NCAA FOOTBALL Week 2 (13-5-1 YTD 72.222%)

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Week 1 Recap:

Florida state -6.5

NIU +6.5

Utah State +4.5

Temple +27.5

Temple +28.5

Ball state -7.5

Rice vs A&M over 67 MONSTER PLAY 4u

UNC vs So. Car under 59

Wagner +10

Wagner +15

FAU +32

Toledo +23

Marshall vs Miami OH over 34 (2H)

BYU UNDER 8.5 RSW

ARMY UNDER 4.5 RSW

CAL UNDER 4.5 RSW

KENT STATE OVER 5.5 RSW

SOUTHERN MISS UNDER 5.5 RSW

WESTERN MICHIGAN UNDER 5.5 RSW

i continue to be amazed that i post links to my previous threads, post lines that need to be pounded right away, and post where to bet them. I post winning plays so far in advance that anyone can play them, and not just day of the game 15 minutes before kickoff. 

I cannot believe that someone felt the need to call out my integrity on the forum. i am as accountable as anyone around here and i am committed to providing insightful analysis and winning plays. 

I do have a chip on my shoulder because i see many people who post 60% winning claims but have yet to post any plays on covers. or they say they have been good for "years" but there record reflects otherwise. I have a hard enough time filtering through the garbage around this forum, and i really was offended to get roped into people thinking my claims, lines and winning % is a fallacy. 

all i can say is that i will continue to provide any insight on plays that i can, along with continuing to work hard to advise winning plays here on the forum. 

i will advise up to 24...anything higher, maybe lay off. 

i didnt get anything....PM it again guy

every week i will post the opening betonline . ag lines, as they are out soonest. 

i will also post anything that i unload on early, or any leans i have. 

this will be done on sundays at about 2pm...while most are watching or betting NFL, i am hard at work watching NCAAFB lines and researching the plays for the week. 

you could have too, i posted the lines and where to purchase them at on sunday at 2pm..

everyone had time. 

you can find the thread HERE:

Lot of running to hit 66.

I like your stuff...not saying a bad word here.....your monster play....last year Navy ran the ball 55 times and the total hit 61.

Can't read too much into Indiana's first win and navy didn't play.

They combined for 34 first half points but then really didn't score much in the 2nd as it was a seesaw battle.

Why so high on the total?

thanks

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idaho is going to continue to be historically bad this year, and playing an independent schedule this year, they dont get get any favors. 

2nd week in a row playing on the road for idaho. lets look at the idaho performance vs UNT. 

Idaho only converted 5/14 3rd downs vs the mean green, but allowed 8/14 to UNT. Idaho allowed 594 total yards vs NT and 404 passing yards. NT QBs were 28/34 unreal. idaho is so bad on pass defense and wyomings pass offense is and should be much more explosive than UNT. 

UNT scored all 6 points on offense (no cheap scores) and ran 80 plays, but also turned the ball over 3 times. 

Idaho had two pass plays of 50 and 59 but other than that only mustered up 120 pass yds vs a UNT team that allowed 415 ypg last year, and 63% completion % and 3000 pass yds allowed ly. 

idaho avg. 3.9 ypc rushing but only mustered up 139, one of the rushes was 47, so if you factor that out, they had 35 carries for 92.

their qbs played actually pretty mediocrely, completing 68% with no picks. but they did lose three fumbles 

idaho is breaking in a new FG kicker that was 0/1 last week. they should not attempt to kick FG;s in wyoming. esp. if they are down early. 

their punter did avg. 47.3 on 6 punts. very efficient changing Field position. 

wyo caught UNT sleeping as they scored 1st, on a 4 play 75yd drive, and then recovered an onside kick. they were forced to punt, and never threatened again. 

wyo only was 1/8 on third down vs nebraska, but it was remarkable that they only had 8 3rd down opps. they ran 75 plays. they racked up 602 yds vs neb. (not a great D, but a B10 defense) and were very effective running, clipping 219 yds and avg. 7.3 ypc...unreal

brett smith threw for 383 and ran for 92. the dual threat should really give idaho threats. 

nebraska was supposed to work on pass offense and efficiency this year and it did not show vs. wyo. wyo only allowed 155 pass yds. and did a good job getting nebraska in third down situations, as nebraska had to attempt 17 different 3rd down plays. converted 9. 

wyo should have no problems this week vs a very inefficient idaho team. 

i expect wyo to score 45 points or higher this week. i doubt idaho scores more than 20. idaho should score a few times, but they might have to settle for FG's as i dont expect them to convert on 3rd down, or sustain any continuity on offense. 

I was about to post something very similar King when I realized you had posted this much more succinctly.

jdn, you have a very fortunate advantage...you are a winner. Every one who should matter around here realize that you are a quality CFB capper whose opinions should be respected.

You will get nothing but positive affirmation from me...win or lose. That is just how I roll.

Best to all. Outstanding start this season.

all about indiana. they are completely revamped on offense. and much more explosive.  lets look at it. navy is not a defensive juggernaut, so we can use the sycamores as a comparative here. 

indiana scored 75 points. even if they score HALF of that vs navy, they are at 38...they achieved 632 yards and ran 90 plays. they are going to play fast this year. 

they are somewhat careless with the football, which could lead to easy scores or prevent scoring, but also...navy is a running team that plays quick. they score very quickly, and the triple option should give indiana fits. it is very hard to prepare for. and navy has shown the ability to throw the ball very effectively this year. i expect fast pace and lots of LONG plays for quick scores. i think this will be back and fourth, with each team possibly in the 40's. 

even a poor indiana state team was able to put up 35...navy will run circles around that poor indiana defense. 

ill call for a 51-35 final