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    All Forums | Other

    Cycling: 2009 Gent-Wevelgem (Wed) & 2009 Vuelta al País Vasco (Week)

    Bolar
    elithepunk
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    Bolar
    Bolar
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    Posted: Apr. 5, 2009 - 12:33 PM ET #1

    Paris-Roubaix is getting an individual thread as it's prestige.
     
    Already have a play lined up in the Vuelta al Pais Vasco.
     
    At the start of this week I'm up 55.76 units.
     
    I may do a write-up tomorrow for this one. But probably won't have time. Pretty straight forward.
     
    1 unit LLS to win @ $15
    4 units LLS to place @ $4.50
     
    Again like Paris-Nice. Even though Contador is in this and some other strong riders, this event suits LLS. There is no mountain top finish for starters. LLS is an attacking rider and a good descender and 2 of these stages have climbs close to the end which he will do what he is famous for. The time trial at the end will be the test.
     
    I expect LLS to probably win stage 1 so if I can get odds for stage 1, i'll play him. Betfair don't have him in the market.
     
    He is up against Samuel Sanchez, Sastre, Rogers, Kirchen, Lovkvist, Contador, Evans, Cunego etc. Cunego will be looking for Amstel Gold and La Flech Wallone. Evans sucks. Rogers will be fine tuning form. Kichen coming back from injury. Sastre not so strong team.

    Sam Sanchez, Lovkvist and Contador are his main challengers.
     
    1. Luis Leon Sanchez
    2. Alberto Contador
    3. Samuel Sanchez
     
    I will have a full writeup for Gent-Wevelgem in the next day or 2 but you already know who I'm backing. Cavendish.
     
     
    Reply
    To remove first post, remove entire topic.
    Paris-Roubaix is getting an individual thread as it's prestige.
     
    Already have a play lined up in the Vuelta al Pais Vasco.
     
    At the start of this week I'm up 55.76 units.
     
    I may do a write-up tomorrow for this one. But probably won't have time. Pretty straight forward.
     
    1 unit LLS to win @ $15
    4 units LLS to place @ $4.50
     
    Again like Paris-Nice. Even though Contador is in this and some other strong riders, this event suits LLS. There is no mountain top finish for starters. LLS is an attacking rider and a good descender and 2 of these stages have climbs close to the end which he will do what he is famous for. The time trial at the end will be the test.
     
    I expect LLS to probably win stage 1 so if I can get odds for stage 1, i'll play him. Betfair don't have him in the market.
     
    He is up against Samuel Sanchez, Sastre, Rogers, Kirchen, Lovkvist, Contador, Evans, Cunego etc. Cunego will be looking for Amstel Gold and La Flech Wallone. Evans sucks. Rogers will be fine tuning form. Kichen coming back from injury. Sastre not so strong team.

    Sam Sanchez, Lovkvist and Contador are his main challengers.
     
    1. Luis Leon Sanchez
    2. Alberto Contador
    3. Samuel Sanchez
     
    I will have a full writeup for Gent-Wevelgem in the next day or 2 but you already know who I'm backing. Cavendish.
     
     
     
    elithepunk
    elithepunk
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    Posted: Apr. 5, 2009 - 2:15 PM ET #2

    Man, just noticed a couple of big names racing in the Basque region this week. Interesting article right HERE.
    Reply
    Man, just noticed a couple of big names racing in the Basque region this week. Interesting article right HERE.
     
    Bolar
    Bolar
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    Posted: Apr. 5, 2009 - 8:45 PM ET #3

    Stage 1
     
    0.5 unit LLS to win @ $10
     
    4.5 units LLS over Cadel Evans @ $2 - Are these odds right? An attacking rider V a wheel sucking asshole? I'm on this anyday of the week.
    Reply
    Stage 1
     
    0.5 unit LLS to win @ $10
     
    4.5 units LLS over Cadel Evans @ $2 - Are these odds right? An attacking rider V a wheel sucking asshole? I'm on this anyday of the week.
     
    Bolar
    Bolar
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    Posted: Apr. 5, 2009 - 8:47 PM ET #4

    People probably think I love Luis Leon Sanchez haha
    Reply
    People probably think I love Luis Leon Sanchez haha
     
    Bolar
    Bolar
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    Posted: Apr. 5, 2009 - 8:49 PM ET #5

    That article tells exactly what I'm thinking. LLS
    Reply
    That article tells exactly what I'm thinking. LLS
     
    elithepunk
    elithepunk
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    Posted: Apr. 5, 2009 - 11:25 PM ET #6

    Quote Originally Posted by Bolar:

     
    4.5 units LLS over Cadel Evans @ $2 - Are these odds right? An attacking rider V a wheel sucking asshole? I'm on this anyday of the week.


    Yeah, saw it on bet365 but you might enjoy the lines once Pinny has them online as they usually tend to have better odds everywhere on the matchup page. Not too fond of Australia's finest cyclist haha? Did you get a chance to read THIS article ? Quite entertaining. 
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Bolar:

     
    4.5 units LLS over Cadel Evans @ $2 - Are these odds right? An attacking rider V a wheel sucking asshole? I'm on this anyday of the week.


    Yeah, saw it on bet365 but you might enjoy the lines once Pinny has them online as they usually tend to have better odds everywhere on the matchup page. Not too fond of Australia's finest cyclist haha? Did you get a chance to read THIS article ? Quite entertaining. 
     
    Bolar
    Bolar
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    Posted: Apr. 6, 2009 - 11:26 AM ET #7

    Not a fan of Cadel Evans. Over-rated piece of shit by the Australian media and public.
     
    Rogers is our best TDF winner. Not Evans. Evans is an embarassment to Australia with the way he rides.
    Reply
    Not a fan of Cadel Evans. Over-rated piece of shit by the Australian media and public.
     
    Rogers is our best TDF winner. Not Evans. Evans is an embarassment to Australia with the way he rides.
     
    Bolar
    Bolar
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    Posted: Apr. 6, 2009 - 11:29 AM ET #8

    Quote Originally Posted by Bolar:

    Stage 1
     
    0.5 unit LLS to win @ $10
     
    4.5 units LLS over Cadel Evans @ $2 - Are these odds right? An attacking rider V a wheel sucking asshole? I'm on this anyday of the week.

    You beauty. Roughly 9 units back on what i lost on Sunday night.

    Bounced back strongly with a strong LLS win.

     

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Bolar:

    Stage 1
     
    0.5 unit LLS to win @ $10
     
    4.5 units LLS over Cadel Evans @ $2 - Are these odds right? An attacking rider V a wheel sucking asshole? I'm on this anyday of the week.

    You beauty. Roughly 9 units back on what i lost on Sunday night.

    Bounced back strongly with a strong LLS win.

     

     
    Bolar
    Bolar
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    Posts: 5831
    Posted: Apr. 6, 2009 - 11:30 AM ET #9

    Quote Originally Posted by Bolar:

    .
     
    1 unit LLS to win @ $15
    4 units LLS to place @ $4.50
     

    I'm clearing that up. It's still a 1 unit play, but when sportingbet put the odds up they had him 21-1. Couldn't pass that up.

    1 unit LLS @ $21

    4 unit to place @ $4.50

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Bolar:

    .
     
    1 unit LLS to win @ $15
    4 units LLS to place @ $4.50
     

    I'm clearing that up. It's still a 1 unit play, but when sportingbet put the odds up they had him 21-1. Couldn't pass that up.

    1 unit LLS @ $21

    4 unit to place @ $4.50

     
    Bolar
    Bolar
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    Posted: Apr. 6, 2009 - 11:31 AM ET #10

    Now I don't think I will be playing stage 2. Or stage 3. I will be playing Gent next and probably Roubaix.
     
    Sanchez will podium now - pretty confident of that; So will sit back and wait
    Reply
    Now I don't think I will be playing stage 2. Or stage 3. I will be playing Gent next and probably Roubaix.
     
    Sanchez will podium now - pretty confident of that; So will sit back and wait
     
    Bolar
    Bolar
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    Posted: Apr. 6, 2009 - 11:37 AM ET #11

    Is anyone out there following my plays?
     
    Sanchez Paris Nice 11-1
    Cavendish MSR 14-1
    Sanchez 9-1 tonights stage
    Sanchez 21-1 overall?
    Reply
    Is anyone out there following my plays?
     
    Sanchez Paris Nice 11-1
    Cavendish MSR 14-1
    Sanchez 9-1 tonights stage
    Sanchez 21-1 overall?
     
    elithepunk
    elithepunk
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    Posted: Apr. 6, 2009 - 12:03 PM ET #12

    Quote Originally Posted by Bolar:

    You beauty. Roughly 9 units back on what i lost on Sunday night.

    Bounced back strongly with a strong LLS win

    .


    Wow ! Amazing. GREAT job .

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Bolar:

    You beauty. Roughly 9 units back on what i lost on Sunday night.

    Bounced back strongly with a strong LLS win

    .


    Wow ! Amazing. GREAT job .

     
    elithepunk
    elithepunk
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    Posted: Apr. 6, 2009 - 12:06 PM ET #13

    Quote Originally Posted by Bolar:

    People probably think I love Luis Leon Sanchez haha


    Nothing wrong with that .
    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Bolar:

    People probably think I love Luis Leon Sanchez haha


    Nothing wrong with that .
     
    Bolar
    Bolar
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    Posted: Apr. 6, 2009 - 9:21 PM ET #14

    Cheers. It was good how it happened. There were like 7 climbs and on the last one, a cat 2, Sanchez wasn'tin the lead group that jumped off the front. He was the next group back with some solid riders and caught back on the descent heading up to the final incline of the day. Then just powered home in a good sprint uphill.

    Reply

    Cheers. It was good how it happened. There were like 7 climbs and on the last one, a cat 2, Sanchez wasn'tin the lead group that jumped off the front. He was the next group back with some solid riders and caught back on the descent heading up to the final incline of the day. Then just powered home in a good sprint uphill.

     
    Bolar
    Bolar
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    Posted: Apr. 6, 2009 - 9:29 PM ET #15

    Today's stage is way too hard. it features a cat 1, a few cat 3's and a cat 2 and the last cat 3 comes 20 oddkm from the finish. Could be a sprint finish. At this stage I'm giving it a miss.
    Reply
    Today's stage is way too hard. it features a cat 1, a few cat 3's and a cat 2 and the last cat 3 comes 20 oddkm from the finish. Could be a sprint finish. At this stage I'm giving it a miss.
     
    Bolar
    Bolar
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    Posted: Apr. 6, 2009 - 11:31 PM ET #16

    2009 - Gent-Wevelgem
     
    Odds suggest it. I suggest it. Cavendish should shit this in and get his 9th win of the season.
     
    5 units Cavendish to win @ $2.75
     
    1 unit Hushovd to place @ $5.75
     
    4 units Pozzato over Boonen @ $1.85 - Boonen will be concentrating for Roubaix so he may either a)pull out half way through or not even worry about the sprint. Solid bet.
     
    Good luck!
    Reply
    2009 - Gent-Wevelgem
     
    Odds suggest it. I suggest it. Cavendish should shit this in and get his 9th win of the season.
     
    5 units Cavendish to win @ $2.75
     
    1 unit Hushovd to place @ $5.75
     
    4 units Pozzato over Boonen @ $1.85 - Boonen will be concentrating for Roubaix so he may either a)pull out half way through or not even worry about the sprint. Solid bet.
     
    Good luck!
     
    Bolar
    Bolar
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    Posted: Apr. 6, 2009 - 11:32 PM ET #17

    2009 - Gent-Wevelgem
     
    Odds suggest it. I suggest it. Cavendish should shit this in and get his 9th win of the season.
     
    5 units Cavendish to win @ $2.75
     
    1 unit Hushovd to place @ $5.75
     
    4 units Pozzato over Boonen @ $1.85 - Boonen will be concentrating for Roubaix so he may either a)pull out half way through or not even worry about the sprint. Solid bet.
     
    Good luck!
    Reply
    2009 - Gent-Wevelgem
     
    Odds suggest it. I suggest it. Cavendish should shit this in and get his 9th win of the season.
     
    5 units Cavendish to win @ $2.75
     
    1 unit Hushovd to place @ $5.75
     
    4 units Pozzato over Boonen @ $1.85 - Boonen will be concentrating for Roubaix so he may either a)pull out half way through or not even worry about the sprint. Solid bet.
     
    Good luck!
     
    n1ck
    n1ck
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    Posted: Apr. 7, 2009 - 3:44 PM ET #18

    I'm following you on Pozzato over Boonen @ 1.85, playing 4 units.
     
    Adding 1 unit on Cavendish over McEwen and on Cavendish over Haussler, lines are out @ 1.57 and 1.60
     
    I'll be waiting for your complete write-up on Paris-Roubaix for my weekends selections.
     
     
    Reply
    I'm following you on Pozzato over Boonen @ 1.85, playing 4 units.
     
    Adding 1 unit on Cavendish over McEwen and on Cavendish over Haussler, lines are out @ 1.57 and 1.60
     
    I'll be waiting for your complete write-up on Paris-Roubaix for my weekends selections.
     
     
     
    Bolar
    Bolar
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    Posted: Apr. 8, 2009 - 2:52 AM ET #19

    Stage 3 - Vuelta Pais Vasco
     
    Similar stage to stage 1 but harder. Cat 1 climb at the end.
     
    I think Lulu might win this but so might Contador.
     
    So therefore
     
    3 units Contador @ $3.50
    .5 units Lulu @ $15
     
    2009 - Gent-Wevelgem
     
    Final plays.
     
    Hushovd is out. So makes things different.
     
    Odds suggest it. I suggest it. Cavendish should shit this in and get his 9th win of the season.
     
    5 units Cavendish to win @ $2.75
     
    1 unit Ciolek to podium @ $9.50
     
    4 units Pozzato over Boonen @ $1.85 - Boonen will be concentrating for Roubaix so he may either a)pull out half way through or not even worry about the sprint. Solid bet.
     
    Ciolek to do something substantial tonight.
     
    Good luck!
    Reply
    Stage 3 - Vuelta Pais Vasco
     
    Similar stage to stage 1 but harder. Cat 1 climb at the end.
     
    I think Lulu might win this but so might Contador.
     
    So therefore
     
    3 units Contador @ $3.50
    .5 units Lulu @ $15
     
    2009 - Gent-Wevelgem
     
    Final plays.
     
    Hushovd is out. So makes things different.
     
    Odds suggest it. I suggest it. Cavendish should shit this in and get his 9th win of the season.
     
    5 units Cavendish to win @ $2.75
     
    1 unit Ciolek to podium @ $9.50
     
    4 units Pozzato over Boonen @ $1.85 - Boonen will be concentrating for Roubaix so he may either a)pull out half way through or not even worry about the sprint. Solid bet.
     
    Ciolek to do something substantial tonight.
     
    Good luck!
     
    Bolar
    Bolar
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2007
    Posts: 5831
    Posted: Apr. 9, 2009 - 2:38 AM ET #20

    Quote Originally Posted by Bolar:

    Stage 3 - Vuelta Pais Vasco
     
    Similar stage to stage 1 but harder. Cat 1 climb at the end.
     
    I think Lulu might win this but so might Contador.
     
    So therefore
     
    3 units Contador @ $3.50
    .5 units Lulu @ $15
     
    2009 - Gent-Wevelgem
     
    Final plays.
     
    Hushovd is out. So makes things different.
     
    Odds suggest it. I suggest it. Cavendish should shit this in and get his 9th win of the season.
     
    5 units Cavendish to win @ $2.75
     
    1 unit Ciolek to podium @ $9.50
     
    4 units Pozzato over Boonen @ $1.85 - Boonen will be concentrating for Roubaix so he may either a)pull out half way through or not even worry about the sprint. Solid bet.
     
    Ciolek to do something substantial tonight.
     
    Good luck!

    The win to Contador evens the night out to all square.

    Tonight stage 4

    Sprinters stage if Freire and Davis can be arsed.

    Freire to win @ $6 - Odds too goo to ignore. 2 units. 3 units for Freire to place @ $2.50

    Good luck!

    Reply
    Quote Originally Posted by Bolar:

    Stage 3 - Vuelta Pais Vasco
     
    Similar stage to stage 1 but harder. Cat 1 climb at the end.
     
    I think Lulu might win this but so might Contador.
     
    So therefore
     
    3 units Contador @ $3.50
    .5 units Lulu @ $15
     
    2009 - Gent-Wevelgem
     
    Final plays.
     
    Hushovd is out. So makes things different.
     
    Odds suggest it. I suggest it. Cavendish should shit this in and get his 9th win of the season.
     
    5 units Cavendish to win @ $2.75
     
    1 unit Ciolek to podium @ $9.50
     
    4 units Pozzato over Boonen @ $1.85 - Boonen will be concentrating for Roubaix so he may either a)pull out half way through or not even worry about the sprint. Solid bet.
     
    Ciolek to do something substantial tonight.
     
    Good luck!

    The win to Contador evens the night out to all square.

    Tonight stage 4

    Sprinters stage if Freire and Davis can be arsed.

    Freire to win @ $6 - Odds too goo to ignore. 2 units. 3 units for Freire to place @ $2.50

    Good luck!

     
    Bolar
    Bolar
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2007
    Posts: 5831
    Posted: Apr. 9, 2009 - 2:39 AM ET #21

    Actually that win to Contador makes it a loss of 2 units.
    Reply
    Actually that win to Contador makes it a loss of 2 units.
     
    Bolar
    Bolar
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2007
    Posts: 5831
    Posted: Apr. 10, 2009 - 9:07 AM ET #22

    Stage 5 - Breakaway
     
    .2 units Martinez @ $21
    .2 units Monfort @ $51
    .2 units Perez @ $51
    .2 units Wegmann @ $19
    .2 units De La Fuente @ $31
    Reply
    Stage 5 - Breakaway
     
    .2 units Martinez @ $21
    .2 units Monfort @ $51
    .2 units Perez @ $51
    .2 units Wegmann @ $19
    .2 units De La Fuente @ $31
     
    Bolar
    Bolar
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2007
    Posts: 5831
    Posted: Apr. 11, 2009 - 12:42 AM ET #23

    Had the right idea. Had the wrong rides.
     
    Martinez, De La Fuente and Monfort were in the main break but Monfort went in the break with guys like Rodriguez which was never going to last. Perez tried the break too. In the end the stage was won by Pinotti who counterattacked when the break was caught.
     
    Anyway tonight. Team Columbia has had 3 wins in 3 nights. Boasson Hagen in Gent, Albasini on thursday in Pais Vasco and then Pinotti last night. Can they do it again?
     
    Time trial tonight. Contador as you would expect is the short price favourite but I like Rogers chance.
     
    Rogers to win @ $9 - .5 units.
     
    Good luck!
    Reply
    Had the right idea. Had the wrong rides.
     
    Martinez, De La Fuente and Monfort were in the main break but Monfort went in the break with guys like Rodriguez which was never going to last. Perez tried the break too. In the end the stage was won by Pinotti who counterattacked when the break was caught.
     
    Anyway tonight. Team Columbia has had 3 wins in 3 nights. Boasson Hagen in Gent, Albasini on thursday in Pais Vasco and then Pinotti last night. Can they do it again?
     
    Time trial tonight. Contador as you would expect is the short price favourite but I like Rogers chance.
     
    Rogers to win @ $9 - .5 units.
     
    Good luck!
     
     
    Bolar
    Bolar
    Captain
    Participation Meter
    Joined: Feb, 2007
    Posts: 5831
    Posted: Apr. 11, 2009 - 10:41 AM ET #24

    1 unit Pinotto to win @ $21
    Reply
    1 unit Pinotto to win @ $21
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