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    All Forums | Other

    Cycling: 2009 Paris-Roubaix

    Bolar
    elithepunk
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    Bolar
    Bolar
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    Posted: Apr. 5, 2009 - 12:34 PM ET #1

    The hell of the north is back. The prestigous one day event of the year.
     
    More to follow during the week.
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    The hell of the north is back. The prestigous one day event of the year.
     
    More to follow during the week.
     
    elithepunk
    elithepunk
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    Posted: Apr. 5, 2009 - 1:20 PM ET #2

    Not familiar with this race and was wondering why the prestige? BOL with the upcoming picks.

    Cheers
    Reply
    Not familiar with this race and was wondering why the prestige? BOL with the upcoming picks.

    Cheers
     
    Bolar
    Bolar
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    Posted: Apr. 5, 2009 - 1:41 PM ET #3

    It's cyclings biggest one day race. One of the oldest too. 1896 it was first held. It has rough terrain and a lot of cobblestones. It's a monument.
     
    It's nickname is the Hell of the North. Other people call it a Sunday in Hell. Because it is. It's so physically demanding and it's a spectacle. You have to be a very strong rider to win it. Not to mention it's on Easter Sunday every year.
    Reply
    It's cyclings biggest one day race. One of the oldest too. 1896 it was first held. It has rough terrain and a lot of cobblestones. It's a monument.
     
    It's nickname is the Hell of the North. Other people call it a Sunday in Hell. Because it is. It's so physically demanding and it's a spectacle. You have to be a very strong rider to win it. Not to mention it's on Easter Sunday every year.
     
    Bolar
    Bolar
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    Posted: Apr. 5, 2009 - 1:42 PM ET #4

    It's the race riders dream about winning basically. It's the Queen Classic out of all the Classics.
     
    Plus you get the heaviest trophy in sport - a cobblestone.
    Reply
    It's the race riders dream about winning basically. It's the Queen Classic out of all the Classics.
     
    Plus you get the heaviest trophy in sport - a cobblestone.
     
    elithepunk
    elithepunk
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    Posted: Apr. 5, 2009 - 2:11 PM ET #5

    Wow ok. Sounds amazing. Will definitely take a closer look if I can manage to find a live video stream.
    Reply
    Wow ok. Sounds amazing. Will definitely take a closer look if I can manage to find a live video stream.
     
    Bolar
    Bolar
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    Posted: Apr. 5, 2009 - 8:51 PM ET #6

    If you were living in Australia, we have it live over here. The only event outside the TDF we have live in Australia.
    Reply
    If you were living in Australia, we have it live over here. The only event outside the TDF we have live in Australia.
     
    Bolar
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    Posted: Apr. 9, 2009 - 10:35 AM ET #7

    Quick Step have a strong team in Van Impe, Tossato, Devolder, Boonen and Chavanel
    Columbia have a strong team in Hincapie, Eisel, Burghardt, Hansen, Sieberg
    Quick-Step are dominating the entire peloton at the moment and Columbia think that winning sprints is the way to win races.
    So the Hell of the North is on Sunday. What do we reckon?

    Tom Boonen

    Current Odds: $3.50/$1.60

    So Tommeke this year hasn’t been setting the world on fire only recording a win in Qatar and Kuurne-Brussels-Kuurne. He has recently made a 2nd in E3 and a 3rd in the Dwars. He is a 2 time winner of this event in 2008 and 2005. Last week Devolder was the man for Quick-Step. This week, will Boonen be the man. His form is peaking for this event and this is a goal of his.

    Stijn Devolder

    Current Odds: $7/$2.50

    Stijn has said he wants the double. I believe he can get the double if he wants it. He won Flanders last week in a similar way he won it last year. Powering off on a solo ride 15km before the finish. He has a strong team around him and must be considered.

    Fabian Cancellara

    Current Odds: $12/$3.75

    Fabian has had an interrupted year with injury and is struggling to get back to what he is capable of. A former winner here in 2006. He had bad luck in Gent-Wevelgem on Wednesday having a flat at a crucial stage. We know what he is capable of, but can he get up to where he is capable of after his interrupted year? I say no, but yet again, this guy is class.

    Juan Antonio Flecha

    Current Odds: $12/$3.75

    In the cycling world he is a huge chance. I rate him a good chance. He came 4th here in 2006 and a 2nd in 2007. He is a solid classics rider. He notched up a 3rd in Omloop Het Nieuwsblad and 10th in Kuurne-Brussels-Kuurne. You think he will be up there when the decisive moves are made. Consider.

    George Hincapie

    Current Odds: $13/$4

    He has got to be the rider with the most bad luck in this event. Last year 2 punctures. In 2006 his handlebars broke. He has 2 podium finishes here and he is fitter this year than he has ever been and riding in brilliant form at the moment. This is his 2009 goal. He will be a major chance if luck comes his way. He’s never been in this form before.

    Sylvain Chavanel

    Current Odds: $16/$4.75

    Another one of QS firepower. His first Roubaix so he will be used as a domestique. But again could be an underdog if Boonen and Devolder are neutralized. But I don’t see it.

    Heinrich Haussler

    Current Odds: $17/$5

    Haussler has taken the cycling world by storm this year notching a few wins and a lot of podiums. He nearly beat Cav in Milan San-Remo a few weeks ago. He came second in Flanders. He is riding in good form. However I think his form has gone. Cervelo’s luck might be out. Unless he grows his legs back, he’ll be making up the numbers. But again, his form has been solid but every indication he has given us is that his form has gone. But with the right luck, he can figure.

    Leif Hoste

    Current Odds: $18/$5.25

    Hoste for Silence Lotto Is a nice underdog. He was in the break last week in Flanders and looked strong. Lotto are having a shit year with only one win thanks to Evans. I don’t know how Evans did it because he is a wheel sucking arsehole but anyway he is a chance.

    Filippo Pozzato

    Current Odds: $18/$5.25

    Pozzato has come on in form over the last few weeks winning stage 1 in De Panne and winning E3. He had a crash on Wednesday so I don’t know how bad he is. A solid rider but I don’t think he is a chance this year due to that fact.

    Martijn Maaskant

    Current Odds: $18/$5.25

    My roughie right here. The Garmin rider will podium or come close to it. He rode a 4th here last year and a 4th last week in Flanders. He is a solid rider who I personally think will shake this up. I will tell you right now this guy will finish ahead of Pozzato, Hoste, Haussler, Chavanel and Cancellara. That should tell you something.

    Mark Cavendish

    Current Odds: $22/$6.25

    Not a chance in hell. He is a solid sprinter but give him 5 – 10 years. I know he proved the doubters wrong in Milan San-Remo and I am a huge fan of his. Always have been ever since he was a Stagliare in T-Mobile. The race is focused around Hincapie and Burghardt.

    Reply
    Quick Step have a strong team in Van Impe, Tossato, Devolder, Boonen and Chavanel
    Columbia have a strong team in Hincapie, Eisel, Burghardt, Hansen, Sieberg
    Quick-Step are dominating the entire peloton at the moment and Columbia think that winning sprints is the way to win races.
    So the Hell of the North is on Sunday. What do we reckon?

    Tom Boonen

    Current Odds: $3.50/$1.60

    So Tommeke this year hasn’t been setting the world on fire only recording a win in Qatar and Kuurne-Brussels-Kuurne. He has recently made a 2nd in E3 and a 3rd in the Dwars. He is a 2 time winner of this event in 2008 and 2005. Last week Devolder was the man for Quick-Step. This week, will Boonen be the man. His form is peaking for this event and this is a goal of his.

    Stijn Devolder

    Current Odds: $7/$2.50

    Stijn has said he wants the double. I believe he can get the double if he wants it. He won Flanders last week in a similar way he won it last year. Powering off on a solo ride 15km before the finish. He has a strong team around him and must be considered.

    Fabian Cancellara

    Current Odds: $12/$3.75

    Fabian has had an interrupted year with injury and is struggling to get back to what he is capable of. A former winner here in 2006. He had bad luck in Gent-Wevelgem on Wednesday having a flat at a crucial stage. We know what he is capable of, but can he get up to where he is capable of after his interrupted year? I say no, but yet again, this guy is class.

    Juan Antonio Flecha

    Current Odds: $12/$3.75

    In the cycling world he is a huge chance. I rate him a good chance. He came 4th here in 2006 and a 2nd in 2007. He is a solid classics rider. He notched up a 3rd in Omloop Het Nieuwsblad and 10th in Kuurne-Brussels-Kuurne. You think he will be up there when the decisive moves are made. Consider.

    George Hincapie

    Current Odds: $13/$4

    He has got to be the rider with the most bad luck in this event. Last year 2 punctures. In 2006 his handlebars broke. He has 2 podium finishes here and he is fitter this year than he has ever been and riding in brilliant form at the moment. This is his 2009 goal. He will be a major chance if luck comes his way. He’s never been in this form before.

    Sylvain Chavanel

    Current Odds: $16/$4.75

    Another one of QS firepower. His first Roubaix so he will be used as a domestique. But again could be an underdog if Boonen and Devolder are neutralized. But I don’t see it.

    Heinrich Haussler

    Current Odds: $17/$5

    Haussler has taken the cycling world by storm this year notching a few wins and a lot of podiums. He nearly beat Cav in Milan San-Remo a few weeks ago. He came second in Flanders. He is riding in good form. However I think his form has gone. Cervelo’s luck might be out. Unless he grows his legs back, he’ll be making up the numbers. But again, his form has been solid but every indication he has given us is that his form has gone. But with the right luck, he can figure.

    Leif Hoste

    Current Odds: $18/$5.25

    Hoste for Silence Lotto Is a nice underdog. He was in the break last week in Flanders and looked strong. Lotto are having a shit year with only one win thanks to Evans. I don’t know how Evans did it because he is a wheel sucking arsehole but anyway he is a chance.

    Filippo Pozzato

    Current Odds: $18/$5.25

    Pozzato has come on in form over the last few weeks winning stage 1 in De Panne and winning E3. He had a crash on Wednesday so I don’t know how bad he is. A solid rider but I don’t think he is a chance this year due to that fact.

    Martijn Maaskant

    Current Odds: $18/$5.25

    My roughie right here. The Garmin rider will podium or come close to it. He rode a 4th here last year and a 4th last week in Flanders. He is a solid rider who I personally think will shake this up. I will tell you right now this guy will finish ahead of Pozzato, Hoste, Haussler, Chavanel and Cancellara. That should tell you something.

    Mark Cavendish

    Current Odds: $22/$6.25

    Not a chance in hell. He is a solid sprinter but give him 5 – 10 years. I know he proved the doubters wrong in Milan San-Remo and I am a huge fan of his. Always have been ever since he was a Stagliare in T-Mobile. The race is focused around Hincapie and Burghardt.

     
    Bolar
    Bolar
    Captain
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    Posts: 5831
    Posted: Apr. 9, 2009 - 10:36 AM ET #8

    Edvald Boasson-Hagen

    Current Odds: $25/$7

    Had a good win on Wednesday but he is probably tired from that. Again this is centered around Hincapie and Burghardt. But could try the breakaway.

    Matti Breschel

    Current Odds: $30/$8.50

    Saxo Banks only hope. O’Grady isn’t here and Cancellara is unfit. Breschel has been riding solidly. He was 6th in Flanders and 15th in Gent-Wevelgem. He is their inform rider and might be up there when the boys are separated from the men.

    Marcus Burghardt

    Current Odds: $30/$8.50

    Again him and Hincapie are captains. This is a good value bet if things go his way. Burghardt is in good form coming 7th in Gent-Wevelgem and he is a proven classics rider. Look for him to be at the end. Don’t know how far he will go, but I think he will go far. Maybe podium? Again he is a good chance for the win.

    Thor Hushovd

    Current Odds: $30/$8.50

    Hushovd had a crash and hurt his wrist in Flanders. I’m not even sure he is going to race yet. I don’t think he will go well even if he does race. Write him off.

    Greg Van Avermaet

    Current Odds: $35/$9.50

    Silence Lotto again are having a crap season as mentioned above. Greg is a solid classics rider.

    Gert Steegmens

    Current Odds: $40/$11

    A solid rider. Good in classics. May be a surprise but I doubt it.


    Heading down to the longer shots in Klier, Eisel, Hammond, Langeveld, Luekemens – All solid classics riders with good teams. Again can’t see them figuring. Both Langeveld and Luekemans may make top 20 though.

    So at the moment you know I’m leaning towards anyone of Boonen, Devolder, Hincapie, Flecha, Burghardt, Maaskant, Breschel.
    Take out of that list your assumptions and you should find the winner. I’ll have my plays to come and long shots who may be worth considering.

    I nail that list down and Boonen, Devolder, Hincapie, Flecha and Burghardt are the real winners. The winner will come out of that group you would think going on form and history and what not.

    But again this race is unpredictable due to his nature. Maybe Boonen might get bad luck that George has got. It’s one of the things this race and you don’t know who is going to be the leader on QS – you won’t know that till during the race.

    Betfair do live betting I think so I will be doing that in case my selections don’t look good.

    At the moment my predictions are: Devolder from Hincapie and Maaskant with Flecha and Breschel fighting out 4th and 5th.

    But I’m almost set on that podium. But again, Boonen can’t be written off and Devolder might work for him. But I think QS aswell as the cycling public know they probably have this race in the bag. Which one takes it out? You be the judge.
    Reply
    Edvald Boasson-Hagen

    Current Odds: $25/$7

    Had a good win on Wednesday but he is probably tired from that. Again this is centered around Hincapie and Burghardt. But could try the breakaway.

    Matti Breschel

    Current Odds: $30/$8.50

    Saxo Banks only hope. O’Grady isn’t here and Cancellara is unfit. Breschel has been riding solidly. He was 6th in Flanders and 15th in Gent-Wevelgem. He is their inform rider and might be up there when the boys are separated from the men.

    Marcus Burghardt

    Current Odds: $30/$8.50

    Again him and Hincapie are captains. This is a good value bet if things go his way. Burghardt is in good form coming 7th in Gent-Wevelgem and he is a proven classics rider. Look for him to be at the end. Don’t know how far he will go, but I think he will go far. Maybe podium? Again he is a good chance for the win.

    Thor Hushovd

    Current Odds: $30/$8.50

    Hushovd had a crash and hurt his wrist in Flanders. I’m not even sure he is going to race yet. I don’t think he will go well even if he does race. Write him off.

    Greg Van Avermaet

    Current Odds: $35/$9.50

    Silence Lotto again are having a crap season as mentioned above. Greg is a solid classics rider.

    Gert Steegmens

    Current Odds: $40/$11

    A solid rider. Good in classics. May be a surprise but I doubt it.


    Heading down to the longer shots in Klier, Eisel, Hammond, Langeveld, Luekemens – All solid classics riders with good teams. Again can’t see them figuring. Both Langeveld and Luekemans may make top 20 though.

    So at the moment you know I’m leaning towards anyone of Boonen, Devolder, Hincapie, Flecha, Burghardt, Maaskant, Breschel.
    Take out of that list your assumptions and you should find the winner. I’ll have my plays to come and long shots who may be worth considering.

    I nail that list down and Boonen, Devolder, Hincapie, Flecha and Burghardt are the real winners. The winner will come out of that group you would think going on form and history and what not.

    But again this race is unpredictable due to his nature. Maybe Boonen might get bad luck that George has got. It’s one of the things this race and you don’t know who is going to be the leader on QS – you won’t know that till during the race.

    Betfair do live betting I think so I will be doing that in case my selections don’t look good.

    At the moment my predictions are: Devolder from Hincapie and Maaskant with Flecha and Breschel fighting out 4th and 5th.

    But I’m almost set on that podium. But again, Boonen can’t be written off and Devolder might work for him. But I think QS aswell as the cycling public know they probably have this race in the bag. Which one takes it out? You be the judge.
     
    Bolar
    Bolar
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    Joined: Feb, 2007
    Posts: 5831
    Posted: Apr. 9, 2009 - 10:36 AM ET #9

    I'll find some solid head to heads. If you find a good one with Maaskant, pound it.
    Reply
    I'll find some solid head to heads. If you find a good one with Maaskant, pound it.
     
    Bolar
    Bolar
    Captain
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    Joined: Feb, 2007
    Posts: 5831
    Posted: Apr. 9, 2009 - 10:44 AM ET #10

    Paris--Roubaix: Matchups - Thanks to Pinacle. My favourites are bold. But I'll confirm it later.

    Sun 4/12 Tom Boonen vs Stijn Devolder
    12:00 AM 501 Tom Boonen 1.318
    502 Stijn Devolder 3.840

    Sun 4/12 Martin Maaskant vs George Hincapie
    12:00 AM 503 Martin Maaskant 2.120
    504 George Hincapie 1.820

    Sun 4/12 Matti Breschel vs Roger Hammond
    12:00 AM 505 Matti Breschel 1.746
    506 Roger Hammond 2.240

    Sun 4/12 Marcus Burghardt vs Manuel Quinziato
    12:00 AM 507 Marcus Burghardt 1.800
    508 Manuel Quinziato 2.150

    Sun 4/12 Martin Elmiger vs Nick Nuyens
    12:00 AM 509 Martin Elmiger 2.150
    510 Nick Nuyens 1.800

    Sun 4/12 Serguey Ivanov vs Andreas Klier
    12:00 AM 511 Serguey Ivanov 2.000
    512 Andreas Klier 1.909

    Sun 4/12 Leif Hoste vs Juan A Flecha
    12:00 AM 513 Leif Hoste 2.550
    514 Juan A Flecha 1.606

    Sun 4/12 Staf Scheirlinckx vs Kevin Van Impe
    12:00 AM 515 Staf Scheirlinckx 1.952
    516 Kevin Van Impe 1.952

    Sun 4/12 Johnny Hoogerland vs Gerben Lowik
    12:00 AM 517 Johnny Hoogerland 1.800
    518 Gerben Lowik 2.150

    Sun 4/12 Kristoff Goddart vs Sebastian Hinault
    12:00 AM 519 Kristoff Goddart 1.676
    520 Sebastian Hinault 2.380

    Sun 4/12 Niki Terpstra vs Joost Posthuma
    12:00 AM 521 Niki Terpstra 2.080
    522 Joost Posthuma 1.847

    Sun 4/12 Murillo Fischer vs Wouter Weylandt
    12:00 AM 523 Murillo Fischer 1.645
    524 Wouter Weylandt 2.450

    Sun 4/12 Pedro Horrillo vs Johann Vansummeren
    12:00 AM 525 Pedro Horrillo 1.952
    526 Johann Vansummeren 1.952

    Sun 4/12 Mikhail Ignatiev vs Svein Tuft
    12:00 AM 527 Mikhail Ignatiev 1.952
    528 Svein Tuft 1.952

    Sun 4/12 Edvald Boasson Hagen vs Mathew Goss
    12:00 AM 529 Edvald Boasson Hagen 1.800
    530 Mathew Goss 2.150

    Sun 4/12 Aurelien Clerc vs Jose J Rojas
    12:00 AM 531 Aurelien Clerc 1.800
    532 Jose J Rojas 2.150

    Sun 4/12 Andreas Klier vs Frederic Guesdon
    12:00 AM 533 Andreas Klier 2.250
    534 Frederic Guesdon 1.741

    Sun 4/12 Juan A Flecha vs Martijn Maasskant
    12:00 AM 535 Juan A Flecha 1.952
    536 Martijn Maasskant 1.952

    Sun 4/12 Leif Hoste vs Stijn Devolder
    12:00 AM 537 Leif Hoste 1.952
    538 Stijn Devolder 1.952

    Sun 4/12 George Hincapie vs Tom Boonen
    12:00 AM 539 George Hincapie 3.410
    540 Tom Boonen 1.383

    Sun 4/12 Thor Hushovd vs Bernhard Eisel
    12:00 AM 541 Thor Hushovd 2.260
    542 Bernhard Eisel 1.735

    Sun 4/12 Sylvain Chavanel vs Fabian Cancellara
    12:00 AM 543 Sylvain Chavanel 1.699
    544 Fabian Cancellara 2.330
    Reply
    Paris--Roubaix: Matchups - Thanks to Pinacle. My favourites are bold. But I'll confirm it later.

    Sun 4/12 Tom Boonen vs Stijn Devolder
    12:00 AM 501 Tom Boonen 1.318
    502 Stijn Devolder 3.840

    Sun 4/12 Martin Maaskant vs George Hincapie
    12:00 AM 503 Martin Maaskant 2.120
    504 George Hincapie 1.820

    Sun 4/12 Matti Breschel vs Roger Hammond
    12:00 AM 505 Matti Breschel 1.746
    506 Roger Hammond 2.240

    Sun 4/12 Marcus Burghardt vs Manuel Quinziato
    12:00 AM 507 Marcus Burghardt 1.800
    508 Manuel Quinziato 2.150

    Sun 4/12 Martin Elmiger vs Nick Nuyens
    12:00 AM 509 Martin Elmiger 2.150
    510 Nick Nuyens 1.800

    Sun 4/12 Serguey Ivanov vs Andreas Klier
    12:00 AM 511 Serguey Ivanov 2.000
    512 Andreas Klier 1.909

    Sun 4/12 Leif Hoste vs Juan A Flecha
    12:00 AM 513 Leif Hoste 2.550
    514 Juan A Flecha 1.606

    Sun 4/12 Staf Scheirlinckx vs Kevin Van Impe
    12:00 AM 515 Staf Scheirlinckx 1.952
    516 Kevin Van Impe 1.952

    Sun 4/12 Johnny Hoogerland vs Gerben Lowik
    12:00 AM 517 Johnny Hoogerland 1.800
    518 Gerben Lowik 2.150

    Sun 4/12 Kristoff Goddart vs Sebastian Hinault
    12:00 AM 519 Kristoff Goddart 1.676
    520 Sebastian Hinault 2.380

    Sun 4/12 Niki Terpstra vs Joost Posthuma
    12:00 AM 521 Niki Terpstra 2.080
    522 Joost Posthuma 1.847

    Sun 4/12 Murillo Fischer vs Wouter Weylandt
    12:00 AM 523 Murillo Fischer 1.645
    524 Wouter Weylandt 2.450

    Sun 4/12 Pedro Horrillo vs Johann Vansummeren
    12:00 AM 525 Pedro Horrillo 1.952
    526 Johann Vansummeren 1.952

    Sun 4/12 Mikhail Ignatiev vs Svein Tuft
    12:00 AM 527 Mikhail Ignatiev 1.952
    528 Svein Tuft 1.952

    Sun 4/12 Edvald Boasson Hagen vs Mathew Goss
    12:00 AM 529 Edvald Boasson Hagen 1.800
    530 Mathew Goss 2.150

    Sun 4/12 Aurelien Clerc vs Jose J Rojas
    12:00 AM 531 Aurelien Clerc 1.800
    532 Jose J Rojas 2.150

    Sun 4/12 Andreas Klier vs Frederic Guesdon
    12:00 AM 533 Andreas Klier 2.250
    534 Frederic Guesdon 1.741

    Sun 4/12 Juan A Flecha vs Martijn Maasskant
    12:00 AM 535 Juan A Flecha 1.952
    536 Martijn Maasskant 1.952

    Sun 4/12 Leif Hoste vs Stijn Devolder
    12:00 AM 537 Leif Hoste 1.952
    538 Stijn Devolder 1.952

    Sun 4/12 George Hincapie vs Tom Boonen
    12:00 AM 539 George Hincapie 3.410
    540 Tom Boonen 1.383

    Sun 4/12 Thor Hushovd vs Bernhard Eisel
    12:00 AM 541 Thor Hushovd 2.260
    542 Bernhard Eisel 1.735

    Sun 4/12 Sylvain Chavanel vs Fabian Cancellara
    12:00 AM 543 Sylvain Chavanel 1.699
    544 Fabian Cancellara 2.330
     
    elithepunk
    elithepunk
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    Joined: Apr, 2007
    Posts: 3552
    Posted: Apr. 9, 2009 - 12:25 PM ET #11

    Looks good. BOL .
    Reply
    Looks good. BOL .
     
    n1ck
    n1ck
    Prospect
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Oct, 2008
    Posts: 289
    Posted: Apr. 9, 2009 - 3:04 PM ET #12

    Sun 4/12 Leif Hoste vs Stijn Devolder
    12:00 AM 537 Leif Hoste 1.952
    538 Stijn Devolder 1.952
     
    It looks like the best pick. Devolder is the 2nd man for Quick Step in this race, if Boonen fail, he won't probably clinch to the top.
     
    Pinnacle offers it @ 1.952 compared to 1.68 for Unibet.
     
    Devolder to finish on top 3 @ 2.50 sounds good as well.
     
    Unibet is offering a matchup for the top 20 between Quick Step and Columbia HighRoad. I expect at least Boonen and Devolder in the top 20 for Quick Step and probably only Hincapie will make it for Columbia.
     
     
    Reply
    Sun 4/12 Leif Hoste vs Stijn Devolder
    12:00 AM 537 Leif Hoste 1.952
    538 Stijn Devolder 1.952
     
    It looks like the best pick. Devolder is the 2nd man for Quick Step in this race, if Boonen fail, he won't probably clinch to the top.
     
    Pinnacle offers it @ 1.952 compared to 1.68 for Unibet.
     
    Devolder to finish on top 3 @ 2.50 sounds good as well.
     
    Unibet is offering a matchup for the top 20 between Quick Step and Columbia HighRoad. I expect at least Boonen and Devolder in the top 20 for Quick Step and probably only Hincapie will make it for Columbia.
     
     
     
    Bolar
    Bolar
    Captain
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    Joined: Feb, 2007
    Posts: 5831
    Posted: Apr. 11, 2009 - 10:39 AM ET #13

    Okay so after thinking about this much!

    1.5 units on Devolder to win @ $7
    2 units on Devolder to place @ $2.50

    .5 units on Hincapie to win @ $14
    1 unit on Hincapie to place @ $4

    1 unit on Maaskant to place @ $4.75

    .5 win on Burghardt @ $26
    .5 place on Burghardt @ $7

    Pretty clear cut. I'm going reasonably small hoping I can pull off a Devolder win or Devolder place or a Hincapie win and place.

    It's pretty much set based on whether or not Hincapie has bike troubles. This is a clear cut goal for Columbia and Hincapie. He isn't retiring until he wins PR.

    Columbia and QS have the strongest teams there. Boonen will be shut out of it like Flanders. I'm going against him and taking the risk that it happens again. And QS might be eyeing Hincapie too much that Burghardt goes off the front and gets away ala O'Grady in 2007. Also to note. Team Columbia won Gent-Wevelgem on Wednesday. Albasini gave them a win on Thursday in the tour of the Basque Country. Pinotti gave them another win Friday. Monfort was in the early break and Pinotti counter attacked when it was caught. So Columbia might be finally realising that there is other ways to win than bringing Cavendish to the line. And the confidence is up.

    I'm pretty big on Maaskant putting in a good performance here. My predictions are Devolder or Hincapie and third will be Maaskant. 4th will be Flecha and 5th will be Breschel.

    Onto the head to head market. There is one big play I like.

    10 units Hincapie over Pozzato @ $1.85 - I can't see Katusha dominating for Pozzato and Hincapie is going to finish top 3. I reckon this is a steal.

    3 units Cancellara over Chavanel @ $2.18 - Cancellara had bike troubles on Wednesday and is trying to recapture form. Chavanel on the otherhand is riding for Boonen and Devolder. Brilliant odds. Don't be surprised if Cancellara wins.

    4 units Burghardt over Quinziato @ $1.80 - Burghardt showed me on Wednesday he is strong. Has apparently hired 4 men to carry spare wheels at the main parts of the course on top of the Columbia staff. Interesting thought.

    2 units Devolder over Boonen @ $3.26 - Again, I am throwing all my eggs on Devolder here. If he wins, I do good.

    Boonen, for the love of God. Don't win!
    Reply
    Okay so after thinking about this much!

    1.5 units on Devolder to win @ $7
    2 units on Devolder to place @ $2.50

    .5 units on Hincapie to win @ $14
    1 unit on Hincapie to place @ $4

    1 unit on Maaskant to place @ $4.75

    .5 win on Burghardt @ $26
    .5 place on Burghardt @ $7

    Pretty clear cut. I'm going reasonably small hoping I can pull off a Devolder win or Devolder place or a Hincapie win and place.

    It's pretty much set based on whether or not Hincapie has bike troubles. This is a clear cut goal for Columbia and Hincapie. He isn't retiring until he wins PR.

    Columbia and QS have the strongest teams there. Boonen will be shut out of it like Flanders. I'm going against him and taking the risk that it happens again. And QS might be eyeing Hincapie too much that Burghardt goes off the front and gets away ala O'Grady in 2007. Also to note. Team Columbia won Gent-Wevelgem on Wednesday. Albasini gave them a win on Thursday in the tour of the Basque Country. Pinotti gave them another win Friday. Monfort was in the early break and Pinotti counter attacked when it was caught. So Columbia might be finally realising that there is other ways to win than bringing Cavendish to the line. And the confidence is up.

    I'm pretty big on Maaskant putting in a good performance here. My predictions are Devolder or Hincapie and third will be Maaskant. 4th will be Flecha and 5th will be Breschel.

    Onto the head to head market. There is one big play I like.

    10 units Hincapie over Pozzato @ $1.85 - I can't see Katusha dominating for Pozzato and Hincapie is going to finish top 3. I reckon this is a steal.

    3 units Cancellara over Chavanel @ $2.18 - Cancellara had bike troubles on Wednesday and is trying to recapture form. Chavanel on the otherhand is riding for Boonen and Devolder. Brilliant odds. Don't be surprised if Cancellara wins.

    4 units Burghardt over Quinziato @ $1.80 - Burghardt showed me on Wednesday he is strong. Has apparently hired 4 men to carry spare wheels at the main parts of the course on top of the Columbia staff. Interesting thought.

    2 units Devolder over Boonen @ $3.26 - Again, I am throwing all my eggs on Devolder here. If he wins, I do good.

    Boonen, for the love of God. Don't win!
     
     
    elithepunk
    elithepunk
    Veteran
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Apr, 2007
    Posts: 3552
    Posted: Apr. 12, 2009 - 2:12 PM ET #14

    oh oh this was a wonderful race but not for those who gambled on it

    tough breaks all through the board

    looks like Boonen read your thread and got inspired

    get it back next time
    Reply
    oh oh this was a wonderful race but not for those who gambled on it

    tough breaks all through the board

    looks like Boonen read your thread and got inspired

    get it back next time
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