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NCAA Season Long Football Chat - Hosted by The Peoples Champ, Featuring Expert BigD with many ongoing guest stars

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Posted: #851

am I wrong to think App St rolls tonight? looks like they are a legit small school program yet again this season...that Penn St game was no fluke! Does this set up a 1st Q or 1st H play on? I don't know much about the home dog here...but its a Tuesday stand alone game...doesn't the home dog catching 10 seem to have some bite for the ESPN cameras?

MAGAm Yisrael Chai
 
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Posted: #852
I hate betting on the stand alone games but on paper it looks like App should roll and I'm a bit surprised by the line of 10.....I would lean the other way if I were playing it.  But I won't be.   GL
 
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Posted: #853

thanks for the feedback...if it gets to 9.5 I may bite on the fav.

MAGAm Yisrael Chai
 
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Posted: #854

Tend to agree with BigD. On paper it looks good for App St. Besides Penn State they have played know one. SBama/Gardner Webb/Charlotte. Ark State getting double digits at home? Pretty much a no play for me.

 

Histrionic personality disorder. It's sad
 
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Posted: #855
I’m gonna play  the under on this game. Arky st has the better defense and can bang with the big dogs, which is the argument for everyone on the arky side. Now all I’m hearing is appy st offense but one thing that is overlooked is arky st has a better TOP rating than appy st... and again, these stats are derived from arky playing far better teams than appy. Even when they played Alabama the total only hit 64. One other gsme did their total go over 59 and that was when they kicked the crap out of semo. I agree with these fellas that this looks like a bogus line and I do side with Arkansas st to cover. So I believe that if they can hold the ball, wear out the appy d, they should be able to keep appypffense off the field. With all this being said, I would like to think playing on a Tuesday has gotta mess with these boys... but I also could be completely wrong by yesterday, too. Lol
No team is as good as it looks when winning nor are they as bad as they look when losing
 
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Posted: #856

Betting any sports total under is a gut wrenching experience in the modern era

MAGAm Yisrael Chai
 
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Posted: #857
Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:

Betting any sports total under is a gut wrenching experience in the modern era

This is true and I’m a glutton for punishment and sweats. I won’t be doing it in the NFL until I can see their breathe in the field
No team is as good as it looks when winning nor are they as bad as they look when losing
 
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Posted: #858
Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:

Betting any sports total under is a gut wrenching experience in the modern era



The Under is always winning, until it isn't    
 
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Posted: #859
Speaking of unders I’m taking a little stab at some preseason NBA with Milwaukee sitting almost everyone. 


Bucks vs OKC Under 219


GL 
 
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Posted: #860
Quote Originally Posted by BWS77:



The Under is always winning, until it isn't    
Makes for a great night or an early bed time
No team is as good as it looks when winning nor are they as bad as they look when losing
 
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Posted: #861

Bucks vs OKC Under 219 

Can’t cap OT
 
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Posted: #862
Quote Originally Posted by OlDirtyBaztid:

I’m gonna play  the under on this game. Arky st has the better defense and can bang with the big dogs, which is the argument for everyone on the arky side. Now all I’m hearing is appy st offense but one thing that is overlooked is arky st has a better TOP rating than appy st... and again, these stats are derived from arky playing far better teams than appy. Even when they played Alabama the total only hit 64. One other gsme did their total go over 59 and that was when they kicked the crap out of semo. I agree with these fellas that this looks like a bogus line and I do side with Arkansas st to cover. So I believe that if they can hold the ball, wear out the appy d, they should be able to keep appypffense off the field. With all this being said, I would like to think playing on a Tuesday has gotta mess with these boys... but I also could be completely wrong by yesterday, too. Lol
Finally
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Posted: #863
Don’t listen to me PB.   App state all the way.   Lol
 
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Posted: #864
fading your raiders this week, d. i don't think their explosive offense will be able to bang with tcu's defense with so many injuries and uncertainties. if ttu had a better defense, i would be the other way

tcu -7 -110
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Posted: #865

Down year for big12...if the top team of big12 plays UCF, is the total 79.5?

MAGAm Yisrael Chai
 
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Posted: #866
I’ll be at the game ODB. Just hoping we don’t get blown out 
 
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Posted: #867
Quote Originally Posted by BIGDTITLE:

I’ll be at the game ODB. Just hoping we don’t get blown out 
tcu has done this in the past. i don't think it will be a blowout but i don't see ttu covering, either. i just look at WV defense, which played very well again TTU, and they are very close to tcu numbers. i think they'll have trouble keeping the ball in the air against tcu. i might put another unit on tcu after taking a closer look. if bowman is out, i don't see why this number wouldn't fly back up. should be a great game to watch, though
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Posted: #868

^^^ maybe take the over and root for points?

MAGAm Yisrael Chai
 
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Posted: #869
Over is a possibility. In the past when we played 0 defense this would be an auto bet.  But we have shifted our strategy.  Wouldn’t surprise me to see a 34-27 type game here.  
 
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Posted: #870
Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:

^^^ maybe take the over and root for points?

i actually like the under more. i just don't have the balls to play it and i like the side more. i don't see ttu running up the score like they have done on a couple teams this year. they have massive numbers, i think they're even first int he league for passing yards per game. but when they play tough defenses, they don't know what to do when they're contained. tcu really doesn't make big explosive plays this season. i'm expecting them to grind this one out and run up the clock as much as possible, making the d tired and keep ttu offense off the field
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Posted: #871
am i seeing this correctly? sportsinsights is showing me that tulsa opened as a 14 point favorite on betonline and steam to a 7 point dog? 
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Posted: #872
I'm seeing Tulsa opened as a 7 pt dog.....no way they were favs against SF
 
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Posted: #873
Quote Originally Posted by BIGDTITLE:

Over is a possibility. In the past when we played 0 defense this would be an auto bet.  But we have shifted our strategy.  Wouldn’t surprise me to see a 34-27 type game here.  

I never looked at the total but apparently its exactly 61.   whoops.  lol
 
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Posted: #874
Quote Originally Posted by BIGDTITLE:

I'm seeing Tulsa opened as a 7 pt dog.....no way they were favs against SF
i'm seeing that for everywhere else. but for the opening line, when i click on the game, it shows when the line was released on 10/7/2018 at 2:33:57 p.m., the home line opened at -14. i contacted sportsinsights and they said that is the correct opening line. i'm going to call betonline to confirm but i don't have an account with them so i don't know if they will answer any questions
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Posted: #875
Interesting if true. 
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