it is surprising that many others aren't doing this as well. It's pretty simple- If you know which games to weed out, you can win this way. It's a process of elimination to get to the most solid ones. I do a scenerio in my mind of ALL possible ways a game could go (or rather all LIKELY possible ways is the better way to explain it) I then try to get a psychic vision on it (and being human I'm not always accurate) and it works. I've been able to hit extreme win streaks playing like this. Every single season I go on a 17-0 win streak then it breaks there. Already had that happen unoffically this year during the preseason.
Sorry if I sound weird, I just don't cap in the same way most others do. I find the way I do it works so well, I can only continue to practice and get better at what I'm doing.
Posted:
#49
Oh and the most simple system, if you can spot and predict when a certain team will hit a win streak ATS, such as Dallas Mavs in 2011 playoffs, you can start with $100, and put all your winnings down each time on them to cover for 10 straight. But you gotta be psychic to do this. I was able to do this before. I had a vision on what was happening. Another good example was the Kings this year in Hockey. You could of bet the -1.5 (what is it around +200 on average) which they covered like 10 games in a row I believe. Do the math...just -110 will get you almost to 100k if you can win 10 in a row. It's really not that hard. Just use your mind and you will get it done.
Posted:
#50
with the NFL there is parity...of couse, it is possible that Tenn can cover and win...one justhas to make their own assessment...
is C Johnson and more importantly his line going to decide to dominate or at least play well against a pretty Pitt D? Will Roth and Co,not be able to move the ball against that Tenn D?
I took the Pitt ML on this game...I think Tenn will put up a good fight, but Pitt is the better team...
GLTA
LonghornHoosier
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