Houston to win the title 100-1....tiniest of sprinkles.
Was listening online to a podcast regarding kenpom rankings and how it correlates to title champs over past 20years...only teams with top 40 offensive stats and top 20 defensive stats have won the title, zero exceptions...and Houston was one of those 8 teams this year...interestingly enough both Virginia (22 offensive) and Villanova (22 defensive) were not part of this exclusive 8 team list.
This should be the most hyped march madness of our lifetimes...gambling on sports has never been this popular than ever before, and all this bracketology office pool fad is only glorifying betting on sports...sadly there will be a ton of new addicts coming out of the closet come April.
MAGAm Yisrael Chai
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Locked in:
Houston to win the title 100-1....tiniest of sprinkles.
Was listening online to a podcast regarding kenpom rankings and how it correlates to title champs over past 20years...only teams with top 40 offensive stats and top 20 defensive stats have won the title, zero exceptions...and Houston was one of those 8 teams this year...interestingly enough both Virginia (22 offensive) and Villanova (22 defensive) were not part of this exclusive 8 team list.
This should be the most hyped march madness of our lifetimes...gambling on sports has never been this popular than ever before, and all this bracketology office pool fad is only glorifying betting on sports...sadly there will be a ton of new addicts coming out of the closet come April.
PB, do you have an opinion on FSU v Mizzou tomorrow?
i got mizzou. i even got them beating gonzaga in a bracket
for these heavy favorite big 10 teams i am predicting some excellent live opportunities. they haven't played in almost two weeks and i think they will come out a bit rusty the first 10 minutes or so
No team is as good as it looks when winning nor are they as bad as they look when losing
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Quote Originally Posted by DruDowns:
PB, do you have an opinion on FSU v Mizzou tomorrow?
i got mizzou. i even got them beating gonzaga in a bracket
for these heavy favorite big 10 teams i am predicting some excellent live opportunities. they haven't played in almost two weeks and i think they will come out a bit rusty the first 10 minutes or so
Dru...both Mizzo and FlaSt have been huge disappointments this year, albeit Mizzo is not their fault Porter got hurt...even with him back, i am not drinking their koolaid, one player wont save their season, but the Seminoles are far too inconsistent to back either...total stay away game for me, and i will strongly consider fading the winner of this one in rd 2
MAGAm Yisrael Chai
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Dru...both Mizzo and FlaSt have been huge disappointments this year, albeit Mizzo is not their fault Porter got hurt...even with him back, i am not drinking their koolaid, one player wont save their season, but the Seminoles are far too inconsistent to back either...total stay away game for me, and i will strongly consider fading the winner of this one in rd 2
Agreed with PB. I think Missouri will struggle trying integrate porter back into the flow. I think they might even be better without him. In the short term
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Agreed with PB. I think Missouri will struggle trying integrate porter back into the flow. I think they might even be better without him. In the short term
truly makes one reassess the practice of betting anything preflop anymore...who wouldn't jump at Kansas -4.5 pregame if they knew this reduced line would be offered halfway thru the 1st H...gotta believe the online books and algorithms will eventually be reprogrammed to give much sharper odds once they make the appropriate ajdustments...I have been killing my books with these type of plays for well over 2 years now, but the last 6 months seems to be hitting at a very high clip...one that most online books don't want their customers to be hitting at.
MAGAm Yisrael Chai
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Quote Originally Posted by OlDirtyBaztid:
thanks, pb. learned from the best
truly makes one reassess the practice of betting anything preflop anymore...who wouldn't jump at Kansas -4.5 pregame if they knew this reduced line would be offered halfway thru the 1st H...gotta believe the online books and algorithms will eventually be reprogrammed to give much sharper odds once they make the appropriate ajdustments...I have been killing my books with these type of plays for well over 2 years now, but the last 6 months seems to be hitting at a very high clip...one that most online books don't want their customers to be hitting at.
truly makes one reassess the practice of betting anything preflop anymore...who wouldn't jump at Kansas -4.5 pregame if they knew this reduced line would be offered halfway thru the 1st H...gotta believe the online books and algorithms will eventually be reprogrammed to give much sharper odds once they make the appropriate ajdustments...I have been killing my books with these type of plays for well over 2 years now, but the last 6 months seems to be hitting at a very high clip...one that most online books don't want their customers to be hitting at.
before i stopped dealing with my local, he completely deactivated live betting from his book because he was getting killed
No team is as good as it looks when winning nor are they as bad as they look when losing
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Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:
truly makes one reassess the practice of betting anything preflop anymore...who wouldn't jump at Kansas -4.5 pregame if they knew this reduced line would be offered halfway thru the 1st H...gotta believe the online books and algorithms will eventually be reprogrammed to give much sharper odds once they make the appropriate ajdustments...I have been killing my books with these type of plays for well over 2 years now, but the last 6 months seems to be hitting at a very high clip...one that most online books don't want their customers to be hitting at.
before i stopped dealing with my local, he completely deactivated live betting from his book because he was getting killed
truly makes one reassess the practice of betting anything preflop anymore...who wouldn't jump at Kansas -4.5 pregame if they knew this reduced line would be offered halfway thru the 1st H...gotta believe the online books and algorithms will eventually be reprogrammed to give much sharper odds once they make the appropriate ajdustments...I have been killing my books with these type of plays for well over 2 years now, but the last 6 months seems to be hitting at a very high clip...one that most online books don't want their customers to be hitting at.
This is why Im so happy about this thread being in the penaltybox and not in the main forums. I won't be directing any traffic here. I have to believe that there are a relatively small percentage of us who do this live. We are stealing, as has been pointed out numerous times in this thread by all of us. I hope this never ends but I have to believe, as you so aptly pointed out, that it eventually will be made more difficult.
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Quote Originally Posted by packersbackers:
truly makes one reassess the practice of betting anything preflop anymore...who wouldn't jump at Kansas -4.5 pregame if they knew this reduced line would be offered halfway thru the 1st H...gotta believe the online books and algorithms will eventually be reprogrammed to give much sharper odds once they make the appropriate ajdustments...I have been killing my books with these type of plays for well over 2 years now, but the last 6 months seems to be hitting at a very high clip...one that most online books don't want their customers to be hitting at.
This is why Im so happy about this thread being in the penaltybox and not in the main forums. I won't be directing any traffic here. I have to believe that there are a relatively small percentage of us who do this live. We are stealing, as has been pointed out numerous times in this thread by all of us. I hope this never ends but I have to believe, as you so aptly pointed out, that it eventually will be made more difficult.
before i stopped dealing with my local, he completely deactivated live betting from his book because he was getting killed
yeah, I am not looking forward to the day where my online books restrict my wagers to $3.03 max play...Sportsinteraction did this to me last year when I crushed them for 10k+ worth of winnings during a single live wagering bonanza blitz I got lucky on during a Goffin/Almagro tennis match...I think Goffin was down 0-5 in the first, watching the match I was laughing how the efff is Goffin missing everything on purpose...I trusted the cap, kept betting him + games and ML...at the end of the match when the dust settled, Goffin won 7-5, 61 I think something like that, and the next day my account was essentially blocked from wagering anything over $3.03 per play...ridiculous. I know now that Sportsinteraction is a mickeymouse book, and it took me a while to cash out all my winnings as they really tried to cockkblock my withdrawal requests with so many hoops to jump thru - they were hoping I would go tilt and bet baseball or another sport and lose everything back....but that tennis match was the last wager I ever made with them, and I will always tell people to stay away from them, as they are just looking to take your money, never pay out.
Hopefully B365 and WHill don't pull the same hackjob on me.
MAGAm Yisrael Chai
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Quote Originally Posted by OlDirtyBaztid:
before i stopped dealing with my local, he completely deactivated live betting from his book because he was getting killed
yeah, I am not looking forward to the day where my online books restrict my wagers to $3.03 max play...Sportsinteraction did this to me last year when I crushed them for 10k+ worth of winnings during a single live wagering bonanza blitz I got lucky on during a Goffin/Almagro tennis match...I think Goffin was down 0-5 in the first, watching the match I was laughing how the efff is Goffin missing everything on purpose...I trusted the cap, kept betting him + games and ML...at the end of the match when the dust settled, Goffin won 7-5, 61 I think something like that, and the next day my account was essentially blocked from wagering anything over $3.03 per play...ridiculous. I know now that Sportsinteraction is a mickeymouse book, and it took me a while to cash out all my winnings as they really tried to cockkblock my withdrawal requests with so many hoops to jump thru - they were hoping I would go tilt and bet baseball or another sport and lose everything back....but that tennis match was the last wager I ever made with them, and I will always tell people to stay away from them, as they are just looking to take your money, never pay out.
Hopefully B365 and WHill don't pull the same hackjob on me.