Quote Originally Posted by jdnmoney:
wyoming vs idaho.
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idaho is going to continue to be historically bad this year, and playing an independent schedule this year, they dont get get any favors.
2nd week in a row playing on the road for idaho. lets look at the idaho performance vs UNT.
Idaho only converted 5/14 3rd downs vs the mean green, but allowed 8/14 to UNT. Idaho allowed 594 total yards vs NT and 404 passing yards. NT QBs were 28/34 unreal. idaho is so bad on pass defense and wyomings pass offense is and should be much more explosive than UNT.
UNT scored all 6 points on offense (no cheap scores) and ran 80 plays, but also turned the ball over 3 times.
Idaho had two pass plays of 50 and 59 but other than that only mustered up 120 pass yds vs a UNT team that allowed 415 ypg last year, and 63% completion % and 3000 pass yds allowed ly.
idaho avg. 3.9 ypc rushing but only mustered up 139, one of the rushes was 47, so if you factor that out, they had 35 carries for 92.
their qbs played actually pretty mediocrely, completing 68% with no picks. but they did lose three fumbles
idaho is breaking in a new FG kicker that was 0/1 last week. they should not attempt to kick FG;s in wyoming. esp. if they are down early.
their punter did avg. 47.3 on 6 punts. very efficient changing Field position.
wyo caught UNT sleeping as they scored 1st, on a 4 play 75yd drive, and then recovered an onside kick. they were forced to punt, and never threatened again.
wyo only was 1/8 on third down vs nebraska, but it was remarkable that they only had 8 3rd down opps. they ran 75 plays. they racked up 602 yds vs neb. (not a great D, but a B10 defense) and were very effective running, clipping 219 yds and avg. 7.3 ypc...unreal
brett smith threw for 383 and ran for 92. the dual threat should really give idaho threats.
nebraska was supposed to work on pass offense and efficiency this year and it did not show vs. wyo. wyo only allowed 155 pass yds. and did a good job getting nebraska in third down situations, as nebraska had to attempt 17 different 3rd down plays. converted 9.
wyo should have no problems this week vs a very inefficient idaho team.
i expect wyo to score 45 points or higher this week. i doubt idaho scores more than 20. idaho should score a few times, but they might have to settle for FG's as i dont expect them to convert on 3rd down, or sustain any continuity on offense.