I took a quick count and only 8 times did I see the lakers go under 93.5 all year long, and never less than 90 (except game 1, which was after a layoff, before the lakers caught their rythm in the second half) ... the two times the spurs did it (92, 91) came in the pre-gasol era, once with kwame starting... good luck with that one, but i think that's a real risk to take... I think it's more likely that the spurs score over their team total of 98.5 (now 99.5)... that being said, I'm with you on the spread, so hopefully we hit that thing cuz that's my biggest play of the day by far.
I took a quick count and only 8 times did I see the lakers go under 93.5 all year long, and never less than 90 (except game 1, which was after a layoff, before the lakers caught their rythm in the second half) ... the two times the spurs did it (92, 91) came in the pre-gasol era, once with kwame starting... good luck with that one, but i think that's a real risk to take... I think it's more likely that the spurs score over their team total of 98.5 (now 99.5)... that being said, I'm with you on the spread, so hopefully we hit that thing cuz that's my biggest play of the day by far.
best post on the entire thread, have another look at this play DEGENERATES, consider who made it and GET SOME!
BOL and don't celebrate Memorial Day at the OLD NAVY sale. Thats not what MD is about, REMEMBER THOSE WHO DIED FOR THIS COUNTRY, their families and if it's not too much trouble thank A Vet tomorrow. We're not worthy warriors, Thank You!
best post on the entire thread, have another look at this play DEGENERATES, consider who made it and GET SOME!
BOL and don't celebrate Memorial Day at the OLD NAVY sale. Thats not what MD is about, REMEMBER THOSE WHO DIED FOR THIS COUNTRY, their families and if it's not too much trouble thank A Vet tomorrow. We're not worthy warriors, Thank You!
Lakers should be able to cover 10.5..... (5 pt teaser) Not sure about the 5.5 and that's why I will bet the rest of the game in-running. Love Lakers to come out Strong 1stQ. GL to all... Heading out to watch the game....
Lakers should be able to cover 10.5..... (5 pt teaser) Not sure about the 5.5 and that's why I will bet the rest of the game in-running. Love Lakers to come out Strong 1stQ. GL to all... Heading out to watch the game....
You are correct there wangichu...the Lakers only scored 94 points or less 10 times this season counting Game 1.
1. Game 1 in this series. They came out slow, but their scoring was 43 in the 1st half and 46 in the 2nd half, so it wasn't THAT big a difference.
2. March 16th AT Houston...the last game of their crazy winning streak.
3. January 31st AT Detroit....Top defensive team, nationally televised
4. January 23rd AT San Antonio...Top defensive Team
5. December 30th vs. Boston...Top Defensive Team
6. December 20th AT Cleveland....Solid defensive team
7. November 23rd AT Boston...Top Defensive Team
8. November 14th AT Houston...Good defensive team, back to back games
9. November 13th AT San Antonio...Top Defensive Team
10. October 30th vs. Houston....Opening night
I wouldn't really count the opening night game as it was the beginning of the season, and Kobe was still on the trading block at that time. So out of the 9 other games where they scored 94 or less...7 were on the road...2 were against the Spurs...and the other 4 were against the TOP 4 defensive teams in the league. Their record in those games was 2-8.
They struggle against top defensive teams on the road. In the 13 games this year vs. Top 10 defensive teams, they had a 5-8 SU record and a 6-7 ATS record. They only averaged 97.6 PPG on the road vs. Top 10 defensive teams, and 95.8 PPG against Top 5 defensive teams. Only 4 of those 13 games they scored 100+.
The last 5 times they scored 94 or fewer points were all against the top defensive teams. This was my reasoning behind this pick. I just don't see them being able to A) get to the free throw line as much and B) take care of the ball as well as they do at home.
You are correct there wangichu...the Lakers only scored 94 points or less 10 times this season counting Game 1.
1. Game 1 in this series. They came out slow, but their scoring was 43 in the 1st half and 46 in the 2nd half, so it wasn't THAT big a difference.
2. March 16th AT Houston...the last game of their crazy winning streak.
3. January 31st AT Detroit....Top defensive team, nationally televised
4. January 23rd AT San Antonio...Top defensive Team
5. December 30th vs. Boston...Top Defensive Team
6. December 20th AT Cleveland....Solid defensive team
7. November 23rd AT Boston...Top Defensive Team
8. November 14th AT Houston...Good defensive team, back to back games
9. November 13th AT San Antonio...Top Defensive Team
10. October 30th vs. Houston....Opening night
I wouldn't really count the opening night game as it was the beginning of the season, and Kobe was still on the trading block at that time. So out of the 9 other games where they scored 94 or less...7 were on the road...2 were against the Spurs...and the other 4 were against the TOP 4 defensive teams in the league. Their record in those games was 2-8.
They struggle against top defensive teams on the road. In the 13 games this year vs. Top 10 defensive teams, they had a 5-8 SU record and a 6-7 ATS record. They only averaged 97.6 PPG on the road vs. Top 10 defensive teams, and 95.8 PPG against Top 5 defensive teams. Only 4 of those 13 games they scored 100+.
The last 5 times they scored 94 or fewer points were all against the top defensive teams. This was my reasoning behind this pick. I just don't see them being able to A) get to the free throw line as much and B) take care of the ball as well as they do at home.
this game will be as scripted as a wrestling match! first half Lakers will look good, and the game will look like it can't go over. Second half SAN comes back really strong and pushes the total way over. Even a 5 point teaser won't save you if you take the under. SAN covers by 8 or more.
this game will be as scripted as a wrestling match! first half Lakers will look good, and the game will look like it can't go over. Second half SAN comes back really strong and pushes the total way over. Even a 5 point teaser won't save you if you take the under. SAN covers by 8 or more.
If the Spurs are old and can't catch up to the Lake show, then logic dictates a defensive battle for SA at home. Look for SA to have fresher legs now...sleeping at home sure makes all the difference in the world. Fresh legs will help that defense stick like glue.
If the Spurs are old and can't catch up to the Lake show, then logic dictates a defensive battle for SA at home. Look for SA to have fresher legs now...sleeping at home sure makes all the difference in the world. Fresh legs will help that defense stick like glue.
by the way, for anyone sprung on spurs halftime, remember that they have been a great half time fade all year long... add to that the lakers propensity to come out shooting on the road and I think that this game goes lakers first half, then spurs in the second after making the appropriate adjustments. Stil, i'm sticking to the game plan here
SA -5 SA team total OVER 98.5 OVER 192
(I just found out someone else is on those top two plays for all of you who want to copy him, but I'm not going to keep posting his plays everyday or anything, so take it when you don't even need it and run with it.)
I agree I like the lakers to comeout firing the 1st half...
by the way, for anyone sprung on spurs halftime, remember that they have been a great half time fade all year long... add to that the lakers propensity to come out shooting on the road and I think that this game goes lakers first half, then spurs in the second after making the appropriate adjustments. Stil, i'm sticking to the game plan here
SA -5 SA team total OVER 98.5 OVER 192
(I just found out someone else is on those top two plays for all of you who want to copy him, but I'm not going to keep posting his plays everyday or anything, so take it when you don't even need it and run with it.)
I agree I like the lakers to comeout firing the 1st half...
Im thinking the lakers might lose but cover the 5 pts...going to be a close game the lakers arent rusty anymore...alot of monye on lakers money line..i thnk that might be why there isnt alot of change on the spread.
Im thinking the lakers might lose but cover the 5 pts...going to be a close game the lakers arent rusty anymore...alot of monye on lakers money line..i thnk that might be why there isnt alot of change on the spread.
Late post still licking my wounds from the Detroit meltdown, oh well I cant win every one. Here is how I see this one going. I am not going o read to much into the last game in LA and heres why. If you get no sleep like SA did before the first game it usually doesn't effect you the next day but catches up to you when you finally get some rest. I tink SA will bounce back in a must win for them. I am taking them half, game GL
Late post still licking my wounds from the Detroit meltdown, oh well I cant win every one. Here is how I see this one going. I am not going o read to much into the last game in LA and heres why. If you get no sleep like SA did before the first game it usually doesn't effect you the next day but catches up to you when you finally get some rest. I tink SA will bounce back in a must win for them. I am taking them half, game GL
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